This detailed response works through all the Kempton Park races chronologically, providing the requested analysis for each race, drawing exclusively from the provided sources.
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Jet Of Dreams (6/1) and Roadshow (4/1).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Jet Of Dreams (7yo) | This horse is a five-time chase winner, having most recently won comfortably at Sedgefield (2m, good). He is considered well treated off a lower mark upon returning to hurdles. However, his record in the hurdles sphere is 0-5. |
| Roadshow (4yo) | He is described as being well down the pecking order in his top yard. He recently opened his hurdles account in a Sedgefield handicap (2m1f, good), beating a subsequent scorer. It is suggested that he may build on this solid success. |
Spotlight Verdict: Judged on her Flat form and Fontwell effort, AS FAST AS WIND appears well treated off an unaltered mark and is taken to open her hurdles account. Belcamo is selected as second choice, ahead of Roadshow.
Race Statistics: The sources provided for this race do not contain a specific table detailing Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Of Dreams | Experienced performer with five chase wins, including recently. He is perceived to be well treated reverting to hurdles due to his lower mark in this sphere. | He is currently 0-5 in hurdles races. | He is generally consistent (latest running style: Pressed leaders/P). |
| Roadshow | Recent winner over hurdles in a handicap. The win was noted as solid, with the potential to progress further. | He is considered far down the list in his powerful training yard. | The recent success suggests suitability for handicap hurdling. |
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Bluey (9/2) and Obsessedwithyou (9/4).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Bluey (6yo) | This mare is a point, bumper, and hurdles winner, making her chase debut here. She performed well last winter but has since underperformed twice at Cheltenham in the spring, leading to a drop in class. |
| Obsessedwithyou (6yo) | She has a strong record since switching to fences (3-6). Most recently, she comfortably beat her two rivals at Sedgefield (2m, good to firm). While facing a tougher task here, she may progress further. |
Spotlight Verdict: The fairly useful mare BLUEY (nap) is considered particularly interesting off her current mark when switched to fences, following some strong form over hurdles last winter. Iskar d’Airy is feared most.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 2-1-10, 5yo 2-3-15, 6yo 2-5-22, 7yo 3-2-14, 8yo 0-2-4, 9yo 1-0-5, 10yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1145P21523.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Emma Lavelle 2-2-4, Dan Skelton 1-1-3, Jamie Snowden 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bluey | Successful in three disciplines (point, bumper, hurdles) and drops in class. Showed strong form in the winter. The Spotlight suggests strong claims on her handicap mark. | This is her chase debut. Underperformed in her last two appearances. | She is suited by the conditions that necessitate a drop in class. |
| Obsessedwithyou | Excellent chase record (3 wins from 6 starts). She won comfortably on her latest outing. Potential for continued progression. | Faces a tougher field compared to her recent victory. | Proven winner over fences, running style is described as Pressed leaders/P. |
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: One Horse Town (1/4) and Premier (9/2).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| One Horse Town (3yo) | Gained his Flat success on the AW track at Kempton. He is 2-2 since moving to hurdles, securing easy wins at Stratford and Hexham by a huge aggregate of 43 lengths. He sets the clear standard in this field. |
| Premier (3yo) | He is a hurdles debutant. He is considered to have a similar level of ability to One Horse Town on the Flat. Crucially, he receives 10lb from that rival. He returns to a hood (last used on Flat reappearance). |
Spotlight Verdict: Having recorded easy wins in June and July, ONE HORSE TOWN looks like a promising juvenile hurdler and sets the standard in his hat-trick attempt. Premier is feared most, provided he handles the discipline.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 10-11-66.
- Fate of Favourites: 1U11242254.
