1. 16:50 Newcastle (1m2f 42y) Northumbria Leisure Celebrating 52 Years Novice Stakes (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alobayyah | 321.5272, | 3, | 8, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, |
| 2 | Tyraxes (IRE) | 260.2027, | 3, | 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Alobayyah (3yo): Created a good impression when winning her debut in a Yarmouth novice last October. She returned from a ten-month absence to finish eighth of 13 in a Sandown Group 3 event (1m on soft) in August,. This Ghaiyyath filly is notably the one to beat as she is back in much calmer waters.
- Tyraxes (IRE) (3yo): Ran third on debut in a 1m4f AW Lingfield novice three weeks ago, showing promise despite being keen/green,. This son of Sea The Stars has more to offer and must enter calculations.
Spotlight Verdict
William Haggas’ ALOBAYYAH has her sights lowered considerably after returning with a solid eighth in a Sandown Group 3 event and is impossible to oppose, bidding to go 2-3. Tyraxes and Antrim look to have more to offer and can chase home the selection in that order.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): 3yo 1-2-8, 4yo+ 0-0-1.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): John & Thady Gosden 1-1-2.
- Fate of Favourites: Not specified in the provided data sample for this race type.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Alobayyah:
- Strengths: Commands the highest rating, dropping significantly in class from a Group 3 event, aiming for a 2-3 record.
- Weaknesses: Returned slightly below par in a Group 3 contest.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on class drop; considered impossible to oppose.
- Tyraxes (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed debut promise over a longer trip on AW, expected to progress given his pedigree (Sea The Stars).
- Weaknesses: Still inexperienced and was noted as keen/green on debut.
- Suitability: Expected to be in the frame.
2. 17:25 Newcastle (1m2f 42y) Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molinari (IRE) | 252.2927, | 8, | 7, 2, 3, 4, 4, 7, 1, 7, 7, 7, |
| 2 | Royal Blaze | 244.9893, | 4, | 4, 2, 4, 0, 4, 0, 7, 7, 8, 7, |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Molinari (IRE) (8yo): Won twice at Newcastle last autumn over 1m4f and today’s 1m2f trip. Although he has not won this season, he has dropped to a good mark and recently finished 7th. He could run well.
- Royal Blaze (4yo): Has won two of his last three races, with the latest win occurring over C&D while wearing cheekpieces (for the second time, combined with a tongue-tie). He is considered a contender utilizing the same headgear combination. His last run was a 4th-place finish.
Spotlight Verdict
Although not a regular winner, JACK SPAROWE should go well following his improved run in headgear at Kempton last week. The in-form Royal Blaze and Dingwall, who was unlucky in running when fourth here last time, are two others with a chance.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not provided.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Molinari (IRE):
- Strengths: Proven C&D winner, dropped to an appealing handicap mark.
- Weaknesses: Winless this season.
- Suitability: Could go well on current terms.
- Royal Blaze:
- Strengths: Highly in-form, having won two of his last three, including a C&D win using today’s headgear. Described as in-form and a contender,.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly noted.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on recent course and form correlation.
3. 18:00 Newcastle (5f) Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables EBF Maiden Stakes (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capitalization (IRE) | 246.867, | 2, | 3, 5, 3, 4, 7 |
| 2 | Starmade (IRE) | 246.734, | 2, | 0, 7 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Capitalization (IRE) (2yo): Showed improvement when finishing third of eight in a 5f Southwell maiden 23 days ago. The addition of a tongue-tie may lead to further improvement, making him worth considering.
- Starmade (IRE) (2yo): Demonstrated fair form by placing in two 6f maidens at Pontefract and Ayr last month. He holds good form claims.
Spotlight Verdict
Brian Smart’s FILLE UNIQUE is expected to build on her promising Thirsk third and get off the mark. Capitalization and Let Me Show You can also go well in this fair juvenile maiden.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not provided.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Capitalization (IRE):
- Strengths: Recent third suggests progress, new tongue-tie addition might yield improvement.
