Horse Racing Briefing: Kempton, Leopardstown, Limerick & Sedgefield – October 19th

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Executive Summary

This briefing synthesizes detailed analysis for the race meetings at Kempton, Leopardstown, Limerick, and Sedgefield on October 19th. The analysis integrates race card data, expert spotlight commentary, quantitative ratings, and significant market movements to provide a comprehensive overview.

Key insights include several “nap” selections from expert analysis, indicating strong confidence. Notably, Bluey (2:16 Kempton) is identified as a nap and has experienced significant market support, with odds contracting from 3/1 to 6/5. Skippinandajumpin (5:10 Leopardstown) is also a nap selection, noted as an “eyecatcher” in its last race, with odds shortening from 9/4 to Evens. July Flower (5:22 Limerick) is another nap, considered the one to beat on its chasing debut. In contrast, several horses have seen their odds drift significantly, including Glittering Gem (1:55 Leopardstown), which has moved from 6/4 to 100/30, and High Court Judge (1:46 Kempton), drifting from 15/2 to 16/1. This document provides a race-by-race breakdown, highlighting key contenders, expert verdicts, and notable market intelligence for each event.

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Kempton Park Race Analysis

1:46 Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 4, 2m, Good Going, £9,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: The race is considered reasonably open. As Fast As Wind is selected to win, appearing well-treated based on a recent Fontwell effort and Flat form. Belcamo is the second choice, with Roadshow also respected.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Jet Of Dreams (6/1) and Roadshow (4/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: As Fast As Wind has been backed from 5/1 into 3/1.

    ◦ Drifters: High Court Judge has drifted significantly from 15/2 to 16/1. Blue Tempus (11/1 to 16/1) and Belcamo (17/2 to 12/1) have also seen their odds lengthen.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
As Fast As WindAppears well treated off an unaltered mark; taken to open hurdles account.13/2
Belcamo0-7 over hurdles but posted a good front-running effort at Fontwell; has a fighting chance.8/1
RoadshowOpened hurdles account at Sedgefield; may build on that solid success; respected.9/2
Jet Of DreamsFive-time chase winner; appears well treated off lower mark returned to hurdles.9/2
GraeciaOpened hurdles account at Worcester; shortlisted.4/1
Bohemian BreezeConsistent in maiden hurdles and in form on the Flat; has a workable mark.7/1

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2:16 Safer Gambling With CopyBet Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 3, 2m 2f, Good Going, £18,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Bluey is the nap selection, noted for strong hurdles form last winter and looking “particularly interesting” switched to fences. Iskar D’Airy is feared most.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Bluey (9/2) and Obsessedwithyou (9/4).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Bluey is a significant market mover, with odds contracting from 3/1 to 6/5.

    ◦ Drifters: Iskar D’Airy has drifted from 15/8 to 3/1. Sayva (8/1 to 14/1) and Obsessedwithyou (100/30 to 5/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Bluey (Nap)Chase debutante with strong hurdles form; looks particularly interesting off current mark.3/1
Iskar D’AiryHas done well in good-ground chases (record of 1211); respected with further improvement plausible.2/1
ObsessedwithyouRecord of 3-6 since switched to fences; faces a tougher task but may progress further.4/1
Black Hawk EagleThree wins over hurdles; contrasting efforts over fences make it unclear what to expect.7/1

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2:46 Daily Profit Boost At CopyBet Juvenile Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 3, 2m, Good Going, £12,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: One Horse Town sets the standard in a hat-trick attempt after two easy wins. Premier is feared most, assuming a successful transition to hurdling.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are One Horse Town (1/4) and Premier (9/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Mystical Mabel has drifted from 15/2 to 12/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
One Horse Town2-2 since switched to hurdles with easy wins; sets the standard.1/3
PremierHurdles debutant with a similar level of ability to One Horse Town on the Flat; interesting.4/1
Mystical MabelWeak claims on Flat form but is a half-sister to two hurdles winners and may improve.9/1

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3:16 Best Odds Guaranteed At CopyBet Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 3, 2m 2f, Good Going, £22,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: The percentage call goes to second-season chaser Rare Edition, who may have more to offer. Last year’s winner Bourbali is the second pick, ahead of Bad.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Bad (15/8) and Bourbali (9/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Rare Edition has been backed from 11/4 into 2/1.

