Carlisle: This detailed analysis covers all Carlisle races for 16/10/2025 in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated runners in each race based on the ‘total’ TimeWise rating.

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1. 13:22 Carlisle: Claims Care Supporting Hospice At Home Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle (Class 4, 2m 1f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Bel Amigo (FR)279.2004
2Blue Fin (IRE)248.1127

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Bel Amigo (FR) (6yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 82.435, 25.8735, 23.4251, 14.3638, 9.4403, 3.7128, 2.9127, 0, 0, 0.
  • Comments: This three-time course winner ran well when third at Perth three weeks ago.

Blue Fin (IRE) (8yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 71.6522, 19.4257, 18.2507, 10.3851, 9.2776, 3.0029, 2.454, 1.3729, 1.6852, 1.188.
  • Comments: The horse bids to make a winning reappearance in this race for the second consecutive season.

Spotlight Verdict

Three-time course winner BEL AMIGO ran well when third at Perth three weeks ago and earns the vote now back here. Blue Fin bids to make a winning reappearance in this race for the second consecutive season and is feared most ahead of the lightly raced 5yo King Ulanda, who returns following wind surgery.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: The general reference for Novices Hurdle shows Favourites win/place history as 2416111112.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): N Alexander 0-1-7; D McCain 39-192 (60%); O Greenall / J Guerriero 8-46 (43%); M Todhunter 4-41 (100%); J K Hunter 0-4 (0%); M D Hammond 9-115 (25%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Bel Amigo (FR) (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Holds the highest overall TimeWise rating. He is a proven three-time course winner and is arriving off a recent respectable third place finish at Perth.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly cited.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable given his course performance history and current good form, earning the Spotlight vote.
  • Blue Fin (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise rating. Historically performs well on reappearance in this specific race.
    • Weaknesses: Returning to racing (reappearance).
    • Suitability: Feared most by the Spotlight analysis, suggesting he is a strong contender despite returning from a break.

2. 13:57 Carlisle: David Allen ‘Chasing Excellence’ Beginners’ Chase (Class 3, 2m)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Matchless (IRE)282.2169
2Tellherthename (IRE)281.8263

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Matchless (IRE) (7yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 69.16, 28.0065, 19.6942, 14.8752, 9.5656, 7.6036, 3.3701, 2.5146, 1.3555, 1.652.
  • Comments: Gained three consecutive wins over hurdles in May/June (2m-2m7f). His dam was useful over fences, indicating he could have a significant role in this race.

Tellherthename (IRE) (6yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 70.3498, 27.0824, 25.3428, 9.6124, 7.774, 5.0163, 4.161, 2.7075, 0, 0.
  • Comments: Showed mixed form over hurdles last season but ran well when fourth in the Grade 1 Fighting Fifth on his reappearance. This point winner goes well fresh and could improve significantly switching to fences.

Spotlight Verdict

Tellherthename mixed form over hurdles in a light campaign last season but ran well when fourth of seven in the Grade 1 Fighting Fifth on his reappearance and this point winner could improve for today’s switch to fences and is a major player.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 4yo+ which have not won a chase.
  • Age Groups (General Chase Stats): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 2-3-14, 7yo 3-3-22, 8yo 1-6-24, 9yo 3-2-15, 10yo 1-1-9, 11yo 0-1-9, 12yo 0-1-1.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): J Candlish 4-47 (57%); J ONeill and AJ 0-0-0; M Walford 7-53 (75%); N G Richards 26-130 (50%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Matchless (IRE) (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; proven recent winning form over hurdles; pedigree suggests he should handle fences.
    • Weaknesses: Unproven over fences (Beginners Chase).
    • Suitability: Highly promising chase debutant based on flat speed and potential breeding.
  • Tellherthename (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Very close second TimeWise rating; strong hurdling form (Grade 1 level); proven point winner, suggesting jumping ability; goes well fresh.
    • Weaknesses: Mixed form over hurdles last season.
    • Suitability: Considered a major player due to his rules form and point experience, expected to thrive over fences.

3. 14:32 Carlisle: Davy Plastering Supporting Hospice At Home Novices Hurdle (Class 4, 2m 1f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Aeroplane Blonde217.5608
2Drivers Pick (IRE)176.6006

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Aeroplane Blonde (5yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 59.5232, 23.4882, 14.8706, 5.3496, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.
  • Comments: Showed ability in bumpers and placed fourth in a hurdles start at Uttoxeter. However, he probably needs a better run today.

Drivers Pick (IRE) (4yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): All recent form figures listed are 0, suggesting no recent runs.
  • Comments: An ex-French Flat performer who is generally respected, being named the second choice by Spotlight.

