TimeWise Chronicles

Punchestown: This analysis details the Punchestown races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated runners based on their total TimeWise rating (total).

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Race 1: 14:05 Punchestown

Download The William Hill App Today 3-Y-O Hurdle (2m)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Hopes Are High (IRE)3284.2521
2Cinammon Coco (IRE)3265.7572

Recent Form and Comments

  • Hopes Are High (IRE): The score is level between this horse and Cinammon Coco, as they meet for a third time. Hopes Are High failed to shine when carrying a penalty at Down Royal.
  • Cinammon Coco (IRE): The score is level between this horse and Hopes Are High as they meet for a third time.

Spotlight Verdict

The two previous winners, Hopes Are High and Cinnamon Coco, meet for a third time, with the score level. The penalised pair could be vulnerable. If SECRET FORCE takes to hurdling, he should be able to confirm Listowel form with Superficial, who had the advantage of race-fitness on that occasion.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is restricted to 3yo only.
  • Fate of Favourites: The fate of the favourites for races recorded in the card is listed as 3-2-1-1-1-1-1-2-1-3.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Gordon Elliott 4-0-10, Gavin Cromwell 1-1-4, Joseph Patrick O’Brien 1-3-7, T M Walsh 0-1-1, Thomas Mullins 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Hopes Are High (IRE):
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating. Has winning form and is closely matched with the second favourite.
    • Weaknesses: Failed to perform well under a penalty recently and is considered vulnerable in this penalised bracket.
    • Suitability: Has been performing in useful maidens/hurdles.
  • Cinammon Coco (IRE):
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating. A previous winner, with the head-to-head score against Hopes Are High currently level.
    • Weaknesses: Like Hopes Are High, is penalised and might be vulnerable.
    • Suitability: Has previously competed against the top rivals in the field.

Race 2: 14:35 Punchestown

William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (2m)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Derry Lad (IRE)7241.8508
2The Truant (IRE)8239.0473

Recent Form and Comments

  • Derry Lad (IRE): Gained his third Flat victory when beating an odds-on favourite at Tramore in August and has maintained his form. He is coupled with a talented 7lb claimer.
  • The Truant (IRE): The table shows his last running was 5 days ago. No specific form comments are provided in the spotlight for this horse.

Spotlight Verdict

Not many of these have been at peak form lately, and EASTMORE has a clear chance based on two solid performances back to back. Watching The Clock has been hit with 10lb extra for her Gowran win but looks sufficiently progressive to feature. Derry Lad could go well if recovered from last Friday’s Gowran run. Bearami Creek and last year’s winner Jake Peter also have claims.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 2-1-12, 5yo 3-9-37, 6yo 1-2-36, 7yo 3-5-25, 8yo 0-3-15, 9yo 0-2-13, 10yo 1-1-5, 11yo 0-1-2, 12yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 0-5-4-2-1-0-6-0-1-6.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): J A Nash 1-0-1, M A Cahill 1-0-1, C Byrnes 0-1-2, P J Rothwell 0-2-5, Padraig Roche 0-1-1, Thomas Mullins 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Derry Lad (IRE):
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating. Holds form after a recent Flat victory. Benefits from a talented 7lb claimer.
    • Weaknesses: Has a poor strike rate over hurdles, with only one win from 28 starts. Needs to recover well if he ran last Friday.
    • Suitability: Experienced in both Flat and hurdles racing.
  • The Truant (IRE):
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating.
    • Weaknesses: No detailed recent form assessment is provided in the sources to evaluate his current condition or suitability.
    • Suitability: No information provided.

Race 3: 15:05 Punchestown

William Hill Committed To Proper Value Hurdle (2m3f)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Wendrock (FR)4344.527
2Glen Kiln (IRE)6277.0297

Recent Form and Comments

  • Wendrock (FR): Won a 2m Leopardstown maiden hurdle last Christmas. Achieved a creditable sixth under joint top-weight in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham and finished with a fair third in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse. He is open to improvement if he has matured correctly.
  • Glen Kiln (IRE): Secured his third hurdles win by landing a 2m6f handicap at Fairyhouse to end last season. Recently looked certain for victory but dislodged his rider with a mistake at the last hurdle in a Grade 3 event at Tipperary nine days ago. He meets Smooth Tom on 13lb better terms than handicap terms.

