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Goodwood Race Analysis (12/10/2025)

Race 1: 13:52 Goodwood (2m Class 4 Alderbrook Handicap)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Marble Sands (FR)	286.4282
2. Yellow Star (FR)	272.6665

Recent Form and Comments

• Marble Sands (FR) (9yo): All four runs under Flat rules have been on AW. He achieved a good second over 2m on his Flat handicap debut last time in February. His only run since was a heavy defeat in a valuable handicap hurdle in April. He has six jumps wins. His raceform figures are 669-2.
• Yellow Star (FR) (5yo): Ran creditably over hurdles on this day last year after a layoff. He has not been seen this time around since a fall in January. His only four Flat races (where he showed fair form on the first two occasions) were in 2023. This is his first Flat run with headgear (cheekpieces, implied by ‘p’).

Spotlight Verdict
This is not an easy field to weigh up, including in some instances for fitness levels or stamina, but MERRIJIG is a proven stayer who’s been in reasonable form recently, so he gets the vote. Harlington and Sanitiser (one of four runners in this for the Moore stable) were narrowly denied over 1m5f at Bath 12 days ago and perhaps the placings will be reversed over this trip, which is new to both of them. Spiced Rum, though, may pose the chief threat.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 4 Handicap over 2m.

• Age Groups: The race is open to 3yo+. No explicit age group breakdown stats are provided for this race.
• Fate of Favourites: No specific statistics provided for the fate of favourites in this race.
• Trainer Records: Gary & Josh Moore have a W-PL-R record of 0-2-4, and Hughie Morrison has a record of 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Marble Sands (FR):
  • Strengths: Posted a good second on his Flat handicap debut (on AW). He has six jumps wins to his name.
  • Weaknesses: Absent from the Flat since February. He may be more interested when running back over jumps.
  • Suitability: Turf form is untested in the sources; his most recent Flat form was on AW.
• Yellow Star (FR):
  • Strengths: Ran creditably last year on this corresponding date over hurdles. First time running on the Flat with headgear (cheekpieces).
  • Weaknesses: Has not run since falling in January. His Flat form dates back to 2023.
  • Suitability: The trip will suit; however, fitness after a significant layoff (261 days) is a query.

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Race 2: 14:27 Goodwood (6f Class 4 Virgin Bet / British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Sing The Blues (IRE)	242.2283
2. Obsidian Verse	204.7109

Recent Form and Comments

• Sing The Blues (IRE) (2yo): Third on debut at Yarmouth (7f, good) in July. She was an underwhelming favourite 15 days later at Newbury (6f, good to firm). She has had a break since. Her raceform figures are 35. Days since ran: 86.
• Obsidian Verse (2yo): Improved greatly on his August debut (6f, good to soft) when finishing fourth of eight, beaten about 5l, at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) last month. He needs another step forward today. His trainer has had exceptional success with his family. His raceform figures are 84. Days since ran: 26.

Spotlight Verdict
The filly SING THE BLUES has had a break since being an unplaced favourite at Newbury in July on her second start and is taken to get back on track with a win. Mollstar is the first foal of connections’ very useful 6f/7f winner Molls Memory and this newcomer is feared most, ahead of Obsidian Verse.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 4 Novice Stakes over 6f.

• Age Groups: All runners are 2yo. No explicit age group breakdown stats are provided for this race.
• Fate of Favourites: 1131111 (indicating strong historical performance for favourites).
• Trainer Records: Eve Johnson Houghton 0-1-3, Richard Hannon 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Sing The Blues (IRE):
  • Strengths: The highest-rated horse in the field. Holds leading claims for her top yard (W. Haggas) if she can regain her debut promise. Has benefited from a break.
  • Weaknesses: Disappointing as favourite on her second start.
  • Suitability: Has shown form on both 6f and 7f.
• Obsidian Verse:
  • Strengths: Showed potential improvement last time and comes from a successful family connection for the trainer.
  • Weaknesses: Needs another step up in form to challenge for the win.
  • Suitability: Seems comfortable at 6f on good to soft ground.

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Race 3: 15:02 Goodwood (7f Class 4 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Swift Winds (IRE)	279.3004
2. Lucky Hero (IRE)	275.8266

Recent Form and Comments

• Swift Winds (IRE) (2yo): Won at Brighton (7f, good to firm) on his second start in August. He subsequently went close in a competitive novice here (1m, good to firm). He finished fourth of seven in a Newmarket nursery (7f, good to firm) a fortnight ago, bouncing back from a heavy Group 2 defeat. His raceform figures are 954. Days since ran: 15.
• Lucky Hero (IRE) (2yo): He is 0-6 but has run very well in all three nurseries contested (7f/6f, good to firm-soft). Most recently, he was a close third of eight at Pontefract wearing a first-time visor (retained). There is every likelihood he will be in the mix again. His raceform figures are 911457. Days since ran: 17.