- Trainer Records: The sources provided for this race do not contain specific trainer records.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| One Horse Town | Proven hurdler (2-2) with dominant winning margins. Already proven on AW Flat at Kempton. | Must concede 10lb to his main rival, Premier. | Sets the standard and is highly suitable for this code. |
| Premier | Holds similar Flat form to One Horse Town and receives a significant weight allowance (10lb). | Hurdles debutante—must prove that he can jump effectively. | Interesting contender if he takes to the new discipline. |
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Bad (15/8) and Bourbali (9/2).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Bad (6yo) | He is 2-2 at Kempton, with both wins being Class 2 races over 2m4f in February and March, achieved while wearing blinkers. |
| Bourbali (8yo) | He has gained both of his chase victories over this course and distance (C&D). He won this exact race in 2024 (off only 1lb lower). He made the frame in the two Kempton races won by Bad, showing similar solid form. |
Spotlight Verdict: The percentage call goes to second-season chaser RARE EDITION, who may still have more to offer in this sphere. Last year’s winner Bourbali is the second choice, ahead of Bad, who warrants respect despite the removal of blinkers.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 0-1-3, 6yo 2-3-11, 7yo 3-4-18, 8yo 1-0-10, 9yo 1-2-11, 10yo 1-1-7, 11yo 1-0-1, 12yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: P22451135.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Joe Tizzard 1-0-2, Ben Pauling 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bad | Perfect 2-2 record at Kempton. Trainer Ben Pauling has a 100% W-R in the last 14 days. | The blinkers used for his two Kempton wins have been removed. | He warrants respect back here, but the lack of headgear is a concern. |
| Bourbali | Highly suited to the C&D, having won this race last year (off 1lb lower). Consistent form, described as solid. | None explicitly mentioned; he finished behind the Spotlight selection Rare Edition in the betting. | Extremely suited by C&D and race history. |
3.50 CopyBet Hurdle (Listed Race) (2m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Burdett Road (4/6) and Rubaud (9/4).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Burdett Road (5yo) | His hurdles record is solid (1121322) and suggests a likely resurgence, despite his lack of top form on the Flat recently. He ran creditably in the Champion Hurdle when last seen in this sphere. He holds the best chance at the weights. |
| Rubaud (7yo) | A very useful front-runner with an impressive Kempton record of 4-8. This includes winning this specific Listed race for the last two consecutive years. He recently underwent wind surgery (his second) after failing in Grade 1 chases in the spring. |
Spotlight Verdict: Burdett Road is favoured at the weights, but the strong Kempton factor dictates that the vote swings in favour of RUBAUD, who is aiming for his third consecutive win in this race.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 4yo 0-1-1, 5yo 2-1-9, 6yo 4-1-12, 7yo 2-3-15, 8yo 0-2-10, 9yo 1-2-6, 10yo 1-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 131142213P.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Paul Nicholls 3-2-8, Adrian Paul Keatley 0-1-1, James Owen 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burdett Road | He is the best horse on the weights. Holds a solid hurdles record, including a prominent run in the Champion Hurdle. | Recent Flat form has not been top-class. | Likely to resurge back over hurdles. |
| Rubaud | Exceptional record at Kempton (4-8) and aims for a hat-trick in this Listed contest. Front-running style. | Has had two wind surgeries. Was struggling in Grade 1 fences prior to his break. | Highly suited to the course and race history; the “Kempton factor” is key. |
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Jubilant (4/1) and Safe Destination (2/1).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Jubilant (6yo) | Since switching to chasing, his record is 1313. He was not disgraced off his current mark at Warwick (3m) most recently. He has solid claims and may improve further in this sphere. |
| Safe Destination (7yo) | He scored by 4 lengths in a conditional jockeys’ race at Chepstow (3m2f, good to firm) just last Sunday. His chase record stands at 6-16. He escapes a penalty for his quick win and commands respect. |
Spotlight Verdict: Safe Destination commands respect in his attempt for a quickfire double, but the interesting alternative is second-season chaser LAW OF SUPPLY, who could be one to catch fresh. Solid Jubilant is ranked third choice.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 0-0-1, 6yo 2-2-13, 7yo 6-2-14, 8yo 0-3-15, 9yo 0-2-13, 10yo 2-1-5, 11yo 0-2-5, 12yo 0-1-1, 13yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: P113611F43.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Emma Lavelle 3-0-4, Joe Tizzard 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant | Consistent chase form (1313). Ran well over 3m recently. Trainer J Owen has a 55% W-R in the last 14 days. | Only listed as third choice in the Spotlight. | Solid claims; described as a reliable contender. |
| Safe Destination | Recent winner at 3m2f and notably escapes a penalty for that win. High W-R for his trainers, N & W Twiston-Davies (69% last 14 days). | Running again quickly after winning last Sunday. | Highly suitable due to proven stamina and weight advantage (escapes penalty). |
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TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: Gold Link (2/1) and Jefe Triunfo (15/2).
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Gold Link (9yo) | Demonstrates a consistent vein of form with figures of 2212 in his last four appearances. He ran creditably in his last run when attempting a Fontwell double. He has a solid chance. |
| Jefe Triunfo (6yo) | This novice hurdler won at Warwick (2m) in June. He ran creditably on his handicap debut at Worcester (2m4f) while wearing first-time cheekpieces. He retains the headgear and could go well. |
Spotlight Verdict: A chance is taken on LUNAR POWER, who is on an attractive mark and is making only his second start for James Owen after a 14-month absence from hurdles. Gold Link, who looks solid on recent form, is the second choice.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 5yo 0-0-1, 6yo 0-0-3, 7yo 1-2-5, 8yo 1-0-1, 9yo 0-1-4, 11yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 23.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Emma Lavelle 1-0-1, Paul Nicholls 1-0-1, Chris Gordon 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two Chances:
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Link | Extremely consistent recent form (2212). Trainer E Lavelle has a 100% W-R in the last 14 days. | Aged 9 years old. | Solid chance based on recent performances, including over a similar distance. |
| Jefe Triunfo | Recent winner who ran well on handicap debut in headgear. Scope for progression in handicaps. | Stepping up in trip slightly (previous win at 2m). | Potential for a good run due to the retained cheekpieces and progression potential. |
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