Doncaster; Analysis of the Timewise Top Two ranked+Spotlight Verdict+Race Stats for Saturday 25th October.

·

This response details the Doncaster races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses based on the total TimeWise rating, summarising their recent form, providing the Spotlight Verdict, outlining race statistics, and assessing the top two’s chances.


1.30 Skill Step Group Handicap (5f 3y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Lexington Blitz (IRE)
  2. Rosario (IRE)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Lexington Blitz (3yo, 9-0)Gained compensation for a string of near misses by winning last week’s Catterick Dash (5f, good) in fine style. He had two minor wins as a 2yo.
Rosario (4yo, 9-6)Has plenty of ability despite only two wins and comes here in top form. Most recently came from well back to snatch second at Ascot three weeks ago (5f, soft). He runs in a first-time visor (replacing cheekpieces). Slow starts are a weakness.

Spotlight Verdict:
Lexington Blitz impressed at Catterick last week but this will be a different test and others have more persuasive claims. Rosario and Jer Batt can feature, while Francisco’s Piece is intriguing back on testing ground. TRILBY (nap) is taken to shine, having found only a well-treated and progressive 3yo too strong at Haydock last week.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Historical): 3yo 2-7-32, 4yo+ 8-13-106.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 020101010.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): David & Nicola Barron 0-1-2, Grant Tuer 0-1-3, Richard Fahey 0-4-10, Roger Teal 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Lexington Blitz: Strengths: Recent impressive win in Catterick Dash. Weaknesses: A 5lb rise may find him out, and this race presents a very different test. Suitability: Unraced on ground slower than good to soft, so the SOFT going is a major question mark.
  • Rosario: Strengths: Current top form, showing ability on soft ground recently. Suitability: Should cope with the SOFT conditions. Weaknesses: Prone to slow starts. He is expected to arrive late on the scene.

2.05 William Hill Futurity Trophy Stakes (Group 1) (1m)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Benvenuto Cellini (IRE)
  2. Hawk Mountain (IRE)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Benvenuto Cellini (2yo, 9-3)Made all in a Killarney maiden (1m, yielding to soft) in July on his second run. Easily followed up under Christophe Soumillon in the four-runner Group 2 Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown (1m, good to yielding) last month. He is the Derby favourite following that win and possesses star potential.
Hawk Mountain (2yo, 9-3)Made all in a Curragh maiden (1m, good) in August on his second run. Powered clear impressively when making all in the Group 2 Beresford Stakes (1m, yielding to soft) four weeks ago.

Spotlight Verdict:
BENVENUTO CELLINI took the eye with the way he kicked clear to win the Juvenile Stakes at Leopardstown, in the process becoming favourite for the Derby, and he is preferred over all-the-way Beresford winner Hawk Mountain.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Race is restricted to 2yo colts and fillies.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 3211521112.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): A P O’Brien 4-7-23, Andrew Balding 1-0-6, John & Thady Gosden 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Benvenuto Cellini: Strengths: Easy winner of a Group 2 last time; strong potential and backed for the Derby. Suitability: Has won on yielding to soft ground, suggesting suitability for the SOFT conditions. Weaknesses: Was weak in the ante-post betting for this race.
  • Hawk Mountain: Strengths: Major player, having powered clear impressively to win the Group 2 Beresford Stakes. Suitability: Proven effective on yielding to soft ground.

2.40 William Hill Prospect Stakes (Listed Race) (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Lam Yai (IRE)
  2. Boston Dan (IRE)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Lam Yai (2yo, 8-12)Soft-ground record includes a comfortable maiden win and a narrow miss when second in the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde (6f) last month. Holds leading form claims.
Boston Dan (2yo, 9-3)Has solid claims based on his second place in a 6f York Listed event two weeks ago.

Spotlight Verdict:
A repeat of the form LAM YAI produced when second in a 6f Ayr Group 3 last month would likely make her tough to beat. With doubts about Boston Dan on the ground it could be that Figjam (second choice) and Arduis Invicta give Karl Burke’s filly most to do.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Race is restricted to 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 102132213.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): K R Burke 0-1-3, Ralph Beckett 0-1-5.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Lam Yai: Strengths: Leading form claims backed by a recent Group 3 second. Suitability: Proven effectiveness on soft ground makes her tough to beat in the prevailing SOFT conditions.
  • Boston Dan: Strengths: Consistent performer with a recent Listed second. Weaknesses: He was comfortably held in a similar race on his only previous encounter with soft ground. Suitability: The SOFT ground presents a significant doubt.

3.15 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Colori Forever
  2. The Resdev Scholar (IRE)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Colori Forever (2yo, 9-8)Won debut in good style (7f, good to firm) and ran well when fifth in a 7f sales race at Newmarket three weeks ago. Has potential off his opening handicap mark.
The Resdev Scholar (2yo, 8-9)Broke his maiden at the eighth attempt in a seller at Musselburgh (7f, good) 12 days ago.

Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for CHAPTER, who won on heavy ground on last month’s nursery debut at Salisbury and is taken to follow up. The step up in trip could be a plus for Art Lover (second choice).

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Race is restricted to 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 121213410.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): William Haggas 1-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Colori Forever: Strengths: Unexposed with potential on his opening mark. Weaknesses: Has not encountered ground slower than good. Suitability: The SOFT ground is a major concern.
  • The Resdev Scholar: Strengths: Recently got off the mark. Weaknesses: Looks exposed and may be vulnerable now back in a nursery. He is unraced on ground slower than good. Suitability: Poor suitability for SOFT ground.

