Southwell (A.W) 7.00 Race Preview

This is a very modest Class 6 handicap over the extended mile on Southwell’s Tapeta surface. With a maximum rating band of 0-55, it’s a race for exposed or out-of-form horses, making recent consistency and course suitability key factors.

Main Selection: AIM FOR THE BULL (9-4)

• Trainer: Mike Murphy
• Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
• Form: …42443422

Although still a maiden after 13 starts, Aim For The Bull is knocking firmly on the door and looks the most likely winner. He has finished second on his last two starts, including over a mile on Kempton’s Polytrack last time out 36 days ago, where he only gave way late on. He acts on artificial surfaces, the mile trip suits, and he’s running off a mark of just 50. He wears the visor again (worn on last two runs), and in this weak contest, this looks like a prime opportunity to finally get his head in front. 👍

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Main Dangers

FIFTY SENT (9-9)

• Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
• Jockey: Robert Havlin
• Form: …32331461

Comes here in winning form, having landed a similar Class 6 handicap on soft ground at Ffos Las last time out (56 days ago). He carries top weight as a result but is a previous course winner here at Southwell (over 7f) and has a generally consistent profile on Tapeta. He should handle the surface and track well and represents a solid danger despite the rise in the weights. ✅

TRUSTY SCOUT (9-5)

• Trainer: Derek Shaw
• Jockey: Cam Hardie
• Form: …243523

This veteran is another highly consistent performer, especially on the all-weather (2 wins, 17 places from 44 AW starts). He’s been placed second and third on his last two runs at Wolverhampton over slightly further and often runs well at Southwell (4 places from 10 starts). Off a mark of 48, he’s competitively weighted and should be right there at the finish again. Reliable place contender. 🥈🥉

KODEBREAKER (9-2)

• Trainer: Michael Herrington
• Jockey: Dylan Hogan
• Form: …963696946

While his recent form figures aren’t inspiring, Kodebreaker absolutely loves Southwell (2 wins, 9 places from 28 starts). He ran creditably when fourth over a mile here two starts back and wasn’t disgraced last time over 7f. He’s now down to a career-low mark of 44, 12lbs lower than his last win (which was here). Back at his favourite track off basement weight, he’s dangerous to discount completely. 👀

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Best of the Rest

• REPUTATION (9-7): Another course winner (though only 1 from 9 starts here). Ran a decent fourth last time at Wolverhampton and often picks up minor prize money. Place chance.

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Verdict

It looks like AIM FOR THE BULL’s turn to finally break his duck. His consistency and recent near misses make him the standout candidate in a weak race. Last-time-out winner Fifty Sent rates a clear danger, along with the reliable Trusty Scout. Course specialist Kodebreaker could easily outperform his odds back on his favoured surface off a very low mark.

1-2-3 Prediction:

1. Aim For The Bull
2. Fifty Sent
3. Trusty Scout