Catterick Races – Chronological Analysis
1. 10.30 Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap (1m6f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kokinelli (4/H) | 71 | H Palmer (33%) | Liam Wright | 2-1 |
| 1 | Bollin Neil (9/L) | 71 | T Easterby (47%) | Jake Dickson (8) | 11-4 |
(Note: Kokinelli and Bollin Neil are joint Top Rated by TimeWise Master Rating.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Kokinelli: Was ppped at Chester (1m4f, good) in July. Returned to form 15 days ago at Southwell (upped to 1m6f, AW), getting off the mark at the 14th attempt. He is back up 5lb but may have more to offer over this trip.
- Bollin Neil: Has seven wins at this track (including two over jumps). His wins include a 1m6f race in August and a 2m race 17 days ago. He was also beaten a head over C&D on his penultimate outing. He is a resurgent 9yo who has been using front-running tactics lately and is back up another 4lb, but is expected to go well again.
Spotlight Verdict
There’s nothing groundbreaking in suggesting that BOLLIN NEIL can put up a bold show at Catterick but he does look the most solid option. Trapper John could be the chief danger given today’s step up in trip, despite being back from over six months off. Wasthatok is third on the list.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 3 wins from 19 runners (3-2-19), 4yo+ 7 wins from 71 runners (7-16-71).
- Fate of Favourites: 4 wins from the last 10 favourites or joint favourites (4106352132).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Philip Kirby 2-2-12, Tim Easterby 1-4-6, Martin Todhunter 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Kokinelli (TS 71):
- Strengths: Showed recent improvement to finally get off the mark at this distance on AW. May benefit further from the extended trip.
- Weaknesses: Took 14 attempts to win; faces a 5lb penalty.
- Suitability: Appears suited to the staying trip.
- Bollin Neil (TS 71):
- Strengths: Exceptional course record (7 wins at Catterick). Is resurgent, having won twice recently, including one over 2m. Should go well again despite a 4lb rise.
- Weaknesses: Carries a further 4lb penalty.
- Suitability: Highly suited by the track, conditions, and current front-running tactics.
2. 11.00 EBF ‘Confined’ Restricted Maiden Stakes (7f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sierra Sands (2/P) | 91 | E Dunlop (59%) | Edward Greatrex | 6-4 |
| 2 | Mystical Eye (2/H) | 71 | A Balding (80%) | Callum Hutchinson | 7-2 |
Recent Form and Comments
- Sierra Sands: Went close on debut at Leicester (7f, good to soft) last month. Although last of five at Newmarket (7f, good) since, he was not beaten far in that slowly run, competitive race. He is stated to have leading claims today.
- Mystical Eye: Showed encouraging form by keeping on for fifth on debut at Kempton (6f, AW). Ran down the field in a Listed race at Redcar (6f, good to soft) just three days later. He retains potential for his good yard (A Balding) now stepping up in trip and dropping in grade. The hood previously worn is removed.
Spotlight Verdict
This could be a good opportunity for SIERRA SANDS, who went close on last month’s debut at Leicester then wasn’t seen to best effect at Newmarket. Mystical Eye could now build upon his debut promise following a tough task on his second start and he is feared most ahead of the Ed Walker newcomer Eagle Bay.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 1 win from the last 2 favourites or joint favourites (22).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Tim Easterby 1-0-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Sierra Sands (TS 91):
- Strengths: Holds the best exposed form by a margin (TS 91). Has already proven competitive at 7f on turf.
- Weaknesses: Needs to show she can cope with the pressure of a race if it is run faster than her Newmarket run.
- Suitability: Seems highly suited to the conditions and grade.
- Mystical Eye (TS 71):
- Strengths: Represents a strong yard (A Balding, 80% recent form). Drops significantly in class and increases trip after a tough assignment, retaining potential.
- Weaknesses: Was down the field on his second start; his current form is significantly behind Sierra Sands.
- Suitability: Expected to improve given the easier task and retained potential.
