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16:55 Southwell 7f Handicap (Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Captain Parma (IRE) (Total Rating: 256.3785)
2. Al Muqdad (Total Rating: 239.4365)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Captain Parma (IRE): This low-mileage 3yo looks likely to be winning soon based on his recent Chelmsford near miss. He finished second in four of his last five outings.
• Al Muqdad: He ran well when reaching the frame on turf on his two outings prior to his latest run, but was below par in an AW event at Newcastle 18 days ago. He has previously won on Tapeta.

Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for CAPTAIN PARMA (nap), who looks likely to be winning soon based on his recent Chelmsford near miss. Tattie Bogle’s good Tapeta record makes him a likely threat.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups (W-R): 3yo 0-0-12, 4yo+ 3-6-25.
• Fate of Favourites: 201.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Grant Tuer 0-1-2, Michael Herrington 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Captain Parma (IRE):
  • Strengths: Highest rated, low-mileage 3yo, recent form suggests a win is imminent (near miss at Chelmsford).
  • Weaknesses: Still seeking a win in this grade (implied).
  • Suitability: Highly suited, believed by the Spotlight to be likely to win soon.
• Al Muqdad:
  • Strengths: Proven winner on Tapeta, showed recent good form reaching the frame on turf.
  • Weaknesses: Latest AW run 18 days ago was below par.
  • Suitability: Suitable for the Tapeta surface.

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17:30 Southwell 7f Maiden Stakes (Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Were Goosers (IRE) (Total Rating: 308.8667)
2. Kings Trust (Total Rating: 274.4062)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Were Goosers (IRE): This Starman colt ran a debut full of promise when finishing second to a Godolphin odds-on shot at Newmarket (7f) 12 days ago. He is expected to improve and will set a good standard.
• Kings Trust: Showed promise when finishing a close third at Newcastle (7f, AW) on debut. However, he failed to build on that effort when finishing a well-beaten fourth at Salisbury (1m) a fortnight ago. He races today in first-time blinkers.

Spotlight Verdict:
Hugo Palmer’s WE’RE GOOSERS sets the bar pretty high after his promising Newmarket second, although King’s Trust could give him something to think about if bouncing back to his debut form.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 2yo only.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): S & E Crisford 15-93, J & T Gosden 23-81, H Palmer 15-98, G Boughey 38-183.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Were Goosers (IRE):
  • Strengths: Highest rated, demonstrated clear potential on debut against quality opposition, open to anticipated improvement.
  • Weaknesses: Only one career start.
  • Suitability: Sets the standard in this Maiden Stakes.
• Kings Trust:
  • Strengths: Showed good form on his AW debut (third). First-time blinkers applied.
  • Weaknesses: Subsequent effort was disappointing, needs to return to debut form.
  • Suitability: Contender if responding positively to the blinkers and dropping back to debut form.

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18:00 Southwell 6f Novice Stakes (Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Bushwacker (IRE) (Total Rating: 251.9814)
2. Starlit City (IRE) (Total Rating: 249.4108)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Bushwacker (IRE): He was progressive in maiden/novice events, going close at Carlisle (6f) in August. He weakened quickly in a Doncaster sales race last time, which was considered a tough task. He should make more of an impact with his sights lowered. Cheekpieces retained.
• Starlit City (IRE): Ran to a fair level when third of 12 on her 5f Windsor debut 59 days ago. She showed greenness on that occasion, meaning improvement should be forthcoming. She is tongue-tied for this race.

Spotlight Verdict:
There was plenty to like about ROGUE CITATION’s debut third at Carlisle and this looks a decent chance for her. Starlit City is preferred to Bushwacker for the forecast spot.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 2yo only.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): K Burke 48-276, S Woods 15-96, O Sangster 10-50.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Bushwacker (IRE):
  • Strengths: Highest rated, demonstrated good form earlier in the season when going close at Carlisle. Expected to fare better dropping back in class.
  • Weaknesses: Recent weakening run in a sales race.
  • Suitability: Well suited by the drop in grade.
• Starlit City (IRE):
  • Strengths: Showed a fair level of form on debut, is expected to improve after demonstrating greenness, and is preferred by the Spotlight verdict over Bushwacker.
  • Weaknesses: Only one run so far.
  • Suitability: Expected to progress significantly.

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18:30 Southwell 1m Fillies Handicap (Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Lady Of Arabia (Total Rating: 283.085)
2. True Colors (FR) (Total Rating: 282.8883)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Lady Of Arabia: Dual C&D winner off her current mark last summer/autumn. She ran her best race this year when second at Kempton last time and looks likely to be winning again soon.
• True Colors (FR): Landed a 1m novice here in May during her initial three AW starts in the spring. She has since struggled in three subsequent turf handicaps.

Spotlight Verdict:
Top of the list is C&D winner LADY OF ARABIA (nap), who ran her best race this year when second at Kempton last time and looks likely to be winning again soon. Summer Heat impressed with how she travelled for a long way when second in a 1m2f AW handicap last time and could pose a big threat back at 1m.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo+ fillies & mares.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): E Houghton 3-59, M Botti 10-54.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Lady Of Arabia:
  • Strengths: Highest rated, proven C&D form, arrives following her best performance of the year, highly favoured by the Spotlight.
  • Weaknesses: None explicitly listed.
  • Suitability: Excellent claims, highly suited to conditions and competitive mark.
• True Colors (FR):
  • Strengths: High rating, previously won a novice here over this distance.
  • Weaknesses: Recent form on turf handicaps is poor, needing a revival this evening.
  • Suitability: Requires a return to her best AW form.

