TimeWise Chronicles

Newmarket: This analysis draws exclusively on the provided race cards, analysis, and TimeWise Master Ratings Report excerpts.

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Newmarket Races (Chronological Order)

1.48 Free Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB) (Class 4) 7f

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Souffler (11/2)K P De Foy81
Top 2Athena’s War (13/2)A Balding74

Recent Form and Comments

  • Souffler: Recent form figures are 7527 76. She ran to just a modest level, finishing sixth of seven finishers in a Class 2 maiden over the course and distance (C&D) (good to firm) last time. The form is said to be the best in the field, although it sets an ordinary standard in RPR terms.
  • Athena’s War: Recent form figures are 7892 65. She finished a close fifth, rallying once headed, at Leicester (1m, good to soft) last time. She is considered one of the main form contenders.

Spotlight Verdict

Based on sales information and other factors, the most interesting types among the debutantes are REEM RAK, Laughterintherain and Churchill’s Spirit who head the shortlist in that order of preference, market signals pending. Souffler and Athena’s War bring the best form, albeit set a standard that is far from daunting.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo fillies.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 4 wins from 10 races (4122060216).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): William Haggas 2-0-4, Ed Dunlop 1-0-6, Marco Botti 1-0-2, Andrew Balding 0-3-4, Tom Clover 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Souffler:
    • Strengths: Holds the best form standard (RPR terms) in the field. Has shown some ability.
    • Weaknesses: Sets only an ordinary standard. Was well beaten last time out over C&D.
    • Suitability: Has run over the distance previously.
  • Athena’s War:
    • Strengths: One of the main form contenders. Ran well at 1m last time, suggesting fitness. May do better still.
    • Weaknesses: Coming back down to 7f may not be in her favour, as she may not be “crying out” for the return to this distance (having run at 1m recently).

2.23 Safer Gambling With CopyBet Novice Stakes (Class 4) 7f

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Savvy Disko (4/1)S P C Woods85
Top 2Eklleem (7/1)W J Haggas81

Recent Form and Comments

  • Savvy Disko: Recent form figures are 7783 3. He ran above market expectations when finishing third in a C&D maiden (good) on Sun Chariot day.
  • Eklleem: Recent form figures are 7376 6. He was only sixth of ten at Leicester (7f, good to soft) where he looked green and needed the outing. He is a 200,000gns yearling.

Spotlight Verdict

Having shown his piece of promise over C&D, SAVVY DISKO gets the percentage call in quite an open contest. Eklleem, who seems likely to improve significantly on his Leicester effort, is second choice ahead of Major Neigh Sayer who looks a solid contender on form.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo colts & geldings.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 4 wins from 9 races (431242114).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Jane Chapple-Hyam 1-0-1, Richard Hannon 0-1-7, William Haggas 0-2-6.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Savvy Disko:
    • Strengths: Showed significant promise over C&D last time out. Gets the percentage call from the Spotlight team.
    • Weaknesses: The race is described as “quite an open contest”.
    • Suitability: Proven ability over C&D.
  • Eklleem:
    • Strengths: Represents a top yard. Expected to improve significantly upon his previous run, as he looked green last time. Well-bred (200,000gns yearling).
    • Weaknesses: Has shown inexperience (looked green) in previous starts.
    • Suitability: Distance (7f) is suitable for a likely improver.

2.58 Champions League Early Payout At CopyBet Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Class 3) 1m 2f

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Study Of Words (11/10)Charlie Appleby82
Top 2Aussie Pearl (3/1)Charlie Johnston72

Recent Form and Comments

  • Study Of Words: Recent form figures are 7437 52. He fared much better on his second start with a close second at Goodwood (1m2f, soft) in front of two subsequent scorers. He is the Frankel colt who is the form pick.
  • Aussie Pearl: Recent form figures are 7893 3. She put up a promising third of nine in a Leicester maiden (1m, good to soft), competing against more experienced rivals. She shaped as if this longer trip (1m2f) will suit.

Spotlight Verdict

Goodwood runner-up STUDY OF WORDS has the strongest claims and is taken to go one better. Aussie Pearl is second choice.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 1 win from 8 races (62441234).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Charlie Appleby 4-1-7.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Study Of Words:
    • Strengths: The form pick. Strongest claims having finished second last time, with the next two home winning subsequently.
    • Weaknesses: Seemed to need his debut experience.
    • Suitability: Proven capable at this distance (1m2f).
  • Aussie Pearl:
    • Strengths: Showed promise on debut. Expected to benefit from the step up to 1m2f. Progress is plausible.
    • Weaknesses: Only third on debut at 1m. Held by Study Of Words on a reading of their Goodwood running.
    • Suitability: Expected to relish the longer distance of 1m2f.

3.33 British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Nursery Handicap (Sire/Dam Restricted Race) (GBBPlus Race) (Class 2) 1m 2f

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Commanding Officer (5/4)Charlie Appleby97
Top 2Explosion (7/4)Charlie Johnston106

Recent Form and Comments

  • Commanding Officer: Recent form figures are 6724 341. His novice form has substance. He recorded a fortuitous win at Haydock (1m, good) most recently, with the runner-up reported as unlucky. He remains open to progress and is now going handicapping with a 7lb claimer utilized.
  • Explosion: Recent form figures are 7209 3311. This improving colt is bidding for a hat-trick after wins in a Windsor novice (1m, soft) and a Chelmsford nursery (1m2f, AW; easily). Bare figures suggest he is still well treated despite an 8lb rise.

