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2.00 Resolve Group UK “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Tree Top Tyson (IRE) (8/13)	N/A	Patrick Neville	Brian Hughes
2	Frammy (6/4)	N/A	D McCain Jnr	Mr T Gillard

Recent Form and Comments

Tree Top Tyson

• Form: /8-662.
• Had wind surgery before running well to finish second out of 11 runners at Perth over 2m last time.
• He is considered a leading player, provided he can repeat that form.

Frammy

• Form: 4213.
• Has a bumper record of 421, including readily beating his sole rival at Sedgefield on the final occasion.
• Since then, he placed in a Hexham novice hurdle (2m).
• He is one of two horses in the field with solid claims.

Spotlight Verdict

Judged on his Perth effort, particularly following wind surgery, TREE TOP TYSON is taken to back up that performance and defeat his main form rival, Frammy.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 4yo 3-10-35, 5yo 4-3-29, 6yo 1-2-15, 7yo 0-1-1, 8yo 0-0-1, 9yo 0-0-1, 10yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 11051211.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Donald McCain 1-4-7.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Tree Top Tyson

• Strengths: Showed significant improvement immediately after wind surgery. Has the highest OR (110) in the race.
• Weaknesses: Needs to confirm the improved form.
• Suitability: Appears suited by the track/trip based on recent form and rating.

Frammy

• Strengths: Has already won a bumper at Sedgefield. Showed novice hurdle ability by placing at Hexham.
• Weaknesses: Needs to step up to match Tree Top Tyson’s recent level.
• Suitability: Proven successful at this specific course (bumper win).

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2.30 Citi Post Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Couldbeaweapon (IRE) (7/4)	N/A	Sam England	Tom Midgley
2	Beat The Edge (IRE) (5/2)	N/A	Micky Hammond	Miss A Stevens

Recent Form and Comments

Couldbeaweapon

• Form: 324231.
• A pretty consistent gelding who got off the mark over fences (1-14 record) at Southwell (2m4f, good) 17 days ago, where the front two were clear.
• He has gone up 8lb in the weights, but the 3lb claim from the conditional jockey alleviates some of that rise.

Beat The Edge

• Form: 332-32.
• Was running well earlier this year.
• He holds a chasing record of 2-32 and tends to flatter to deceive, most recently when narrowly beaten at Cartmel in May (2m5f).
• He is capable of running well when fresh.

Spotlight Verdict

COULDBEAWEAPON, being a consistent gelding and a recent winner, rates as the most likely winner of this modest handicap. Beat The Edge is frustrating but capable when fresh and is the second preference. Prized Jet is noted as a possible improver.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 5yo 1-1-3, 6yo 1-2-8, 7yo 1-2-10, 8yo 2-2-13, 9yo 1-3-10, 10yo 0-0-4, 11yo 0-0-3, 12yo 0-0-1, 13yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 1026F4.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Sam England 2-2-4, Micky Hammond 0-1-3, Rebecca Menzies 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Couldbeaweapon

• Strengths: Good consistency and achieved a recent win over fences. The jockey’s 3lb claim helps offset part of the penalty.
• Weaknesses: Carrying an effective 5lb rise following the 8lb penalty.
• Suitability: Appears well-suited to handicap chasing at this level.

Beat The Edge

• Strengths: Has demonstrated ability and often runs well when fresh.
• Weaknesses: Has a poor conversion rate over fences (2-32) and can be frustrating.
• Suitability: Capable on the ground/trip but lacks consistency.

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3.00 SpraycladUK NE Ltd Juvenile Maiden Hurdle

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Scarlet Moon (5/4)	N/A	Archie Watson	Ben Poste
2	Arctic Voyage (7/4)	N/A	I Jardine	Brian Hughes

Recent Form and Comments

Scarlet Moon

• Form: – – (Hurdle Debut).
• Won four Flat handicaps over 1m4f/1m6f between April and July, showing “pretty useful form”.
• Enters the race with a “cracking chance” on his hurdling debut, provided he can jump efficiently.

Arctic Voyage

• Form: – – (Hurdle Debut).
• Was considered “pretty useful” on the Flat, winning a 6f novice as a 2yo, but has not performed well in four subsequent Flat handicap runs for the new yard.
• The horse is unraced beyond 7f on the Flat, making his suitability for the 2m1f hurdling trip questionable.

