1. 14:22 Worcester: Happy Birthday Chris Handicap Chase (Class 5, 2m 7f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Grillon De Monty (10yo): 253.3418
- Galway Reel (6yo): 248.2438
Recent Form and Comments
- Grillon De Monty (10yo, 11-12): This horse is noted as the stable star. Both of his wins over British fences have been achieved over this Course and Distance (C&D) in July/August on good ground. He races off a mark 7lb higher than his latest success, but is suggested to potentially have more left in the tank.
- Galway Reel (6yo, 11-0): He got off the mark on his third chase start at Market Rasen (3m, good) last month. He previously finished third to Grillon De Monty, but may have improved since that outing.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict suggests this race can be another victory for GRILLON DE MONTY, who scored twice over C&D in the summer. He may face his strongest competition from the unexposed George Darling, a hurdles winner in March who is making his chasing debut and steps up in trip. Galway Reel is also noted, having been third to Grillon De Monty in August but has since secured a win.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 1-1-10, 7yo 1-2-9, 8yo 0-3-5, 9yo 0-0-3, 10yo 1-0-3.
- Fate of Favourites: 265.
- Trainer Records: Trainer records specific to this race renewal are not provided in the source statistics block.
Assessment of Top Two
- Grillon De Monty:
- Strengths: Proven C&D suitability, having won twice over C&D recently on good ground. Regarded as the stable star.
- Weaknesses: Carries a 7lb higher mark following his last win.
- Suitability: Highly suitable given his strong recent C&D form.
- Galway Reel:
- Strengths: Recent winner over fences (Market Rasen, 3m); appears to be improving.
- Weaknesses: Has previously finished behind Grillon De Monty.
- Suitability: Good ground and distance proven.
2. 14:57 Worcester: PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Chase (Class 5, 2m ½f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Superstylin (8yo): 269.6781
- Gore Point (5yo): 254.2597
Recent Form and Comments
- Superstylin (8yo, 11-8): Showed improved form to win comfortably on his stable/seasonal debut over this C&D on good ground last month. Although raised 7lb by the handicapper, he is expected to take “all the beating”.
- Gore Point (5yo, 11-13): Won twice over hurdles during the summer on good ground. Made a pleasing start over fences recently when coming from behind to claim third over C&D last month. He holds place claims.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict selects SUPERSTYLIN (nap) as the likely winner, having scored on his stable debut over C&D last month, and anticipates he can win again. The main danger is considered to be Dexter, who ran well recently finishing second at Uttoxeter off the same mark. Gore Point is noted as having races to be won with him.
Race Statistics
The sources do not provide specific age group statistics, fate of favourites data, or trainer records in the race statistics block for this event.
Assessment of Top Two
- Superstylin:
- Strengths: Recently won C&D comfortably; demonstrated improved form on seasonal/stable debut. Trainer (C Gordon) has a 50% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
- Weaknesses: Subject to a 7lb rise in the weights.
- Suitability: Proven C&D winner.
- Gore Point:
- Strengths: Made a pleasing start over fences recently; successfully covered C&D on chasing debut.
- Weaknesses: Needs to reverse form with Superstylin and requires further progression in this sphere.
- Suitability: Holds place claims over C&D.
3. 15:28 Worcester: Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Open Maiden NH Flat Race (Class 5, 2m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Lucky Diamond (4yo): 189.2712
- Kampari (5yo): 136.4149
Recent Form and Comments
- Lucky Diamond (4yo, 11-1): A half-brother to five winners. On his C&D debut (good to soft) last month, he faded to finish fifth of nine finishers. He is considered open to improvement.
- Kampari (5yo, 11-2): On his debut last December at Southwell (2m, good), he was beaten a long way as a 100-1 shot. He is hard to fancy on his return.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict advises that the market should be revealing regarding the majority of the runners. The vote goes to LOADED AND LOCKED, who was purchased for £80,000 after winning an Irish point in January. Typhoon Warrior is selected as the second choice.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): Trainer statistics for previous renewals are given: Dan Skelton 1-0-2, Fergal O’Brien 0-1-3, Tom Lacey 0-1-2. (Note: Age group statistics for winners/placed runners are not tabulated explicitly).
- Fate of Favourites: 11601621.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Dan Skelton 1-0-2, Fergal O’Brien 0-1-3, Tom Lacey 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two
- Lucky Diamond:
- Strengths: Debut showed promise and finished fifth; noted as being open to improvement.
- Weaknesses: Faded on his debut.
- Suitability: Has C&D experience, suggesting suitability.
- Kampari:
- Strengths: None apparent from recent form comments.
- Weaknesses: Was soundly beaten on his only prior start (100-1).
- Suitability: Based on previous form, he is hard to fancy.
4. 15:58 Worcester: CopyBet and Worcester Racecourse 2026 Partnership/EBF National Hunt Novices Hurdle (Class 3, 2m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Big Ginge (5yo): 272.0106
- Milan Tino (5yo): 253.277
Recent Form and Comments
- Big Ginge (5yo, 11-0): Last season, he made the frame in four consecutive maiden/novice hurdles. He was later unplaced but not beaten far when running out of the weights in the Imperial Cup handicap at Sandown. He returns to much calmer waters for this reappearance run.
