TimeWise Chronicles

KEMPTON: This response draws solely upon the provided excerpts from the Kempton Park Race Card, the Kempton Race Meeting Spotlight, and the One Day Horse Racing Ratings.

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The analysis below covers all Kempton races in chronological order, based on the TimeWise Master Ratings (TMR) provided in the source material.

4.10 Racing TV Handicap (Class 6) – 1m (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Foreseen (4yo)266
2Super Hit (4yo)240

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Foreseen (TMR 266): Has recent form figures of 234345. This horse won successfully on heavy ground on debut in France (1m) last spring, but has been beaten 16 times since. The horse has shown several creditable efforts this year, including over the course and distance (C&D). A hood returns for this race.
  • Super Hit (TMR 240): Has recent form figures of 004492. This runner is noted as none too consistent but is operating on a dangerous mark. Their latest second place at Southwell was at the hands of a well-handicapped opponent. Rossa Ryan is a positive booking.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict notes that Bowood ran creditably at Southwell recently but is not guaranteed to reverse placings with Super Hit. Both Mbappe and Foreseen should go well despite wide draws. Preference is for Double Time, as this race is considered easier than his last assignment, and his July win at Windsor suggests he can deal with his current mark.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 3-3-17, 4yo+ 0-3-25.
  • Fate of Favourites: 131.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Alice Haynes 1-0-1, William Knight 1-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Foreseen (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Commands the highest TMR. Has shown several creditable efforts over C&D this year.
    • Weaknesses: Has not won since debut (16 subsequent defeats).
    • Suitability: Returning to C&D where he has run creditably. The return of the hood may prompt improvement.
  • Super Hit (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: On a dangerous mark following a good recent second. Positive jockey booking.
    • Weaknesses: Consistency is a concern.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable if he can replicate his promising recent run.

4.40 Try Unibet’s New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap (Class 5) – 1m (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Luzon Heights (2yo)284
2Urgent Call (2yo)253

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Luzon Heights (TMR 284): Has recent form figures of 66341. He is improving with experience and was the easy winner of a Southwell nursery in his first attempt at 1m last month. He is up 5lb but potentially rates higher over this trip. He is the only winner in the field.
  • Urgent Call (TMR 253): Has recent form figures of 343. He improved run by run in maiden company, placing third at Southwell three weeks ago on his first try at a mile. He is expected to improve further now handicapping at a realistic level.

Spotlight Verdict

Luzon Heights is expected to make a bold bid to follow up his Southwell success, but URGENT CALL is favoured, as he is improving with every run, and a further step forward could see him break his duck. Hello Humphrey is rated best of the remainder.

Race Statistics

Specific race statistics (Age Groups, FOF, Trainer Records) are not provided for this race in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Luzon Heights (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Improving form, proven winner over 1m on a similar surface (Southwell).
    • Weaknesses: Carries a 5lb rise.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable given his recent winning form and proven aptitude for the distance.
  • Urgent Call (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Steadily progressing, entering handicap company at a realistic level, handles the 1m trip.
    • Weaknesses: Still a maiden.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for a nursery debut over 1m, with potential for further improvement.

5.10 Juddmonte/EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 2) – 1m (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Spiritoftheblues (2yo)305
2Miss Pretty (2yo)289

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Spiritoftheblues (TMR 305): Has recent form figures of 5953 1. She won on her Ayr debut (7f) nine weeks ago, running strong at the finish. She holds solid claims despite carrying a penalty, and the 1m trip should suit.
  • Miss Pretty (TMR 289): Has recent form figures of 5962 1. She won a 7f fillies’ maiden over this course nine weeks ago. She should benefit from the extra furlong and is capable of better.

Spotlight Verdict

Miss Pretty and Spiritoftheblues are rated the pick of the penalised winners, while Lizzana shaped well on debut. However, the preference is for newcomer SHEBARA, a sister to a Group 3 winner in France, who looks a likely type on paper.