3.50 William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap (1m)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Ata Rangi (IRE)
  2. High Degree
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Ata Rangi (4yo, 9-6)Successful on soft ground in Ireland and has recorded two handicap wins since joining Ed Walker. Needs to bounce back from a below-par run at Goodwood last time. The same trainer/jockey combination won this race last year.
High Degree (3yo, 9-9)Two solid handicap runs since winning a 1m maiden. Proved capable in the mud when finishing fourth of 18 in a recent Ascot handicap. Remains open to further progress, having had only five starts.

Spotlight Verdict:
The vote goes to low-mileage William Haggas 3yo HIGH DEGREE. Valvano (second choice) is interesting back at 1m.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Historical): 3yo 1-2-6, 4yo+ 0-0-6 (Based on previous winners/placers mentioned nearby).
  • Note: Historical Fate of Favourites and Trainer Records are not specifically provided for this race in isolation in the source material.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Ata Rangi: Strengths: Proven soft ground winner; stable/jockey combination won this race previously. Weaknesses: Must recover from a below-par run last time. Suitability: Well suited to SOFT ground.
  • High Degree: Strengths: Progressive profile and open to further improvement. Proven ability to handle testing ground (finished fourth in the mud at Ascot). Suitability: Expected to run well in SOFT conditions.

4.25 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (1m2f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Alpha Crucis (IRE)
  2. Crowd Quake
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Alpha Crucis (5yo, 9-4)Two-time heavy-ground winner. Finished runner-up on his last two starts (1m2f/1m, soft/good to soft). He was fourth in this race last year (soft). Key player with conditions in his favour.
Crowd Quake (4yo, 8-11)Has seven wins this year (1m-1m4f). Looked better than ever when finishing a close third at Nottingham (1m2f, good to soft) last time.

Spotlight Verdict:
The 3yo EL BURHAN was a rejuvenated winner at Ayr last month and could still have more left in the tank. He earns the vote ahead of Alpha Crucis, who will be right at home in the testing conditions.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Historical): 3yo 0-0-6, 4yo+ 2-4-17 (Based on previous winners/placers mentioned nearby).
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical): 20.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Jack Channon 1-0-1, Gary & Josh Moore 0-1-1, Harry Eustace 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Alpha Crucis: Strengths: Strong form consistency (two recent seconds) and excellent suitability for testing ground, being a dual heavy-ground winner. Suitability: Will be right at home in the SOFT conditions.
  • Crowd Quake: Strengths: Highly in-form campaigner with seven wins this year; ran a career-best last time. Weaknesses: Unraced on ground softer than good to soft. Suitability: Needs to prove he handles the SOFT ground.

5.00 Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div I) (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Dwindling Funds
  2. Rainbow Nebula (FR)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Dwindling Funds (4yo, 9-7)Six wins in 2025 across various trips, forging well clear when returned to 7f at Ayr (heavy) 16 days ago. He is up 7lb.
Rainbow Nebula (3yo, 9-11)Lightly raced 3yo who found the step up to 7f suited when winning an amateur jockeys’ race at Ascot (good to soft) 22 days ago. Expected to go higher in the weights.

Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for the redoubtable DWINDLING FUNDS who forged clear under testing conditions at Ayr last time out. Rainbow Nebula can go on from his recent Ascot win, but the testing ground will be a novel experience for him.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Historical, likely Div I & II combined): 3yo 1-9-41, 4yo+ 8-10-70.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical, likely Div I & II combined): 201052111.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R, Historical, likely Div I & II combined): Richard Fahey 1-2-9, K R Burke 0-1-4, Michael Appleby 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Dwindling Funds: Strengths: Highly in-form; proven decisive winner on heavy ground recently. Suitability: Excellent suitability for SOFT conditions. Weaknesses: Handicapper has reacted sharply (up 7lb).
  • Rainbow Nebula: Strengths: Progressive 3yo, recently winning at 7f. Weaknesses: Must cope with a 5lb rise. Suitability: The testing SOFT ground will be a novel and potential negative experience.

5.30 Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div II) (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Bright Times Ahead (IRE)
  2. Wobwobwob (IRE)
HorseRecent Form & Comments Summary
Bright Times Ahead (3yo, 9-11)Her best two performances occurred on slow ground (good to soft). She was disappointing when favourite at Newmarket three weeks ago. Runs in first-time cheekpieces.
Wobwobwob (7yo, 10-2)Has been runner-up on three of his last four starts (6f/7f, good to soft/heavy). He has not won since May 2024 but his turn may be near.

Spotlight Verdict:
The return to slow ground could be a positive for the 3yo BRIGHT TIMES AHEAD and she’s taken to return to winning ways. Dannick may be the chief danger ahead of Golden Pharaoh.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Historical, likely Div I & II combined): 3yo 1-9-41, 4yo+ 8-10-70.
  • Fate of Favourites (Historical, likely Div I & II combined): 201052111.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R, Historical, likely Div I & II combined): Philip McBride 1-0-1, Richard Fahey 1-2-9, Tim Easterby 1-3-7, Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Bright Times Ahead: Strengths: Conditions are highly suitable (SOFT) based on previous best efforts on slow ground. She is unexposed. Weaknesses: Recently ran poorly as favourite. Suitability: Good candidate for success in testing conditions.
  • Wobwobwob: Strengths: Very consistent recently, placing in three of his last four runs. Proven to handle heavy ground. Suitability: Expected to cope well with the SOFT conditions. Weaknesses: Long losing run.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe