---

Fakenham Race Analysis (Chronological Order)

2.05 Fakenham Racecourse Supports Autism In Racing Mares Handicap Chase (2m 59y, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Settle Down Jill (8/11)
2. No No Fizz (7/2)

Recent Form and Comments

• Settle Down Jill (5yo, OR 107): This Irish point winner made all in a Chepstow mares’ novice hurdle recently (2m4f, good), jumping notably well. She is switching straight to fences with no time wasted. Her dual-purpose pedigree includes chase winners.
• No No Fizz (7yo, OR 106): Her effectiveness around sharp tracks was reaffirmed by hurdles wins at Lingfield and Musselburgh last year. She is proven to be able to make all, though she doesn’t have to. She has chase winners in her pedigree, but this is her first run since March, and she historically does not excel when fresh.

Spotlight Verdict

This low-key chasing debut looks an appreciably more realistic engagement for SETTLE DOWN JILL than her alternative Listed hurdle. Her alacrity and strong jumping during her recent Chepstow success bode well for her likely assertive tactics back down in trip. Belle Montrose is considered next best, while previous precedent suggests No No Fizz will benefit from this outing.

Race Statistics

No specific Age Group, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Record statistics were provided for this particular race in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Settle Down Jill (Strengths): Comes into the race following a win in a novice hurdle where she jumped notably well. Her pedigree supports chasing, and she is expected to be played assertively.
• Settle Down Jill (Weaknesses): This is her chasing debut.
• No No Fizz (Strengths): Proven on sharp tracks and at making the running, and holds a pedigree for chasing.
• No No Fizz (Weaknesses): Returning from an absence (since March) and often runs poorly when fresh.

---

2.40 Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f 1y, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Back In The Bay (10/11)
2. At Mangan Bridge (11/4)

Recent Form and Comments

• Back In The Bay (6yo, OR 108): A C&D maiden scorer. Her last outing in July saw her win a 2m3f Stratford mares’ handicap by making all. She is thought to be better suited by slightly longer trips, making today’s additional yardage beneficial. However, she faces a 7lb rise in weight.
• At Mangan Bridge (7yo, OR 103): Got off the mark recently in a Southwell novice (2m4f, good), leading all the way in his first run since wind surgery. His initial mark requires further improvement, but he comes into the race with high confidence.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict favours CLEAN GETAWAY as the runner least likely to contest the early lead, arriving back below a previous winning mark. Both Back In The Bay (next best) and At Mangan Bridge failed to record new personal best RPRs in their recent all-the-way victories and are not deemed to be on obviously generous marks.

Race Statistics

No specific Age Group, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Record statistics were provided for this particular race in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Back In The Bay (Strengths): Proven C&D winner coming off a winning performance. The slight step up in distance is considered a positive.
• Back In The Bay (Weaknesses): Faces a significant 7lb rise and did not improve her RPR last time out.
• At Mangan Bridge (Strengths): Recent winner after wind surgery, coming in with high confidence.
• At Mangan Bridge (Weaknesses): His current mark demands further improvement, and he also did not record a new personal best RPR last time.

---

3.15 Axe The Racing Tax Novices’ Hurdle (2m 3y, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Sixpack (11/8)
2. Solanna (10/1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Sixpack (5yo, OR N/A): On the Flat, his form has been mixed, though heavy ground or Class 2 company offered excuses for his below-par performances. He begins his hurdling career at a realistic level. (Hurdling debut).
• Solanna (6yo, OR N/A): Has been hard to keep out of the frame in Flat handicaps (1m2f-1m4f) over the past year, only being headed close home at Kempton most recently. He has no immediate jumping pedigree but should handle the ground conditions. (Hurdling debut).

Spotlight Verdict

Preference is for SQUEEZEBOX, who is expected to enjoy the fast bends based on his Market Rasen success in August. It should not be assumed that Sixpack will easily beat Squeezebox, especially as Sixpack has three recent below-par runs on the Flat to overcome when switching disciplines.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (Historical): 4yo 4-3-22, 5yo 4-3-20, 6yo 1-3-9, 7yo 0-0-2, 8yo 0-0-4.
• Fate of Favourites (Historical): 112241111.
• Trainer Records in this Race (W-Pl-R): James Owen 1-0-1, Stuart Edmunds 1-0-2.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Sixpack (Strengths): Starts his hurdling career at a realistic level, and excuses are provided for recent poor Flat runs.
• Sixpack (Weaknesses): Has struggled in recent Flat outings and pedigree offers limited encouragement for jumping.
• Solanna (Strengths): Consistent form on the Flat, and should handle the good ground.
• Solanna (Weaknesses): Lacks jumping prowess in his immediate pedigree.