3. 11.28 Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (6f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Secret Sonata (3/P) | 81 | A Balding (80%) | Callum Hutchinson | 7-4 |
| 2 | Proud To Be Fox (3/H) | 79 | T Easterby (47%) | Sean Kirrane | 11-4 |
Recent Form and Comments
- Secret Sonata: Holds leading form claims back in a novice race, having made steady progress in maidens/novices over 6f/7f prior to her last start. Her last outing was a modest fifth on her 7f Leicester handicap debut 26 days ago.
- Proud To Be Fox: His form on return this autumn (6f/7f AW novices) has been ordinary, finishing in the frame. He has a good chance if he can bounce back to the level he showed in two turf novices early last summer.
Spotlight Verdict
The percentage call in quite a trappy novice is Andrew Balding’s SECRET SONATA. Proud To Be Fox would be a big threat to the selection if recapturing the form he showed on turf last year. Pension Pot should also have a say on the back of a mildly promising debut.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: Primarily 3yo runners.
- Fate of Favourites: No specific statistics block provided, but the favourite for Savannah Grey’s only previous run (465 days ago) was 15-8.
- Trainer Records: No specific statistics block provided for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Secret Sonata (TS 81):
- Strengths: Rated highest and is highly respected stepping back into Novice company. Represents an in-form trainer (A Balding 80%).
- Weaknesses: Last run on handicap debut was underwhelming.
- Suitability: Should appreciate the return to novice status where her form is stronger.
- Proud To Be Fox (TS 79):
- Strengths: Only 2 points below the top rated. Previous turf form suggests he has the ability to contend if recaptured.
- Weaknesses: Recent AW novice form is not inspiring.
- Suitability: Chance is dependent on achieving a major bounce back to previous turf form.
4. 11.56 Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (1m4f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fouroneohfever (4/P) | 92 | G Boughey (80%) | Tommie Jakes (5) | 6-1 |
| 2 | Thosewerethedays (3/P) | 91 | R Beckett (57%) | Edward Greatrex | 11-4 |
(Note: Based on TimeWise Master Latest RPR from the racecard.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Fouroneohfever: Showed his best ratings when running third in 1m2f/1m4f handicaps earlier in the season. Underperformed three weeks ago after a nearly four-month absence, perhaps needing the run. Needs a second look.
- Thosewerethedays: Has very low mileage. Comfortably won a Carlisle maiden (1m3f, soft) last month. His subsequent fourth of six at Haydock (1m6f) on handicap debut was actually his best form. He appeared stretched by the 1m6f trip, suggesting better form may still come forward.
Spotlight Verdict
While plenty have each-way claims, this may be decided by improvement from the lightly raced 3yos THOSEWERETHEDAYS and Aajej. Preference is for THOSEWERETHEDAYS who has shown his best form on turf and seemed to find 1m6f too far on last month’s handicap debut. Made All is third on the list.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 3 wins from 26 runners (3-5-26), 4yo+ 7 wins from 85 runners (7-14-85).
- Fate of Favourites: 4 wins from the last 10 favourites or joint favourites (3302121232).
- Trainer Records: No specific statistics block provided for this race.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Fouroneohfever (TS 92):
- Strengths: Holds the highest TimeWise rating (TS 92). Has performed well at this distance/grade previously. Benefits from a 5lb claimer.
- Weaknesses: Has shown inconsistency, including being tailed off and underperforming after a break.
- Suitability: Needs to be back to his early season form, but the return run three weeks ago suggests he might be fitter now.
- Thosewerethedays (TS 91):
- Strengths: Highly progressive and low-mileage 3yo. Expected to appreciate the slight drop in trip from 1m6f to 1m4f. Is the Spotlight Verdict selection.
- Weaknesses: Handicap debut was only a fourth place, though this was deemed his best form.
- Suitability: Highly suitable if expected improvement continues; best form shown on turf.
