Galway; Analysis of the Timewise Top Two + The Spotlight Verdict + Race Stats for Sunday.

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This response details the Galway races on October 26th in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their form, providing the Spotlight Verdict and Race Statistics, and assessing the chances of the Top Two, based on the provided sources.


1. 12.50 Purchase By 3pm Today To WINABMW.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle (2m 11y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Amen Kate (IRE) (1/3)
  2. Rainbow Connection (IRE) (10/1)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Amen Kate (5yo): She was not disgraced in some good bumpers. She made a pleasing hurdling debut when finishing 13 lengths third of 18 at Listowel (2m, yielding) in a first-time hood. That form provides her with seriously good claims at this level. Her latest form figure is 44-3.
  • Rainbow Connection (5yo): She is 0-4 in points. She has finished no closer than 18 lengths in her three maidens hurdles, achieving a best RPR of 92. Other horses are preferred over her. Her latest form figures are FP-044.

Spotlight Verdict

The lightly raced 6yo HEATHER HONEY won three in a row over 2m7f earlier in the year and her recent close third over 2m4f at Southwell bodes well for her prospects now up in trip. [Note: This appears to be an error in the source material, confusing the Aintree race 12.40 verdict with the Galway race 12.50. Using the correct Galway verdict below]

Top connections are persevering with Holly Brook and that has to bode well. However, her bumper form was inferior to what AMEN KATE achieved, and the selection (Amen Kate) also has the benefit of a recent run over hurdles that was highly encouraging.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 5yo 9-18-82, 6yo 1-1-15, 7yo 0-1-3, 8yo 0-0-3, 9yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 2232123111.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 3-3-7.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Amen Kate (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): Her strength lies in her solid bumper form and a highly encouraging hurdling debut. She appears very well suited to this level of competition based on the form achieved at Listowel.
  • Rainbow Connection (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): Her weakness is a poor career record, being 0-4 in points and consistently well beaten in maiden hurdles, suggesting she is unlikely to be good enough.

2. 1.25 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase (2m 6f 111y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Omoore Park (IRE) (7/4 SP) (Listed as O’Moore Park elsewhere)
  2. Win Some Lose Some (IRE) (8/1)

Recent Form and Comments

  • O’Moore Park (8yo): He fell in his first two chases. He subsequently performed well, getting his act together and being placed over the extended 2m4f at Cheltenham, including finishing third behind Caldwell Potter in the Jack Richards at the Festival, and second in a valuable contest in April. He failed to stay in the bet365 at Sandown. His latest form figure is 0-. Paul Townend rides him for the first time since his hurdles career. He is rated 141.
  • Win Some Lose Some (6yo): He won four of 11 starts over hurdles, including a Pertemps qualifier at Leopardstown last Christmas. He was down the field in the Final at Cheltenham. He is described as a staying type who should make a useful chaser in time. His latest form figure is 8-.

Spotlight Verdict

The second-season novice O’MOORE PARK will be hard to beat if reproducing the form that saw him reach the money in a novice handicap at the Cheltenham Festival. His stablemate My Great Mate appears vulnerable after two instances of beaten favouritism at this track.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 1-3-10, 6yo 7-7-40, 7yo 2-5-22, 8yo 0-2-14.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 12211F3112.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 5-7-18, Paul John Gilligan 0-1-2, W P Mullins 0-1-3.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • O’Moore Park (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is proven Graded-level form over fences, including placing at the Cheltenham Festival. His main weakness is a history of falling in chases and having failed to stay over extreme trips previously. He is suited to this trip and class if reproducing his best form.
  • Win Some Lose Some (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is his strong hurdles record, especially over staying trips, suggesting he will be a useful chaser. He is unproven over fences but has the right profile to improve.

3. 2.00 Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Chase (2m 6f 111y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Ballagh Star (IRE) (6/1)
  2. Midnight Moonshine (IRE) (11/2 SP)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ballagh Star (7yo): He is in good form, delivering solid placed efforts at Kilbeggan and Ballinrobe before repeating his win from last season at Sligo. He has every chance off 4lb higher and went close in a handicap hurdle at Galway two seasons ago. His latest form figure is 1.
  • Midnight Moonshine (6yo): He won a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle in July before pulling up in a handicap hurdle at the Galway festival. He was not beaten far at Fairyhouse on his latest run and holds an edge over Tell Nobody Nothin based on their Downpatrick running. His latest form figure is 3.

