This analysis works through all the Fontwell races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated selections based on the provided report, summarising their recent form and comments, adding the Spotlight Verdict, providing race statistics where available, and assessing the chances of the top two selections.
12:22 Pertemps Network Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (2m11/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Batwomen (100/30) | N/A |
| 2 | Karton Plein (13/2) | N/A |
Recent Form and Comments
- Batwomen (7yo): Her recent form is 12331-. She improved her hurdling record to 2-7 with a smooth win here (2m3f, good) in April. The win was in a small field, but a 5lb rise is considered fair, and she is expected to open to more progress this season, making her respected on her return.
- Karton Plein (5yo): His recent form is /541-6. He secured his second hurdle win when making all at Southwell (2m, good to soft) in February. He subsequently failed to live up to market expectations on his handicap debut at Perth last month. He may have needed that run but needs to improve further to defy his current mark.
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict names Dan Skelton’s unexposed 5yo DIAMOND AMBITION as the top pick, noting that he finished well when runner-up in a Worcester maiden last month and is open to more progress on his handicap debut. The main threat is deemed to be another handicap newcomer, Le Galli Bier, who looks interesting dropped back in trip after wind surgery. The dual hurdle winner Batwomen is third choice, having ended last season with a clearcut success at this track.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for horses aged 3yo+. Specific age group data for winners in this class/track is not provided in the sources.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): P Nicholls 17-55 (73%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), G & J Moore 22-97 (50%), D Skelton 7-48 (50%), O Murphy 14-77 (81%), R Walford 17-85 (0%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Batwomen (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Proven course winner (2m3f), expected to progress further, and the 5lb rise seems fair.
- Weaknesses: Returning from a break.
- Suitability: Handles the track well.
- Karton Plein (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Capable of leading and winning (made all at Southwell).
- Weaknesses: Disappointed in his recent handicap debut (6th) and needs to raise his game to defy the mark.
12:57 Pertemps Juvenile Hurdle (2m11/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galactique (3/1) | N/A |
| 2 | Winston Junior (11/4) | N/A |
Recent Form and Comments
- Galactique (3yo): His recent form is 21. He ran a promising second over C&D (good to soft) on his hurdling debut in August, then secured the win on his return visit (good) last month.
- Comments: The win was workmanlike but demonstrated the right attitude, and he is respected despite carrying a penalty.
- Winston Junior (3yo): He was 0-8 on the Flat for his previous stable but possesses useful form in that sphere, including a runner-up finish in a Racing League handicap (1m4f, good to soft) in August.
- Comments: He switches to hurdling on stable debut and is viewed as having a good future in this new discipline, necessitating a close look.
Spotlight Verdict
The vote goes to Paul Nicholls’ new recruit BABYKEN, a 2m Flat winner in France, who is tipped to have a bright future at this new discipline. Galactique (C&D winner) is respected under a penalty, while Lunar Orbit and Winston Junior (useful Flat performer) are also noted as possibilities.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 3yo juveniles. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): G & J Moore 22-97 (50%), P Nicholls 17-55 (73%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), W Greatrex 9-68 (100%), F Bramley 0-0 (50%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Galactique (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Course and distance winner, proven attitude to win.
- Weaknesses: Carries a penalty, and his last win was workmanlike.
- Suitability: Proven at the track and distance.
- Winston Junior (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Useful Flat performance suggests ability.
- Weaknesses: Hurdling and stable debut, jumping ability is unknown.
1:30 Pertemps Handicap Chase (3m2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Largy Poet (9/4) | N/A (Master RPR 146) |
| 2 | Art Decco (100/30) | N/A (Master RPR 143) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Largy Poet (6yo): His recent form is 2/651-. He elevated his form considerably on his chase debut by winning by 10l at Exeter (3m, heavy) in February.
- Comments: Although 5lb higher on his return, he is still considered feasibly treated and is expected to progress further over fences, making him a big player.
- Art Decco (9yo): His recent form is 1/251-. He won three consecutive races after the addition of cheekpieces and posted his career-best last season when winning the Devon National (3m6f).
- Comments: He is only 1lb higher today, but this race represents a significant drop back in trip. He has exclusively raced on soft or heavy going over the last two years.
Spotlight Verdict
Preference (and nap selection) is for LARGY POET, based on his 10l win on chase debut at Exeter, with the subsequent 5lb rise looking fair. He is expected to pick up where he left off. The main danger is considered to be Jeffery’s Cross, who performed well in hunter chases in the spring and has a history of winning when fresh. My Silver Lining is also shortlisted.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4yo+. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): P Nicholls 17-55 (73%), R Walford 17-85 (0%), D Skelton 7-48 (50%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), H Daly 0-2 (83%), E Lavelle 9-73 (56%), C Gordon 35-204 (75%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Largy Poet (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Open to significant progress over fences, impressed greatly on debut, attractively handicapped.
