This detailed analysis covers all Aintree races in chronological order, using the TimeWise Master Top Two rated selections from the sources, along with their form, comments, the official Spotlight Verdict, Race Statistics, and an assessment of their chances.
12.40 Butterworth Spengler Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (3m 1/2f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Doc McCoy (IRE)
- Pounding Poet (IRE)
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Doc McCoy (7yo) | Made it 5-11 over hurdles when winning under Isabelle Ryder at Warwick (2m5f) this month. His wins have been on good/good to soft ground. He beat only four rivals last time, but performed easily and could continue to progress. Two starts ago he ran well behind Lipa K over 2m7f. He is unraced over further than 2m7f. |
| Pounding Poet (9yo) | Won with this visor back on at Uttoxeter (2m7f, good) in July and followed this up by going close at Cartmel (3m1f, good) the following month. He is versatile ground-wise and can be involved after a two-month break. |
Spotlight Verdict
The lightly raced 6yo HEATHER HONEY won three races in a row over 2m7f earlier in the year and her recent close third over 2m4f at Southwell suggests good prospects now up in trip. Pounding Poet was in good form in this visor during the summer and is feared most, ahead of Icare Allen, who performs well for Benjamin Macey. The progressive Doc McCoy and the 5yo Kikijo are also contenders.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 2-4-18, 6yo 4-8-38, 7yo 2-2-17, 8yo 2-4-19, 9yo 0-1-14, 10yo 0-0-5, 11yo 1-0-2, 12yo 0-0-4.
- Fate of Favourites: 11P13P1411.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Alan King 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Doc McCoy (Strengths/Suitability): Progressive form, having won easily recently. Handles good and good to soft ground.
- Doc McCoy (Weaknesses): The opposition here is tougher than his small-field victory last time. His stamina for the 3m 1/2f trip is unproven, as he hasn’t raced over further than 2m7f.
- Pounding Poet (Strengths/Suitability): Proven over today’s distance (went close over 3m1f). Versatile regarding ground conditions. Showed good form through July and August.
- Pounding Poet (Weaknesses): Running following a two-month absence.
1.15 Stream Champions:Full Gallop On ITVX Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (2m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Beau Quali (FR)
- Spadestep (IRE)
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Beau Quali (5yo) | Has a 0-8 hurdle record. Recently returned from a break to finish second at Warwick (2m, good) last month. A week later, he won a match race on his chasing debut there (2m4f, good). He is versatile ground-wise and is currently in good form. Wears first-time cheekpieces. |
| Spadestep (6yo) | Is an Irish point winner. Towards the end of last season, he finished a close second in two novice hurdles (2m1f/2m, good to soft). He recently won a novice hurdle at Hexham (2m, good) this month, not needing to improve much to justify short odds. Connections are very keen to switch him to fences for this handicap debut. |
Spotlight Verdict
All six participants are considered interesting chasing prospects for the upcoming season. TOM DONIPHON is the selection; although his hurdling wins last season were over 2m3f, this front-runner should manage the drop back in trip and could prove difficult to catch if he establishes a strong jumping rhythm. Spadestep, quickly switching to a handicap chase after his novice hurdle victory this month, is designated as the second choice.
Race Statistics
- Specific Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, and Trainer Records for this race are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Beau Quali (Strengths/Suitability): Already a chase winner, albeit in a match race. In good recent form and versatile regarding ground. The addition of first-time cheekpieces suggests potential further improvement.
- Beau Quali (Weaknesses): This race represents a significant step up in difficulty compared to his match race win.
- Spadestep (Strengths/Suitability): Comes from an Irish point background, which is promising for a chasing career. Recent winner who is clearly thought highly enough of by connections to make his handicap chase debut immediately.
- Spadestep (Weaknesses): Making both his chasing debut and handicap debut simultaneously.
1.50 William Hill Vieux Lion Rouge Veterans’ Handicap Chase (3m 1f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Le Milos
- Numitor
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Le Milos (10yo) | Won two veterans’ chases earlier in the year (2m4f/3m, soft/good). His last run was a win at Fakenham in May. The sources suggest there is still mileage in his mark and he is expected to play a leading role for his top yard. |
| Numitor (11yo) | Had an inconsistent season across six starts last term, winning three times (2m4f-3m, good/good to soft) but being pulled up on three occasions. He can go well fresh and is not ruled out on his reappearance. |
Spotlight Verdict
Torn And Frayed and Straw Fan Jack may improve following their recent reappearance runs, but both need to demonstrate better jumping. Ashtown Lad ended a long losing streak at Kelso this month but faces a much stronger contest today. The lack of a recent run is unlikely to impact MAROWN, who boasts a strong reappearance record, leading him to earn the selection. Le Milos, last seen winning in May, is the second choice.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 10yo 7-12-57, 11yo 3-3-25, 12yo 0-2-11, 13yo 0-1-4.