Spotlight Verdict

This looks open and the each-way suggestion is SMALLCRAFTWARNING who chased home a well-handicapped horse at Punchestown last time. He is preferred to recent Sligo winner Ballagh Star and Midnight Moonshine.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 5yo 0-0-6, 6yo 4-5-18, 7yo 0-8-33, 8yo 2-6-31, 9yo 2-3-25, 10yo 0-2-18, 11yo 1-0-5, 12yo 0-0-5, 13yo 1-0-3.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 36F2411042.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): E McNamara 0-1-3, J P Dempsey 0-1-1, Miss Denise Marie O’Shea 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Ballagh Star (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is current good form highlighted by a recent win at Sligo. He should be suited to competing effectively off his revised mark.
  • Midnight Moonshine (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): He has a strength in his ability to run into the money, as shown by his recent performance at Fairyhouse. His previous pull-up at the Galway festival is a weakness.

4. 2.35 Glenman Corporation Handicap Chase (2m 6f 111y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Bal Kauto (FR) (6/4 SP)
  2. Buddy One (IRE) (9/2)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bal Kauto (8yo): He is a bang-in-form gelding who won two handicap hurdles (the latest at Galway over 2m6f) before comfortably exploiting a good mark back over fences at Kilbeggan (3m2f). He is currently 3-3 over fences. He has been hit with an 8lb rise for his most recent win. His latest form figure is 1.
  • Buddy One (8yo): He is a smart hurdler who has yet to reach the same heights over fences. Mistakes did not help him when he was tailed off in the Galway Plate. He was interfered with early when tailed off on the Flat last time. He is rated 144. His latest form figure is 6.

Spotlight Verdict

Bal Kauto is on a roll but he is up in grade and in the weights so this will demand another career best, which is admittedly feasible. A chance is taken on the fitness of MY IMMORTAL who has contested some strong races over fences, in beginners’ and handicap company.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 5yo 1-1-3, 6yo 2-4-10, 7yo 4-4-20, 8yo 2-3-25, 9yo 1-2-14, 10yo 0-3-10, 11yo 0-1-5, 12yo 0-0-3, 13yo 0-0-3.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 1111122554.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Declan Queally 1-0-1, Liz Doyle 1-1-4, Gavin Cromwell 0-1-4.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Bal Kauto (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His major strength is his current exceptional form, being 3-3 over fences, and his ability to handle staying trips. His weakness is the substantial rise in weights and grade, requiring a career best performance.
  • Buddy One (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His main weakness is his inability to translate his smart hurdles form to fences, compounded by recent mistakes.

5. 3.05 Supermac’s Novice Hurdle (2m 4f 156y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Ma Jacks Hill (IRE) (9/4 SP)
  2. Welonlyhavedone (IRE) (3/1)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ma Jacks Hill (5yo): He was purchased for 310,000euros after winning his point. After disappointing in all four bumpers, he successfully won a 2m soft-ground maiden hurdle at Gowran where the front two drew clear. He could be on the upgrade. His latest form figure is 1.
  • Welonlyhavedone (5yo): He is a winning pointer. He was midfield in a bumper here in July. He made the most of a straightforward opening on his hurdling debut back at Galway (2m, yielding), justifying odds of 1-4. He has more on his plate today but is unexposed. His latest form figure is 1.

Spotlight Verdict

Ma Jacks Hill and Welonlyhavedone are recent winners who are no doubt on the upgrade but I’LL SORT THAT sets a fair standard, on what he achieved in bumpers and when impressing in a maiden at Listowel.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 3-2-14, 6yo 1-0-2, 7yo 0-2-4, 9yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (4 previous races): 2351.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Paul John Gilligan 1-0-3, Gordon Elliott 0-2-5.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Ma Jacks Hill (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is his proven hurdling debut ability and high potential (indicated by his price tag). His weakness is his lacklustre bumper form. He is thought to be improving and suitable for novice hurdles.
  • Welonlyhavedone (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is his smooth maiden hurdling victory. He is unexposed and retains potential. His weakness is that he is facing a much tougher test today.

6. 3.38 Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle (2m 5f 100y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Doctor Steinberg (IRE) (4/1)
  2. He Cant Dance (IRE) (4/6 SP) (Listed as He Can’t Dance elsewhere)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Doctor Steinberg (5yo): He has four bumper runs. He beat today’s rival Jisco Du Brem by 11 lengths at Ballinrobe in May, making most of the running. He put in a fairly tame effort at the Galway festival. He is capable of better, and the trip should suit him. His latest form figure is 5.
  • He Can’t Dance (5yo): He is a point winner who won readily on his bumper debut at Navan. He held his own when third in a Grade 2 bumper at Leopardstown’s Dublin Racing Festival and was the fifth-best of a powerful Irish contingent when eighth of 16 in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham. He is potentially a cut above these rivals. His latest form figure is 8-.

Spotlight Verdict

One of the most promising bumper horses on the Elliott team last season, HE CAN’T DANCE looks superior to these rivals based on a Grade 2 third placing at Leopardstown and a mid-field finish at Cheltenham.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 1-1-9, 5yo 2-3-25, 6yo 2-4-12, 7yo 0-0-2, 8yo 0-0-1, 9yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (5 previous races): 23112.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 2-3-8.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • He Can’t Dance (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is his high-class bumper form, placing in a Grade 2 and running respectably in the Champion Bumper, marking him as potentially superior to this field. He is well suited to taking high rank in novice hurdles.
  • Doctor Steinberg (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): He is capable of better than his last start and the trip should suit. His weakness is the lack of zest shown in his run at the festival.

7. 4.13 COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle (2m 11y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Red Glory (IRE) (4/1 SP)
  2. The Nagger Reidy (5/1)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Red Glory (7yo): He is a Flat winner who secured his second hurdle race win at Tipperary in July. The addition of a tongue-tie seemed to have a positive effect when he finished second at Fairyhouse just over two weeks ago. His latest form figure is 2. He is rated 116.
  • The Nagger Reidy (6yo): He was a 2m4f Listowel festival winner last year on his handicap debut. He was not far off his best form when placed in races at Limerick (2m) and Naas (2m3f) on his final two starts before a summer break. His latest form figure is 3-. He is rated 110.

Spotlight Verdict

With his fitness advanced by a run at Gowran that qualified him for a handicap mark, FIERCE HANDAY (nap) may prove equal to this task. Probable dangers are Red Glory who improved with a tongue-tie fitted last time, and The Nagger Reidy.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 1-3-9, 5yo 5-2-19, 6yo 1-4-23, 7yo 2-3-20, 8yo 0-2-11, 9yo 0-1-10, 10yo 1-2-9, 11yo 0-2-3, 12yo 0-1-2, 13yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 1422110242.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): P J Rothwell 2-0-2, Declan Queally 1-0-3, Eoin Christopher McCarthy 0-1-3, Noel Meade 0-1-2, Richard James Daniels 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Red Glory (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is recent improvement shown with the fitting of a tongue-tie, leading to a recent second place.
  • The Nagger Reidy (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): His strength is proven handicap form from the previous season, being a Listowel festival winner and subsequently placing well. He is suitable for this contest if fully fit on his reappearance.

8. 4.43 Galway Plastic Surgery 4-Y-O Fillies (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race (2m 11y, YIELD)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Total TimeWise Rating)

  1. Churchfield Annie (IRE) (9/4 SP)
  2. Frontier Rose (33/1)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Churchfield Annie (4yo): This well-related filly caught the eye when staying on well for third behind two prominently ridden rivals in a Tipperary bumper. She has every chance with that prior experience. Her latest RPR is 110.
  • Frontier Rose (4yo): She showed a bit more potential when running sixth at Tipperary, but finished some way behind Churchfield Annie in that race. Her latest RPR is 96.

Spotlight Verdict

How’s Ellie is of clear interest as a Willie Mullins newcomer but CHURCHFIELD ANNIE and Susie Lenglen have the benefit of experience after promising debuts, in which they posted similar RPRs. The selection (Churchfield Annie) was quite an eyecatcher at Tipperary when coming from further behind than the two who beat her.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 4yo 10-19-131.
  • Fate of Favourites (10 previous races): 2112114232.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 3-1-6, Noel Meade 1-0-4.

Assessment of the Top Two

  • Churchfield Annie (Strength/Weakness/Suitability): Her strength lies in her promising debut run where she displayed a good turn of foot late on, posting an RPR of 110. She benefits from having race experience.
  • Frontier Rose (Weakness/Suitability): Her weakness is that she was significantly behind Churchfield Annie in their recent shared race, and her RPR (96) is lower.

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