Spotlight Verdict

Providing this does not come too soon after a Tipperary mishap, GLEN KILN should be able to take advantage of the race conditions to defeat Smooth Tom, who meets him on 13lb worse than handicap terms. As the junior member of the field, Wendrock is potentially the most progressive of the quintet, but he is not well suited by the weight structure.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 1-0-3, 5yo 2-1-5, 6yo 1-1-5, 7yo 0-0-3, 8yo 1-1-5, 9yo 0-0-2, 10yo 1-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 2-2-2-P-1-F.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Gordon Elliott 2-0-7.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Wendrock (FR):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating. Highly progressive form including creditable runs in major events (Fred Winter, Grade 2). Open to improvement.
    • Weaknesses: The weight structure is not well suited to him.
    • Suitability: Experienced in strong company over hurdles.
  • Glen Kiln (IRE):
    • Strengths: Race conditions are in his favour. Strong recent form, including landing a 2m6f handicap. High chance of compensation for recent Grade 3 mishap.
    • Weaknesses: Concerns if this run comes too quickly after his Tipperary mishap (9 days ago).
    • Suitability: Proven winner over hurdles, including a 2m6f handicap.

Race 4: 15:35 Punchestown

Play Final One Standing By William Hill Maiden Hurdle (2m4f)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Reiki Revolution (IRE)5234.5223
2The Gooses Acre (IRE)5176.134

Recent Form and Comments

  • Reiki Revolution (IRE): Top rated on 112. Ran well in defeat in several maidens and novices previously. Now makes his stable debut for Gavin Cromwell.
  • The Gooses Acre (IRE): Has shown glimmers of promise in bumpers. Finished 23 lengths behind the winner on his hurdle debut at Ballinrobe.

Spotlight Verdict

Reiki Revolution is entitled to go close on ratings on debut for Gavin Cromwell, but whether this drop back in trip will suit is debatable. The Rules’ debutant Button Rock is preferred by Jack Kennedy and respected, but YOURE A DERRY GIRL has run well in defeat at this trip and is narrowly preferred.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 2-5-48, 5yo 7-6-52, 6yo 1-6-33, 7yo 0-2-8, 8yo 0-0-1, 9yo 0-1-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1-2-1-1-1-2-1-1-3-1.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Gordon Elliott 4-2-12, Gavin Cromwell 1-0-1, Adrian Murray 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Reiki Revolution (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating and top rated at 112. Consistent performance level in previous maidens/novices. Now with Gavin Cromwell.
    • Weaknesses: His best efforts came over 3m-3m1f, making the 2m4f trip debatable for suitability.
    • Suitability: Strong performer on ratings, but trip suitability is a question.
  • The Gooses Acre (IRE):
    • Strengths: Showed some promise in bumpers.
    • Weaknesses: Needs substantial improvement over hurdles based on his 23-length defeat on debut. Low TimeWise rating compared to the top contenders.
    • Suitability: Currently needs to prove form over hurdles.

Race 5: 16:05 Punchestown

William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (2m4f)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Demanding Gerry (IRE)6222.167
2Newport5220.9187

Recent Form and Comments

  • Demanding Gerry (IRE): Has finished runner-up in handicaps three times in quick succession recently (Downpatrick, Kilbeggan, and Clonmel 12 days ago). Has a good chance to win with a 7lb claimer aboard.
  • Newport: Has yet to place in 13 starts over hurdles. Showed fair form during the summer and was not beaten far when finishing fourth in an ordinary contest at Downpatrick last time.