    ◦ Drifters: Bad has drifted from 13/8 to 5/2. Authorized Art has drifted from 9/1 to 16/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Rare Edition2-2 at Kempton over hurdles; interesting off a workable mark back here on reappearance.11/4
BourbaliGained both chase wins over C&D, including this race in 2024; solid claims.4/1
BadTwo from two at Kempton; respected back here despite removal of headgear.13/8

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3:50 CopyBet Hurdle (Listed Race)

• Race Details: Class 1, 2m, Good Going, £50,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: While Burdett Road is the pick at the weights, the “Kempton factor” swings the vote in favour of Rubaud, who bids to win the race for the third consecutive year.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Burdett Road (4/6) and Rubaud (9/4).

• Market Intelligence: No significant market moves reported.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
RubaudBids to win this race for the third year running; record of 4-8 at Kempton; respected.7/4
Burdett RoadHas the best chance at the weights; solid hurdles record (1121322) suggests a resurgence is likely.4/5
KihavahNeeds a personal best to win; was comfortably beaten by Rubaud in this race 12 months ago.6/1

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4:25 CopyBet Acca Boost Up To 100% Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 4, 3m, Good Going, £12,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: An interesting alternative to the respected Safe Destination is second-season chaser Law Of Supply, who could be one to catch fresh. Jubilant is the third choice.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Jubilant (4/1) and Safe Destination (2/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Law Of Supply has been backed from 7/1 into 9/2.

    ◦ Drifters: Muskoka has drifted significantly from 4/1 to 17/2. Belgarum has drifted from 8/1 to 14/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Law Of SupplyCommenced chase career with two wins; this reappearance may be the time to catch him.7/1
Safe DestinationScored at Chepstow last Sunday; escapes a penalty and commands respect.7/4
JubilantRecord of 1313 since switching to chasing; may do better still in this sphere; solid.7/2

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5:00 BOG Today For Tomorrow With CopyBet Handicap Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 4, 2m 5f, Good Going, £9,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: A chance is taken on Lunar Power, who is on an attractive mark for only his second start for trainer James Owen. Gold Link looks solid and is the second choice.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Gold Link (2/1) and Jefe Triunfo (15/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Gold Link has drifted slightly from 13/8 to 9/4.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Lunar PowerNot seen under this code for 14 months but is attractively treated on best form.5/1
Gold LinkIn a consistent vein of form (figures of 2212); solid chance.2/1
Him MalayaShapes as if this step back up in trip is worth exploring; solid claims.7/2

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Leopardstown Race Analysis

1:55 Fruit Shoot Maiden

• Race Details: Maiden, 1m 1f, YLD-SFT Going, €15,000 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Money Shuffler

• Spotlight Verdict: Superbly-bred Maestro Bernstein is selected to win after improving to finish second at Naas. Glittering Gem is expected to give the selection most to do, with Playin Cool also in the mix.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Glittering Gem (3/1) and Maestro Bernstein (2/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Playin Cool has seen significant support, moving from 11/2 into 11/4.

    ◦ Drifters: Glittering Gem has drifted significantly from 6/4 to 100/30. Dawn Coming (9/1 to 14/1), Sarangpur (80/1 to 250/1), and Without Love (80/1 to 250/1) have also drifted markedly.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Maestro BernsteinSuperbly bred; improved on debut when second at Naas; a good opportunity to get off the mark.15/8
Glittering GemCan do better with debut experience; better than her placing suggests.100/30
Playin CoolPositive efforts in both maiden starts; in the mix again.4/1

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2:25 Bahrain Turf Club Knockaire Stakes (Listed Race)

• Race Details: Listed Race, 1m, YLD-SFT Going, €45,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Mutasarref, a previous winner of this race and twice a Group 3 winner at the course, is selected to repeat his success. Fingerpaint is considered a threat, with SallaalQueen Of Thunder, and Serengeti holding place claims.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Mutasarref (9/4) and Soft Winds (25/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Movers: Sallaal has been backed from 3/1 into 2/1. Soft Winds has moved from 18/1 to 11/1.

    ◦ Drifter: Mutasarref has drifted from 11/4 to 9/2.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
MutasarrefWon this race in 2023; seasonal-best when second in Group 2 here last month; major player.5/2
FingerpaintUnexposed; was badly hampered on last run and could reverse form with Queen Of Thunder.11/2
SallaalLightly raced progressive 3yo; has to be respected.9/2
Queen Of ThunderNarrowly denied in a Group 3 in August; place claims.13/2

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2:55 Gables Foxrock Cup Handicap

• Race Details: Handicap, 1m, YLD-SFT Going, €25,000 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Areana

• Spotlight Verdict: Summer Snow is preferred, with form that has worked out well. Gloriously GlamFast Tara, and Dark Viper are also noted as having chances.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Dark Viper (3/1) and Gloriously Glam (7/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Movers: Terre De Vega has moved from 25/1 into 12/1. Electric Beauty has been backed from 6/1 into 7/2.

