This response works through all the Kelso races in chronological order, providing the requested analysis based on the information available in the sources.
1.35 Stay For The After Party ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (2m 51y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| He’s Bresilian | 7/4 | |
| Sanilam (IRE) | 6/1 |
Recent Form and Comments
He’s Bresilian (5yo, 11-4)
He has shown fair form, having been placed on all three of his hurdling starts. His most recent outing saw him finish second to a Willie Mullins-trained hotpot at Hexham (2m, good to soft) in March. He is considered likely to play another significant role here.
Sanilam (IRE) (5yo, 11-4)
This runner won a bumper on soft ground for an Irish stable in March. His subsequent fifth at Perth (good to soft) for Sandy Thomson was perfectly respectable. Connections believe he should have a future over jumps and it would be no surprise if he features in this race.
Spotlight Verdict
The suggestion is that bumper winner Sanilam ought to be very competitive on his hurdling debut, but preference is for HE’S BRESILIAN who was placed on all three hurdling starts last season and might get his head in front this time. Other horses to consider include Kadjar Des Mottes, and the stablemates Eagles Reprieve and Smoke Trail.
Race Statistics
| Category | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups | 4yo 2-2-16, 5yo 4-12-61, 6yo 3-5-23, 7yo 1-1-4, 8yo 0-0-2 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 1252112242 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Nicky Richards 2-2-6, Donald McCain 1-1-6, N W Alexander 0-2-13, Sandy Thomson 0-3-9, Stuart Coltherd 0-2-3 |
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| He’s Bresilian | Consistent hurdling form (placed all three starts). Ran well behind a subsequent winner. | None specifically noted, facing new/unexposed talent. | High chance based on proven form over hurdles. |
| Sanilam | Bumper winner on soft ground. Good potential now switching to jumps (hurdles debut). | This is his hurdling debut. | Expected to be competitive based on potential and pedigree. |
2.10 Clifford, Martin & Sarah Firth Memorial Novices’ Handicap Chase (2m 7f 96y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Frisby (IRE) | 9/2 | |
| Golden Point (FR) | 9/2 |
Recent Form and Comments
Frisby (IRE) (7yo, 12-0)
He is a winning Irish pointer (3m, heavy) and showed fair form over hurdles without managing a win. He has had two decent runs over fences, including finishing second (7l) in a Perth novice handicap (2m4f, good) recently, despite being 3lb out of the handicap. The step back up to 3m should suit this runner, and he is 3lb lower here, giving him an each-way chance.
Golden Point (FR) (6yo, 11-12)
She showed fair form over hurdles last season, including winning a mares’ novice at Ayr (2m4f, soft) and following up by finishing runner-up in a 3m novice handicap on the same track. She is considered interesting on her chase debut.
Spotlight Verdict
Diamond Dealer is an interesting contender on his chase debut, being a first run for Dan Skelton, but the preference is for COSMIC BLIZZARD. Cosmic Blizzard won four times when reverted to pointing earlier in the year and shaped with promise on his stable debut last time.
Race Statistics
| Category | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups | 5yo 0-1-3, 6yo 4-5-26, 7yo 2-5-22, 8yo 1-1-8, 9yo 0-1-4, 10yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 5204351 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Daragh Bourke 1-0-1, N W Alexander 1-0-2 |
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frisby (IRE) | Proven stamina (winning point-to-pointer) and recent competitive chase form. Suited by the trip and runs off a reduced mark. | Still seeking a UK chase win. | Good each-way chance based on conditions and weight. |
| Golden Point (FR) | Solid hurdle form over distance and on soft ground. Chase debut for a respected yard suggests potential. | Unproven over fences (chase debut). | Interesting prospect who could improve dramatically over fences. |
2.45 Get A Free Trial Of Racing TV Handicap Chase (2m 1f 14y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ballyfort (IRE) | 11/2 | |
| Diamond Mix (IRE) | 3/1 |
Recent Form and Comments
Ballyfort (IRE) (7yo, 11-13)
He was placed three times when pointing in Ireland. His sole victory came in a 2m handicap hurdle at Ayr in March this year (soft). This is his chase debut following a break, and he is likely to benefit from the run.