- Fate of Favourites: P512534F15.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Philip Hobbs & Johnson White 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Le Milos (Strengths/Suitability): Represents a top stable and has proven form in veterans’ chases this year. He is well-handicapped.
- Le Milos (Weaknesses): Needs to be fully tuned up for his return to action (last run was in May).
- Numitor (Strengths/Suitability): Has proven himself a winner at this level and is noted for going well when fresh.
- Numitor (Weaknesses): His form is highly erratic, demonstrated by three wins and three pull-ups last season.
2.20 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Hurdle (2m 4f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Jimmy Hurdstrom (IRE)
- Tiddesley Wood
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Hurdstrom (5yo) | British maiden point winner over 3m (good). He was runner-up in two bumpers in the spring (2m, good). Finished second on his hurdle debut at Fontwell (2m1f, good) this month, though he was easily beaten by the winner. He is open to improvement now moving up in trip. |
| Tiddesley Wood (5yo) | Finished third of 16 on his debut at Doncaster (2m, good to soft) in January. He was unable to replicate that performance when finishing sixth at Newbury (2m, good) in March. The step up in trip could be beneficial for his hurdle debut, and he remains an interesting contender given his debut promise. Needs to settle better. |
Spotlight Verdict
BIG TICKET, a £155,000 recruit who impressed on his debut in an Irish maiden point, is predicted to win on his first start for the Twiston-Davies team. Marsiac, a point runner-up, is expected to improve on his second hurdle outing now upped in trip, and is the chief threat ahead of point and bumper winner In The Age. Hurdling newcomers Tiddesley Wood and Danger Nap are also capable of running well.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 4yo 0-2-20, 5yo 8-12-53, 6yo 2-2-15, 7yo 0-1-2, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 3212141411.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Dan Skelton 3-2-10, Fergal O’Brien 1-2-5.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Jimmy Hurdstrom (Strengths/Suitability): Has proven himself in points and showed decent form in bumpers and on his hurdle debut. The increased distance (2m 4f) should suit him and lead to improvement.
- Jimmy Hurdstrom (Weaknesses): Was decisively beaten by the winner on his recent hurdle debut.
- Tiddesley Wood (Strengths/Suitability): Holds potential based on his promising debut run. The move up to 2m4f is likely to suit him on his first start over hurdles.
- Tiddesley Wood (Weaknesses): Needs to demonstrate better temperament (settling). His second bumper run was disappointing compared to his debut.
2.55 William Hill Old Roan Limited Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (2m 4f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Boombawn (IRE)
- Imperial Saint (FR)
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Boombawn (8yo) | Won a Grade 2 novice race at Wincanton (2m4f, good) last November. Achieved a career-best performance when finishing fourth in the Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase over this course and distance (good to soft) in April. He is a strong candidate and reappears for a top yard currently in good form. |
| Imperial Saint (7yo) | A three-time course winner (2m/2m4f, good/good to soft) towards the end of last year. He returned to Aintree in April, finishing a close second (5l) over 3m1f (good) at the Grand National meeting, confirming his suitability for the longer trip. This second-season chaser is open to further improvement. |
Spotlight Verdict
MINELLA DRAMA (nap) is selected as he has a history of running well in this race on reappearance, finishing second and then first in the last two years. Boombawn is the second choice, having finished a fine fourth in the Grade 1 Manifesto Novices’ Chase over C&D in April. He is preferred over Master Chewy, who also likes Aintree and has a major chance if he sees out the trip. Three-time course winner Imperial Saint and two-time race runner-up Hitman are also worthy of respect.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 5yo 1-0-1, 6yo 1-5-13, 7yo 1-2-18, 8yo 2-7-25, 9yo 4-1-19, 10yo 1-1-8, 11yo 0-0-1, 12yo 0-1-1.