- Milan Tino (5yo, 11-0): He was a very useful juvenile hurdler in 2023-24. His campaign last term was light, and he has been absent since finishing last in a three-runner Ascot maiden last November. He now needs to get his career back on track and is making his debut for trainer Tom George.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict states that Milan Tino would be very hard to beat if he recaptures his very useful juvenile hurdle form, but he is difficult to assess due to his long absence and stable switch. Ready preference is for BIG GINGE, who was not disgraced in a valuable Sandown handicap and is expected to find this race much easier.
Race Statistics
Trainer records show success rate in previous renewals: Fergal O’Brien 1-0-1, Dan Skelton 0-1-3. Other statistics (age groups, favourite fate) are not provided in the source statistics block.
Assessment of Top Two
- Big Ginge:
- Strengths: Proven ability in maiden/novice hurdles and respectable effort in a valuable handicap (Imperial Cup). Faces a significantly easier task here.
- Weaknesses: Returning from a long break (221 days since last run).
- Suitability: Highly suitable for this level of competition.
- Milan Tino:
- Strengths: Previously held “very useful” juvenile hurdle form.
- Weaknesses: Has not run since November (long absence); last run was disappointing (finished last); profile is tricky to weigh up due to absence and stable debut.
- Suitability: If fit and retaining previous ability, he is hard to beat; otherwise, risks are high.
5. 16:28 Worcester: Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Novices’ Hurdle (Class 4, 2m 7f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Axel Bleue (5yo): 282.4504
- Dwight K Schrute (6yo): 234.8845
Recent Form and Comments
- Axel Bleue (5yo, 11-0): He is a point and dual bumper winner. He made a “most encouraging start” to his hurdles career ten days ago when running second at Uttoxeter (2m7f, good). He is expected to go on to better things.
- Dwight K Schrute (6yo, 11-7): This point winner progressed through last term, culminating in a Fontwell maiden hurdle win (2m3f, good) in March. However, he finished last of seven on his subsequent handicap debut (2m7f, good) at Bangor, never travelling. He carries a 7lb penalty here.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict names AXEL BLEUE as the pick, citing his bumper wins and recent promising second on his hurdles debut at Uttoxeter. He is considered likely to have most to fear from Ignore The Door. Dwight K Schrute is mentioned as having previously gone nicely until disappointing at Bangor.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 1-0-2, 5yo 3-3-18, 6yo 2-1-7, 7yo 0-1-4, 8yo 0-0-3, 9yo 0-0-1, 10yo 1-0-3.
- Fate of Favourites: 1142123.
- Trainer Records: Trainer records specific to this race renewal are not provided in the source statistics block.
Assessment of Top Two
- Axel Bleue:
- Strengths: Strong foundation (point/dual bumper winner); made a very promising start over hurdles at this distance on good ground; highly likely to improve.
- Weaknesses: None stated; appears highly progressive.
- Suitability: Excellent suitability based on recent form and progress.
- Dwight K Schrute:
- Strengths: Previous hurdles winner.
- Weaknesses: Needs to rebound dramatically from a very poor handicap debut when he never travelled; carries a 7lb penalty.
- Suitability: Potential remains, but must return to form shown earlier last season.
6. 16:58 Worcester: FBC Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 5, 2m 4f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)
- Jorebel (6yo): 305.0215
- Orange Diamond (7yo): 276.7907
Recent Form and Comments
- Jorebel (6yo, 11-11): Since returning from a break this autumn, he has secured two wins at Fontwell (2m1f, good). He has only had seven hurdling starts and is considered “not yet fully exposed”. He is expected to be suited by the step up in trip today.
- Orange Diamond (7yo, 12-0): He has achieved a flawless 3-3 record for his new stable since July. All three wins were achieved over this C&D on good or good to soft ground. His latest 4lb rise is judged not excessive, and he may still be on the upgrade.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict prioritises ORANGE DIAMOND, who is taken to win for the fourth consecutive time over C&D due to his excellent form since changing stables. Ballyhiho and Jorebel, both last-time-out winners, are also considered to have scope for further progress.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 0-0-1, 4yo 0-2-7, 5yo 2-3-15, 6yo 3-2-16, 7yo 0-5-15, 8yo 2-0-8, 9yo 0-2-9, 10yo 0-0-3, 11yo 0-0-1, 12yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 2123151.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Neil Mulholland 1-0-3, Sheila Lewis 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two
- Jorebel:
- Strengths: Recent dual winner; unexposed profile; expected to benefit from the increased distance.
- Weaknesses: Stepping up to 2m4f for the first time is a slight unknown, although anticipated to suit.
- Suitability: High on the list, provided the new trip proves suitable.
- Orange Diamond:
- Strengths: C&D Specialist (3 wins in a row over C&D); proven suitability for the trip and ground; still believed to be on the upgrade despite penalties.
- Weaknesses: Has already accumulated several penalties due to recent success.
- Suitability: Obvious appeal given his recent course dominance.
Leave a comment