5. 12.23 William Hill Football Final One Standing Handicap (Div I) (7f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vince Le Prince (5/P) | 93 | T Easterby (47%) | Duran Fentiman | 5-1 |
| 2 | Havana Prince (4/H) | 90 | T Coyle & K Wood (43%) | Mohammed Tabti (5) | 4-1 |
(Note: Based on TimeWise Master Latest RPR from the racecard.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Vince Le Prince: Won a division of this contest 12 months ago (handles good to firm/soft). He is 0-14 this season but his mark has decreased. Ran quite well when finishing third here 17 days ago.
- Havana Prince: Won over 1m in the summer. Showed clear signs of returning to form when fifth of 21 at York (7f, good) eight days ago, finishing strongly. He finished second on his only previous outing at Catterick.
Spotlight Verdict
The big-field apprentice handicap at York last Friday looks a key piece of form. HAVANA PRINCE finished fifth there and can again come home in front of Quest For Fun and Highfield Viking. Vince Le Prince won a division of this race 12 months ago and can again figure prominently.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1 win from 35 runners (1-7-35), 4yo+ 9 wins from 84 runners (9-12-84).
- Fate of Favourites: 4 wins from the last 10 favourites or joint favourites (0522001211).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Tim Easterby 2-4-13, Alan Brown 1-0-1, David O’Meara 1-0-7, John & Sean Quinn 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Vince Le Prince (TS 93):
- Strengths: Highest rated (TS 93). Course winner in this specific race last year. Mark is falling and recent third place indicates fitness.
- Weaknesses: Has not won in 14 starts this season.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on course form and handicap rating.
- Havana Prince (TS 90):
- Strengths: Strong course form (second on Catterick debut). Finished well at York recently, indicating return to form. Spotlight selection.
- Weaknesses: General form has been mixed.
- Suitability: Well suited by the trip and expected to go well.
6. 12.50 William Hill Football Final One Standing Handicap (Div II) (7f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woodstock (5/P) | 91 | Mrs R Carr (28%) | Joanna Mason | 100-30 |
| 2 | Yaaser (7/H) | 90 | J Goldie (36%) | Amie Waugh (3) | 8-1 |
(Note: Based on TimeWise Master Latest RPR from the racecard.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Woodstock: Is lower in the weights than when securing two 7f wins last summer. Arrives in decent form after a third place at Epsom three weeks ago. Has run well on a previous attempt over C&D and has solid claims.
- Yaaser: Has won twice and placed numerous times over this trip in the spring and summer. However, he finished 12th at York eight days ago, suggesting he has gone off the boil.
Spotlight Verdict
Topweight WOODSTOCK (nap) looks ready to strike for the first time this season and is preferred to U Sure Do. Hat-trick seeker Ahamoment is respected. Tactical Plan may not be fully exposed.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1 win from 35 runners (1-7-35), 4yo+ 9 wins from 84 runners (9-12-84).
- Fate of Favourites: 4 wins from the last 10 favourites or joint favourites (0522001211).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Tim Easterby 2-4-13, John & Sean Quinn 0-1-1, Richard Fahey 0-2-11.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Woodstock (TS 91):
- Strengths: Highest rated (TS 91). Well handicapped compared to previous winning form. Solid recent form (3rd at Epsom) and C&D run well previously. Selected as the nap.
- Weaknesses: Seeking first win of the season.
- Suitability: Well suited by the trip and grade; strong claims.
- Yaaser (TS 90):
- Strengths: High TimeWise rating (TS 90). Strong historical form at this distance.
- Weaknesses: Current form is poor (12th recently); suspect he has gone off the boil.
- Suitability: Needs a transformation to be competitive.
7. 1.20 William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap (5f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington Blitz (3/P) | 111 | R Cowell (22%) | Edward Greatrex | 6-1 |
| 2 | Vintage Clarets (6/P) | 110 | R Fahey (53%) | Ethan Tindall (7) | 100-30 |
(Note: Based on TimeWise Master Latest RPR from the racecard.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Lexington Blitz: Has raced exclusively at 5f. He is yet to win a handicap but has consistently finished runner-up on his last three outings, including a local second using first-time cheekpieces (which are retained). Expected to give a good account.