Spotlight Verdict
Lots went wrong for CRAZEE ICON (nap) on her nursery debut at Chester three weeks ago but she was beaten just a short head and can go one better today. Amazing Journey is another who hasn’t been enjoying much luck but perhaps the main threat will come from Authentic Charm, for whom the step up in trip could be a positive on his first nursery start. Epsom runner-up Balthamos is another to consider.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 4 Handicap Nursery over 7f.

• Age Groups: All runners are 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 055135354 (indicating mixed results for favourites).
• Trainer Records: Rod Millman 0-2-3 (W-PL-R).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Swift Winds (IRE):
  • Strengths: Proven winner at the 7f trip. Demonstrated ability over 1m in a warm novice. Recent form is solid after dropping back to nursery class.
  • Weaknesses: Did suffer a heavy Group 2 defeat, suggesting limitations at that level.
  • Suitability: Fine with 7f trip and good to firm ground.
• Lucky Hero (IRE):
  • Strengths: Very consistent in nursery company on various ground types (good to firm-soft). Expected to feature strongly.
  • Weaknesses: Yet to win a race (0-6 record).
  • Suitability: Versatile regarding ground and trip (6f/7f).

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Race 4: 15:37 Goodwood (6f Class 3 Virgin Bet Handicap)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Aberama Gold	359.6841
2. Righthere Rightnow (FR)	302.155

Recent Form and Comments

• Aberama Gold (8yo): Has secured three 6f wins this summer (on good to firm/AW). He has run very well on his last two outings in defeat, finishing fourth of 25 in the Ayr Silver Cup (6f, soft) and third of 14 at Nottingham (6f, good to soft). He is considered a key player. His raceform figures are 411743. Days since ran: 10.
• Righthere Rightnow (FR) (3yo): He is 0-6 since his impressive debut win at Newmarket (7f, good) last August. He performed well when finishing fifth of 25 in the Ayr Silver Cup (6f, soft) three weeks ago. There is every chance he will be in the mix. His raceform figures are 60755. Days since ran: 22.

Spotlight Verdict
The 3yo WHEELS OF FIRE has not had much luck on his two starts since winning at Windsor last month and earns the vote ahead of the in-form veteran Aberama Gold. Thunder Blue also arrives in good heart and is next on the list.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 3 Handicap over 6f.

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-3-16, 4yo+ 7-14-86 (W-PL-R).
• Fate of Favourites: 046202123 (mixed results for favourites).
• Trainer Records: Richard Hannon 1-1-4, Jamie Osborne 0-2-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Aberama Gold:
  • Strengths: In great form this summer with recent competitive placings, including in the Ayr Silver Cup. Proven over 6f and versatile regarding ground conditions.
  • Weaknesses: Running off a potentially high rating.
  • Suitability: Strong contender at this trip.
• Righthere Rightnow (FR):
  • Strengths: Showed good form recently in a major contest (Ayr Silver Cup). Expected to be highly competitive.
  • Weaknesses: Has not won since his debut over a year ago.
  • Suitability: Effective at 6f/7f and on soft ground.

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Race 5: 16:12 Goodwood (1m1f Class 4 Virgin Bet EBF Novice Stakes)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Poseidon’s Warrior (IRE)	299.3977
2. Edwin Hubble (IRE)	257.6069

Recent Form and Comments

• Poseidon’s Warrior (IRE) (2yo): On his debut at Haydock (1m, good to soft) 15 days ago, he was awkward from the outside stall but kept on for second place, finishing just ahead of Edwin Hubble, despite hanging left. He should be open to plenty of improvement, and that run represents the best form in the field. His raceform figure is 2. Days since ran: 15.
• Edwin Hubble (IRE) (2yo): Has run three times, with his best performance being a third place at Haydock when upped to 1m (good to soft) most recently. He helped set the running pace that day. He is bred to stay further, suggesting he should be seriously involved. His raceform figures are 733. Days since ran: 15.

Spotlight Verdict
Roker Roar is a newcomer to check out but three of the others have already shown plenty of ability. Edwin Hubble should be suited by the extra distance but POSEIDON’S WARRIOR, who beat him by a length and a quarter at Haydock, could be open to plenty of improvement if he’s more streetwise with that debut run under his belt. Ranga Tang could also improve to be a serious player but he is third on the list.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 4 Novice Stakes over 1m 1f 11y.