---

3.50 Axe The Racing Tax Maiden Hurdle (2m 4f 1y, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Blue Universe (9/4)
2. The Clonmel Kid (3/1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Blue Universe (5yo, OR 100): A fair winner over 1m2f on the Flat. He has demonstrated similar form over hurdles, finishing a good runner-up in a 2m4f Worcester novice three weeks ago, only collared late on. This makes him a “big shout”.
• The Clonmel Kid (6yo, OR 110): Is capable of fair form at his best. He was not disgraced when finishing third of four in a 2m4f Wetherby novice just two days ago. He is considered well in the mix if he can back up that recent effort.

Spotlight Verdict

The vote goes to BLUE UNIVERSE due to his fair winning Flat form and signalling that he is ready to strike over hurdles after being caught late at Worcester last time. Neil King’s new recruit, Breezethroughlife, is named as the chief threat.

Race Statistics

No specific Age Group, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Record statistics were provided for this particular race in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Blue Universe (Strengths): Proven over Flat and hurdles, recent excellent form over today’s distance, looks set to win.
• Blue Universe (Weaknesses): Was collared late on in his last race.
• The Clonmel Kid (Strengths): Consistent performer at a fair level, and showed capability just two days ago.
• The Clonmel Kid (Weaknesses): The rapid turnaround (running two days after his last race) raises questions.

---

4.25 Axe The Racing Tax Handicap Chase (2m 5f 44y, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Police Academy (11/10)
2. Shadows In The Sky (11/4)

Recent Form and Comments

• Police Academy (8yo, OR 104): Was disqualified from a hard-fought Uttoxeter chase win (3m, good) in June, gained off today’s mark, due to an ovarian tumour being found later (which had increased her testosterone levels). Her effectiveness at today’s shorter trip is well proven, and this contest appears easier than her last 0-120 race.
• Shadows In The Sky (9yo, OR 110): Has been highly consistent. Last time out, he struggled in a brush hurdle series final at Worcester. He returns to fences here in calmer waters, although he is still rated above any class he has previously won in.

Spotlight Verdict

The highly unusual disqualification of Police Academy throws no shade on the merit of her Uttoxeter chase win, which was gained off today’s unchanged mark in a higher-banded Class 4. POLICE ACADEMY (nap) is expected to receive compensation. Shadows In The Sky and Taxus Baccata are noted as having yet to win above Class 5.

Race Statistics

No specific Age Group, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Record statistics were provided for this particular race in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Police Academy (Strengths): Runs off the same mark as a recent (disqualified) win, proven over this trip, and faces an easier contest.
• Police Academy (Weaknesses): Recent medical issues noted.
• Shadows In The Sky (Strengths): Generally consistent performer, switching back to fences.
• Shadows In The Sky (Weaknesses): Struggled on his last run over hurdles, still campaigning above the class level in which he has won.

---

5.00 Racing TV Conditional Jockeys Limited Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f 1y, Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Carlton (2/1)
2. Gone In Sixty (11/4)

Recent Form and Comments

• Carlton (5yo, OR 93): Showed a better round of jumping than usual ten days ago at Huntingdon (2m4f, good), finishing a close second and reproducing his hurdling best RPR. He is 1lb well in and is still relatively unexposed over this distance in jumps races.
• Gone In Sixty (8yo, OR 85): His June C&D win is his only success in 31 starts. He went mightily close over fences last month and maintains good form, giving him place claims.

Spotlight Verdict

The vote goes to CARLTON, the 1lb well-in representative, who is taken to make his comparative match fitness count, providing he avoids a recurrence of his previous jumping issues on this sharp track. His recent near-miss was gained over approximately today’s distance and more recently than Dartmouth Rose’s second. C&D scorer Gone In Sixty is also considered due to his current good form.

Race Statistics

No specific Age Group, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Record statistics were provided for this particular race in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

• Carlton (Strengths): Strong recent form (near-miss) over a similar trip, reproducing his best RPR. He is well-weighted (1lb well in) and possesses superior match fitness.
• Carlton (Weaknesses): Has a history of jumping issues which could be provoked by the sharp track layout.
• Gone In Sixty (Strengths): C&D winner, recently showed good form over fences, and is noted by the Spotlight as being “on too good terms with himself”.
• Gone In Sixty (Weaknesses): Poor win ratio (1 win in 31 starts).