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2.00 British EBF Novice Stakes (Gbb Race) (5f 42y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Fermain (2yo)
2. Tie Fighter (IRE) (2yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Fermain	This 65,000gns yearling ran green but acquitted herself positively when finishing third on her Chelmsford debut over 6f on the AW approximately three weeks ago. The switch to turf is unlikely to cause inconvenience, and she is expected to improve. Her current trainer has a 75% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
Tie Fighter (IRE)	Has shown slow but steady progress across five career starts over distances ranging from 5f to 7f. He produced his best effort when dropped back to this specific 5f trip in a Leicester novice a fortnight ago, where he was beaten by a short-head. He has possibilities if he can replicate that form, although he is acknowledged as slightly more exposed than his three rivals.

Spotlight Verdict

The sprint maiden is considered a tricky puzzle despite the small field. OVERBUDGET is selected as the top choice, benefitting from the 5lb fillies’ allowance, based on recent Nottingham form, where both she and Atticum ran well. Tie Fighter is noted for running his best race over this trip recently, but is open to less improvement.

Race Statistics

The race is restricted to 2yo horses.

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	2yo only.
Fate of Favourites	Sample form included a 3-1 2ndfav in a comparable race.
Trainer Records	George Boughey (Fermain’s trainer) has a 75% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days. E Dunlop (Tie Fighter’s trainer) has a 50% run-to-form rate.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Fermain	Unexposed, showed promise on debut, expected to improve.	Ran green on debut.	Turf debut is expected to be suitable.
Tie Fighter (IRE)	Proven over the 5f trip (narrowly beaten recently).	Most exposed among rivals (five starts), suggesting less scope for improvement.	Well suited by the trip.

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2.35 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (1m 3y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Fractional (2yo)
2. Ottoman Empress (2yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Fractional	She is well-bred, being a sister or half-sister to multiple winners. She displayed clear signs of inexperience when running fifth of ten on her Doncaster debut (7f) six weeks ago. With stamina in her family, she is the type expected to improve with time. Her trainer, W Haggas, has a 77% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
Ottoman Empress	This 550,000gns yearling delivered a promising debut when runner-up to a stablemate at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 24 days ago. She is bred to stay, being a half-sister to Ottoman Fleet (a winner up to 1m2f). She sets the strongest benchmark in the field and is open to further improvement.

Spotlight Verdict

This is described as a fascinating fillies’ maiden. The best choice is OTTOMAN EMPRESS, who has the strongest form on paper, having looked like a winner-in-waiting when second on debut. The newcomers Music Academy and Ladykirk are noted, and both Fractional and Darkwing are expected to take a significant step forward from their debuts.

Race Statistics

The race is restricted to 2yo fillies.

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	2yo fillies only.
Fate of Favourites	Sample form included a 6-5fav winner.
Trainer Records	W Haggas (Fractional’s trainer) is at 77% run-to-form. C Appleby (Ottoman Empress’s trainer) is at 75% run-to-form.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Fractional	Well-bred, expected to improve significantly past inexperienced debut.	Has only shown minor promise so far (fifth on debut).	Expected to handle the distance (stamina in family).
Ottoman Empress	Sets the standard based on strong debut form, well-related, open to improvement.	None apparent; she holds the best proven form.	Expected to handle the 1m trip, being bred to stay.

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3.10 Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Handicap (7f 3y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Gorgeous Mr George (IRE) (3yo)
2. Pietro (IRE) (3yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Gorgeous Mr George (IRE)	Extremely well suited by the course, with three C&D runs resulting in two wins and a close second. Has run runner-up in his last two starts over 1m. Although creeping up the weights, his outstanding course record dictates he cannot be ignored.
Pietro (IRE)	Recorded two handicap wins over 6f and 7f at Brighton this summer. Although sixth at Doncaster (7f) last month, he was not beaten far in what was considered a hot race. The belief is that he has not yet reached his ceiling. His trainer, J Fanshawe, has a 69% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.

Spotlight Verdict

This competitive handicap is tipped to go to James Fanshawe’s PIETRO (nap), who should benefit from the ease in class following a good run in a strong Doncaster handicap last month. Significant dangers include Gorgeous Mr George, Melvin Udall, Dashing Dick, King Of Charm, and Noble Guest.

Race Statistics

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	3yo: 1 win, 0 places, 5 runs. 4yo+: 0 wins, 1 place, 2 runs.
Fate of Favourites	No aggregated record provided for this race.
Trainer Records	William Stone: 0 wins, 1 place, 1 run.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Gorgeous Mr George (IRE)	Exceptional course and distance form.	Creeping up the weights.	Highly suited to the C&D.
Pietro (IRE)	Improving steadily, still viewed as unexposed. Ran well in a high-class race previously.	Needs to prove himself against multiple C&D winners in this field.	Well suited by the 7f trip.

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3.45 Bettingsites.Co.UK Betting Sites Handicap (5f 42y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Cressida Wildes (3yo)
2. Cuban Lady (3yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Cressida Wildes	Achieved her first handicap success over C&D in July (good ground). Showed better form when running second at Bath three weeks ago. She has been nudged up 2lb for that effort.
Cuban Lady	Lightly raced filly whose starts have all been at 6f, including a novice win in June. Went close in her last two handicap starts at Newmarket and Yarmouth. She is expected to have the pace to handle the drop to 5f.

Spotlight Verdict

The selection is STURLASSON, who is expected to run more straightforwardly back on a straight course after apparently resenting the bend at Lingfield last week, and he remains on an appealing mark. Cuban Lady and Fletcher’s Flight are expected to make bold bids, while Far Above The Law is cited as the main danger.

