WOLVERHAMPTON: This analysis works through the Wolverhampton races in chronological order, using the TimeWise Master rating (Total) where available to identify the top two horses.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Typeface (Total: 242)
  2. Celebrating Ethel (IRE) (Total: 214)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Typeface (3yo): This low-mileage 3yo has form figures of 112 since wearing a tongue-tie, all achieved over 1m on turf. He is expected to stay the longer trip (1m1½f) and may still be capable of further progress.
  • Celebrating Ethel (IRE) (6yo): She recorded her sole win for her current yard in a turf classified event in August. However, the balance of her recent handicap form indicates she has ground to make up.

Spotlight Verdict:
“With the tongue-tie retained, TYPEFACE is preferred with further improvement still plausible. Bobby Dassler, who has possibilities back down in trip, is second choice ahead of Fighting Queen.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2-1-10; 4yo+ 0-3-13.
  • Fate of Favourites: 20.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): I Williams 0-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Typeface:
    • Strengths: Possesses good recent form (112). He is low-mileage and likely has untapped potential. The tongue-tie (t) is retained.
    • Weaknesses: His best recent form is on turf, and he is trying a synthetic surface over a slightly longer trip.
    • Suitability: Expected to stay the 1m1½f trip.
  • Celebrating Ethel (IRE):
    • Strengths: Has a recent win in a classified turf event.
    • Weaknesses: Recent handicap form suggests she is up against it here. She is rated 28 points lower than Typeface.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
Note: Due to truncation in the source data, the highest TimeWise total ratings for this race are unavailable. The following horses are listed first in the race information by OR/assumed rank:

  1. Shetakesthegold (OR 55)
  2. Coul Jane (OR 55)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Shetakesthegold (2yo): Her overall record is 1-9, but she achieved her win over 6f on turf off her current handicap mark. She should be competitive if she takes well to the first-time headgear (p1).
  • Coul Jane (2yo): She finished a modest fifth in a similar C&D event recently. Her best performance to date came in a seller on turf.

Spotlight Verdict:
“A fillies’ handicap in all but name. The shortlist is headed by SHARPNESS and Oh So Perfect who both look open to improvement at this level. No Claims Bonus is respected assuming her wide draw doesn’t prove a hindrance, while Resdev Kisses ties in with that rival.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo are eligible for this Nursery race.
  • Trainer Records (Going W-R): R Hannon 8-44.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Shetakesthegold:
    • Strengths: Proven ability to win off this OR. The addition of first-time headgear (p1) may spark improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Requires an improvement in her turf form (1-9 record) to be dominant on the AW.
    • Suitability: AW debut implied since her win was on turf.
  • Coul Jane:
    • Strengths: Runs off a competitive mark (OR 55).
    • Weaknesses: Recent form is modest (fifth over C&D); her best efforts have been elsewhere (turf seller).

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Woody Y Fernandez (Total: 226)
  2. Miss Ayala (IRE) (Total: 217)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Woody Y Fernandez (2yo): This horse has been consistently competitive in nurseries over 6f, most recently achieving a close second at Newcastle. He enters the race with added cheekpieces (tp1).
  • Miss Ayala (IRE) (2yo): She recently secured her first win with a strong front-running performance in a 7f Chelmsford nursery. She has the potential to build on this success.

Spotlight Verdict:
“With headgear fitted, THANH NAM could well take another step forward and reverse Chelmsford placings with Miss Ayala (second choice) and Molly Mac who are respected all the same. The form of that race has received a couple of boosts since. Woody Y Fernandez, whose turn seems near, completes the shortlist.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo are eligible for this Nursery race.
  • Trainer Records (Going W-R): J Candlish 3-16.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Woody Y Fernandez:
    • Strengths: Consistent form (knocking at the door for a win). Trainer J Candlish has a high recent run-to-form percentage (75%).
    • Weaknesses: Needs to prove he stays the 7f trip. Competing with new headgear (tp1).
  • Miss Ayala (IRE):
    • Strengths: Recent winner at this distance (7f) using a solid front-running style. She is capable of further progress.
    • Weaknesses: Her chance relies on the widest draw not proving problematic.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Hvar (Total: 241)
  2. Nala’s Dream (IRE) (Total: 232)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Hvar (2yo): He was last of five at Ascot and fourth of six at Haydock in his only two 6f runs. Despite this, he represents a major stable and is considered capable of improvement.
  • Nala’s Dream (IRE) (2yo):Going W-R):** R Beckett 8-44; R Fahey 2-53.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Hvar:
    • Strengths: Represents a major stable; likely capable of much better than his exposed form suggests.
    • Weaknesses: Has shown modest form in his two career starts (last and fourth).
  • Nala’s Dream (IRE):
    • Strengths: Solid recent form including a good run at 6f. Her pedigree suggests suitability for AW, as her dam was an AW winner.
    • Weaknesses: She is still a maiden.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
Note: Due to severe truncation in the source data, only the top-rated horse’s total is reliably available. The following horses are ranked based on available TimeWise total and Spotlight context:

  1. Good Earth (IRE) (Total: 235)
  2. Fletchers Dream (Spotlight second choice)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Good Earth (IRE) (8yo): Prolific on turf, but his AW record is weak (1-27). He still retains ability, shown by a recent second at Sandown on turf. He runs 16lb lower than for his last AW run.
  • Fletchers Dream (4yo): He has two wins this season, including a comfortable success at Newcastle 16 days ago. A 2lb penalty rise is considered fair, although he benefited from a clear run while rivals were hampered. He is “more appealing than many”.