Spotlight Verdict

The key uncertainty lies in whether SCARLET MOON takes to jumping, as his achievements on the Flat are significantly superior to those of his rivals, and he has demonstrated stamina in that sphere. Only One Blue is his most plausible rival, though her Flat form is inferior.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 6-10-45.
• Fate of Favourites: 151151.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Iain Jardine 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Scarlet Moon

• Strengths: Far superior Flat form compared to rivals (four recent handicap wins). Demonstrated stamina up to 1m6f.
• Weaknesses: Success is reliant on taking well to hurdling.
• Suitability: Stamina looks assured, but jumping is an unknown.

Arctic Voyage

• Strengths: Was a useful Flat winner early in his career.
• Weaknesses: Has struggled in recent Flat runs. The severe step up in distance (from 7f maximum Flat run) suggests stamina limitations.
• Suitability: Questionable suitability for the trip.

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3.33 Naylors Gavin Black Handicap Chase

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Hostile Hotelier (IRE) (11/10)	N/A	Jennie Candlish	Sean Quinlan
2	Red Delta (7/2)	N/A	Mrs F E Needham	Daniel McMenamin

Recent Form and Comments

Hostile Hotelier

• Form: -3F421.
• Has a 0-4 record over fences but has been runner-up twice.
• Reverts to chasing following two strong hurdle performances, finishing second at Sedgefield (3m3f, good) and winning at Newton Abbot (3m2f).
• The horse should be well handicapped back over fences as the recent hurdle win was achieved off a 3lb higher mark.

Red Delta

• Form: P1F3-2.
• Finished second in his last two races, both beaten by the same horse (a 3m2f point and a 3m3f novices’ hunter chase).
• This handicap mark may be within his reach for his debut in this class.

Spotlight Verdict

HOSTILE HOTELIER (nap) is preferred as he has shown winning potential over fences and recently defied a higher hurdle mark. Red Delta is noted as the second choice who could be on a competitive mark for his handicap debut, and Ballylinch has the ability to figure if fit after a long absence.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 6yo 2-1-7, 7yo 0-2-5, 8yo 0-2-6, 9yo 1-0-3, 10yo 0-0-1, 13yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 346.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Micky Hammond 2-0-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Hostile Hotelier

• Strengths: Appears genuinely well handicapped based on recent hurdle form. Strong recent performance when winning last time out.
• Weaknesses: Still officially a maiden over fences (0-4).
• Suitability: Strong contender, suited by the trip and rating.

Red Delta

• Strengths: Young for this type of race (6yo) and potentially well-treated on his handicap debut.
• Weaknesses: Has been beaten consistently by the same rival in recent starts.
• Suitability: Competitive mark suggests suitability for this grade.

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4.06 Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Durham National Handicap Chase

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Bumpy Evans (IRE) (7/4)	N/A	Miss Kerry Lee	C O’Farrell
2	Fairlawn Flyer (3/1)	N/A	Mickey Bowen	Sean Bowen

Recent Form and Comments

Bumpy Evans

• Form: 1-11F1.
• Front-runner who secured four consecutive wins from May to July.
• Fell on stable debut in September but quickly bounced back to win unchallenged at Warwick (3m) a week later, racing away again on the run-in.
• He is up another 9lb. The length of the race (3m5f) is his biggest question mark.

Fairlawn Flyer

• Form: 11-112.
• A revitalised 9yo who won five consecutive chases between March and June.
• His winning streak ended with a creditable second place at Cartmel in July.
• Has proven stamina, having won the Highland National at Perth in April. He is running better than ever.

Spotlight Verdict

Bumpy Evans has been impressive in his last five completed starts, suggesting more improvement to come, but his exuberant front-running style raises doubts about his ability to handle this extremely long trip. Preference is therefore given to the proven stamina and excellent recent form of FAIRLAWN FLYER, with 2023 winner Tommie Beau also shortlisted.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 6yo 1-0-4, 7yo 2-7-15, 8yo 3-3-27, 9yo 4-3-17, 10yo 0-3-18, 11yo 0-0-4, 12yo 0-0-2, 13yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 6313401234.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Seamus Mullins 1-0-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Bumpy Evans

• Strengths: Highly progressive with four consecutive wins before falling, followed immediately by another win. Strong finishing speed, suggesting fitness.
• Weaknesses: Takes a 9lb rise. Extreme stamina test (3m5f) is a serious concern given his front-running style.
• Suitability: Pace is suited to front-running, but distance suitability is highly doubtful.