Race Statistics

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	3yo: 1 win, 1 place, 2 runs. 4yo+: 0 wins, 0 places, 4 runs.
Fate of Favourites	No aggregated record provided for this race.
Trainer Records	P McEntee (Cressida Wildes’ trainer) 50% run-to-form. T Clover (Cuban Lady’s trainer) 50% run-to-form.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Cressida Wildes	C&D winner, running consistently well (recently second).	Raised 2lb, unraced on ground slower than good, making softening conditions a query.	Suitable C&D winner, but ground conditions uncertain.
Cuban Lady	Lightly raced and potentially improving, went close in recent handicaps.	All previous starts were at 6f.	Expected to cope with the drop back to 5f due to her pace.

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4.20 Bettingsites.Co.UK New Betting Sites Fillies’ Handicap (1m 3f 104y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Likealot (3yo)
2. Sibling Rivelry (3yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Likealot	Has run solid races in handicaps over 1m2f and 1m3f. Her latest effort over 1m6f proved too far at Goodwood. Dropping back in trip, she is expected to be competitive again.
Sibling Rivelry	Recorded an impressive win on turf at Goodwood (1m4f, good) in August, where she beat Sound Janet despite interference. She has since won a three-runner AW race and possesses potential back on grass.

Spotlight Verdict

GOLD PENNY is selected, having shown promise in her qualifying runs against strong opposition and now tackling a more realistic assignment in handicap company. Silver Chamber is expected to be closely involved. Sibling Rivelry’s potential is noted, but the recent easing of the ground raises questions about her suitability. [Emily Weber]

Race Statistics

No aggregated race statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) are provided for this race.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Likealot	Solid form at competitive levels over approximately this distance. Benefits from dropping back in trip (1m6f was too far previously).	None immediately apparent for this distance.	Suitable for the 1m3f trip.
Sibling Rivelry	Impressive turf form when winning previously, low weight.	Question marks over suitability if the ground is slow.	Potential back on grass.

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4.55 Tigerbet.Co.UK Brand New Bookie Handicap (1m 2f 23y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Lordsbridge Blu (5yo)
2. War Supremo (IRE) (3yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Lordsbridge Blu	Has a long losing run, being 0-10 in handicaps since his sole win over a year ago. However, he has been placed seven times in handicaps and is down another 1lb.
War Supremo (IRE)	Caught the eye when finishing fourth of 14 at Haydock (1m2f, good) on his penultimate start. However, his form has been inconsistent, with two other recent efforts since winning in July being underwhelming.

Spotlight Verdict

The vote goes to the consistent TWILIGHT MOON, who stays further and may have the race run to suit in this large field. Saliko (second choice) is highly regarded back on turf. Ghost Story benefits from the rain, while Telecommunication would be preferred on better ground. [David Bellingham]

Race Statistics

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	3yo: 6 wins, 14 places, 60 runs. 4yo+: 2 wins, 2 places, 37 runs.
Fate of Favourites	8 runs, 2 won (25%).
Trainer Records	Hugo Palmer: 1 win, 0 places, 1 run. Michael Bell: 1 win, 0 places, 2 runs. James Fanshawe: 0 wins, 1 place, 3 runs. Ralph Beckett: 0 wins, 1 place, 1 run.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Lordsbridge Blu	Consistent at this level (placed seven times), currently low in the weights.	Long winless streak in handicaps. May be vulnerable to younger, improving rivals.	Distance is suitable, but form suggests he is a hard horse to win with.
War Supremo (IRE)	Young and capable of flashing good form (notably at Haydock).	Inconsistent recent performances.	Distance is suitable (won at 1m2f in July).

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5.30 Tigerbet.Co.UK Bet Online Handicap (6f 3y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)

1. Amarachi (IRE) (3yo)
2. State Of Madness (4yo)

Horse	Recent Form & Comments
Amarachi (IRE)	Won over C&D (good to firm) on her handicap debut in June. She joins the current trainer (J Parr) after being bought for 24,000gns. She is lightly raced, but reappears after a four-month break.
State Of Madness	Is 2-2 for his current trainer (C Clover), having won on good to soft and then justified odds-on favouritism at Brighton (6f). He carries a 5lb penalty for his recent success (last week), but this is offset by the 7lb claim of Alexandra Egan. He has every chance of completing the hat-trick.

Spotlight Verdict

The selection is the bang-in-form STATE OF MADNESS, who is strongly favoured to complete the hat-trick for his new yard. Amarachi is noted, although she starts life with her new trainer on a 3lb higher mark after a break. Wrath Of Hector is considered a consistent contender. [Mark Rowntree]

Race Statistics

Statistic	Details
Age Groups	3yo: 3 wins, 9 places, 42 runs. 4yo+: 6 wins, 9 places, 66 runs.
Fate of Favourites	9 runs, 3 won (33%).
Trainer Records	John Ryan: 1 win, 2 places, 5 runs. Joseph Parr: 1 win, 0 places, 1 run. Michael Wigham: 0 wins, 1 place, 1 run.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Amarachi (IRE)	C&D winner, lightly raced with potential.	Raised 3lb, returning from a four-month break.	Suitable distance (C&D winner).
State Of Madness	Highly effective for new trainer (2-2), effectively carrying a low weight due to the 7lb claim offsetting the 5lb penalty.	Requires continued sharp improvement at a rapidly rising grade.	Excellent suitability; multiple recent wins over 6f/C&D.