Redcar Race Analysis (Chronological Order)
Race 1: 1.10 Watch Live On Racing TV EBF Novice Stakes (6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Night Mission (13/8) and Missile Kode (IRE) (12/1) as the top two contenders.
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Night Mission | 2/9-4 | Made a promising start when running 80-1 second at Haydock (6f, good) behind a subsequent Listed winner. Held third of five on his return three weeks ago (another useful contest), keeping on from off the pace. This race is not as tough; he has leading claims. |
| Missile Kode (IRE) | 2/9-4 | Finished a remote last of six on debut at Haydock (6f, good to soft) last month, starting as an outsider. Needs a transformation on his second start. |
Spotlight Verdict
Preference is for NIGHT MISSION, who showed promise behind useful rivals in his two runs at Haydock last month and sets the standard. The main threat could come from Harswell Angel… The pick of the newcomers could be Real Jack. (Note: Cape Ashizuri, listed in the racecard, is a non-runner.)
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 2yo only. (Detailed age group statistics unavailable for this race in the sources.)
- Fate of Favourites: 11214121.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Michael Dods 1-1-7, Tim Easterby 1-0-9.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Night Mission:
- Strengths: Sets the standard based on strong prior performances (second to a Listed winner and a creditable third in a useful contest). Keeps on well from off the pace. Faces calmer waters here.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly stated, though only two runs so far.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on form and class level.
- Missile Kode (IRE):
- Strengths: Should know more on his second start.
- Weaknesses: Was a remote last on debut and requires a transformation.
- Suitability: Needs significant improvement to feature.
Race 2: 1.40 Join Racing TV Now Nursery Handicap (5f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Regal Dream (11/4) and Woody Y Fernandez (9/2).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Regal Dream | 2/9-9 | Showed promise in her three qualifying runs, including a front-running third over C&D (good) last month. This is a more realistic assignment on nursery debut and she is an interesting contender off a workable mark. |
| Woody Y Fernandez | 2/9-3 | Is 0-7 and was disappointing at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) last week, but previously ran close (nose defeat) at Windsor (6f, good) in August. Can miss the break; drops to 5f but is a player if he can bounce back near his best. |
Spotlight Verdict
It might be worth siding with REGAL DREAM, who showed promise in her qualifying runs including when a front-running third over C&D last month. She should have more to offer now switched to a nursery and could be a big factor off what looks a workable mark.
Race Statistics
- (Race statistics for Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, and Trainer Records are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.)
Assessment of the Top Two
- Regal Dream:
- Strengths: Proven form over C&D (third place). Workable mark for nursery debut. Front-running style can be advantageous.
- Weaknesses: Was unable to match the first two in her latest C&D run.
- Suitability: High suitability for nursery debut at this track and distance.
- Woody Y Fernandez:
- Strengths: Has shown competitive form recently (narrow defeat at 6f).
- Weaknesses: Last run was disappointing. Can miss the break. Drops to 5f, which is unproven.
- Suitability: Needs to overcome recent poor form and prove effectiveness at the minimum trip.
Race 3: 2.15 Market Cross Jewellers British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (1m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Beyond The Bar (IRE) (9/4) and Pantiles Gift (7/2).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Beyond The Bar | 2/9-7 | Has shown promise in a couple of soft-ground contests, most recently finishing clear second behind a cosy winner at Catterick (7f). He is bred by King Power Racing and is a leading player back up in trip. |
| Pantiles Gift | 2/9-5 | Form figures (732) show he is heading firmly in the right direction. He showed a game attitude and nearly made all at Bath (1m, good to soft) most recently. He is respected. |
Spotlight Verdict
Catterick runner-up BEYOND THE BAR is taken to go one better and emulate his parents by winning for King Power Racing. Pantile’s Gift, who has shown steady improvement, is feared most ahead of Maxwellcan who is bred to do better still.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 4-3-22, 5yo 4-3-20, 6yo 1-3-9, 7yo 0-0-2, 8yo 0-0-4 (Note: These statistics appear to be from a general grouping; all runners in this specific race are 2yo).