Diamond Mix (IRE) (6yo, 11-9)
She achieved her first success over fences in a Hexham handicap chase (2m, good) in April off a 5lb lower mark, concluding last season. She had previously demonstrated promise over fences. Despite lacking a recent run, she is worth considering.
Spotlight Verdict
In this tricky race, DIAMOND MIX is selected to follow up her breakthrough success at Hexham on her final start last season, beating Treaty Boy and Restandbethankful.
Race Statistics
- No specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records are detailed for this race in the provided sources.
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ballyfort (IRE) | Has pointing experience. Won his only hurdle race on soft ground. | Chase debut, and is returning from a break (expected to need the run). | Potential for improvement if taking to fences, especially on easier ground. |
| Diamond Mix (IRE) | Proven winner over fences (broke through late last season). Showed promise leading up to her win. | Lack of a recent run (seasonal debut). Currently runs off a 5lb higher mark than her last win. | Strong contender based on recent fencing success. |
3.20 Midburn Construction Ltd Handicap Hurdle (2m 51y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Above | 9/4 | |
| Star Of Guiting (IRE) | 8/1 |
Recent Form and Comments
Heart Above (7yo, 11-9)
He returned to winning form when scoring over 2m2f at Kelso recently. He carries a 6lb penalty but is effective at this shorter 2m trip and remains a possible contender. The fourth-placed horse from his recent win has subsequently won twice.
Star Of Guiting (IRE) (4yo, 11-11)
An unexposed hurdler who won twice for Nigel Twiston Davies last term. She was subsequently purchased for £25,000 in May. She is making her stable debut and is worth checking in the market.
Spotlight Verdict
Last month’s course winner Heart Above is an obvious contender despite his 6lb higher mark, but a chance is taken on the unexposed ROSSBRIDGE, who was far from disgraced after a long break at Perth last time.
Race Statistics
| Category | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups | 4yo 0-3-21, 5yo 2-2-22, 6yo 2-6-35, 7yo 3-4-21, 8yo 2-1-9, 9yo 0-0-4, 10yo 1-2-8, 11yo 0-1-3 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 2011411212 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Dianne Sayer 2-2-7, Sandy Thomson 1-0-6 |
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Above | Recent course winner. Proven effectiveness over a similar trip. | Carries a 6lb penalty for recent success. | High chance due to recent form and trip suitability. |
| Star Of Guiting (IRE) | Unexposed with two wins last season. Potential for improvement on stable debut (new trainer). | Stable debut after being sold. | Could go well if performing to potential on debut for new yard. |
3.55 Edinburgh Gin Chase (A Limited Handicap) (3m 2f 39y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Grozni (FR) | 10/1 | |
| Olivers Travels (IRE) | 11/4 |
Recent Form and Comments
Grozni (FR) (9yo, 10-6)
He has a modest record (1-10 hurdles win) during his time with James Owen. He ran respectably in the Scottish National on his last appearance. Since then, he was sold for £24,000, and his headgear has been removed; market signals should be heeded.
Olivers Travels (IRE) (7yo, 11-4)
This runner is suited by good ground. He is currently bidding for a hat-trick, having secured recent wins at Cartmel (3m1f) and Uttoxeter (3m). He is rising in the weights but is considered better than ever, benefiting from Shane Fenelon’s handy 5lb claim.
Spotlight Verdict
CADELL (nap) is particularly interesting as a second-season chaser with winning form over C&D who may still have further progress. Stablemate Whistle Stop Tour is second choice with possibilities. Olivers Travels is noted as being at the top of his game, and Elvis Mail warrants respect as a previous winner of this race.
