TimeWise Chronicles

Leicester: This analysis covers all races at Leicester on 14/10/2025, presented in chronological order, identifying the top two rated horses according to the total TimeWise rating, along with their associated information and assessed chances

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1. 13:44 Leicester: Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap (Class 6, 1m)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Bird Of War (IRE)221.76172yo, 9-4
2Truly Special208.09872yo, 9-5

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bird Of War (IRE) (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 56.395, 24.4675, 13.8749, 5.6658, 0.
    • Comments: This four-race maiden showed encouraging signs of improvement recently with a close fourth-place finish in a 7f Yarmouth nursery, keeping on well. The horse may build on this effort and enters the reckoning.
  • Truly Special (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 45.57, 30.7532, 11.9554, 6.3704, 0.
    • Comments: The horse was well behind Supreme Dancer during its handicap debut at Musselburgh. However, she ran encouragingly in the race prior and is bred to do better, being related to several winners from her stable.

Spotlight Verdict

The shortlist is headed by the interesting handicap debutants Mr Nippy and Raging Raj. The selection (Mr Nippy) is bred to prove significantly better than his opening mark, while the second choice (Raging Raj) drops sharply in grade after a tough task at a major festival. Supreme Dancer is highly exposed but holds strong claims on form, and Bird Of War may take another step forward.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites: 252261062.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Richard Fahey 1-0-1, Charlie Johnston 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Bird Of War (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Holds the highest TimeWise Master rating. Showed solid signs of progress in its last outing, suggesting the 1m trip may suit.
    • Weaknesses: Still a maiden.
    • Suitability: Enters the reckoning and is anticipated to progress further.
  • Truly Special (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Bred to do better due to connections/pedigree.
    • Weaknesses: Ran poorly on handicap debut behind a rival in this field (Supreme Dancer).
    • Suitability: Potential improver, especially given its breeding, but needs to bounce back from its last handicap performance.

2. 14:14 Leicester: British EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Div I) (Class 5, 6f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Storm Esme282.94112yo, 9-8
2White Island (IRE)219.91912yo, 9-0

Note: Rose Of Spain (IRE) (Total: 232.3714) was the original second-rated horse but is listed as a Non-Runner. White Island (IRE) is therefore elevated to second for this analysis.

Recent Form and Comments

  • Storm Esme (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 73.1426, 39.0704, 0, 0, 0.
    • Comments: Won narrowly on debut at Newcastle (6f, AW). Ran down the field subsequently in the Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar. Now returns to an easier class and is regarded as one of the main players.
  • White Island (IRE) (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 60.575, 32.453, 12.556, 6.784, 0.
    • Comments: Comes into the race off a respectable fifth-place finish in a 5.7f nursery. She is noted as one of the likelier winners in a race lacking depth.

Spotlight Verdict

This return to calmer waters can see STORM ESME confirm the promise of her Newcastle debut. White Island is feared most, while the betting should offer added guidance as regards the debutantes.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 2yo fillies.
  • Fate of Favourites: Data not present.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Rod Millman 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Storm Esme (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating and achieved a winning debut. Expected to benefit from returning to a lower class.
    • Weaknesses: Failed to perform strongly in a higher-class race recently (Two Year Old Trophy).
    • Suitability: Highly likely to feature prominently and is the Spotlight selection.
  • White Island (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Holds strong form claims, particularly impressive when contesting a nursery last time.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly stated, other than the overall lack of depth in the race.
    • Suitability: Feared most by the Spotlight analysis outside of the selection.

3. 14:44 Leicester: British EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Div II) (Class 5, 6f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Nalas Dream (IRE)223.40692yo, 9-2
2Skyolaire178.10652yo, 9-0

Recent Form and Comments

  • Nalas Dream (IRE) (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 62.793, 30.8009, 14.8049, 0, 0.
    • Comments: No narrative comments available in the sources.
  • Skyolaire (2yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 54.7126, 17.4757, 0, 0, 0.
    • Comments: No narrative comments available in the sources.