- Fate of Favourites: 4134.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Charlie Johnston 0-1-2, Nigel Tinkler 0-1-4, Tim Easterby 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Beyond The Bar:
- Strengths: High RPR (82). Proven promise in two starts (clear second latest). Bred to appreciate the longer trip (1m).
- Weaknesses: Only two runs, seeking first win.
- Suitability: Leading player; expected to relish the step up to 1m.
- Pantiles Gift:
- Strengths: Consistent improvement (7-3-2 form). Showed gameness and effectiveness at 1m recently.
- Weaknesses: Lower RPR (76) compared to the top selection.
- Suitability: Expected to be competitive based on steady progress and proven ability at the trip.
Race 4: 2.50 Sam Hall Memorial Handicap (5f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Monks Dream (IRE) (5/1) and Wen Moon (IRE) (12/1).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Monks Dream (IRE) | 4/9-9 | Got back on track with a clear second of ten over C&D 23 days ago. He is yet to win on turf. He must enter calculations after being nudged up 1lb. |
| Wen Moon (IRE) | 5/9-6 | Caught the eye when seventh at Haydock (5f) last month but failed to build on that, finishing sixth in a 5f Ripon handicap 20 days ago. It has been 20 starts since his last victory in 2023. |
Spotlight Verdict
A trappy sprint. WITHOUT FLAW and Wrestling Revenue fought out a good finish at Pontefract last time and Tina Jackson’s filly is taken to reverse the placings on these 5lb more advantageous terms. Handicap debutante Komorkis and Tim Easterby’s in-form duo Happier and Monks Dream can also have a say.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-9, 4yo+ 2-2-14.
- Fate of Favourites: 23.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tim Easterby 0-2-4.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Monks Dream (IRE):
- Strengths: Strong recent C&D form (clear second). Only a small weight rise (1lb).
- Weaknesses: Has not won on turf previously.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on recent course form; strong contender despite turf maiden status.
- Wen Moon (IRE):
- Strengths: Capable of running well (caught the eye at Haydock). Possesses a high Topspeed rating (84).
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent; failed to build on previous promise. Long losing sequence stretching back to 2023.
- Suitability: Needs to run to his potential ceiling (suggested by Topspeed) but unreliable given recent efforts.
Race 5: 3.25 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Missmimi (4/1) and Showtime Mahomes (7/1).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Missmimi | 5/8-12 | Recorded two wins at Pontefract this season. Had traffic issues before finishing well for second at Pontefract (6f, soft) 11 days ago. A key player off an unchanged mark, and should be fine back on quicker ground. |
| Showtime Mahomes | 6/9-12 | Six-time winner (five on turf). Ran well in a Class 4 at York in July following a comfortable success at Carlisle (6f). Held in fifth last time at Hamilton. Has claims if he can recapture previous winning form; versatile ground-wise. |
Spotlight Verdict
An open race in which the vote goes to MISSMIMI, who has had two wins this season and was a strong-finishing second behind a progressive 3yo at Pontefract 11 days ago. Dream Deal… is feared most ahead of five-time turf winner Showtime Mahomes.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 2-3-12, 4yo+ 1-3-18.
- Fate of Favourites: 150.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tim Easterby 1-2-7, Grant Tuer 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Missmimi:
- Strengths: Excellent recent form (two wins, recent second). Unchanged mark. Should handle the return to quicker ground.
- Weaknesses: Encountered traffic issues last time.
- Suitability: Key player based on upward trajectory and stable form.
- Showtime Mahomes:
- Strengths: Proven winner (six times, five on turf). Capable of performing in higher class races (Class 4).
- Weaknesses: Held in latest outing at Hamilton.
- Suitability: Contender if returning to his previous winning standard.