Race Statistics

Specific race statistics (Age Groups, FOF, Trainer Records) are not provided for this race in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Spiritoftheblues (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Strong on debut, bred to suit the extended distance (1m), holds solid claims.
    • Weaknesses: Carries a winner’s penalty.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for the trip, with high expectations for continued progression.
  • Miss Pretty (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Course winner, expected to benefit from stepping up to 1m, capable of further improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Carries a winner’s penalty.
    • Suitability: Suitable for 1m, proved capability on this surface.

5.40 Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 5) – 7f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Exotic Baby (2yo)309
2Fort Rock (2yo)70

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Exotic Baby (TMR 309): Has recent form figures of 51. Made a promising debut over C&D last month and followed up by winning readily against six rivals at Southwell (1m) three weeks ago. Can win more races.
  • Fort Rock (TMR 70): Is a newcomer. He is a half-brother to winners. The trainer’s runners in AW novice/maiden events operate at an excellent strike-rate. He is hooded for his debut.

Spotlight Verdict

Exotic Baby is expected to be vulnerable as he must concede weight to several interesting newcomers. Interstate, Princling, Storm Point, and Kaindy are considered, but FORT ROCK is preferred, representing a stable whose runners in AW novice races are always to be feared.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-PL-R): Not provided.
  • Fate of Favourites: 4211.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): John & Thady Gosden 1-0-1, Charlie Appleby 0-1-3, Richard Hannon 0-1-2, William Haggas 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Exotic Baby (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Proven winner with sharp recent progress.
    • Weaknesses: Must concede 7lb to well-bred newcomers, making him potentially vulnerable.
    • Suitability: Proven capability, but facing a strong penalisation factor.
  • Fort Rock (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Represents a powerful stable known for success in AW novice races; strong pedigree.
    • Weaknesses: Unproven debutante.
    • Suitability: High potential based on connections and background; the betting market will be a good guide.

6.10 Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5) – 7f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Welljudged (3yo)285
2Cotiere (3yo)242

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Welljudged (TMR 285): Has recent form figures of 7622 2. Made a promising start when finishing second in a 7f Southwell novice two weeks ago, running on late. This runner, a daughter of Siyouni, is expected to offer more and merits serious consideration.
  • Cotiere (TMR 242): Has recent form figures of 7237 23. She has shown fair form in her three runs to date, including a third in a 1m Southwell novice 20 days ago. She may do better still for her leading yard and needs considering.

Spotlight Verdict

While Ollie Sangster’s Sapphire Princess has the form to go close, the vote goes to THAISA, who is expected to build on her recent Newcastle fourth after a lay-off and get off the mark. Welljudged, Kartini, and the experienced Cotiere are also noted contenders.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-PL-R): Not provided.
  • Fate of Favourites: 33.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Andrew Balding 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Welljudged (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Promising debut effort, running on late suggests stamina and potential for improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Limited race experience.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable based on the strong start and expected progress.
  • Cotiere (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Consistent fair form across multiple starts; trained by a leading yard.
    • Weaknesses: Still seeking a win.
    • Suitability: Suitable, looks capable of winning a maiden.

6.40 Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies’ Handicap (Class 4) – 6f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Cindy Lou Who (3yo)336
2Shallow (4yo)310

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Cindy Lou Who (TMR 336): Has recent form figures of 1d31311. Her form has significantly improved for her current trainer (Tony Carroll), winning for the fourth time when comfortably on top at Bath (5.7f, heavy).
  • Shallow (TMR 310): Has recent form figures of 041948. Her C&D record is strong (21123). She failed to fire at Newmarket last time, appearing awkward in the Dip. She is considered to be on a good mark.

Spotlight Verdict

Jettie’s Run and the progressive Cindy Lou Who are high on the list, along with French Sand. However, it is suggested to give SHALLOW (nap) another chance, as she has run well in all five previous visits to this venue and is tipped to bounce back with Oisin Murphy booked.

Race Statistics

Specific race statistics (Age Groups, FOF, Trainer Records) are not provided for this race in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Cindy Lou Who (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Hugely progressive, comfortably won her last race.
    • Weaknesses: Must contend with a 5lb rise and switches to a new surface (AW debut).
    • Suitability: High potential, but suitability rests on handling the AW surface.
  • Shallow (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Excellent course and distance record (21123); considered well-handicapped. Strong jockey booking.
    • Weaknesses: Disappointing latest turf run.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable, expected to thrive back on this track.

