2.05 Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden

(Class 4, 7f 111y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Harry Longabaugh (IRE) (3)	238
2	Millraceflow (IRE) (3)	237

Recent Form and Comments:

• Harry Longabaugh (IRE): Made his debut 15 days ago at the Curragh (6f, yld-sft) where he was 25-1 and raced keenly, finishing beaten by 10.5 lengths. He will need to settle better as he steps up in trip.
• Millraceflow (IRE): Has achieved similar Racing Post Ratings (RPRs) in 7f maidens contested on good-yielding and yielding ground at Gowran and Down Royal. He is noted as having a place chance if he proves capable of handling the softer ground expected here.

Spotlight Verdict:
This won’t take much winning. Teffian Warrior would have a chance on his Galway fifth but he struggled on heavy ground last time out so GALLEY POINT is readily preferred after his much-improved effort on his second start at Killarney. Millraceflow could prove to be the biggest danger.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Information not available in sources.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.
• Trainer Records: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Harry Longabaugh (IRE): Strength: Tops the TimeWise Master rating. Weakness: Raced keenly on debut. Suitability: Needs to prove he handles the step up in trip and settle better to feature.
• Millraceflow (IRE): Strength: Consistent RPRs in recent maidens, and is highlighted by the Spotlight as potentially the biggest danger. Weakness: His form has been on slightly quicker ground (good-yielding/yielding), so his ability on heavy ground is untested.

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2.35 Guinness Handicap

(Class 5, 7f 111y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Earls (IRE) (8)	292
2 (Tied)	Counterculture (4)	266

Recent Form and Comments:

• Earls (IRE): Secured his third win around Roscommon last month when racing off a 6lb lower mark. He struggled following a revised rating at Listowel but bounced back on his most recent run at the Curragh. Although soft ground suits, he needs a little more to win off his current mark.
• Counterculture: A C&D maiden winner on heavy ground. She ran 1.5 lengths behind Earls here last month to finish second off the same mark she carries today. Her run at the Curragh latest was noted as not bad. She wears a first-time visor (v1) in the hope it will extract further improvement.

Spotlight Verdict:
Killarney winner Spanish Temptress is up in grade but should go well again off her revised mark. Earls has to have a place chance given his track record and Fast Tara also holds solid claims but preference is for the C&D winner COUNTERCULTURE. She was runner up behind Earls here last month and she may be able to turn the tables if the first-time visor ekes out a bit more. Last year’s runner up Mercurial would be a big danger if getting a run.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-5, 4yo+ 1-1-7.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ms Joanna Morgan 1-0-1, John J Nallen 0-1-1.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Earls (IRE): Strength: Proven ability on soft ground and holds a strong track record, having won three times at Roscommon. Weakness: Rated 6lb higher than his last course win, suggesting the current mark is competitive.
• Counterculture: Strength: Proven winner on heavy ground over C&D. Ran a very good second to the top-rated Earls off this very mark recently. The addition of a first-time visor suggests connections expect further improvement. Suitability: Excellent for C&D and heavy ground.

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3.05 Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (0-60)

(Class 4, 7f 111y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1 (Tied)	Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (5)	230
1 (Tied)	La Tulipe Noire (IRE) (5)	230

Recent Form and Comments:

• Nibras Rainbow (IRE): Has been threatening a breakthrough win for his current yard. Most recently at Bellewstown (1m, soft) 12 days ago, he pulled clear of the third and likely would have won in another stride or two. He rates to have every chance off a 3lb higher mark.
• La Tulipe Noire (IRE): Achieved her first turf win recently at Cork (1m, yielding) in a game performance. She is 6lb higher today, and connections are not certain she can reproduce her winning form.

Spotlight Verdict:
The 5yo NIBRAS RAINBOW goes well in the mud and he would have won in another stride or two at Bellewstown. Manhattan Dandy should run well again but he does find winning difficult so second preference goes to Racing Royalty who had a wide trip at Listowel.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-4, 4yo+ 0-1-11.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.
• Trainer Records: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Nibras Rainbow (IRE): Strength: In excellent form, demonstrating he is capable of winning off this mark or higher based on his narrow defeat recently. Explicitly mentioned as going well in the mud. Weakness: None stated, highly regarded by the Spotlight.
• La Tulipe Noire (IRE): Strength: Recent turf winner. Weakness: The increase in weight (6lb higher) and doubts about reproducing recent form are concerns. Suitability: Her recent win was on yielding ground, heavier ground might pose a challenge.

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3.35 Garys Gardening Services Maiden

(Class 5, 1m 2f 95y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Moon Reign (3)	285
2	Down To Business (3)	276

Recent Form and Comments:

• Moon Reign: Was only beaten a length at Galway (1m, good to yielding). However, he seemed to flounder when running fifth on the heavy ground at Listowel.
• Down To Business: This is only his fourth race. He showed promising improvement when keeping on for third in a Curragh maiden (1m2f, yielding to soft) behind a useful runner. He holds solid claims in this type of maiden. He wears first-time cheekpieces.