Race 6: 4.00 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Div I) (7f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Oscars Sister (IRE) (11/4) and Reginald Charles (4/1).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar’s Sister (IRE) | 5/9-9 | Winless since 2022 but got right back on track when narrowly denied in an 11-runner handicap over C&D 23 days ago. Not taken lightly despite being nudged up 2lb. |
| Reginald Charles | 5/9-8 | A dual 7f AW scorer early in 2025. Comes here in good form, running fourth of ten in a 1m Beverley handicap in August. Much respected after a break. |
Spotlight Verdict
Not as competitive as the numbers suggest and Steph Hollinshead’s in-form filly Albeyours is taken to quickly resume winning ways… Resurgent C&D second Oscar’s Sister looks the one to give her most to do, although Dylan Cunha’s handicap debutant Knightmare could also have a say.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-8-35, 4yo+ 7-10-73.
- Fate of Favourites: 42040435.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tim Easterby 2-0-9, Declan Carroll 1-0-4, Ivan Furtado 0-1-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Oscar’s Sister (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed resurgent form recently at C&D (just denied).
- Weaknesses: Long losing sequence dating back to 2022. Carries a 2lb rise.
- Suitability: Highly suited by C&D form; predicted to be the main danger to the selection.
- Reginald Charles:
- Strengths: Dual 7f winner this year (AW). In good recent form (August).
- Weaknesses: Coming off a break. Previous wins were on AW, needs to replicate on turf.
- Suitability: Respected, particularly if performing well after the break.
Race 7: 4.35 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Div II) (7f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Lumenbourg (11/4) and Yafaarr (IRE) (5/1).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Lumenbourg | 4/10-0 | Remains in a very consistent vein of form, with figures reading 23313323 since April. Was a beaten favourite over C&D last time. Still on a career-high mark; solid. |
| Yafaarr (IRE) | 3/9-7 | A seven-race maiden who has produced form figures of 432 since joining the new stable, all runs occurring on Newcastle AW. He is heading in the right direction and has possibilities if equally effective back on turf. |
Spotlight Verdict
A first success may well be the next step for YAFAARR, whose steady progress since handicapping is reflected in form figures of 5432. Military Leader… is second choice. Lumenbourg and Evocative Spark are much more exposed but they hold solid claims.
Race Statistics
- (Race statistics for Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, and Trainer Records are not available in the provided sources for this specific race, which is Div II of the 4.00 race.)
Assessment of the Top Two
- Lumenbourg:
- Strengths: Highly consistent runner with numerous placings since April. Solid claims.
- Weaknesses: Still on a career-high mark.
- Suitability: Reliable horse who should be involved, despite the weight.
- Yafaarr (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed steady progress in recent AW runs (432). Low-mileage contender.
- Weaknesses: Still a maiden. Needs to prove he is equally effective returning to turf, as recent form is all on AW.
- Suitability: Predicted to break his maiden status based on progression, provided he handles the turf switch.
Race 8: 5.05 Watch Racing Replays At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap (1m 2f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The TimeWise Master Ratings Report lists Salaria (IRE) (6/4) and Masekela (IRE) (7/1).
| Horse | Age/Weight | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Salaria (IRE) | 3/11-1 | Justified favouritism on stable debut last month at Pontefract (1m2f, good to soft), opening her account at the ninth attempt. May build on that win. Was subsequently withdrawn at Ffos Las due to being unruly in the stalls. Highly respected otherwise. |
| Masekela (IRE) | 6/11-1 | Runner-up in a similar event at Ripon in August. Has place claims if back to that form. His losing sequence stretches back four years. |
Spotlight Verdict
With further improvement possible, SALARIA (nap) is taken to follow up her Pontefract success. Epicurian Lad, who looks interesting despite still being a maiden, is second choice ahead of Pride Of Nepal who has reasonably solid claims.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 2-4-29, 4yo+ 7-14-88.
- Fate of Favourites: 316050622.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Richard Fahey 2-2-5, Rebecca Menzies 0-2-4, Tim Easterby 0-2-10.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Salaria (IRE):
- Strengths: Recent winner at this trip; expected to show further progress. Low mileage for a handicap horse (nine starts).
- Weaknesses: Showed potential issue being unruly in the stalls previously.
- Suitability: Nap selection; leads the field if behaving at the start.
- Masekela (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed place claims in a similar event recently (Ripon runner-up in August).
- Weaknesses: Has not won in four years; difficult to see him going one better than a placing.
- Suitability: Potential for a place if replicating recent form.
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