Fixture Overview
| Time | Course | Race Class | Distance | Prize (Win) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1:40 | Roscommon | Maiden Hurdle | 1m7½f | £5310 |
| 1:50 | Hamilton | Class 4 EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5f | £5400 |
| 1:56 | Newton Abbot | Class 3 Novices Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 2m½f | £7922 |
| 2:04 | Down Royal | Class 3 Nursery Handicap | 5f | £6105 |
| 2:10 | Brighton | Class 6 Apprentice Handicap | 5½f | £3454 |
| 2:15 | Roscommon | Class 6 Handicap Hurdle (0-100) | 1m7½f | £5575 |
| 2:25 | Hamilton | Class 5 Amateur Jockeys Handicap | 6f | £3974 |
| 2:31 | Newton Abbot | Class 5 Conditional Jockeys Selling Hcap Hdle | 2m2½f | £4753 |
| 2:39 | Down Royal | Class 5 Fillies Handicap | 1m5f | £8496 |
| 2:45 | Brighton | Class 5 Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 7f | £3888 |
| 2:50 | Roscommon | Class 5 Mares Maiden Hurdle | 2m4f | £5310 |
| 3:00 | Hamilton | Class 5 Handicap | 1m½f | £4187 |
| 3:06 | Newton Abbot | Class 4 Novices Hurdle (GBB Race) | 2m1f | £4629 |
| 3:14 | Down Royal | Class 4 EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden | 7f | £10619 |
| 3:20 | Brighton | Class 6 Nursery | 7f | £3454 |
| 3:25 | Roscommon | Class 6 Handicap Hurdle (0-100) | 2m4f | £5310 |
| 3:35 | Hamilton | Class 3 Handicap | 1m1f | £12370 |
| 3:41 | Newton Abbot | Class 5 Novices Handicap Hurdle | 3m2½f | £3961 |
| 3:49 | Down Royal | Class 5 Maiden | 7f | £6372 |
| 3:55 | Brighton | Class 5 Handicap | 1m | £4187 |
| 4:00 | Roscommon | Class 5 Handicap Hurdle | 3m | £9824 |
| 4:10 | Hamilton | Class 3 Handicap | 5f | £12370 |
| 4:16 | Newton Abbot | Class 3 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 3m2f | £7922 |
| 4:24 | Down Royal | Class 3 Handicap | 7f | £6105 |
| 4:30 | Brighton | Class 6 Handicap | 1m4f | £3454 |
| 4:35 | Roscommon | Grade 3 Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase | 2m½f | £21239 |
| 4:45 | Hamilton | Class 5 Handicap | 5f | £4187 |
| 4:50 | Newton Abbot | Class 4 Handicap Hurdle | 2m5½f | £5281 |
| 4:55 | Down Royal | Class 4 Handicap (0-60) | 1m3f | £5310 |
| 5:00 | Southwell | Class 6 Handicap | 2m½f | £3245 |
| 5:05 | Brighton | Class 6 Handicap | 7f | £3454 |
| 5:10 | Roscommon | Class 6 EBF Mares Handicap Chase | 2m5½f | £9824 |
| 5:20 | Hamilton | Class 6 Handicap | 1m4f | £3664 |
| 5:25 | Down Royal | Class 6 Handicap | 1m5f | £6903 |
| 5:30 | Southwell | Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 7f | £3672 |
| 5:40 | Brighton | Class 6 Handicap | 6f | £3454 |
| 5:45 | Roscommon | Class 6 INH Flat Race | 1m7½f | £5310 |
| 6:00 | Southwell | Class 5 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 6f | £3888 |
| 6:30 | Southwell | Class 5 Fillies Handicap | 6f | £3978 |
| 7:00 | Southwell | Class 5 Handicap | 5f | £3978 |
| 7:30 | Southwell | Class 6 Handicap | 1m | £3245 |
| 8:00 | Southwell | Class 5 Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 7f | £3888 |
| 8:30 | Southwell | Class 6 Handicap | 6f | £3245 |
Going Report & Weather
The AW circuit at Southwell runs on a Standard surface.
All UK turf meetings run on Good ground at Brighton and Newton Abbot.
Irish fixtures are run on Good ground at Down Royal and Yielding ground at Roscommon.
The Scottish card at Hamilton is officially Soft.