• Age Groups: All runners are 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 1422111 (indicating strong favouritism success).
• Trainer Records: Charlie Appleby 2-0-2, Andrew Balding 1-0-5.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Poseidon’s Warrior (IRE):
  • Strengths: Holds the best observed form in the field from his debut. Expected to improve significantly with experience. Highly expensive yearling purchase by Sea The Stars.
  • Weaknesses: Awkward handling and hung left on debut.
  • Suitability: Likely to relish the step up to 1m1f.
• Edwin Hubble (IRE):
  • Strengths: Improving with each start. Bred to stay and the extra distance should suit him.
  • Weaknesses: Finished behind Poseidon’s Warrior on their sole meeting.
  • Suitability: Should be suited by the increased distance.

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Race 6: 16:47 Goodwood (1m Class 2 Inkerman London Handicap)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Cerulean Bay (IRE)	371.5913
2. Back In Black (IRE)	354.975

Recent Form and Comments

• Cerulean Bay (IRE) (4yo): He was runner-up twice (1m, good to firm) before winning over C&D (good to soft) last month, beating Alpha Crucis. He is back up to a career-high handicap mark but is currently at the top of his game. His raceform figures are 070221. Days since ran: 18.
• Back In Black (IRE) (3yo): Won in fine style on reappearance at Newbury (7f, good) in April. He built upon a run here in August by finishing a close third of 16 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) last month, staying on well. The step up to 1m is expected to suit him well. His raceform figures are 042. Days since ran: 28.

Spotlight Verdict
The unexposed 3yo BACK IN BLACK was third of 16 over 7f at Doncaster last time, shaping as though he could relish this first crack at 1m. He’s the selection ahead of Principality, who has the makings of a course specialist. Cerulean Bay looked better than ever when winning over C&D last time, while Alpha Crucis has an excellent record here but could do with slow ground.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 2 Handicap over 1m.

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-8, 4yo+ 1-2-6 (W-PL-R).
• Fate of Favourites: 41 (only two historical results listed).
• Trainer Records: Gary & Josh Moore 1-0-1, David O’Meara 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Cerulean Bay (IRE):
  • Strengths: Course and Distance (C&D) winner who is in peak form. Has proven ability on good to soft ground.
  • Weaknesses: Running off a career-high mark.
  • Suitability: Excellent C&D form suggests a big performance is likely.
• Back In Black (IRE):
  • Strengths: Strong finish last time strongly suggests the 1m trip will suit. Unexposed 3yo with proven winning form. Selected by the Spotlight analyst.
  • Weaknesses: This is his first attempt at 1m.
  • Suitability: Handles good ground well.

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Race 7: 17:22 Goodwood (1m2f Class 4 Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Fillies Handicap)

Horse Name	TimeWise Master Rating
1. Just Keep Flying (USA)	337.3538
2. Day Of Grace (IRE)	289.4762

Recent Form and Comments

• Just Keep Flying (USA) (3yo): Won on debut over C&D (good to firm) in August. She finished second in a Kempton novice (1m4f, AW) last month. This $260,000 filly is in top hands (Gosden) and is expected to benefit from dropping back in trip on her handicap debut. Her raceform figures are 12. Days since ran: 39.
• Day Of Grace (IRE) (3yo): Showed improvement to win by 2l on her handicap debut at Thirsk (1m, soft) last month. She finished powerfully, suggesting she can handle a 6lb rise and the step up in trip (1m2f). Her raceform figures are 7341. Days since ran: 27.

Spotlight Verdict
The unexposed 3yo Day Of Grace is a tempting option up in trip having powered to victory over 1m on her handicap debut at Thirsk, but this could go to course specialist PINK LILY. Her last three handicap assignments at Goodwood have yielded victory and she was understandably outclassed in a C&D Listed race last time. Gosden representative Just Keep Flying brings potential to her handicap debut.

Race Statistics
The race is a Class 4 Fillies’ Handicap over 1m 1f 197y (1m2f).

• Age Groups: The race is open to 3yo+ fillies & mares. No explicit age group breakdown stats are provided for this race.
• Fate of Favourites: No specific statistics provided for the fate of favourites in this race.
• Trainer Records: No specific statistics provided for trainers in this race.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

• Just Keep Flying (USA):
  • Strengths: C&D winner on debut. Backed up debut with a strong second on AW over 1m4f. Looks well-placed for a handicap debut dropping slightly in distance.
  • Weaknesses: Handicap mark untested.
  • Suitability: Proven winner over C&D on good to firm ground.
• Day Of Grace (IRE):
  • Strengths: Won powerfully on handicap debut over 1m. Unexposed and expected to handle the 6lb rise and increased distance.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to prove full suitability for the 1m2f trip.
  • Suitability: Handles soft ground well (won at Thirsk on soft).