Spotlight Verdict

Given a little improvement from a Gowran run that came after a break MELLEM might prove good enough. He has a fighting chance of reversing form with Gortmore Lady. Dunany Point and Demanding Gerry have been showing consistent form. There was an excuse for County Graduate last time.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 6yo 1-3-22, 5yo 3-5-24, 7yo 1-2-12, 4yo 0-1-6, 8yo 0-0-10, 9yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1-1-0 (Based on statistics provided for the next race, 4:36, as none are provided adjacent to 4:05).
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Martin Brassil 2-0-3, Gavin Cromwell 1-1-3, Dermot A McLoughlin 0-1-2, Oliver McKiernan 0-1-2, P J Rothwell 0-1-5.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Demanding Gerry (IRE):
    • Strengths: Consistently hitting the frame recently (three runner-up finishes). Has a 7lb claimer which aids his chances. High TimeWise rating.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to break his current pattern of finishing second.
    • Suitability: In excellent recent form and handles handicap company well.
  • Newport:
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating. Showed fair form over the summer.
    • Weaknesses: Has not reached the first three in 13 hurdles starts.
    • Suitability: Seems capable of running close but lacks a proven finishing kick.

Race 6: 16:36 Punchestown

William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (2m7f)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Duke Silver (IRE)5302.6487
2Sign From Above (IRE)7296.8641

Recent Form and Comments

  • Duke Silver (IRE): Recently achieved his second win at Listowel, despite failing to jump fluently at times, off a 6lb lower mark. He should run another solid race.
  • Sign From Above (IRE): Won his second hurdles race off 6lb lower at Gowran 11 days ago. Effective on better ground.

Spotlight Verdict

The money has come for RISING DUST the last twice and he may be able to cope with a 12lb hike in this better race. It will be interesting to see if his backers stick with him. Outside The Door and Mars Harper are respected off their lower hurdling marks, and the last time out winner Sign From Above is also considered. Toor Khov is capable of running well at bigger odds.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 1-3-9, 6yo 1-3-11, 7yo 1-0-13, 8yo 0-1-5, 9yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-0-3, 12yo 0-0-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1-1-0.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Gordon Elliott 0-2-4, Matthew J Smith 0-1-5, P J Rothwell 0-1-2, Padraig Roche 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Duke Silver (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating. Recent winner who should run a solid race.
    • Weaknesses: Has shown inconsistent jumping. Might prefer slightly softer ground.
    • Suitability: Proven winner over staying trips, but needs to jump more fluently.
  • Sign From Above (IRE):
    • Strengths: Recent winner who is effective on good ground. Considered by the Spotlight. High TimeWise rating.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to produce a career best performance to follow up his recent win due to the rise in grade.
    • Suitability: Likely well-suited by the ground condition.

Race 7: 17:10 Punchestown

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares INH Flat Race (2m)

RankHorse NameAgeTotal TimeWise Rating
1Prophetess Miriam (IRE)5216.7387
2Gracie C (IRE)5160.4323

Recent Form and Comments

  • Prophetess Miriam (IRE): Showed promise in a point-to-point start. Recently finished runner-up in a 16-runner bumper at the Listowel festival. This was a pleasing effort, and the winner of that race subsequently ran well at the Punchestown festival.
  • Gracie C (IRE): Ran 48 days ago. No specific form comments are provided in the spotlight section for this horse.

Spotlight Verdict

Home-bred Doctor Dino mare EASTER BONNET is a half-sister to five winners for the stable (W Mullins), notably Chart Topper and Pink In The Park who both earned RPR figures in excess of 130. The dam was a bumper and useful hurdle winner; Easter Bonnet is almost sure to be a prime fancy.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Race is restricted to 4yo+ mares only.
  • Fate of Favourites: 2-1-3-2-2-2-1-1-5-1.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): W P Mullins 3-1-8, Gordon Elliott 2-4-11.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Prophetess Miriam (IRE):
    • Strengths: High TimeWise rating. Solid recent form, finishing second in a highly competitive bumper.
    • Weaknesses: The spotlight strongly favours Easter Bonnet, suggesting Prophetess Miriam may face superior competition based on connections and pedigree.
    • Suitability: Proven ability in bumper races.
  • Gracie C (IRE):
    • Strengths: Decent TimeWise rating.
    • Weaknesses: Form comments are unavailable to evaluate current condition.
    • Suitability: Unclear based solely on the sources provided.

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