No specific weather changes are reported in the official going announcements, but commentary for Down Royal 5.25 suggests that forecast rain could potentially ease conditions, which would favour the Spotlight selection Morse.
Spotlight Verdicts & Key Horses
BRIGHTON (GOOD)
- 2:10 Handicap: BARNSNAPE BOY is the selection, hoped to click back into gear on drier ground. Recon Mission (now blinkered) is the second choice but has a worrying record here.
- 2:45 Maiden: FIERCE FORTITUDE is the form pick, facing strong opposition from Cosmo Goodspeed.
- 3:20 Nursery: The safest play is ARVANA BELLE, who has finished 1st and 2nd in her last two nurseries here, finishing clear of the third last time. Molly Mac is the second choice.
- 4:30 Handicap: AL KHAWANEEJ RIVER is preferred, despite having no course form, due to being downgraded in class. Just Adair, the improver, is second choice but must handle the track. Potters Marmite is a confirmed Non-Runner (NR).
- 5:05 Handicap: The consistent 3yo filly DESERT BEAUTY is the choice, based on her clear second LTO. King Of War and Mighty Real are noted as dangers; Mighty Real continues to test patience but his turn should come.
- 5:40 Handicap: Rovinia is mentioned as being “in the mix” after narrowly missing LTO. Hannah’s Return is noted as a front-runner with winning form here.
HAMILTON (SOFT)
- 1:50 Maiden: The strong favourite is EAT PRAY RUN (1/20).
- 2:25 Handicap: KRANJCAR (NAP) is the selection, looking better than ever after winning last week. Bay Breeze (first-time blinkers) is noted as the second choice despite finishing well behind Kranjcar previously.
- 3:00 Handicap: Low-mileage 4yo ASIAN JOURNEY is chanced despite an underwhelming handicap debut, based on pedigree suggesting suitability for soft ground. Course specialist Arkenstaar is second choice.
- 3:35 Handicap: A punt is taken on JANNAS JOURNEY (second choice) to confirm her stamina, ahead of Impartiality (second choice). Spioradalta, seeking a hat-trick, expects a strong display.
- 4:10 Handicap: COROLLA POINT is the preference, having impressed with his Haydock win and retaining potential at 5f. Eternal Sunshine (in form, 6lb higher) is second choice.
- 4:45 Handicap: Last year’s winner NEVER DARK is selected, being on a good mark. Ganesha and Harb are noted based on their recent Ayr form. Dandy Dinmont is a confirmed NR.
NEWTON ABBOT (GOOD)
- 1:56 Chase: No specific verdict, but Centara (5/4F) is 8lb better off with Breaking Cover (11/8) after their recent meeting. Synchronist has gained market support (Shortener).
- 2:31 Selling Hcap: Topweight DICKENS is selected to win, enjoying a drop in competition. Gavin and Sassified are the primary dangers.
- 3:06 Novices’ Hurdle: JOHN BARBOUR sets the standard of hurdling form and is selected to overcome his penalty. Best Night and Jaminska should also be involved.
- 3:41 Novices’ Hcap: Class-dropper ENJOY D’ALLEN is picked to exploit a tempting handicap mark. Tropical Speed is a likely contender on stable debut, with Touchwoodexpress noted as second choice. Road Senam is a confirmed NR.
- 4:16 Chase: Multiple C&D winner HOLD YOUR FORT is the choice on return to chasing after a pleasing hurdle run. Bagheera Ginge is a major player if staying the trip.
- 4:50 Handicap Hurdle: THE HEIGHT OF FAME (NAP) is expected to thrive in this easier race on faster ground. Stinginhisstep is runner-up choice.
DOWN ROYAL (GOOD)
- 2:04 Nursery: The verdict favors an unregistered runner (Love Bomb), but based on form, The Love Machine and Imnotleavinyou are noted. Bay Of Supremacy, the Naas winner, is a confirmed NR.
- 2:39 Fillies Handicap: BILLIE FRECHETTE is favoured to turn the tables on Alba Chiara, given she is 12lb better off following an unlucky passage LTO. Mo Ghille Mar is a track specialist danger.
- 3:49 Maiden: DIEGO EL QUESO is the form pick and has the winning of this if replicating recent narrow defeats. Smiling and Perfect Base are noted as main dangers.
- 4:24 Handicap: PORT LOUIS is the selection, having caught the eye LTO. Shelbourne Flyer is a major player but faces an unkind draw.