- Weaknesses: Yet to win a maiden.
- Suitability: Expected to run well.
- Starmade (IRE):
- Strengths: Holds good form claims based on previous placings.
- Weaknesses: Last run was unplaced (‘0’).
- Suitability: Good chance on prior form.
4. 18:30 Newcastle (6f) Margaret Macklam Memorial Nursery Handicap (Class 6)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rajak | 213.1127, | 2, | 0, 0, 0, 7, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 |
| 2 | Blazing | 212.1166, | 2, | 0, 0, 0, 5, 2, 7, 4 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Rajak (2yo): Won two races in July on turf (Yarmouth and Bath) wearing a first-time visor (retained). However, his form has dipped in his three subsequent starts, and he still needs to prove his effectiveness on the AW surface.
- Blazing (2yo): Showed his best form when finishing second in a Chester maiden in July. Since then, his form has been below par, including in a couple of nurseries. He is discarding the first-time cheekpieces worn last time and needs to show more.
Spotlight Verdict
There should be more to come from Taaklam who represents powerful connections on this nursery debut and he rates the main danger to FIZZY CRISTAL who seemed the likely winner here ten days ago only to be thwarted close home. She can gain compensation today but there may also be more to come from Thornaby Annie who finished only a neck behind the selection.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: 5153.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Richard Fahey 1-0-3, Edward Bethell 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Rajak:
- Strengths: Previous dual winner early season.
- Weaknesses: Has been out of form in three recent starts, and AW ability remains unproven.
- Suitability: Needs a marked return to form and better adaptation to the surface.
- Blazing:
- Strengths: Previous strong maiden form.
- Weaknesses: Recent nursery form is below standard; needs to show more.
- Suitability: Requires significant improvement.
5. 19:00 Newcastle (6f) Northumbria Leisure For Juke Boxes Handicap (Class 6)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Real Mckay (IRE) | 203.6712, | 4, | 8, 2, 6, 4, 5, 3, 2, 6, 7, 7 |
| 2 | Flash The Dash (IRE) | 199.5414, | 6, | 6, 1, 5, 6, 3, 4, 4, 8, 0, 0 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- The Real Mckay (IRE) (4yo): Has won off higher marks when previously trained by Ivan Furtado in 2024. Although 0-8 for his current yard, he ran a close second at Yarmouth (6f, soft) two runs ago. He is on a career-low mark and cannot be discounted.
- Flash The Dash (IRE) (6yo): Is a C&D winner who is returning from a break,.
Spotlight Verdict
This looks to be a golden opportunity for the in-form RAIN CAP (nap) to win his first race on AW after a solid spell on turf on his last few starts. He has most to fear from Flash The Dash who has won over C&D and returns from a break. Ifonlytheycudtalk has a poor win record but ran well on his last AW start, while The Real McKay has won off higher marks and was second at Yarmouth last month.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not provided.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- The Real Mckay (IRE):
- Strengths: High historical mark, currently on a career-low mark, recent runner-up effort.
- Weaknesses: 0-8 record for current trainer.
- Suitability: Cannot be discounted due to rating and recent placing,.
- Flash The Dash (IRE):
- Strengths: C&D winner.
- Weaknesses: Returning from a 241-day break.
- Suitability: Expected to be a major threat to the favoured runner.
6. 19:30 Newcastle (1m) Northumbria Leisure For Personal Service Fillies Handicap (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hostelry | 231.4003, | 8, | 6, 7, 4, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 7, 6 |
| 2 | Medway Queen (IRE) | 204.5244, | 3, | 4, 4, 2, 0, 7, 6, 7 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Hostelry (8yo): Is generally in good form this season, despite soft ground likely being unsuitable on her last two outings. She is 0-11 on the AW but does have placed form on the surface, and recently finished 6th.