Spotlight Verdict

Back down in class, FIGJAM (highest RPR in the race at 101) doesn’t necessarily need to fully back up her Group 3 effort in order to get off the mark. As in the first division, the market signals may help to put the newcomers into some sort of pecking order.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 2yo fillies.
  • Fate of Favourites: Data not present.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Data not present.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Nalas Dream (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating by a considerable margin.
    • Weaknesses: Lack of recent narrative form analysis means precise suitability is unknown.
    • Suitability: Based purely on quantitative analysis, she is highly regarded.
  • Skyolaire (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise Master rating.
    • Weaknesses: Lack of recent narrative form analysis means precise suitability is unknown.
    • Suitability: Quantitative rating suggests competitiveness.

4. 15:14 Leicester: Join Racing TV Now Selling Stakes (Class 4, 7f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Good Banter (IRE)279.09613yo, 9-8
2Jr Climbs (IRE)239.65943yo, 9-0

Recent Form and Comments

  • Good Banter (IRE) (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 97.515, 18.8983, 16.0724, 7.5428, 6.2234.
    • Comments: Has secured all his wins on the Wolverhampton AW, including his latest victory in an 8.5f seller. He is a major contender provided he can replicate this form back on turf.
  • Jr Climbs (IRE) (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 64.05, 16.9138, 19.4168, 9.8122, 4.3461.
    • Comments: His career record is 1-15, with his sole win occurring 15 months ago. However, he holds clear possibilities in this seller and is running in first-time blinkers (tb1).

Spotlight Verdict

Although he has never won away from Wolverhampton, Good Banter warrants respect in his bid to give Jennie Candlish a third straight success in this race. However, the combination of first-time blinkers and moving away from handicap level may enable JR CLIMBS (nap) to belatedly double his tally.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 6-10-59, 4yo+ 3-8-32.
  • Fate of Favourites: 111123211.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Jennie Candlish 2-0-2, David Evans 0-3-5.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Good Banter (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Top TimeWise Master rating. In winning form (latest was a seller). Warrants respect given trainer’s previous success in this race.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to transfer his winning AW form back to turf.
    • Suitability: A major contender, but success hinges on handling the turf surface.
  • Jr Climbs (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Switching to a seller and wearing first-time blinkers gives him a strong chance on these terms. The Spotlight selection (nap).
    • Weaknesses: Poor overall career record (1-15).
    • Suitability: Strongly tipped to win if the change of headgear and grade is effective.

5. 15:44 Leicester: British EBF Novice Stakes (Class 5, 7f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Song N Dance240.26643yo, 9-2
2Symphony Of Joy (IRE)202.58343yo, 9-7

Recent Form and Comments

  • Song N Dance (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 71.9728, 23.8331, 16.9542, 9.1995, 0.
    • Comments: Ran well on turf when third over 7f here. Considered the other main form contender in the race.
  • Symphony Of Joy (IRE) (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 43.5262, 32.7348, 0, 0, 0.
    • Comments: Weakened into a modest third over 1m on AW last time. Showed an eyecatching fourth (beaten 2l) over C&D (good) in its only other start and is expected to progress back at this course and trip.

Spotlight Verdict

Symphony Of Joy (nap) has the most eyecatching piece of form in the book (fourth over C&D) and is taken to make a winning return to turf. Song N Dance is the other main form contender, while Neptune Street and Treasure Islands look best of the newcomers judged on breeding.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 4-5-35, 4yo+ 0-1-4.
  • Fate of Favourites: 2123.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Data not present.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Song N Dance (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating and holds good recent turf form at this distance (3rd).
    • Weaknesses: Rated second to Symphony of Joy in the Spotlight analysis despite higher TimeWise ranking.
    • Suitability: Strong form contender likely to be competitive.
  • Symphony Of Joy (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Holds the best piece of previous form (C&D fourth). Expected to progress returning to this C&D scenario. The Spotlight selection (nap).
    • Weaknesses: Failed to perform strongly last time on AW.
    • Suitability: Highly regarded to win on its return to turf at Leicester.

6. 16:14 Leicester: @leicesterraces Next Meeting Tuesday 28th October Handicap (Class 5, 1m)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Arkenstaar276.77045yo, 9-9
2Just Typical258.7274yo, 9-5

Recent Form and Comments

  • Arkenstaar (5yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 87, 39.195, 18.29, 11.4366, 4.0266.
    • Comments: In exceptional current form, having prevailed by a neck at Pontefract (1m, soft) last week, marking his third win in his last four starts. This was his first success away from Hamilton. He carries only a 3lb penalty despite the win and remains respected.
  • Just Typical (4yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 72.87, 38.7, 17.3686, 6.4212, 7.118.
    • Comments: Ran well when finishing a close second at Nottingham (1m, soft) and secured a respectable third at Newmarket last time. He may yet have more to offer on turf.