Spotlight Verdict:
Mocking has the best flashes of form but he is now 0-9 and the suggestion is DOWN TO BUSINESS who showed improvement behind one of Mocking’s stablemates at the Curragh. McLoughlin ran a lot better in the new cheekpieces at Bellewstown and he has to enter the reckoning as well.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-5, 4yo+ 1-0-1.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gavin Cromwell 0-1-1.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Moon Reign: Strength: High potential shown in quicker conditions. Weakness/Suitability: Testing conditions are a major concern, as he previously struggled on heavy ground.
• Down To Business: Strength: Showing progressive form and has solid claims in a maiden context. The addition of cheekpieces may spur further improvement. Suitability: His best recent form was on yielding to soft ground, suggesting heavy ground should be manageable. He is the preference of the Spotlight.

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4.05 Roscommon Rated Race

(Class 5, 1m 2f 95y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Glenroyal (IRE) (3)	273
2	Refreshment (IRE) (3)	258

Recent Form and Comments:

• Glenroyal (IRE): This colt has shown consistent progression in handicaps, winning two of his last three races, including his latest by a neck off a rating of 77 at Down Royal (1m5f, yielding). He is rated 85 and has previously won on soft ground.
• Refreshment (IRE): A 79-rated gelding who won twice in June over 1m on nice ground. His last run was a midfield effort on soft to heavy ground at the Curragh (1m). He is hinting that this longer trip might suit, though it is not ideal based on his breeding.

Spotlight Verdict:
With testing ground a worry for Local Lad and the trip an unknown for Refreshment, this looks an excellent opportunity for GLENROYAL (nap) to notch up a third career victory.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Information not available in sources.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.
• Trainer Records: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Glenroyal (IRE): Strength: Excellent recent form, winning multiple times. Has won on soft ground. Suitability: The Spotlight considers him an excellent opportunity (NAP) and believes he can handle the drop in trip.
• Refreshment (IRE): Strength: Dual winner in June. Weakness: Best performances were on “nice ground”. The 1m 2½f trip is an unknown and a concern for the Spotlight.

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4.35 On-Course Vets Handicap

(Class 5, 1m 4f 46y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Gotta Catchem All (IRE) (5)	281
2 (Tied)	Coul Dreamer (IRE) (4)	268

Recent Form and Comments:

• Gotta Catchem All (IRE): Although still a maiden, he has been highly competitive, finishing “bang there” in his last three handicaps (1m2f to 1m4f). He demonstrated he can cope with soft ground recently. His mark continues to rise, but he is still expected to run well.
• Coul Dreamer (IRE): A useful hurdler who showed promise on the Flat when running second in a 1m1f maiden at Clonmel (yielding to soft). This performance yielded an encouraging RPR relative to this handicap mark, and he is expected to stay this distance.

Spotlight Verdict:
A few with chances. EHTEYAT did have the run of things up front at Listowel but he absolutely waltzed home and testing ground could be the key to him. Duke Of Leggagh and Gotta Catch’em All have solid chances, while useful hurdler Coul Dreamer could be on a fair mark for this handicap debut on the Flat.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-4, 4yo+ 0-1-5.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gavin Cromwell 0-1-1.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Gotta Catchem All (IRE): Strength: Highly consistent recently and proved capable on soft ground. Weakness: Still chasing his first win and his handicap mark is increasing.
• Coul Dreamer (IRE): Strength: Useful hurdling background suggests ability. Strong RPR from a maiden performance indicates a fair Flat handicap mark. Expected to stay the trip. Suitability: Ran well on yielding to soft ground.

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5.05 Thank You For Your Support Handicap (0-60)

(Class 6, 1m 4f 46y, Heavy)

Rank	Horse (Age)	TimeWise Master Total
1	Chopsticks (IRE) (5)	254
2	Forlio (6)	238

Recent Form and Comments:

• Chopsticks (IRE): A consistent performer, though his strike rate is low (1-21). Had a solid run recently at Dundalk, but he is 9lb above his only win. Testing ground is a major concern for this horse.
• Forlio: Won emphatically at Navan (1m2f, yielding) only five days ago under Colin Keane. He is carrying a 7lb penalty but is effectively 5lb ahead of the handicapper. He has previously run well over C&D on heavy ground off higher marks and is considered a big chance.

Spotlight Verdict:
Plenty of these have claims. Emphatic Navan winner Forlio is ahead of the handicapper and can go well again, as can the ready Bellewstown scorer Idomything. Nancee Spain and Dont Do Dramas also have claims but a chance is taken on the unexposed 3yo ROYAL BELIEF who shaped like this test would suit on his handicap debut at Listowel.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-5, 4yo+ 1-1-11.
• Fate of Favourites: Information not available in sources.
• Trainer Records: Information not available in sources.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Chopsticks (IRE): Strength: Generally consistent. Weakness: 9lb above his single win mark. Critically, the heavy ground is a big concern.
• Forlio: Strength: Recent winner and running effectively ahead of his new handicap mark. Excellent previous form over C&D on heavy ground. Suitability: Highly suitable for the conditions and trip. He is strongly favoured by his current lenient weight allocation post-penalty.