- Weaknesses: Returning from a lengthy layoff (247 days).
- Suitability: Suitable for staying trips.
- Art Decco (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Proven staying ability (Devon National winner), running off a competitive mark.
- Weaknesses: Major concern regarding suitability for the shorter distance (3m2f) and potential lack of preferred heavy ground.
2:05 Pertemps Network Handicap Chase (2m31/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kotmask (9/2) | N/A (Master RPR 145) |
| 2 | Can You Call (5/1) | N/A (Master RPR 144) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Kotmask (7yo): His recent form is 21602-. He is known for performing well at Ascot, having won there (2m3f, good to soft) last December, and finishing a good second there in March.
- Comments: He makes his reappearance off a workable handicap mark. However, he is away from his favoured track today.
- Can You Call (10yo): His recent form is /0522-. He has only 1 win from 12 starts over fences but was in good form last winter, achieving consecutive seconds at Chepstow (2m3f, soft) and Ludlow (2m4f, good to soft).
- Comments: The booking of Sean Bowen is considered a positive.
Spotlight Verdict
The booking of Sean Bowen suggests a strong run is anticipated from CAN YOU CALL, who was in good form last winter when last seen, earning him the vote. Statuario (second choice) is the one with the least to prove due to his recent win, despite never having won a chase outside of Perth and seeming better suited by 3m. Twinjets and Bucksy Des Epeires are noted as dangerous if fit after their breaks.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4yo+. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): D Skelton 7-48 (50%), P Nicholls 17-55 (73%), G & J Moore 22-97 (50%), M Bowen 1-5 (67%), Miss V Williams 8-34 (0%), E Williams 9-65 (41%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Kotmask (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Workable handicap mark, strong form at Ascot (Grade 2 track).
- Weaknesses: Returning from an absence (210 days) and racing away from his preferred track.
- Can You Call (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Good form towards the end of last season (consecutive seconds), strong jockey engagement.
- Weaknesses: Poor chase strike rate (1-12).
2:40 Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle (Div I) (2m11/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaelic Pride (4/1) | N/A (Master RPR 126) |
| 2 | Idaho Sun (11/10) | N/A (Master RPR 135) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Gaelic Pride (5yo): His recent form is /4118-. He is a point winner who also won a bumper here (soft).
- Comments: He was only beaten 11l when finishing midfield in a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree in April (good) and is entitled to perform well over hurdles this season.
- Idaho Sun (5yo): His recent form is 116-. He won his first bumper (heavy) and impressed on soft ground in the Berkshire Winter Million event. He subsequently ran sixth in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham.
- Comments: He is regarded as having easily the best bumper form in this field and has the potential to rank highly in novice hurdles; he ran on well up the hill at Cheltenham after being outpaced due to steady fractions.
Spotlight Verdict
All attention is on IDAHO SUN, who impressed by holding his own in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham and has the potential to be one of the better British novice hurdlers this season. Gaelic Pride, who was not disgraced in a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree, is considered the second danger, alongside Bespoke Tailor.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4yo+. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): O Signy 9-36 (0%), W Greatrex 9-68 (100%), H Fry 11-45 (100%), E Williams 9-65 (41%), J Tizzard 14-79 (36%), A Honeyball 39-142 (70%), G & J Moore 22-97 (50%), D Skelton 7-48 (50%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Gaelic Pride (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Proven bumper winner, performed credibly at Grade 2 level, versatility on ground noted.
- Weaknesses: Hurdling debut.
- Idaho Sun (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Outstanding bumper form (Champion Bumper sixth), superior form profile to rivals, immense potential.
- Weaknesses: None apparent based on his previous efforts, provided he handles the hurdles themselves.
- Suitability: Expected to thrive over novice hurdles.
3:15 Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle (Div II) (2m11/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leaumec De Mee (13/8) | N/A |
| 2 | Little Ledgend (10/1) | N/A (Master RPR 99) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Leaumec De Mee (4yo): His recent form is 2-. He made a promising bumper debut at Kempton (good) in March.
- Comments: He finished second of 13 behind a subsequent dual hurdle winner and is regarded as a good prospect for novice hurdles.
- Little Ledgend (5yo): His recent form is /327-0. He was promising when finishing in the frame in both his bumpers last season. He did not emerge from the rear division in his first two hurdle runs.