- 4:55 Handicap: The relatively unexposed 3yo FARO ISLAND is taken to get off the mark in first-time cheekpieces. Lunar Landscape is also considered.
- 5:25 Handicap: A punt is taken on MORSE who will relish any rain and is 4lb lower than when runner-up here last year. Railwayview Lady is unexposed and shortlisted. Morse is a confirmed NR.
ROSCOMMON (YIELDING)
- 1:40 Maiden Hurdle: RAKKI is selected on his encouraging first run for the Mullins yard. Hobart and Hopeful Hero carry each-way claims.
- 2:15 Handicap Hurdle: NO BIG DEAL is the suggestion after competitive shows under both codes. I’m Flattered, who beat a subsequent winner LTO, is expected to offer more.
- 4:00 Handicap Hurdle: The consistent mare BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA (NAP) is preferred to defy a 7lb rise. Henry De Bromhead’s handicap debutant Quantum Quest is popular but Ballyglass Beauty is a live danger if settling. Dorans Law is a confirmed NR.
- 4:35 Grade 3 Chase: Expected to be a match between KING OF KINGSFIELD and Westport Cove. The former is preferred, despite conceding 4lb, due to his upward trajectory over fences.
- 5:10 Mares Chase: COBRA QUEEN is the selection, having jumped well and appearing fine on her mark.
- 5:45 Flat Race: SHADYS LADY holds strong form claims from a runner-up effort to a subsequent Grade 1 placed horse. Onlyforfrankie and Ozark’s Walk are strong form contenders.
SOUTHWELL (STANDARD AW)
- 5:00 Handicap: SPECTACULAR STYLE is tipped as the form pick. Big Win is noted as an interesting contender now handicapping. Spectacular Style is a heavy market drifter (-14 points).
- 5:30 Novice: IZZN’NT SHE HOT is the selection setting the form standard. Cotton Bud is a main form contender. Art Gallery, a high-value debutante, looks shortlist material.
- 6:00 Novice: Promising filly ROSE OF HONOUR is taken to defy a penalty. Brakeman (NR) was originally second choice, placing the highly-rated Spitzbergen next in consideration.
- 6:30 Fillies Hcap: Low-mileage 3yo SPIRIT OF JENNY is suggested. Dual C&D winner Daytona Lady is the second choice. Market confidence should be heeded for After Love.
- 7:00 Handicap: GRACE ANGEL (NAP) is favored, having run solidly LTO. Thankuappreciate is dangerous.
- 7:30 Handicap: KAARESS is tipped, having slipped to a good mark and been unlucky LTO. My Ambition (Lingfield winner) is second choice.
- 8:00 Novice: LUMINOSO is given another chance dropping back in distance. Goldie Trickett is second choice, bred to do better.
- 8:30 Handicap: THE REAL MCKAY is the selection as the sole C&D winner who is attractively treated. Roaring Ralph is expected to run a big race.
Ratings & Form Angles
Standout Official Ratings (OR) & Form Profiles:
- Top Rated (ODR Total): Westport Cove (ROS 4.35) leads the day with a total rating of 380. Eternal Sunshine (HAM 4.10) is highest on the Flat UK card with 357. Centara (NA 1.56) leads the chases with 345.
- Class Horses: The Grade 3 Novice Chase (ROS 4.35) features two high-calibre runners: Westport Cove (RPR 159) and King Of Kingsfield (RPR 155), with King Of Kingsfield holding the edge over hurdles form.
- Handicap Exploitation/Drop in Class:
- Enjoy D’Allen (NA 3.41) is a very useful horse in his prime who returns from a break on a tempting hurdle mark, suggesting he is well-in.
- Never Dark (HAM 4.45) won this race last year off a 12lb higher mark and is now on a good mark (OR 66).
- Al Khawaneej River (BRI 4.30) is preferred as a downgraded horse who is generally consistent.
- Lightly Raced Improvers/Streaks:
- Kranjcar (HAM 2.25) is seeking a fifth consecutive victory.
- Spioradalta (HAM 3.35) seeks a hat-trick (awarded race in second leg) and is in a rich vein of form.
- Arvana Belle (BRI 3.20) has already finished 1st and 2nd in two nurseries.
- Birmingham Alabama (ROS 4.00) seeks her fourth win of 2025.
Course Specialists:
- Uncle Dick (BRI 3.55) registered his eighth win at Brighton in August and is only 2lb higher now.