- Vintage Clarets: Is aiming for a hat-trick of wins in this specific race. Although his prior wins here were on deeper ground, his August Shergar Cup run shows he is equally effective on quicker surfaces. Finished a close second at Southwell last month. His subsequent fifth at Haydock might be excused as the run came too soon. A bold show is likely.
Spotlight Verdict
It might be worth giving another chance to I’M NEXT. Vintage Clarets (second choice) should make a strong bid for three in a row in this contest. Lexington Blitz and Hiya Maite are others likely to have a say.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 2 wins from 28 runners (2-5-28), 4yo+ 8 wins from 93 runners (8-15-93).
- Fate of Favourites: 3 wins from the last 10 favourites or joint favourites (4422046103).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Richard Fahey 3-1-7, Tim Easterby 1-6-22, Kevin Ryan 1-0-3, Robert Cowell 1-0-7, Roy Bowring 1-0-1, Mark Walford 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Lexington Blitz (TS 111):
- Strengths: Highest rated (TS 111). Very consistent recently with three runner-up finishes, demonstrating suitability for the trip and retained headgear.
- Weaknesses: Yet to secure a handicap win.
- Suitability: Expected to be in the mix based on consistency.
- Vintage Clarets (TS 110):
- Strengths: Outstanding course/race record (seeking hat-trick). Proven on quicker ground and showed strong recent form (close 2nd). Trainer has a strong record in this race (3 wins).
- Weaknesses: Last run might be discounted if it came too soon.
- Suitability: A major contender, well-suited to the conditions and race profile.
8. 1.55 William Hill Each Way Extra Veterans’ Handicap (6f)
| Rank | Horse (Age/Style) | Total TimeWise Rating (TS) | Trainer (Recent W-R%) | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beauty Choice (8/P) | 92 | M & D Easterby (61%) | Joanna Mason | 13-2 |
| 2 | Alligator Alley (8/H) | 91 | Mrs R Carr (28%) | Kaiya Fraser | 5-1 |
(Note: Beauty Choice is the marginal Top Rated horse based on TimeWise Master Latest RPR from the racecard.)
Recent Form and Comments
- Beauty Choice: Posted respectable in-frame efforts this autumn. He is back to the mark he successfully defied on AW in the spring. Finished third in this exact race last year. He is a player as his yard has been among the winners this week.
- Alligator Alley: Is appropriately marked given he is not as good as he once was. He has been persistently knocking at the door. He is down to the same mark he went close from at Haydock (5f, good) early last month. This is a rare start beyond 5f for him these days.
Spotlight Verdict
The suggestion is BEAUTY CHOICE. This 8yo ran well in this last year, arrives in form and his stable has been among the winners this week. Lipsink holds obvious form claims but tends to follow wins with moderate efforts. Ancient Times (second choice) is the type to bounce back from a poor run on AW.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: Only 6yo+ horses are eligible. Overall age group data for races of this type (4yo+): 7 wins from 68 runners (7-13-68).
- Fate of Favourites: 3 wins from the last 7 favourites or joint favourites (0016123).
- Trainer Records (in this race): Richard Fahey 1-1-5, Ruth Carr 1-1-3, Michael & David Easterby 0-1-1, Michael Appleby 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Beauty Choice (TS 92):
- Strengths: Highest rated (TS 92). Proven effectiveness off this mark and ran third in this race last year. Represents a yard in winning form.
- Weaknesses: None apparent.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on course experience, mark, and recent consistency; the Spotlight selection.
- Alligator Alley (TS 91):
- Strengths: Well handicapped on recent performance (went close at Haydock off this mark). Has been consistent (“knocking at the door”).
- Weaknesses: Rarely runs beyond 5f in recent times. Needs circumstances to fall perfectly for him.
- Suitability: Good chance if he handles the step up to 6f well.
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