Newton Abbot: This analysis works through the Newton Abbot races scheduled for October 18, 2025, in chronological order, using the Total TimeWise (TS) rating for the Top Two identification.

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2.15 British Stallion Studs EBF ‘National Hunt’ Novices’ Hurdle (2m1f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1Le Soleil ReveMrs J Williams103
2HavefunontherunF O’Brien43

(Note: The Top Two horses are identified as Le Soleil Reve and Havefunontherun in the Ratings Report, corresponding to the highest available TS ratings from the detailed race card).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Le Soleil Reve (4yo, 10st 13lb): Built upon an encouraging debut by winning a five-runner junior hurdle at Hereford (2m, soft) in February. He runs without a penalty here and ought to make his presence felt. He has not been seen since his win 237 days ago.
  • Havefunontherun (5yo, 11st 6lb): Finished a close fourth on his bumper debut in April and then won a run-of-the-mill Worcester maiden hurdle (2m, good) the following month. He needs to improve to overcome his penalty for that win.

Spotlight Verdict

The suggestion is that the most interesting runner is HOT TO GO, who was purchased for a six-figure sum after a very promising Irish point debut in February. Winning hurdlers Le Soleil Reve (second choice) and Havefunontherun should both feature, while Paul Nicholls’ bumper winner Calvino also has possibilities.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
Le Soleil ReveWinner over hurdles (junior hurdle). Runs without a penalty.Returns after a 237-day break.
HavefunontherunWinner of a maiden hurdle. Has potential.Carries a penalty, requiring improvement to overcome it.

2.54 Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase (3m2f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1Of Corse I CanN Mulholland76
2BlackacreE Williams56

(Note: The Top Two horses are identified as Of Corse I Can and Blackacre in the Ratings Report).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Of Corse I Can (8yo, 10st 11lb): Was 0-12 over hurdles but successfully opened his account over fences on his second attempt, winning a five-runner contest at Fontwell (3m2f, good) a fortnight ago. He is only 2lb higher and is still very unexposed over this trip, giving him a good chance.
  • Blackacre (6yo, 11st 4lb): Hit form in August when fitted with a new visor, securing two clear-margin wins over this C&D (good/good to soft). However, he was well beaten on his two subsequent outings last month, including back over C&D. He wears refitted cheekpieces today and needs to bounce back.

Spotlight Verdict

Of Corse I Can might use his recent Fontwell success as a springboard, but the form achieved is modest. Preference is instead for LOCK OUT, who, despite being inconsistent, won off a similar mark when fresh last autumn and is expected to dominate from the front. C&D winner Testflight is rated next.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
Of Corse I CanRecent winner over fences. Only 2lb higher than his last win and unexposed over the trip.His recent winning form is described as modest.
BlackacreProven C&D winner, scoring twice in August. Wears refitted cheekpieces.Needs to bounce back after being well beaten in his last two runs.

3.35 Wollens Full Spectrum Law Handicap Hurdle (2m1f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1American LandJ Tizzard113
2Courageous StrikeP Nicholls91

(Note: The Top Two horses are identified as Courageous Strike and American Land in the Ratings Report).

Recent Form and Comments

  • American Land (7yo, 11st 6lb): Is a very progressive 7yo who won five of his last six races. He battled well for a narrow C&D (good) success in June. He has fitness to prove after a 136-day break.
  • Courageous Strike (4yo, 10st 13lb): A useful Flat racer. He was 2-3 in novice/maiden hurdles for Paul Nicholls in the spring. He is tackling much stronger opposition on this handicap hurdle debut.

Spotlight Verdict

The handicap debutant Courageous Strike (second choice) is still very unexposed over hurdles, while there may still be even more improvement to come from American Land. However, low-mileage 5yo DANCE AND GLANCE is preferred, as he didn’t have the race run to suit his patient tactics when fifth in a major handicap at Haydock in May and could still have considerable potential.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
American LandHighly progressive (won 5 of last 6). C&D winner with potential for more improvement.Has fitness to prove after a 136-day break.
Courageous StrikeUseful Flat racer, 2-3 in novice hurdles, and very unexposed over jumps.Tackling much stronger opposition on handicap debut. Has a tendency to race too freely.

4.15 Remembering Len & Pam Cartwright Handicap Hurdle (2m5½f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1Busy Being BusyS Edmunds104
2Al SayahN Mulholland92

(Note: The Top Two horses are identified as Al Sayah and Busy Being Busy in the Ratings Report).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Busy Being Busy (5yo, 12st 0lb): Made excellent progress late last season, winning three consecutive 2m4f handicaps. He was not seen to the same effect when reappearing over 2m last month but may kick on again now he’s back up in trip and has that run behind him.
  • Al Sayah (5yo, 12st 0lb): Won twice over C&D (good) in May. Posted what was arguably another career-best performance when placed in a valuable contest at Cartmel (2m6f, good) in July.