Fairlawn Flyer

• Strengths: Exceptional run of form (five wins). Proven stamina at long distances (Highland National winner). In peak career form.
• Weaknesses: Slight dip in form recently (second after multiple wins).
• Suitability: Proven successful over extreme distances.

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4.41 Ne3 Limited Handicap Hurdle

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Zanndabad (IRE) (15/8)	N/A	A J Martin	Sean Bowen
2	Dickens (IRE) (11/4)	N/A	Jennie Candlish	Luke Scott

Recent Form and Comments

Zanndabad

• Form: 2/26-2.
• Has a frustrating 0-9 record over hurdles, having finished second on four occasions, including three of his last four attempts.
• He performed well in major Flat handicaps, such as the 2024 Chester Cup and a 1m4f race at York.
• This race represents a drop in class.

Dickens

• Form: 113112.
• Thriving under his current trainer, winning four handicaps between 2m and 2m6f in six starts.
• Finished second over C&D 11 days ago after a mistake at the last flight, a run which constituted improved form.
• He has been raised another 7lb for this performance.

Spotlight Verdict

Although Zanndabad has shown strong Flat form (e.g., 2024 Chester Cup) and is arguably unlucky not to have won over hurdles yet (four seconds), preference is for DICKENS due to his consistent ability to “get the job done” in comprehensive style for his stable.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 3-3-15, 6yo 3-2-8, 7yo 0-2-13, 8yo 0-0-4, 9yo 2-1-11, 11yo 0-0-2.
• Fate of Favourites: 24121112.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Rebecca Menzies 1-0-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Zanndabad

• Strengths: Significant drop in class compared to previous runs. High-class form on the Flat.
• Weaknesses: Cannot seem to secure a win over hurdles (0-9).
• Suitability: Well-treated at this level, if finally converting potential into a win.

Dickens

• Strengths: Highly reliable and thriving, with four wins from six starts for the yard. Showed improved form when second over C&D last time.
• Weaknesses: Hit with a further 7lb rise in weight.
• Suitability: Excellent current form and proven over this distance range.

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5.15 Paxtons No1 For Caseih Open National Hunt Flat Race

Rank	Horse (Odds)	TimeWise Master Rating	Trainer	Jockey
1	Blue Topaz (4/7)	N/A	Fergal O’Brien	Jonathan Burke
2	Ivans Legacy (16/1)	N/A	Mrs Susan Corbett	Mr C Rabbitt

Recent Form and Comments

Blue Topaz

• Form: P4P1-4.
• Point winner (fourth time lucky).
• Finished under 5l behind the winner in a Uttoxeter bumper (good ground).
• Has undergone a wind operation since her last run.
• Appeals most in this modest-looking bumper.

Ivans Legacy

• Form: 4-.
• Finished fourth in a Hexham bumper (2m, good to soft), 17l behind the winner, having pulled quite hard.
• Expected to improve on that debut, particularly if he learns to settle better.

Spotlight Verdict

This race is best decided by BLUE TOPAZ, who has already performed well in a bumper. Ivan’s Legacy may improve if he settles better than he did at Hexham.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (W-P-R): 4yo 4-9-43, 5yo 4-4-24, 6yo 0-1-3.
• Fate of Favourites: 61111115.
• Trainer Records (W-P-R): Chris Grant 1-1-6, Rebecca Menzies 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

Blue Topaz

• Strengths: Point winner who has already shown a good level of form in a bumper. Has had a recent wind operation which may prompt further improvement.
• Weaknesses: None obvious in the context of this field.
• Suitability: Rated the most appealing contender in this grade.

Ivans Legacy

• Strengths: Likely potential for improvement on debut effort.
• Weaknesses: Pulled hard on debut, which suggests temperament and settling issues.
• Suitability: Needs to settle to utilize stamina potential.