Spotlight Verdict

Point winner CAVE BRIDGE has joined a good stable for his rules career and can make a winning start in this sphere. The ex-French Flat performer Driver’s Pick is second choice ahead of Hexham runner-up Ryebridge.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 4yo+ which have not won more than two hurdles.
  • Age Groups (General Novices Hurdle Stats): 4yo 1-5-20, 5yo 7-9-51, 6yo 1-5-17, 7yo 1-0-8, 8yo 0-1-2.
  • Fate of Favourites (General Novices Hurdle Stats): 2416111112.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): S Drinkwater 0-10 (0%); D McCain 39-192 (60%); H Derham 1-2 (58%); J Parkinson & S Smith 2-11 (67%); S Corbett 4-39 (57%); M Barnes 0-32 (67%); L Russell & M Scudamore 0-0 (50%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Aeroplane Blonde (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; has previous hurdles experience.
    • Weaknesses: Needs a significant step up in performance based on past runs.
    • Suitability: Has ability but facing stern competition from unexposed types.
  • Drivers Pick (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise rating; unexposed as an ex-French Flat performer.
    • Weaknesses: No recent rules form shown.
    • Suitability: Considered the second choice in the race by the Spotlight team due to potential from his Flat background.

4. 15:07 Carlisle: Vesta Wealth Handicap Chase (Class 3, 3m ½f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Presentandcounting (IRE)280.2095
2Dare To Shout277.968

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Presentandcounting (IRE) (11yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 67.195, 36.1843, 24.648, 11.1964, 5.232, 4.6134, 3.2873, 1.9832, 3.116, 1.589.
  • Comments: A C&D winner who lines up on a competitive mark. He is race-fit and cannot be discounted.

Dare To Shout (8yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 66.4835, 30.3439, 20.2941, 10.8406, 6.3216, 6.7333, 6.2719, 2.8861, 1.3706, 2.2265.
  • Comments: Below par in April when last seen, but previously enjoyed a solid campaign including a win here (2m4f, good to soft) last November. Stays the distance, acts on good ground, and goes well fresh.

Spotlight Verdict

Course winner Dare To Shout goes well fresh and could be a major player on his reappearance but preference is for the resurgent 10yo ALMAZHAR GARDE, who has won at Worcester on his last two starts. The race-fit Presentandcounting could also run well.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 4yo+.
  • Age Groups (General Chase Stats): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 2-3-14, 7yo 3-3-22, 8yo 1-6-24, 9yo 3-2-15, 10yo 1-1-9, 11yo 0-1-9, 12yo 0-1-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (General Chase Stats): 35322P446F.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): Mrs A Hamilton 11-30 (50%); L Russell & M Scudamore 0-0 (50%); C Longsdon 4-21 (40%); D McCain 39-192 (60%); M Todhunter 4-41 (100%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Presentandcounting (IRE) (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; C&D winner and race-fit.
    • Weaknesses: Aged 11.
    • Suitability: Strong contender, expected to run well due to fitness and track form.
  • Dare To Shout (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Close second TimeWise rating; known to go well fresh; proven course winner who acts on good ground.
    • Weaknesses: Reappearing after being below par in April.
    • Suitability: Major player if performing to his potential on return.

5. 15:42 Carlisle: JJ Group Contracting Handicap Hurdle (Class 5, 2m 4f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Looking Splendid271.1462
2Born In The West (IRE)249.4088

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Looking Splendid (7yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 88.8, 27.9205, 12.0738, 10.1784, 5.0151, 4.6668, 4.4113, 2.5358, 1.0481, 1.5128.
  • Comments: Won a conditionals’ handicap at Kelso recently, and as a result, he escapes a penalty here. He has to be respected.

Born In The West (IRE) (6yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 61.9118, 30.206, 21.376, 10.7695, 6.5749, 5.1473, 2.387, 1.9619, 0.9335, 1.6381.
  • Comments: Was steadily progressive after switching to handicaps in February, securing a win at Catterick and running well in two strong subsequent races. Reappears with the trainer currently among the winners; could have more to offer.