7.10 Try Unibet’s New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div 1) (Class 4) – 1m 3f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Sportingsilvermine (4yo)334
2Crystal Mariner (5yo)296

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Sportingsilvermine (TMR 334): Has recent form figures of 342332. Won his first two starts for his current trainer and has run a string of good races in defeat since.
  • Crystal Mariner (TMR 296): Has recent form figures of 315021. He has two wins this summer, including over C&D 19 days ago. He faces a 5lb rise but is deemed feasibly weighted.

Spotlight Verdict

Crystal Mariner and Sportingsilvermine are solid contenders. However, GUNSHIP is the selection, having looked hugely promising earlier in the season, and he could deliver on that potential now returned to AW.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 0-1-7, 4yo+ 1-1-7.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Jamie Osborne 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Sportingsilvermine (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Very consistent form since joining the yard.
    • Weaknesses: Has recently accumulated a string of defeats.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable; a bold bid is anticipated at this level.
  • Crystal Mariner (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Proven C&D winner recently, still considered feasibly weighted despite a penalty.
    • Weaknesses: Must handle the 5lb rise.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable due to recent winning C&D form.

7.40 Try Unibet’s New Smartview Racecards Handicap (Div II) (Class 4) – 1m 3f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Sir William (3yo)305
2Blast The Dream (3yo)293

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Sir William (TMR 305): Has recent form figures of 433122. He achieved his breakthrough victory at Windsor (1m2f) in August and has since advanced his form with two runner-up spots, going strongly for a long way in both races.
  • Blast The Dream (TMR 293): Has recent form figures of 835322. She scored twice over 1m on the AW in the winter and is currently knocking on the door, having finished runner-up over C&D 19 days ago.

Spotlight Verdict

The race is expected to be decided between the progressive 3-y-o pair, Sir William and Blast The Dream. SIR WILLIAM is marginally preferred over Blast The Dream, who was a recent C&D runner-up.

Race Statistics

Specific race statistics (Age Groups, FOF, Trainer Records) are not provided for this race in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Sir William (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Progressive 3yo form, consistent recent placings (two runner-up efforts).
    • Weaknesses: Debut on Polytrack.
    • Suitability: High potential; expected to handle the AW surface based on flat racing experience.
  • Blast The Dream (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Proven AW form, excellent C&D runner-up effort recently.
    • Weaknesses: Nudged up 1lb for the recent placing.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable, demonstrated recent effectiveness over C&D.

8.10 Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies’ Handicap (Class 5) – 1m 3f (AW)

TMR RankingHorse (Age)TimeWise Master Total Rating
1Pergola (3yo)249
2Wondrous Light (3yo)244

Recent Form and Comments Summary

  • Pergola (TMR 249): Has recent form figures of 261724. She is steadily progressive and won her handicap debut at Epsom (1m2f). She posted a good fourth at Yarmouth (11.5f) recently under an aggressive ride and is a likely player off the same mark.
  • Wondrous Light (TMR 244): Has recent form figures of 41624. She scored at Lingfield (11.5f) and was a good fourth in a Newmarket handicap (9f) recently, despite hanging right under pressure. She enters calculations.

Spotlight Verdict

This is considered wide open. While several runners have claims, the nod goes to PERGOLA, who is expected to resume winning ways off the same mark following her good fourth at Yarmouth.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 5-5-42, 4yo+ 0-5-18.
  • Fate of Favourites: 04563.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Not provided.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Pergola (TMR #1):
    • Strengths: Steadily progressing, holds current form well despite an aggressive ride last time; races off the same mark.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly noted, although the aggressive riding style might be a factor.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for the trip and distance, and backed by the yard’s positive record.
  • Wondrous Light (TMR #2):
    • Strengths: Recent winner (Lingfield) and subsequent respectable fourth place.
    • Weaknesses: Hung right under pressure in her latest run.
    • Suitability: Suitable, but needs to settle better to maximize her chances.

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