1. 4.27 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap (5f/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses listed in the Ratings Report are Arlington (7/2) and Beaumadier (5/1).
Recent Form and Comments
- Arlington: Likes to lead. He stayed in front over course and distance (C&D) earlier this month, securing his second win here this year.
- Beaumadier: This horse is a recent Musselburgh winner. He ran acceptably under a penalty at Wolverhampton (5f) and arrives in form.
Spotlight Verdict
The race is assessed as open and expected to be strongly run, benefiting those who come from behind. The preferred selection is Nelson Gay, who might have found himself in front too early last time. Muma Myflo is considered a sprinter of interest at this level, and 5f may be her best trip. Dandy Fitz is the third choice.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-0-2, 4yo+ 0-2-7.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Antony Brittain 0-1-1, Kevin Frost 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two
- Arlington (L):
- Strengths: Proven C&D winner, with two wins at this track this year. Likes to lead.
- Weaknesses: Up 4lb. His front-running style (L) could clash with other prominent racers.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for the conditions and track; dangerous if not pressed up front.
- Beaumadier (P):
- Strengths: Arrives in form following a Musselburgh win.
- Weaknesses: Considered high enough in the weights and has a wide draw.
- Suitability: Recent form suggests the AW surface and trip are acceptable.
2. 5.00 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Fillies’ Novice Stakes (6f/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Fiery Damsel (5/2) and Bintola (5/1).
Recent Form and Comments
- Fiery Damsel: Sneaked into the frame over C&D on debut and subsequently scored at Kempton (6f) later in September. She incurs a penalty but is open to further progress. Jack Callan takes off a useful 5lb.
- Bintola: A twice-raced filly. She ran well behind a clearcut winner at Kempton (6f) on her switch to AW last time. She is likely to take another step forward.
Spotlight Verdict
Based on experience, Kempton scorer Fiery Damsel appears to have the best chance. Newcomer Cryingintherain also has good credentials, assuming she loads into the stalls, having refused previously. Market signals may provide further guidance.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: This race is exclusively for 2yo fillies. Detailed age group statistics for winners/runners are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
Assessment of Top Two
- Fiery Damsel (P):
- Strengths: Recent winner at Kempton (6f), open to further progress, jockey claim helps mitigate the penalty.
- Weaknesses: Incurs a penalty for her win.
- Suitability: Proven on AW and over the 6f distance.
- Bintola (H):
- Strengths: Showed good ability on AW debut at Kempton, potential for further improvement.
- Weaknesses: Lower overall rating than Fiery Damsel.
- Suitability: Suited by the AW surface.
3. 5.30 Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap (1m/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Live Each Day (3/1) and Mamma Maria (7/2).
Recent Form and Comments
- Live Each Day: Won over 7f here in April and recently won at Kempton (1m), coming from the back of the field.
- Mamma Maria: A turf winner who was unfortunately disqualified at Salisbury in August (1m) despite passing the post first. She ran a solid second on the Chelmsford AW last time, and this track might suit her better.
Spotlight Verdict
Mamma Maria is the top selection; she was perhaps unlucky not to be a dual winner on turf, ran solidly at Chelmsford, and the Southwell track could suit her better. Live Each Day is the second choice, having won well at Kempton, and is not yet exposed.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: This race is for 3yo+ fillies & mares. Detailed age group statistics are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
Assessment of Top Two
- Live Each Day (H/P):
- Strengths: C&D winner (7f), proven winner over 1m on AW, versatile running style (can be prominent or held up).
- Weaknesses: Now racing off a career-high mark following a 5lb rise.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for AW competition and C&D.
- Mamma Maria (P):
- Strengths: Strong recent AW form (solid second at Chelmsford), turf form is high (disqualified win), highest Master RPR (79) among the top two. This track might suit her better.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly noted concerning her mark or ability on AW.
- Suitability: Appears well-suited to the AW surface and 1m trip.
4. 6.00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (1m/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Al Durry (4/1) and Jazzy Baby (13/2).