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19:00 Southwell 1m Handicap (Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Have You A Minute (Total Rating: 242.1489)
2. Fire Eyes (FR) (Total Rating: 235.7679)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Have You A Minute: C&D winner who built on a previous second to score last time at Wolverhampton (9.5f, AW) 12 days ago under Josephine Gordon. He did well to get up late after meeting trouble.
• Fire Eyes (FR): Has a consistent recent record of 2221412 since wearing a tongue-tie. Her latest effort was a runner-up finish over C&D last week. She runs from the same mark today, despite being due to be 3lb higher in the future.

Spotlight Verdict:
Fire Eyes can add to her string of good efforts but narrow preference is for HAVE YOU A MINUTE, who did well to lead late on at Wolverhampton last time and has a decent C&D record. Last-time-out C&D winner Jazz Scene should also have a say.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 4yo+.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): T Tate 2-44, R G Fell 23-192.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Have You A Minute:
  • Strengths: Highest rated, recent winner in good style, overcoming trouble. Has a decent C&D record. The 3lb rise should not stop him.
  • Weaknesses: None stated.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable based on current form and course record.
• Fire Eyes (FR):
  • Strengths: Consistent recent form (2221412), holds form well having finished second over C&D last week and runs off an unchanged mark today.
  • Weaknesses: None stated.
  • Suitability: Expected to go well due to consistency and C&D performance.

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19:30 Southwell 6f Handicap (Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Atomic Mass (IRE) (Total Rating: 234.1169)
2. Addarella (IRE) (Total Rating: 226.8781)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Atomic Mass (IRE): Won off 1lb lower on turf in June. He returned back on form when finishing second of 12 over C&D 17 days ago. Respected for a yard that has been among the winners recently.
• Addarella (IRE): She has been consistently placing, running third in a pair of C&D handicaps this autumn. Her better performance of the two recent runs was on the first occasion.

Spotlight Verdict:
The vote goes to C&D winner courtesy of ATOMIC MASS, who ran a back-to-form second over C&D last time. Naval Ensign‘s latest Yarmouth runner-up finish suggests she can win races for Jack Jones and she’s second choice ahead of Lucius Aurelius.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo only.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): K A Ryan 22-138, M Botti 10-54, M W Easterby 30-192.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Atomic Mass (IRE):
  • Strengths: Highest rated, demonstrated a return to form over C&D recently, stable is in good form.
  • Weaknesses: None explicitly listed.
  • Suitability: Strong contender based on recent C&D form.
• Addarella (IRE):
  • Strengths: Consistent performance over C&D this autumn (two thirds).
  • Weaknesses: Needs a bit more improvement to secure a first win here.
  • Suitability: Holds place claims based on C&D form.

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20:00 Southwell 1m6f Handicap (Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Inlet (Total Rating: 217.6467)
2. Lahire (FR) (Total Rating: 212.1654)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Inlet: Now 0-12. She has shown enough potential to suggest a race like this could be secured, including finishing second of ten over 2m at Wolverhampton last time. She runs off an unchanged mark.
• Lahire (FR): Although only 1-26, his sole win came at this track. He has placed twice in AW handicaps this summer, and softish ground may have been detrimental on his latest turf run.

Spotlight Verdict:
Although his hanging left last time is a slight concern, lightly raced 3yo BELAYA RIVER has it in him to win a race like this. Inlet (second choice), Sea Master and Mr Zippi can battle it out for minor honours.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups (W-R): 3yo 1-0-3, 4yo+ 0-2-7.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): R Guest 1-29, D McCain 4-34.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Inlet:
  • Strengths: Highest rated, retains potential despite being 0-12, proven staying ability (second over 2m last time).
  • Weaknesses: Still seeking a first win.
  • Suitability: Good contender from an unchanged mark.
• Lahire (FR):
  • Strengths: Course winner, strong AW handicap form this summer (two placings).
  • Weaknesses: Poor overall win rate (1-26).
  • Suitability: Place claims based on AW form.

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20:30 Southwell 1m3f Handicap (Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Takteek (Total Rating: 219.538)
2. Weegeebear (IRE) (Total Rating: 212.2329)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Takteek: Finished third of nine on handicap debut at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) last month, which was described as his best AW effort yet.
• Weegeebear (IRE): Scored in a clear-cut style at Newcastle (1m2f, Tapeta) 16 days ago on his fifth start for the new yard. He is back up 5lb but has returned to serious calculations.

Spotlight Verdict:
The ones to concentrate on may be WEEGEEBEAR, Heartened and Grizzieblanca, all with recent form on the Newcastle Tapeta and tentatively preferred in that order.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo+.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race.
• Trainer Records (AW W-R): J Owen 23-108, R Menzies 1-13, B Ellison 18-145.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

• Takteek:
  • Strengths: Highest rated, recent performance was his best AW run.
  • Weaknesses: Must reproduce best AW form.
  • Suitability: Holds claims if able to duplicate previous form.
• Weegeebear (IRE):
  • Strengths: Clear-cut recent winner, returned to serious calculations, favoured by the Spotlight.
  • Weaknesses: Up 5lb for his recent win.
  • Suitability: In serious form and well suited by the Tapeta surface.