- Medway Queen (IRE) (3yo): Has not built on her good debut at Nottingham but has not been running badly. She is dropping back to 1m (her debut distance) for her first handicap start, and she could potentially be the answer. Her last run was a 4th-place finish.
Spotlight Verdict
The dark horse is MEDWAY QUEEN who has shown promise in her qualifying races and she’s her Lambourn yard’s only runner here. Hostelry has had a good year and could get back on track now she’s away from soft ground. Ravishing Beauty is preferred of the others.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not provided.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Hostelry:
- Strengths: Highest rated, in good form generally, prefers better ground.
- Weaknesses: Winless in 11 AW starts.
- Suitability: Expected to get back on track away from soft ground.
- Medway Queen (IRE):
- Strengths: Unexposed potential, promising qualifier form, trying handicap debut at suitable trip.
- Weaknesses: Hasn’t progressed significantly since debut.
- Suitability: Considered the dark horse and a potential winner,.
7. 20:00 Newcastle (6f) Joan Coote Memorial Handicap (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortamour (IRE) | 259.7718, | 9, | 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0 |
| 2 | Cairdeas | 254.3057, | 3, | 0, 6, 7, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Fortamour (IRE) (9yo): Is on a long losing run and has arrived below par, finishing eighth of 12 in a 6f Ripon handicap 17 days ago. His form needs to improve.
- Cairdeas (3yo): Is currently on a losing sequence but made a positive start for his current handler, finishing sixth of 14 in a 6f Pontefract handicap 19 days ago. He is eased 2lb here and is one for the shortlist.
Spotlight Verdict
Lots with chances but it could pay to side with DC COGENT who has an excellent record here and should strip a lot sharper for his recent Beverley ninth after a layoff. Julie Camacho’s pair Raatea (second choice) and The Actor can also have a say, while course scorer Yes I’m Mali and in-form duo Miss Yorkshire and Havana Sky need factoring in too.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): Not provided.
- Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not provided.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Fortamour (IRE):
- Strengths: Highest rated based on total TimeWise score.
- Weaknesses: Below par recent form and on a long losing streak.
- Suitability: Others appeal more based on current performance.
- Cairdeas:
- Strengths: Positive start for current trainer, eased 2lb.
- Weaknesses: On a losing sequence.
- Suitability: Included on the shortlist of possible winners.
8. 20:30 Newcastle (1m 5y) Northumbria Leisure Celebration Handicap (Class 6)
| Rank | Horse Name | Total TimeWise Rating | Age | Last Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Second Fiddle (IRE) | 258.2162, | 6, | 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 |
| 2 | One More Bottle | 209.6677, | 4, | 0, 0, 0, 7, 3, 3, 9, 2, 9, 6 |
Recent Form and Comments Summary
- Second Fiddle (IRE) (6yo): Has undergone a remarkable turnaround since moving to her current yard, winning all three starts, including the latest over C&D just five days ago. She looks to be the one to beat.
- One More Bottle (4yo): Is a dual C&D winner who has been in the frame on all four starts since her last win. He wears first-time blinkers and holds claims if the new headgear can bring about further improvement.
Spotlight Verdict
SECOND FIDDLE is stated to have made a remarkable turnaround by winning all three starts since moving to her current yard, including the latest over C&D five days ago, and looks the one to beat.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (w-pl-r): 3yo 1-3-21, 4yo+ 5-9-53.
- Fate of Favourites: 10002F.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): David Thompson 1-0-3, Ruth Carr 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Second Fiddle (IRE):
- Strengths: Highest rated, exceptional current form (3 straight wins, including recent C&D success). Clearly the horse to beat.
- Weaknesses: Previous poor record (0-14) in Ireland.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on recent performance and C&D victory.
- One More Bottle:
- Strengths: Dual C&D winner, consistent recent placings. Adding first-time blinkers for potential improvement.
- Weaknesses: Needs the headgear change to bring about sufficient improvement to challenge the top pick.
- Suitability: Holds claims, particularly if the new headgear works well.
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