Spotlight Verdict:
“Good Earth retains enough ability to command serious respect off his lowly AW mark, while Sioux Warrior will appreciate the return to Class 6 company and Fletchers Dream (second choice) still looks feasibly weighted. However, HASIYNA (nap) may well find this more suitable than some of the competitive sprint handicaps she has been tackling in Ireland though and she gets the nod.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2-1-6; 4yo+ 0-3-14.
  • Fate of Favourites: 12.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Mark Usher 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Good Earth (IRE):
    • Strengths: Running off a low AW mark (16lb lower than previously) and retains ability. Strong turf record.
    • Weaknesses: Poor historical AW record (1-27). Drawn wide.
  • Fletchers Dream:
    • Strengths: In winning form and is rated feasibly off a 2lb rise.
    • Weaknesses: His last win was aided by traffic issues experienced by rivals.
    • Suitability: AW surface appears suitable based on Newcastle win.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Lucky Man (IRE) (Total: 234)
  2. Ever Driven (IRE) (Total: 229)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Lucky Man (IRE) (6yo): He has dropped 15lb since January. He is a Tapeta winner elsewhere. He showed a “glimmer of a revival” with late headway at Southwell recently. He wears a visor, replacing cheekpieces (v).
  • Ever Driven (IRE) (4yo): He recently won over 7f at Lingfield.
    • Weaknesses: His form is highly inconsistent, making prediction difficult.

Spotlight Verdict:
“Formerly a high-flying trainer in South Africa, Joey Ramsden sends out Imola from his new base and although still a maiden who lacks a recent run she is a very interesting candidate despite the high draw. Ever Driven has to be respected after his Lingfield win over 7f but LUCKY MAN is taken to build on the recent glimmer of a revival at Southwell.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2-1-6; 4yo+ 0-3-14.
  • Fate of Favourites: 12.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed for this specific race.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Lucky Man (IRE):
    • Strengths: Well-handicapped, dropping 15lb since January. Showed recent improvement. Has won on Tapeta.
    • Weaknesses: Has had a slow year.
  • Ever Driven (IRE):
    • Strengths: Recent 7f winner. Respected by the Spotlight.
    • Weaknesses: Highly inconsistent form makes him risky.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Schemaya (IRE) (Total: 246)
  2. Curran (IRE) (Total: 232)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Schemaya (IRE) (3yo): No detailed Spotlight comments are provided for Schemaya, other than numerical data.
  • Curran (IRE) (4yo): He is a reliable performer who gives his running frequently. He is expected to be given every chance from near the front. He runs today with cheekpieces (p1) fitted.

Spotlight Verdict:
“None of these are overly convincing. CURRAN gives his running more often than not and looks sure to be given every chance from near the front, especially should the cheekpieces offer something. Kintbury doesn’t look that well handicapped but a repeat of her penultimate effort would see her thereabouts. Appier is as frustrating as he is capable.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 3yo 0-0-2; 4yo+ 1-1-5.
  • Trainer Records: None listed for this specific race.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Schemaya (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest rated by TimeWise Master (246).
    • Weaknesses: Lack of descriptive form comment makes detailed assessment difficult.
  • Curran (IRE):
    • Strengths: Consistent runner, expected to race prominently. Cheekpieces (p1) could provide a boost.
    • Weaknesses: The field is generally considered unconvincing.
    • Suitability: Expected to be raced near the front.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Street Life (Total: 206)
  2. Outer Edge (Total: 202)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Street Life (8yo): A multiple AW and C&D winner. He has been edging down the weights after quiet summer runs. He runs with cheekpieces (p).
  • Outer Edge (4yo): He won over C&D off 1lb lower in April. He should be sharper for his last run, which followed an 11-week break. His usual cheekpieces (p) return after being tried in a visor last time.

Spotlight Verdict:
“Outer Edge can leave his last run behind him but Henery Hawk and BASHOLO may the two to focus on. The selection, who won four times over C&D last year, should be sharper for her recent return to action and is on a competitive mark.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records: None are explicitly detailed in the provided sources for this specific race.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Street Life:
    • Strengths: Strong course and distance record (multiple winner). Dropping down the weights.
    • Weaknesses: Others are preferred by the Spotlight selection.
  • Outer Edge:
    • Strengths: Recent C&D winner off a similar mark. Expected to be sharper for his recent outing and benefits from returning to usual headgear.
    • Weaknesses: Last performance (eighth over C&D) was poor.

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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
Note: The numerical ratings table for this race is incomplete. The following relies on OR rank from the Raceform data:

  1. Claxton Bay (OR 60)
  2. Wyvern (OR 57)

Summary of Recent Form and Comments:

  • Claxton Bay (4yo): Although an infrequent winner, he is considered well treated on his best efforts this year.
    • Weaknesses: His last run, two weeks ago on return from a summer break, was poor, and he must significantly improve upon it.
  • Wyvern (6yo): He placed in consecutive C&D runs in April.
    • Weaknesses: Has been absent since a disappointing run in May. His history suggests he often needs a run after a break.

Spotlight Verdict:
“Few of these come here in much form and a last-time-out win means River Wharfe has to come into the reckoning. Lhebayeb would be a danger if on a good day but ENZOS ANGEL‘s recent run should have blown away any cobwebs and he is tentatively preferred.”

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 4yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records: None are explicitly detailed in the provided sources for this specific race.

Assessment of the Top Two:

  • Claxton Bay:
    • Strengths: Running off a potentially favourable mark based on previous efforts this year.
    • Weaknesses: His latest performance was very poor following a break.
  • Wyvern:
    • Strengths: Proven ability to perform well over C&D (placed in April).
    • Weaknesses: Likely needs a run back following a five-month absence.

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