- Fate of Favourites: P6P3231604.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Paul Nicholls 2-2-11, Dan Skelton 1-1-9, Donald McCain 1-2-3, Ryan Potter 1-0-1.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Boombawn (Strengths/Suitability): Proven performer over C&D at Grade 1 level. Returns for a highly successful yard. Strong credentials based on April performance.
- Boombawn (Weaknesses): None explicitly noted, but faces tough competition in a high-class field.
- Imperial Saint (Strengths/Suitability): Course specialist with three previous wins. Demonstrated ability to handle longer trips (3m1f). Expected to improve further as a second-season chaser.
- Imperial Saint (Weaknesses): Rated slightly lower than others like Ahoy Senor, Master Chewy, and Hitman on Master RP ratings.
3.30 William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Ace Of Spades (FR)
- Cracking Rhapsody (IRE)
(Note: Moonbow was also listed in the TimeWise report.)
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Ace Of Spades (6yo) | Won two novice hurdles (2m/2m6f) late last year. Ran very well when beaten in his first two handicaps (2m5f/3m, good to soft). He is still unexposed and is handled by excellent connections who expect him to progress. |
| Cracking Rhapsody (6yo) | Won the Morebattle Hurdle (2m, good to soft) in March for the second consecutive season. Also won the Scottish Champion Hurdle at Ayr (2m, good to soft) in April, proving his ability away from Kelso. It is possible that the 2m4f trip will be within his range on reappearance. |
Spotlight Verdict
Fergal O’Brien has secured the last three renewals of this race, and the 5yo SERIOUS CHALLENGE is the likely candidate to extend that streak. Moonbow, who is 2-2 in handicaps, is considered the chief danger, ahead of Ace Of Spades, who is respected despite possibly wanting a greater distance.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 4yo 0-1-4, 5yo 2-7-19, 6yo 5-5-28, 7yo 3-2-26, 8yo 0-1-9, 9yo 0-0-8, 10yo 0-1-4, 11yo 0-0-2, 13yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 2211122112.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Fergal O’Brien 3-0-3, Dan Skelton 0-3-14.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Ace Of Spades (Strengths/Suitability): Unexposed and consistently runs well in handicaps over longer distances. Highly respected by Spotlight.
- Ace Of Spades (Weaknesses): Dropping back to 2m4f (from 2m5f/3m) is not an obvious advantage on his reappearance. May ideally prefer a further distance.
- Cracking Rhapsody (Strengths/Suitability): Proven ability in Grade 2 company over 2m. Showed versatility away from his usual track.
- Cracking Rhapsody (Weaknesses): Stamina for the 2m4f trip is a slight concern given his wins are at 2m. This is a reappearance run.
4.05 Racing TV Mares’ Open National Hunt Flat Race (2m 1f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating)
- Dotties Promise
- Lady Dapple Rose (IRE)
| Horse | Recent Form & Comments |
|---|---|
| Dotties Promise (5yo) | Built on her debut promise by making all to win well at Kelso (good) last month. The form of that race has recently been enhanced by the performance of the third-placed horse. |
| Lady Dapple Rose (4yo) | Despite being a 250-1 outsider, she finished a creditable sixth of 18 at Cheltenham (good) in April, demonstrating considerable promise. She does not have a striking pedigree but should be taken seriously this time. Sports a hood. |
Spotlight Verdict
The well-bred filly Lyrical Choice (second choice) ran well on her debut in the spring, while Edith Pelham was purchased for a significant sum following her winning point debut, and Dan Skelton’s newcomer Lady Motivator is also appealing. However, the selection is LADY DAPPLE ROSE, who delivered a creditable sixth performance in a large field at Cheltenham in April and may provide Harriet Dickin with her first bumper winner.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 4yo 6-6-63, 5yo 3-12-50, 6yo 1-1-6.
- Fate of Favourites: 1610523152.
- Trainer Records (in this race): Dan Skelton 1-1-7, Fergal O’Brien 0-2-7.
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Dotties Promise (Strengths/Suitability): Confirmed recent winner whose form has been boosted.
- Dotties Promise (Weaknesses): She carries a penalty in what is considered a stronger race.
- Lady Dapple Rose (Strengths/Suitability): Her sixth place finish at Cheltenham suggests genuine ability in high-class company. Highly regarded by the Spotlight team.
- Lady Dapple Rose (Weaknesses): Her trainer has an 0-24 strike-rate in bumpers.
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