Spotlight Verdict

The return to better ground may see Beaming Light (not a TimeWise Top Two) reverse recent placings with Arkenstaar and secure a win. Arkenstaar still warrants respect in his current form, while Just Typical (second choice) may yet have more to offer on turf.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Data not present.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Data not present.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Arkenstaar (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating. In peak form with multiple recent wins. Handles soft ground well.
    • Weaknesses: Now running off a career-high mark due to recent penalties.
    • Suitability: Warrants strong respect given his current form trajectory.
  • Just Typical (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Consistent performer with strong recent placings. Potential to improve further on turf.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly detailed.
    • Suitability: Rated highly as the second choice in the Spotlight Verdict.

7. 16:44 Leicester: Willpower Group Handicap (Class 3, 7f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Aurora Majesty (IRE)318.49633yo, 9-12
2Legal Reform (IRE)307.82518yo, 9-11

Recent Form and Comments

  • Aurora Majesty (IRE) (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 88.4639, 47.5625, 23.25, 8.4607, 6.1142.
    • Comments: Gained her first handicap win at Epsom in July (7f, good) and has since secured two placings. She is now wearing cheekpieces and is running off a career-high mark (3lb higher).
  • Legal Reform (IRE) (8yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 109.1, 29.8868, 14.3935, 9.4157, 8.9382.
    • Comments: Has won three times this year (two on AW, one on turf at Haydock most recently). He is clearly in decent form despite being back on a career-high mark.

Spotlight Verdict

It looks a competitive event but the unexposed SARAB STAR (nap) (RPR 98), who has won twice in novice company, is selected to make a winning handicap debut. Aurora Majesty, the in-form Legal Reform, It’sneverjustone and Kisskodi are four others with good claims.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 4-6-22, 4yo+ 5-9-55.
  • Fate of Favourites: 242231554.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Mark Walford 1-0-1, Ian Williams 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Aurora Majesty (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating. Consistent form pattern of winning and placing at this distance on turf. Tries new headgear (cheekpieces).
    • Weaknesses: Running off a career-high mark.
    • Suitability: Highly regarded contender with good claims.
  • Legal Reform (IRE) (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Currently in decent winning form (Haydock). Demonstrated effectiveness on both turf and AW.
    • Weaknesses: Also on a career-high mark.
    • Suitability: Considered to have good claims due to recent success.

8. 17:15 Leicester: racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6, 1m 2f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise RatingAge/Weight
1Mystical Maria226.60454yo, 9-9
2Lady Kameko225.35013yo, 9-5

Recent Form and Comments

  • Mystical Maria (4yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 61.835, 27.3615, 20.9125, 6.791, 5.7268.
    • Comments: Back in form following three good runs, including a win at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) and a sound run at Beverley where she was beaten a short head. She is an interesting contender.
  • Lady Kameko (3yo)
    • Recent Form (TimeWise components): 70.82, 17.4971, 10.4236, 6.3092, 4.5622.
    • Comments: Maiden who was runner-up at Bath last month (1m, heavy) but subsequently dropped right out at Yarmouth on Monday. She has worn a hood on all three runs for her current trainer.

Spotlight Verdict

This looks competitive but MYSTICAL MARIA is in excellent form and narrowly gets the vote. Naughty Niall holds a place chance and is preferred as the next best, while Luan could be anything on handicap/turf debut and is worth monitoring.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Data not present.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Data not present.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Mystical Maria (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating. In excellent recent form, suggesting consistency and competitive spirit.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly detailed.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable based on recent performance and is the Spotlight selection.
  • Lady Kameko (Strengths, Weaknesses, Suitability):
    • Strengths: High quantitative rating. Demonstrated ability on heavy ground recently.
    • Weaknesses: Maiden status and showed poor form on her very recent start (Monday).
    • Suitability: Needs to prove she can maintain competitive form consistently, especially following her last disappointing run.

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