Spotlight Verdict

The suggestion is BUSY BEING BUSY (nap), who made a satisfactory reappearance over 2m last month and can now resume the rapid progress he made over 2m4f at the end of last season. Al Sayah (second choice) and Diplomatie are likely to be right in the thick of things.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
Busy Being BusyVery progressive, having won three consecutive handicaps. Should benefit from stepping back up in trip after a satisfactory reappearance.His reappearance run over 2m was not as effective.
Al SayahDual C&D winner. Posted a career-best performance in a valuable contest in July.Returns after a three-month break.

4.55 Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Intermediate Chase (2m5f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1Blueking D’OrouxP Nicholls
2RiskinthegroundD Skelton134

(Note: Blueking D’Oroux has the highest rating overall (OR 151) despite a missing TS rating in the provided card, reflecting his status as the leading form horse and favourite. Riskintheground has the highest measurable TS rating).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Blueking D’Oroux (6yo, 10st 10lb): A smart staying hurdler. He looked as good as ever when ending last season with a Grade 2 win from the front at Sandown (2m5f, good). This is his chasing debut.
  • Riskintheground (8yo, 11st 8lb): Was in career-best form in April, winning at Ayr and at Cheltenham (Grade 2 handicap). He gave another good account when finishing fourth in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen in July.

Spotlight Verdict

Riskintheground has done well this year and may put up some resistance, but smart hurdler BLUEKING D’OROUX is an exciting recruit to chasing and can collect this prize before moving on to bigger projects.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
Blueking D’OrouxSmart staying hurdler and Grade 2 winner. Extremely hard to beat on these terms.Must jump adequately on his chasing debut.
RiskinthegroundIn career-best form earlier this year, including a Grade 2 handicap win. Ought to make his presence felt again.Faces a tough opponent in Blueking D’Oroux.

5.25 Torbay Weekly Handicap Chase (2m½f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1JaitroplaclasseR Llewellyn105
2Siam ParkJ Tizzard102

(Note: The Top Two horses are identified as Jaitroplaclasse and Siam Park in the Ratings Report).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Jaitroplaclasse (6yo, 11st 4lb): Opened his chasing account at the seventh attempt by making all to beat three rivals over C&D (good to soft) last month. Further progress is certainly not out of the question.
  • Siam Park (6yo, 11st 13lb): Took well to fences, launching his career with three consecutive wins (2m-2m3f) in February/March. Lost out only by a short head when attempting a four-timer in April.

Spotlight Verdict

Siam Park took very well to fences at the end of last season and may still have more improvement to come, but preference is for chasing debutant NORDIC TIGER, who lost his way a bit last season but has become very well handicapped and may have been refreshed by a break.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
JaitroplaclasseRecent C&D winner. Potential for further progress.Recent 4lb rise looks excessive.
Siam ParkTook well to fences (three consecutive wins in early 2025). Commands respect.Has fitness to prove after a six-month absence.

5.55 Jodie Standing’s Point-To-Point Recruits Open National Hunt Flat Race (2m1f)

RankHorseTrainerTS Rating
1Not NowN & W Twiston-Davies
2Peaky GirlA Jones

(Note: The TS ratings are largely unavailable for this bumper field, but Not Now and Peaky Girl are listed as the Top Two in the Ratings Report).

Recent Form and Comments

  • Not Now (4yo, 11st 1lb): Unraced. He is a 70,000euros purchase and closely related to a French hurdle winner. His dam is an unraced sister to the high-class jumper Nickname.
  • Peaky Girl (5yo, 10st 9lb): Made a fairly encouraging debut when finishing third of five over C&D (good to soft; hooded) last month.

Spotlight Verdict

The market will provide some clues, but GREAT DANCE is out of the smart Irish hurdler Let’s Dance and is selected to make a winning debut. Soldier Reeves, who has joined a top stable since his promising point run in March, is feared most.

Race Statistics

  • Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records for this specific race are not provided in the sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability
Not NowStrong pedigree, being closely related to a French hurdle winner and his dam being a sister to Nickname. Comes from a good stable.Is a debutante, having never run under rules.
Peaky GirlHas recent rules experience, making a fairly encouraging debut over C&D last month.Does not set a daunting standard of rules form.

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