Spotlight Verdict

Hat-trick seeker EXPLOSION gets the narrow vote ahead of Commanding Officer and Crystal Pier in an interesting clash of progressive/unexposed sorts.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 2 wins from 7 races (6131342).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Charlie Appleby 2-0-4, Ralph Beckett 1-3-6.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Commanding Officer:
    • Strengths: Still open to progress. Novice form holds substance. Benefits from a 7lb allowance on his handicap debut.
    • Weaknesses: His last win was described as “fortuitous”.
    • Suitability: Making his handicap debut. Likely suited by the distance based on previous wins (1m) and pedigree.
  • Explosion:
    • Strengths: Improving colt seeking a hat-trick. Figures suggest he is still well treated despite being raised 8lb. Won easily over 1m2f on AW last time.
    • Weaknesses: Has received an 8lb rise.
    • Suitability: Proven winner over 1m2f on AW. Warrants respect as an improving sort.

4.08 CopyBet Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3) 1m

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Maybe Not (7/4)R M Beckett97
Top 2Orangesandlemons (11/4)Ed Bethell98

Recent Form and Comments

  • Maybe Not: Recent form figures are 7350 312121. She has proven solid, having achieved form figures of 12121 since switching to handicaps (turf/AW). She is 1-1 over 1m (though campaigned mostly at 7f). She rallied at Southwell most recently.
  • Orangesandlemons: Recent form figures are 7724 122661. She bounced back with a success in the series final at Nottingham (good to soft) last time. Her record over 1m reads 2121.

Spotlight Verdict

The absence of older runners makes this a 3yo handicap in all but name. SILENT CITY had little to spare over C&D last time but may be able to follow up, with further improvement plausible. Maybe Not (second choice) and Orangesandlemons look solid contenders.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 7-12-60, 4yo+ 3-6-33.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 4 wins from 10 races (4306121223).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Roger Varian 0-2-3.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Maybe Not:
    • Strengths: Solid form profile since moving to handicaps. Is 1-1 at this distance (1m).
    • Weaknesses: None explicit, considered a “solid contender”.
    • Suitability: Proven at 1m.
  • Orangesandlemons:
    • Strengths: Excellent 1m record (2121). Recent win shows current good form. May have more to offer over this trip.
    • Weaknesses: Running off a career-high mark.
    • Suitability: The distance (1m) is clearly suitable.

4.43 British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire/Dam-Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus) (Class 4) 1m

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Golden Knight (5/1)Ed Walker83
Top 2Poetry Of Time (100/30)W J Haggas87

Recent Form and Comments

  • Golden Knight: Recent form figures are 7517 4. He finished a promising fourth of nine on debut last month in a warm novice at Haydock (1m, good to soft), beaten just over 2l. He is a well-bred 220,000euros purchase and is open to improvement.
  • Poetry Of Time: Recent form figures are 7726 22. He was short-headed on debut at Thirsk (7f, soft) and again went very close (second) at Salisbury (7f, good) last time. He was clear of the third in the Salisbury run.

Spotlight Verdict

Poetry Of Time (second choice) has gone close on both starts and sets a good standard, while Golden Knight was a promising fourth at Haydock and is open to improvement. However, 1,100,000gns yearling SUPERIOR CHOICE has an excellent pedigree and earns the vote on his debut.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 1 win from 8 races (15535103).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Andrew Balding 1-1-5, Ed Walker 1-2-5, John & Thady Gosden 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Golden Knight:
    • Strengths: Open to improvement after a promising debut. Well-bred and highly valued (220,000euros breeze-up purchase).
    • Weaknesses: Has only run once.
    • Suitability: Debut was over 1m, suggesting suitability for the trip.
  • Poetry Of Time:
    • Strengths: Sets a good standard, having finished second on both career starts. Expected to be suited by the step up to 1m (previous runs 7f).
    • Weaknesses: Has yet to secure a win.
    • Suitability: Expected to be suited by the increased distance of 1m.

5.18 BOG Today For Tomorrow With CopyBet Nursery Handicap (Class 4) 7f

RankHorse (Odds)TrainerLatest Master Rating (TimeWise/RP)
Top 1Quiescent (6/4)H Al Jehani90
Top 2Romantic Twilight (7/1)W B Stone85

Recent Form and Comments

  • Quiescent: Recent form figures are 7525 2711. She followed up a novice win at Chepstow by winning a fillies’ nursery over C&D (good to firm), getting her neck in front near the finish. She is respected in her hat-trick attempt.
  • Romantic Twilight: Recent form figures are 8093 052501. She opened her account by making all in a Yarmouth nursery (6f, good) last week.

Spotlight Verdict

Back down in trip, DARK SHORE (nap) is well worth another chance. Hat-trick seeker Quiescent is feared most, ahead of handicap debutant Mr Wonka.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is for 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (W-L): 2 wins from 10 races (6550264532).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Brian Meehan 1-0-3, Hugo Palmer 1-0-3.

Assessment of Top Two

  • Quiescent:
    • Strengths: Bids for a hat-trick. Proven C&D winner. Further progress is plausible. Considered the most feared rival to the Spotlight selection.
    • Weaknesses: None explicit.
    • Suitability: Proven C&D performance.
  • Romantic Twilight:
    • Strengths: Recent winner (last week). Used leading tactics successfully (made all).
    • Weaknesses: Has to overcome a 6lb penalty. Might not be crying out for the return to 7f (second attempt).
    • Suitability: Best recent form was at 6f.

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