Recent Form and Comments
- Al Durry (P): Both starts were in the spring. She ran better when going close at Chelmsford (1m) on her latest outing. She looks the type to take another step forward.
- Jazzy Baby (P): She has shown creditable form by finishing a close fourth (behind Al Durry) at Chelmsford and a creditable second at Kempton, both over 1m. She is seen as having frame possibilities again.
Spotlight Verdict
Quamby is considered the form choice due to her solid effort behind a useful subsequent Listed scorer. Al Durry is feared most, as she looks likely to improve further. Jazzy Baby and others with experience have frame possibilities.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: This race is for 3yo+ fillies & mares. Detailed age group statistics are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
Assessment of Top Two
- Al Durry (P):
- Strengths: Improved on second start, good recent form (close second at Chelmsford), warrants respect and looks progressive.
- Weaknesses: Has not run since spring (154 days ago).
- Suitability: Proven over 1m on AW.
- Jazzy Baby (P):
- Strengths: Consistent performance at 1m, achieved placings at Kempton and Chelmsford.
- Weaknesses: Finished behind Al Durry previously.
- Suitability: Proven over 1m on AW.
5. 6.30 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) (1m/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Forest Caper (9/2) and Saytarr (7/2).
Recent Form and Comments
- Forest Caper (H): He is yet to win in eight starts. He has performed well in several races on turf at up to 1m2f. His breeding suggests encouragement for AW.
- Saytarr (H): Achieved two Polytrack wins this summer, including a last-gasp victory at Kempton last month (1m). He disappointed in a recent Nottingham handicap but could resume progress back on AW.
Spotlight Verdict
The vote goes to Forest Caper, a well-related 4yo who has shown winning potential and should benefit from the switch to AW. Knickerbocker (second choice) is narrowly preferred over Saytarr based on their recent Kempton clash, as she has fewer miles on the clock.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-9, 4yo+ 1-2-14.
- Fate of Favourites: 24.
- Trainer Records: Charlie Fellowes 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two
- Forest Caper (H):
- Strengths: Good pedigree for AW racing, demonstrated winning potential on turf, not yet fully exposed.
- Weaknesses: Still a maiden after eight starts (0-8).
- Suitability: The switch to AW is expected to be beneficial.
- Saytarr (H):
- Strengths: Proven recent winner on Polytrack (AW surface).
- Weaknesses: Disappointed in his last turf outing (Nottingham), Knickerbocker is preferred to reverse the placings from their last meeting.
- Suitability: Expected to resume progress now returned to AW.
6. 7.00 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) (1m/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Counting Cards (7/2) and Tribal Wisdom (5/1).
Recent Form and Comments
- Counting Cards (W T1): Showed steady progress with form figures of 742 but has been absent for 13 months. He has since undergone gelding and wind operations, and now wears a tongue-tie. Market confidence should be monitored.
- Tribal Wisdom (T): Most of his winning and racing experience is over longer distances (9.5f/1m2f). He achieved a close fourth over 8.5f on turf recently. He holds a fighting chance off an unaltered mark.
Spotlight Verdict
Tokyo Joe is particularly interesting and may open his account, returning to this course where he posted his peak effort (second over C&D in June). Koge (second choice) is open to progress. Tribal Wisdom has a fighting chance based on his recent form.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-9, 4yo+ 1-2-14.
- Fate of Favourites: 24.
- Trainer Records: Edward Bethell 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two
- Counting Cards (W T1):
- Strengths: Showed steady progress before his layoff, open to progression on his handicap debut.
- Weaknesses: Absent for 13 months, needs the market to confirm fitness and suitability.
- Suitability: AW debut, tongue-tie applied; needs to prove fit after layoff.
- Tribal Wisdom (T):
- Strengths: Holds a fighting chance off his current mark, decent recent form.
- Weaknesses: The sharp 1m trip may be inadequate as he is typically campaigned over 9.5f or 1m2f.
- Suitability: Questionable suitability regarding the distance.