Spotlight Verdict

Topweight BORN IN THE WEST ran well in defeat in two strong races at the end of last season and, with trainer Sam England among the winners, he’s taken to make a winning return. Looking Splendid escapes a penalty for his recent win at Kelso and is second choice.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: The general reference for Novices Hurdle shows Favourites win/place history as 2416111112.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): G Rutherford 0-0-0; S England 0-1-6; A Nicol 0-5 (100%); O Greenall / J Guerriero 8-46 (43%); M D Hammond 9-115 (25%); L Harrison 0-1-2; C Longsdon 4-21 (40%); D Bourke 4-37 (100%); N Richards 26-130 (50%); M Walford 7-53 (75%); P Kirby 3-46 (44%); H Burns 0-2 (67%); W Young Jnr 0-5 (100%); D McCain 39-192 (60%); J Dixon 0-0-0.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Looking Splendid (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; recent winner avoiding a penalty.
    • Weaknesses: None cited, though is the second choice of the Spotlight.
    • Suitability: Must be respected based on numerical rating and favourable weight conditions.
  • Born In The West (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise rating; finished last season strongly in good company; trainer is in form.
    • Weaknesses: Reappearing after a break.
    • Suitability: Tipped for a winning return and potential to offer more due to relative inexperience in handicaps.

6. 16:15 Carlisle: Eddie Wannop Handicap Chase (Class 4, 2m 4f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Busty Boy (IRE)263.5234
2Forged Well (IRE)258.9526

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Busty Boy (IRE) (8yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 95.2409, 46.2645, 20.6118, 6.2842, 5.0882, 4.5882, 3.9912, 1.9492, 1.1314, 1.5084.
  • Comments: Finished second on his final three starts last season (3m-3m6f, including here). The stiff track provides some compensation for the drop back in trip.

Forged Well (IRE) (6yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 64.6948, 32.4762, 13.9586, 8.4046, 7.8362, 8.0138, 4.9576, 2.8864, 1.872, 1.146.
  • Comments: Won a novice hurdle here in December 2023 and a handicap hurdle in February. He is making his chasing debut.

Spotlight Verdict

Course winner Hello Judge won this two years ago and is high on the list on his reappearance. However, preference is for ALSHADHIAN, whose recent runner-up efforts at Worcester have worked out well; he should take some beating.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 4yo+.
  • Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 2-3-14, 7yo 3-3-22, 8yo 1-6-24, 9yo 3-2-15, 10yo 1-1-9, 11yo 0-1-9, 12yo 0-1-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 35322P446F.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): D Bourke 4-37 (100%); M Todhunter 4-41 (100%); C Longsdon 4-21 (40%); O Greenall / J Guerriero 8-46 (43%); D McCain 39-192 (60%); E Whillans 0-0-0.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Busty Boy (IRE) (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; proven course form and consistently placed last season.
    • Weaknesses: Lacks a recent run; the drop back in trip (from staying distances) is a concern.
    • Suitability: Retains potential due to high rating and stiff track compensation, but fitness is a major unknown.
  • Forged Well (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise rating; proven winning form over hurdles, including at this track.
    • Weaknesses: Making chase debut.
    • Suitability: Unexposed over fences, potential exists given his overall rating, but jumping ability is untested in chase company.

7. 16:50 Carlisle: Margaret Long Memorial Open National Hunt Flat Race (Class 5, 2m 1f)

RankHorse NameTotal TimeWise Rating
1Western George (IRE)212.526
2Knockeranna Rose (IRE)210.5544

Top Two Recent Form and Comments

Western George (IRE) (4yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): All recent form figures listed are 0, suggesting no recent runs.
  • Comments: Soundly beaten on his debut at Newbury in March, where he pulled hard. The form of that race has since worked out well, and he could be a different proposition today for his respected stable.

Knockeranna Rose (IRE) (5yo)

  • Recent Form (Last 10 TimeWise scores): 55.986, 19.7741, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.
  • Comments: Demonstrated some ability when finishing fourth of eight at Hexham in June on her second start. Needs another step forward to make an impact.

Spotlight Verdict

Preference is for NOBOTHERATALL, who has filled the frame on both his bumper runs and was beaten only 1l last time. Western George is considered a different proposition today for his respected stable and is second choice.

Race Statistics

  • Age Restrictions: 4-5yo which have not run under any recognised Rules of Racing except NH/INH Flat races.
  • Age Groups: 4yo 2-4-25, 5yo 3-5-17, 6yo 0-0-3.
  • Fate of Favourites: 32125.
  • Trainer Records (Win-Place-Runs, Last 14 days %): J ONeill and AJ 0-0-0; S Corbett 4-39 (57%); B S Rothwell 0-0-0; L Russell & M Scudamore 0-0 (50%); J Parkinson & S Smith 2-11 (67%); D McCain 39-192 (60%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Western George (IRE) (1st Rated):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise rating; high potential given that the form of his debut race proved strong; respected stable.
    • Weaknesses: Poor initial debut performance.
    • Suitability: Expecting major improvement on his second start, making him a serious contender.
  • Knockeranna Rose (IRE) (2nd Rated):
    • Strengths: Second highest TimeWise rating; has shown ability previously.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to take a step up in form to compete for the win here.
    • Suitability: Place possibility if showing progression.

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