- Oj Lifestyle (BRI 3.55) is a proven C&D winner.
- Hold Your Fort (NA 4.16) is a multiple C&D winner (3m2f chase).
- Arkenstaar (HAM 3.00) is a six-time course winner.
Market Movers
Significant Shorteners (Backed In by 9+ points)
- Ill Be Handy (DR 4:55): 51.00 $\rightarrow$ 9.00 (+16) – Massive move for a horse sent off at huge odds LTO.
- Big Win (SOU 5:00): 4.50 $\rightarrow$ 2.25 (+14) – Tipped as an interesting contender now handicapping.
- Roaring Ralph (SOU 8:30): 12.00 $\rightarrow$ 4.50 (+13) – Second choice in the Spotlight, expected to run a big race.
- Mart (SOU 7:00): 19.00 $\rightarrow$ 7.50 (+12)
- Diomed Spirit (BRI 2:10): 11.00 $\rightarrow$ 5.00 (+11)
- Rose Of Honour (SOU 6:00): 2.10 $\rightarrow$ 1.50 (+11) – Spotlight selection defying a penalty.
- Diego El Queso (DR 3:49): 2.38 $\rightarrow$ 1.67 (+10) – Spotlight selection and form pick.
- My Vonnie (DR 4:55): 19.00 $\rightarrow$ 8.50 (+10) – Suggested as going well at a price by Spotlight.
- Spirit Of Eagles (DR 4:24): 51.00 $\rightarrow$ 15.00 (+10) – First reserve, 6lb out of handicap.
- Synchronist (NA 1:56): 4.00 $\rightarrow$ 2.63 (+9) – Tipped as must be considered in current form.
- Uncle Dick (BRI 3:55): 13.00 $\rightarrow$ 7.00 (+9) – Course specialist, noted highly in commentary.
- Pillar Of Hope (DR 5:25): 11.00 $\rightarrow$ 6.00 (+9)
Significant Drifters (Lengthened by 8+ points)
- Spectacular Style (SOU 5:00): 3.00 $\rightarrow$ 7.50 (-14) – Spotlight selection/form pick, suffering heavy market retreat.
- Lions House (HAM 4:10): 10.00 $\rightarrow$ 41.00 (-13)
- Arvana Belle (BRI 3:20): 2.38 $\rightarrow$ 4.33 (-12) – Spotlight selection, confidence significantly eroded.
- Tropical Speed (NA 3:41): 2.50 $\rightarrow$ 4.33 (-11) – Likely contender on stable debut.
- Le Beau Garcon (SOU 7:00): 8.00 $\rightarrow$ 19.00 (-11)
- Breaking Cover (NA 1:56): 2.75 $\rightarrow$ 4.33 (-9)
- At The Oche (NA 3:06): 3.50 $\rightarrow$ 6.50 (-9) – Should have a future over hurdles.
- Kranjcar (HAM 2:25): 2.63 $\rightarrow$ 3.75 (-8) – Spotlight NAP.
- Eternal Sunshine (HAM 4:10): 3.00 $\rightarrow$ 4.50 (-8) – Second choice in Spotlight.