7. 7.30 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (6f/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Hoodie Hoo (11/2) and Valley Ofthe Kings (13/2).
Recent Form and Comments
- Hoodie Hoo (T): Showed some inconsistency on turf but bounced back with a close second at Nottingham (6f) most recently. His AW record is 124, and he remains fairly unexposed in this sphere.
- Valley Ofthe Kings (B): Opened his account most recently in a novice event at Wolverhampton (dropped from 1m to 5f) when trying first-time blinkers (retained). He may show further progress.
Spotlight Verdict
Low-mileage filly Nazuki is preferred, aiming to build on her novice progress back over C&D for her first handicap win. Ararat is second choice, bidding for a Southwell double, and remains on a workable mark. Valley Ofthe Kings warrants respect in the retained blinkers.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-11, 4yo+ 2-5-24.
- Fate of Favourites: 640.
- Trainer Records: Richard Fahey 0-1-2.
Assessment of Top Two
- Hoodie Hoo (T):
- Strengths: Strong recent turf form (second place), remains unexposed on AW where his record is promising (124).
- Weaknesses: Inconsistency shown on turf.
- Suitability: High potential on AW, strong contender.
- Valley Ofthe Kings (B):
- Strengths: Recent winner in first-time blinkers (retained), expected to build on that success.
- Weaknesses: Prior form was erratic (dropped drastically in trip).
- Suitability: Blinkers should maintain focus, but C&D experience is limited.
8. 8.00 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap (2m1/2f/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Moab (11/10) and Savvy Stellar (11/4).
Recent Form and Comments
- Moab (P): Achieved a breakthrough win over 1m6f here 16 days ago, after framing over hurdles and on the Flat previously. He won well enough to warrant the 7lb rise.
- Savvy Stellar (P): Won over C&D a month ago (only three runners, but beat a progressive rival with the pair clear). He saw the trip out well, defying his pedigree. Now carries a 2lb higher mark, but Jack Callan claims 5lb.
Spotlight Verdict
Savvy Stellar (nap) is selected, having been strong through the line when winning over C&D a month ago. The form is respected despite only three runners. Moab is the most troublesome rival, being another recent course winner.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: This race is for 3yo+. Detailed age group statistics are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
Assessment of Top Two
- Moab (P):
- Strengths: Progressive, recent course winner (1m6f), clearly a major contender.
- Weaknesses: Up 7lb for his recent success.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for the trip and track.
- Savvy Stellar (P):
- Strengths: Proven C&D winner, saw the trip out well, jockey claim offsets the weight rise. Joint highest RPR (69) and slightly higher TS (69) than Moab.
- Weaknesses: Only beat two rivals last time, pedigree suggests distance is a stretch.
- Suitability: Proven suitability for the C&D.
9. 8.30 Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (1m3f/AW)
The TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses are Always A Star (11/4) and Way Of Life (8/1).
Recent Form and Comments
- Always A Star (P): A remarkably consistent performer who has hit the frame over a bit further here a month ago. He has not won in nine starts but looks handicapped about right.
- Way Of Life (M): Has been fairly well held in his last four races. His mark is reasonable, and the return to AW is viewed positively.
Spotlight Verdict
The tentative vote is for Always A Star, who is running well in defeat and deserves a win. Timeless Charm is worth another look following poor tactics last time (went off too fast). His Finest Hour also needs to be considered.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: This race is for 4yo+. Detailed age group statistics are not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Fate of Favourites: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
- Trainer Records: Information not available in the provided sources for this specific race.
Assessment of Top Two
- Always A Star (P):
- Strengths: Admirable consistency (hit the frame recently here), judged to be correctly handicapped for each-way claims.
- Weaknesses: Yet to secure a win (0-9).
- Suitability: Proven on AW and at this track/trip range.
- Way Of Life (M):
- Strengths: Mark is acceptable, and returning to the AW track should benefit him.
- Weaknesses: Recent form (last four runs) has been disappointing.
- Suitability: Suitable for the AW surface.
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