- Comments: Sean Bowen is riding, and he ought to be capable of better over jumps at some stage.
Spotlight Verdict
The verdict prefers Dan Skelton’s hurdling debutant LEAUMEC DE MEE, who made a very promising bumper debut at Kempton in March. Bright Legend would be tough to beat if near his best Irish hurdling form, but his recent chasing form is underwhelming and makes him hard to gauge on stable debut.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4yo+. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): D Skelton 7-48 (50%), C Gordon 35-204 (75%), F Bramley 0-0 (50%), E Williams 9-65 (41%), R Bandey 4-36 (50%), O Murphy 14-77 (81%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), R Walford 17-85 (0%), Miss E Pickard 1-14 (0%), J Tizzard 14-79 (36%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Leaumec De Mee (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Highly promising bumper performance behind a top rival, strong prospect for novice hurdles.
- Weaknesses: Hurdles debut, inexperienced.
- Little Ledgend (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Good bumper form, strong jockey booking (Sean Bowen) suggests confidence, expected to improve over jumps.
- Weaknesses: Needs to bounce back significantly from recent poor hurdle outings.
3:47 Pertemps Network Group Handicap Chase (2m51/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | I’m Your Buckaroo (9/4) | N/A |
| 2 | Atreides (9/2) | N/A (Master RPR 97) |
Recent Form and Comments
- I’m Your Buckaroo (5yo): His recent form is 6233-1. He progressed over hurdles earlier this year, winning a 3m1f good-ground handicap at Plumpton on his last outing (off 5lb lower).
- Comments: He is an appealing prospect with plenty more to offer and makes his chasing debut after undergoing wind surgery.
- Atreides (7yo): His recent form is PP-723. Despite being 0-19, he has produced respectable efforts recently, beaten about 5l over 2m3f here, and running similarly at Southwell.
- Comments: He is still early in his chasing career, and there is a race to be won with him off this mark.
Spotlight Verdict
The chasing newcomers I’M YOUR BUCKAROO and Tuscan Rose are highlighted as interesting contenders due to their profile of having recently won over hurdles. Atreides is a solid competitor despite his maiden status, and Hatos is respected as potentially well-handicapped.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4yo+. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), G & J Moore 22-97 (50%), J Tizzard 14-79 (36%), F O’Brien 6-40 (50%), J T-Murphy 0-14 (0%), E Williams 9-65 (41%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- I’m Your Buckaroo (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Progressive recent hurdle form, high potential on chasing debut, previously stayed 3m1f.
- Weaknesses: Chasing debut (unknown jumping aptitude).
- Suitability: Strong staying profile suggests the trip is suitable.
- Atreides (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: Running consistently close to his mark, still improving over fences.
- Weaknesses: Winless record (0-19).
4:22 Pertemps Network “Newcomers” National Hunt Flat Race (2m11/2f)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lancelot Vivo (10/1) | N/A |
| 2 | Sappingirl (5/2) | N/A |
Recent Form and Comments
(Note: All runners in this race are newcomers, so form is based on pedigree and stable performance.)
- Lancelot Vivo (4yo): Debutant.
- Comments: His pedigree is not considered highly promising, but his stable (C Gordon) maintains a good 17% bumper strike-rate over the last five seasons.
- Sappingirl (4yo): Debutant.
- Comments: Purchased for 88,000euros as a 3yo. She represents a top stable (P Nicholls) with an excellent bumper strike-rate (25% in the last five seasons) and must be considered a key prospect.
Spotlight Verdict
Token preference goes to KATIOS QUEEN, who has a useful pedigree and is the likely pick of the Dan Skelton runners. Sappingirl (second choice) and Montrachet Fin are also highly rated as they represent stables with strong bumper records.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is for 4-5yo horses that have not previously run under Rules or Point-to-Point Regulations. Specific age group data is not available.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics section.
- Trainer Records (W-R, in last 14 days): A Honeyball 39-142 (70%), C Gordon 35-204 (75%), H Fry 11-45 (100%), D Skelton 7-48 (50%), P Nicholls 17-55 (73%), N Mulholland 37-232 (64%), A Hales 1-16 (83%), E Lavelle 9-73 (56%).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Lancelot Vivo (TimeWise Rank 1):
- Strengths: Stable has a decent record in bumpers (17% strike-rate).
- Weaknesses: Pedigree is unexceptional.
- Sappingirl (TimeWise Rank 2):
- Strengths: High purchase price suggests quality (88,000euros), top yard (P Nicholls) with exceptional bumper record (25% strike-rate).
- Weaknesses: No prior form.
- Suitability: Representing one of the best stables for this category of race.
Leave a comment