Race Statistics
| Category | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups | 5yo 1-0-2, 6yo 1-2-6, 7yo 4-0-13, 8yo 0-2-13, 9yo 2-3-18, 10yo 1-2-9, 11yo 1-3-5, 12yo 0-0-2 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 1111211135 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | N W Alexander 2-0-2, Nicky Richards 1-2-4, Sandy Thomson 0-1-4 |
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grozni (FR) | Ran respectably in the Scottish National. Market expected to be informative on debut for new yard (Sandy Thomson). | Modest career win record. | Needs market confidence to overcome win-rate concerns, but stamina is proven. |
| Olivers Travels (IRE) | Seeking a hat-trick, currently performing better than ever. Suited by good ground (expected conditions). Benefits from a 5lb claim. | Climbing the weights rapidly. | Major chance based on consistent recent wins and favourable ground preference. |
4.30 Nuts Well Handicap Chase (2m 1f 14y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Edition (IRE) | 7/4 | |
| Thistle Ask (IRE) | 9/4 |
Recent Form and Comments
Rare Edition (IRE) (8yo, 12-0)
He fell when last seen. His earlier novice chase form included a success (2m, good) when running fresh. He still has low mileage over fences and is on a workable mark for his reappearance.
Thistle Ask (IRE) (8yo, 10-8)
He is still unexposed over fences and last scored at Musselburgh (2m, good to soft) in February. He was sold for £11,000 since his last run. He is considered interesting on his debut for Dan Skelton.
Spotlight Verdict
The most interesting contenders are the southern raiders RARE EDITION (narrowly preferred) and Thistle Ask. The selection (Rare Edition) has a largely respectable record when fresh and is on a handy mark, while the second choice (Thistle Ask) is an unexposed chaser who could do well for his new stable.
Race Statistics
| Category | Details | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Age Groups | 6yo 0-0-1, 8yo 1-0-2, 9yo 1-0-5, 10yo 0-1-2 | |
| Fate of Favourites | 34 | |
| Trainer Records (w-pl-r) | Sandy Thomson 0-1-1 |
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Edition (IRE) | Handy mark and respected record when running fresh. Low mileage over fences. | Returning from an absence following a fall. | Preferred choice due to favourable marks and fresh record. |
| Thistle Ask (IRE) | Unexposed chaser who won last time out in February. Debut for top trainer Dan Skelton. | Change of stable/first run for Skelton. | Expected to do well under new stable and is highly interesting. |
5.05 RacingTV/Freetrial Conditional Jockeys’ Training Series Handicap Hurdle (2m 6f 151y)
| TimeWise Master Top Two | Total Rating Source | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lucky Manifest (IRE) | 9/4 | |
| Rememberthename (IRE) | 5/1 |
Recent Form and Comments
Lucky Manifest (IRE) (5yo, 12-0)
He showed improvement to win over 2m4f on good ground here in May. He is expected to stay this 2m6f trip. He is interesting on his stable debut for T Lacey and his first run since his last victory.
Rememberthename (IRE) (5yo, 11-9)
He demonstrated ability across three starts over hurdles during the summer. He is likely to be suited by this 2m6f trip. As this is his stable and handicap debut, he cannot be ruled out, especially if supported in the market.
Spotlight Verdict
Let’s Mingle is considered a likely type, but narrow preference is given to a similar type in LUCKY MANIFEST, who improved to win over 2m4f here in May.
Race Statistics
- No specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records are detailed for this race in the provided sources.
Assessment of Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses/Concerns | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Manifest (IRE) | Recent course winner who demonstrated improvement. Expected to handle the step up in distance. Unexposed conditional jockey candidate for a strong yard. | Stable debut after a win, must maintain form under new connections. | Preferred choice due to proven winning form and potential to stay the distance. |
| Rememberthename (IRE) | Showed ability in summer runs. Expected to be suited by this longer trip. Handicap debut offers scope for progression. | Needs market confidence to support his stable/handicap debut. | Candidate for minor money or better if adapting well to handicap life. |
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