    ◦ Drifter: Gloriously Glam has drifted from 5/1 to 17/2.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Summer SnowIn the form of her life this summer; C&D third has worked out well; remains of interest.9/2
Dark ViperGot off the mark over C&D; strong-finishing second last time; right in the mix.9/2
Gloriously GlamReturn to form of late; up 10lb but rider claims 7lb.100/30
Fast TaraThree good runs this month on easy ground; another bold showing expected.5/1

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3:26 Trigo Stakes (Listed Race)

• Race Details: Listed Race, 1m 2f, YLD-SFT Going, €45,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: It could pay to take a chance on recent premier handicap winner Shaool making the transition to pattern company. TrustyourinstinctAcapulco Bay, and Lord Massusus are respected, with the once-raced Sharanga noted as an interesting contender.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Acapulco Bay (4/1) and Trustyourinstinct (9/4).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Shaool has been backed from 6/1 into 100/30.

    ◦ Drifters: Birthe (14/1 to 28/1), Shackleton (17/2 to 14/1), and Edward Hamilton (10/1 to 16/1) have all drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
ShaoolNicely progressive handicapper; won premier handicap in style; could be up to this grade.8/1
TrustyourinstinctBetter than ever this term; big player if he bounces back from a below-best run.11/4
Acapulco BayCareer-best in Group 3 here last month; drop in trip is a question mark.11/2
SharangaAny amount of improvement likely from impressive maiden win; bare form is a long way off, however.8/1

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4:00 Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap

• Race Details: Handicap, 1m 2f, YLD-SFT Going, €20,000 Total Value

• Non-Runners: Guy’s Girl, Lady Plimsoll, Thrifty Of Digby

• Spotlight Verdict: The front-running Frank Pickle gets the vote, with the drop in trip expected to help. Handicap debutantes Katashuna and Juniper Sling are interesting, while Castleheath and Pillar Of Hope also have claims.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Castleheath (5/1) and Katashuna (9/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Mr Rango has been backed from 12/1 into 8/1. Pillar Of Hope has moved from 10/1 to 15/2.

    ◦ Drifters: Castleheath (5/1 to 8/1) and Juniper Sling (11/2 to 9/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Frank PickleLightly-raced 4yo; drop back in trip may see him to best effect.8/1
KatashunaWinner on fourth maiden attempt; pedigree suggests she will handle the extra 2f on handicap debut.11/2
CastleheathUp 9lb for recent Curragh win but should be in the mix again.4/1
Juniper SlingSmart pedigree; of interest on handicap debut if supported in the market.17/2

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4:35 Bahrain Turf Club October Handicap (Premier Handicap)

• Race Details: Premier Handicap, 1m 4f, YLD-SFT Going, €45,000 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Sea Coral

• Spotlight Verdict: More value could be had in the lightly raced and progressive three-year-old Railwayview LadyRetracement is a big threat, with other dangers including ImmutableNavy Waters, and Bottler’secret.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Retracement (6/1) and Zoffman (10/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Movers: Bottler’secret (9/1 to 9/2), Retracement (5/1 to 3/1), and Zoffman (10/1 to 13/2) have all seen strong support.

    ◦ Drifters: Navy Waters (17/2 to 16/1), Speckled Meadow (11/1 to 20/1), and Teed Up (12/1 to 22/1) are among several drifters.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Railwayview LadyProved Navan maiden win was no fluke on handicap debut; another step forward needed but possible.10/1
RetracementQuickened up well to win at the Curragh on Thursday; shapes as though 1m4f will suit.11/2
ImmutableThree wins on soft/heavy; return to 1m4f to suit and could play a role.15/2
Bottler’secretGood comeback third last month; wants rain.10/1
ZoffmanWon this race in 2022; return to this trip could see an upturn in fortunes.12/1

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5:10 Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

• Race Details: Handicap, 7f 24y, YLD-SFT Going, €15,000 Total Value

• Non-Runners: Greek Gift, Irish Rumour, Perfect Base, Red Hugh O’Donnell, Skillman Ave, Stormie Outlook

• Spotlight Verdict: Skippinandajumpin is the nap selection. It was an “eye-catching run” last time when denied a clear run and can make amends. The Blue Panther, also denied a clear run last time, is a threat. Queen Aethelflaed and Pandion Power also bring interesting form.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Queen Aethelflaed (5/1) and Skippinandajumpin (4/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Movers: Skippinandajumpin has been heavily backed from 9/4 to Evens. Comfort Line has moved from 22/1 into 10/1. Still She Blooms (14/1 to 9/1) has also seen support.

    ◦ Drifter: Vlhova has drifted from 15/2 to 12/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Skippinandajumpin (Nap)Eyecatcher when repeatedly denied a clear run last time; big player.9/4
The Blue PantherNot getting a clear run last time; has won off higher marks in the past; interesting.11/1
Queen AethelflaedOff the mark in handicap company ten days ago; shorter trip may help.15/2
Pandion PowerBack to form when reeled in late on heavy ground last time; can go well.9/1

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Limerick Race Analysis

2:07 PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle

• Race Details: Maiden Hurdle, 2m 1/2f, YIELD Going, €12,000 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Kaleo Ametsa

• Spotlight Verdict: The race can be narrowed to three contenders. Listed bumper winner Aruntothequeen may improve enough to beat point and bumper winner Chosen Comrade and point winner Fedneys Park.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Aruntothequeen (9/2) and Chosen Comrade (7/4).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Aruntothequeen has been backed from 6/4 into 11/10.

    ◦ Drifters: Cockney Cleopatra (16/1 to 33/1) and Venturevango (14/1 to 25/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
AruntothequeenListed bumper winner; should be sharper for a recent run at Listowel.9/4
Chosen ComradePoint winner who made an immediate impact by winning a bumper at Tipperary.11/4
Fedneys ParkPoint winner who made all to score in January; GBP82,000 purchase for a top stable.3/1

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2:37 Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

• Race Details: Maiden Hurdle, 2m 1/2f, YIELD Going, €12,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Dual bumper winner Minella Hollow needs to improve from his hurdling debut but may be able to do so. Beckistine was unlucky not to win over C&D in January and can be a player, as can point winner Walks In June.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Minella Hollow (13/2) and Torps (6/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Walks In June is a strong market mover, from 15/8 into 11/10.

    ◦ Drifters: Minella Hollow (11/4 to 4/1) and Gunnery Sergeant (11/2 to 8/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Minella HollowDual bumper winner; should improve from recent hurdling debut and be more competitive.5/2
Walks In JunePoint winner; makes hurdling debut after an absence but has a shout if back to best bumper form.5/2
BeckistineLooked set to win over C&D on hurdling debut in January when falling at the last.4/1

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3:07 LubriSyn Handicap Hurdle

• Race Details: Handicap Hurdle, 2m 3 1/2f, YIELD Going, €11,500 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Angelsworknovrtime

• Spotlight Verdict: Welluknow should improve from his return and can uphold Navan form with Garnetot. Progressive filly Tir Og has won her last two and may be capable of more. Cahirdown Boy could benefit from a recent run.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Garnetot (11/2) and Tir Og (3/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Fool Me Once has drifted from 11/1 to 16/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
WelluknowWell-related gelding; should be sharper for his run at Navan.4/1
Tir OgFront-running winner of her last two starts; could make a bold bid again.5/1
GarnetotRunner-up at Clonmel last time; likely to make his presence felt.5/1
Cahirdown BoyHas a lower hurdles mark and a good 7lb claimer aboard; should be better for a recent run.8/1

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3:40 John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle

• Race Details: Handicap Hurdle, 3m, YIELD Going, €12,000 Total Value

• Non-Runners: Arrycan, Kilmore Coral

• Spotlight Verdict: A tentative vote goes to Meehall, who stays well and runs respectably over fences. Dangers are top-weight Kir and bottom-weight ZolpharineNephin Beg also has prospects.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Kir (11/2) and Meehall (13/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Zolpharine has seen strong support, moving from 11/2 into 11/4.

    ◦ Drifters: Loup De Tallane (10/1 to 22/1) and Rowdy (14/1 to 28/1) have drifted significantly.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
MeehallPlaced in three of last five chase starts; stays well and is likely to be competitive.9/2
ZolpharineBeaten only a neck in a chase two weeks ago; definite chance here off a 9lb lower hurdles mark.3/1
KirFair form in maidens; strong trainer/rider combination.5/1

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4:15 BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Grade 3 Handicap Chase, 3m, YIELD Going, €100,000 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Weveallbeencaught, last season’s Kim Muir fourth, should be at peak form after an Irish debut and can turn the tables on Talk In The Park. Most to do from progressive novice Boston Rover and Listowel winner Pride Of Place. Top weight French Dynamite is also a contender.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Arctic Fly (12/1) and Sea Music (12/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Weveallbeencaught has been backed from 13/2 into 7/2. Nara has moved from 18/1 to 11/1.

    ◦ Drifters: Sea Music (16/1 to 28/1) and French Dynamite (11/1 to 18/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
WeveallbeencaughtFourth in the Kim Muir; can be expected to improve from stable debut at Listowel.8/1
Boston RoverProgressive novice who completed a hat-trick on handicap debut; return to a longer trip should suit.5/1
Pride Of PlaceScored with plenty to spare at Listowel; gets here on a handy weight despite a 10lb rise.8/1
French DynamiteCreditable third in the Kerry National on stable debut; fair chance.9/1
You Oughta KnowFell when favourite for Kerry National; could be in the mix with a clear round.13/2

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4:50 STL Logistics Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Handicap Chase, 2m 3f, YIELD Going, €50,000 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Macinamillion

• Spotlight Verdict: Walnut Beach is only 2lb higher than when winning a Listed handicap last year and can take this. El Champo is closely matched with General ClermontConyers Hill and Theatre Native are quality horses but lack a recent run.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are El Champo (4/1) and Theatre Native (7/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Movers: Walnut Beach (22/1 into 11/1) and General Clermont (8/1 into 11/2) have been backed.

    ◦ Drifter: Crowsatedappletart has drifted from 6/1 to 9/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Walnut BeachNow just 2lb higher than when winning a Listed handicap at Killarney in 2024; not ignored.12/1
General ClermontJust held by El Champo at Listowel; 3lb better off today so considered.5/1
El ChampoHas hit form, winning a beginners’ event and a valuable Listowel handicap; should be competitive.9/2
Conyers HillSolid efforts in competitive handicaps; has gone well fresh before so considered.6/1
Theatre NativeWon a Grade 3 at Cheltenham in April; has gone well fresh before.6/1

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5:22 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase

• Race Details: Beginners Chase, 2m 3f, YIELD Going, €15,500 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Rated 143 over hurdles, July Flower is the nap selection and looks the one to beat on her chasing debut. Stablemate Tareze and Stormalong are also quality rivals.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are July Flower (4/9) and Tareze (5/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Tareze has been backed from 13/2 into 3/1.

    ◦ Drifters: Coole Cherry (9/1 to 20/1) and Stormalong (10/1 to 20/1) have drifted significantly.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
July Flower (Nap)Dual Grade 1 bumper winner in France; Grade 3 hurdle winner; should be too good if jumping adequately.2/1
TarezePoint winner and dual hurdles winner, including a Listed race; capable of a big run on chasing debut.3/1
StormalongBumper winner and three-time hurdles winner, including a Listed event; capable of running well.3/1
Mystical GoddessPoint winner who posted a solid chasing debut at Listowel; can go well with improvement.6/1

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Sedgefield Race Analysis

2:00 Resolve Group UK “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 4, 2m 1f, Good Going, £7,700 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Wind surgery has evidently helped Tree Top Tyson, who is taken to back up his recent Perth second and beat main rival Frammy.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Frammy (6/4) and Tree Top Tyson (8/13).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Captain Ted has drifted from 14/1 to 25/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Tree Top TysonHad wind surgery prior to running well in second at Perth; leading player.4/9
FrammyReadily won a bumper here and was placed in a novice hurdle since; solid claims.2/1
Captain TedWell beaten on rules debut; the weakest contender.20/1

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2:30 Citi Post Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 5, 2m 5f, Good Going, £6,150 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Couldbeaweapon, a consistent gelding and a winner last time, rates the most likely winner. Beat The Edge is frustrating but able when fresh and earns second preference.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Beat The Edge (5/2) and Couldbeaweapon (7/4).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Zuul has been backed from 9/2 into 5/2.