- Silky Robin (SOU 8:30): 6.00 $\rightarrow$ 10.00 (-8)
Non-Runners & Reshaped Races
Total Confirmed Non-Runners: 27
| Course | Race Time | Horse (Impact) |
|---|---|---|
| BRIGHTON | 3:55 | Marsh Benham (IRE) |
| 4:30 | Potters Marmite (Loss reduces field to 7). | |
| 5:05 | Callout (IRE), Hot Shot Lawyer (IRE), Mighty Real, Professor Tickle (Loss of 4 runners drastically reshapes this Class 6 handicap, removing a C&D winner (Callout) and a high-profile danger (Mighty Real)). | |
| DOWN ROYAL | 2:04 | Bay Of Supremacy (IRE) (Key form horse/Naas winner NR), Elza Diva (IRE), Spicetown (IRE). |
| 2:39 | Riviera Queen (IRE) (Reduces field to 9). | |
| 4:24 | Brains (IRE), Sunday Sovereign. | |
| 4:55 | Bella Mistiko (IRE), Pretty Soldier (GER), Prom Queen (IRE). | |
| 5:25 | Gotta Catchem All (IRE), Morse (IRE) (Loss of key Spotlight selection Morse), Qamari (IRE), Zuzukel (FR). | |
| HAMILTON | 4:45 | Dandy Dinmont (IRE). |
| 5:20 | Elizabeths Legacy. | |
| NEWTON ABBOT | 4:16 | Road Senam (FR) (Field reduced to 4). |
| ROSCOMMON | 1:40 | Black Gem (IRE), Flash The Badge (IRE), Lets Go Mans (FR), Susie Lenglen (IRE). |
| 2:15 | Moulane West (IRE), Shannon Bank (IRE), Teds Corner (IRE). | |
| 2:50 | Hercrazysbeautiful (IRE), Little Ivy (IRE), Thirsty Work. | |
| 3:25 | Head For Home (IRE), Mags Collins (IRE), Sineads Fancy (IRE). | |
| 4:00 | Dorans Law (IRE) (Reduces field to 10). | |
| SOUTHWELL | 5:30 | Hot And Cold. |
| 6:00 | Brakeman (Removes a Spotlight second choice selection). |
Trainer & Jockey Insights
Hot Trainers (14-Day Strike Rate):
- High volume, high strike rate UK trainers include K P De Foy (80% 5-25) at Brighton/Southwell, M Tregoning (80% 7-30) at Brighton, J Ferguson (82% 16-71) at Southwell, and J Parr (83% 7-56) at Southwell.
- Irish jump trainers P Nicholls (100% 59-196) and A Honeyball (100% 13-56) have runners in the Newton Abbot 1:56 Chase.
- High strike rate Irish Flat yards include J Fahey (67% 1-15) and A Oliver (75% 4-52) at Down Royal.
- Darryll Holland (100% 4-58) has Grace Angel (SOU 7.00, NAP selection).
Key Jockey Bookings on Movers/Tips:
- Colin Keane is aboard the heavily backed Diego El Queso (DR 3.49) and the tipped Port Louis (DR 4.24).
- Rossa Ryan rides the strongly backed shortener Big Win (SOU 5.00) and Rose Of Honour (SOU 6.00).
- Paul Townend rides the Spotlight selection Rakki (ROS 1.40, shortener) and the favourite Westport Cove (ROS 4.35).
- Oisin Murphy rides debutante Art Gallery (SOU 5.30, shortener) and My Ambition (SOU 7.30).
- Dylan Browne McMonagle takes the ride on the backing My Vonnie (DR 4.55).
Key Briefing Notes
- Roscommon Grade 3 Match: The Ballymore Grp Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (4:35) is expected to be a direct match between King Of Kingsfield and the favourite, Westport Cove. King Of Kingsfield is preferred, despite a weight disadvantage (conceding 4lb), owing to his quality form over hurdles and upward trajectory over fences.
- Newton Abbot Handicap Exploit: The veteran Enjoy D’Allen (NA 3.41) is highlighted as the top choice, returning from a break to exploit a much-reduced hurdle mark. He is selected to defeat the highly consistent Tropical Speed (who is drifting in the market).
- Southwell Market Volatility: Monitor the significant market divergence in the 5:00 Handicap. The form pick Spectacular Style (-14 points drift) is losing heavy support, while the highly-rated newcomer to handicaps Big Win (+14 points shortener) is receiving substantial backing.
- Brighton Course Specialist Angle: The Brighton 3.55 Handicap is crucial for course form study, featuring multi-time track winners Uncle Dick (strongly backed, +9 points), Darvel, and Oj Lifestyle.
- Down Royal Handicap Dynamics: The Down Royal 2:04 Nursery is tactically altered by the removal of key Naas winner Bay Of Supremacy. In the 2:39 Fillies Hcap, back the tipped Billie Frechette to overturn form on significantly better terms (12lb better off) against Alba Chiara.
- Pace Scenario/Front-Runners: Look to front-runners like Centara (NA 1.56) and Stans The Man (NA 4.16) who could dominate small fields on Good ground. On Soft ground at Hamilton, Kranjcar (HAM 2.25, seeking 5th win) remains the clear NAP despite drifting slightly.
- AW Handicap Debutant Watch: Henry De Bromhead’s Quantum Quest (ROS 4.00) is one to watch on his handicap debut over 3m, having succeeded stepping up in trip LTO. Conversely, Asian Journey (HAM 3.00) is given a tentative selection on soft ground for his second handicap outing, despite disappointing previously.
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