    ◦ Drifters: Beat The Edge has drifted from 2/1 to 4/1. Prized Jet has doubled in price from 7/2 to 7/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
CouldbeaweaponConsistent and off the mark over fences at Southwell 17 days ago; has gone up 8lb.13/8
Beat The EdgeRuns well when fresh but is 2-32 as a chaser; flattered to deceive when narrowly beaten last time.2/1
Prized JetUnseated on chase debut; lightly raced over hurdles and showed some ability.100/30

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3:00 SpraycladUK NE Ltd Juvenile Maiden Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 4, 2m 1f, Good Going, £7,700 Total Value

• Non-Runner: Battle Stride

• Spotlight Verdict: The key issue is whether Scarlet Moon takes to jumping; his Flat achievements are far greater than his rivals’. Only One Blue seems the most plausible rival.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Arctic Voyage (7/4) and Scarlet Moon (5/4).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Arctic Voyage has drifted from 9/4 to 4/1.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Scarlet MoonWon four 1m4f/1m6f handicaps on the Flat; has a cracking chance if he can jump.10/11
Only One BlueConsistent, fair maiden on the Flat; could plausibly make a hurdler.3/1
Arctic VoyagePretty useful on the Flat but yet to shine in handicaps; unraced beyond 7f on the Flat.5/2

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3:33 Naylors Gavin Black Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 4, 3m 2 1/2f, Good Going, £8,900 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Hostile Hotelier (nap) has shown winning potential over fences and defied a higher hurdle mark last time. Red Delta could be on a competitive mark, while Ballylinch has ability if ready after an absence.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Hostile Hotelier (11/10) and Red Delta (7/2).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifter: Ballylinch has drifted from 3/1 to 11/2.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Hostile Hotelier (Nap)Twice runner-up over fences; should be well handicapped after winning over hurdles off a 3lb higher mark.11/10
Red DeltaSecond in a point and a novices’ hunter chase; this mark might not be beyond him.100/30
BallylinchLong absence to overcome but is 2-6 over fences and is on a competitive mark.5/2

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4:06 Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Durham National Handicap Chase

• Race Details: Class 2, 3m 5f, Good Going, £27,500 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: Preference is for the proven stamina of in-form contender Fairlawn Flyer. The exuberant front-runner Bumpy Evans has better to come but the longer trip is a doubt. 2023 winner Tommie Beau completes the shortlist.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Bumpy Evans (7/4) and Fairlawn Flyer (3/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Drifters: Tommie Beau (11/2 to 8/1) and Fairlawn Flyer (100/30 to 5/1) have both drifted in the market.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Fairlawn FlyerRevitalised 9yo who won five consecutive chases this year; has proven stamina and needs respect.3/1
Bumpy EvansWon his last five completed starts, but extra distance gives him most to prove.13/8
Tommie BeauWon this race in 2023; should be seriously involved.6/1
Bagheera GingeThoroughly dominated last time out; needs to find extra given he’s up 7lb.9/2

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4:41 Ne3 Limited Handicap Hurdle

• Race Details: Class 3, 2m 4f, Good Going, £10,700 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: The race is dominated by the top two. Preference is for Dickens, who has been thriving for his current yard, over the frustrating Zanndabad, who is 0-9 over hurdles despite strong Flat form.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Dickens (11/4) and Zanndabad (15/8).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Zanndabad has been well-supported, from 6/4 into Evens.

    ◦ Drifters: Park Annonciade (7/2 to 13/2) and Dickens (9/4 to 3/1) have drifted.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
DickensThriving, winning four of his last six; second over C&D last time was improved form; bold show expected.7/4
Zanndabad0-9 over hurdles with four seconds, but this is a drop in class.15/8
Park AnnonciadeShort-headed at Perth in May; first start since being sold for £36,000.5/1

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5:15 Paxtons No1 For Caseih Open National Hunt Flat Race

• Race Details: Class 5, 2m 1f, Good Going, £4,500 Total Value

• Spotlight Verdict: The race is best left to Blue Topaz, who has performed well in a bumper already. Ivan’s Legacy may improve if he settles, and William Yeats showed something in his only point-to-point.

• TIMEWISE Master Ratings: Top-rated selections are Blue Topaz (2/5) and Ivan’s Legacy (16/1).

• Market Intelligence:

    ◦ Mover: Ivan’s Legacy has been backed from 16/1 into 10/1.

    ◦ Drifter: Blue Topaz has drifted slightly from 8/15 to 8/11.

RunnerSpotlight SummaryOdds
Blue TopazFourth-time lucky in points; beaten under 5l on bumper debut at Uttoxeter; appeals most.4/7
William YeatsBought for £32,000 after finishing second in a point; could have a future under rules.9/4
Ivan’s LegacyShowed up for a long way on debut; should improve, particularly if he settles better.16/1

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