This analysis covers the Lingfield races scheduled for October 27th, 2025, drawing exclusively on the TimeWise Master ratings, recent form analysis, and Spotlight Verdicts provided in the sources.
12.25 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Apprentice Handicap (7f)
| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Ernie’s Valentine (R Burdon, P Edwards) | **** |
| King Of War (M Wigham, L Wright) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Ernie’s Valentine: Is a C&D winner. He got off the mark for his new yard when narrowly winning a 1m handicap at Chelmsford last month for his current rider.
- King Of War: The return of cheekpieces proved beneficial, leading to a narrow win at Brighton (7f, good to firm) last month, followed by a more comfortable success there 11 days ago when making all.
Spotlight Verdict
A competitive race of its type with most of the field coming here in top form. The presence of several pace-setters might favour a closer, with ERNIE’S VALENTINE favoured (Edergole’s Gift is second choice) as the form of his Chelmsford win last month looks solid enough at this level.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Ernie’s Valentine (Strength: Recent form is solid following a win for the new yard; C&D winner. Weakness: Faces a 3lb rise. Suitability: Well suited if the expected strong pace develops).
- King Of War (Strength: In good winning form recently due to the return of cheekpieces. Weakness: Faces a 4lb rise and is one of several pace influences, which might make him vulnerable).
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| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Butterfly Beach (IRE) (E Walker, K Shoemark) | **** |
| Baileys Ontherocks (J Tate, B Loughnane) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Butterfly Beach (IRE): A 470,000gns yearling. Sent off as the warm favourite for both previous starts, finishing second on debut at Newmarket (6f) but only sixth at Newbury subsequently. She drops in trip and wears a first-time tongue-tie.
- Baileys Ontherocks: Her best performance from three runs came over C&D in August, which was her sole AW start. She needs to improve upon that form to win this race.
Spotlight Verdict
WHIZZY DIZZY is preferred (Butterfly Beach is the second choice) as she made a promising start at Leicester and has scope for a significant step forward. Butterfly Beach is highly thought of (held a Cheveley Park entry) and has been found an uncompetitive event.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Butterfly Beach (IRE) (Strength: Exceptional pedigree and clearly highly regarded. The drop to 5f is expected to suit her speed. Weakness: Has been disappointing given market expectation, failing to build on her debut run. Suitability: Considered the likely winner in this uncompetitive race).
- Baileys Ontherocks (Strength: Has previous C&D experience on AW. Weakness: Needs better form than previously shown here to be competitive for the win. Suitability: Needs to improve to feature).
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| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Coul Jane (IRE) (P D Evans, B Loughnane) | **** |
| Hello Isla (FR) (R Hannon, A Voikhansky) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Coul Jane (IRE): Has a record of 0-8 and has recently finished behind rivals she meets again here. She is dropping in the weights.
- Hello Isla (FR): Achieved her first placing (in six runs) when keeping on for third at Wolverhampton (5f) 16 days ago.
Spotlight Verdict
The preference is for EXCELERATE (Redditizio is second choice). Excelerate’s recent second at Wolverhampton was a step forward and can be upgraded as he raced wide and freely.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Coul Jane (IRE) (Strength: Weight is decreasing. Weakness: Has consistently lost to reopposing rivals and needs a major jump in form to win).
- Hello Isla (FR) (Strength: Recently managed to get placed, suggesting some improvement. Weakness: Needs significantly more form to win this competitive race).
1.55 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (1m2f)
| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Latin (IRE) (J Owen, P Bradley) | **** |
| Al Shabab (FR) (P D Evans, R Ryan) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Latin (IRE): Won off a 4lb higher mark at Bath last month. Recently ran well when securing second place off a lower AW rating on Friday (1m), confirming he should enjoy the step back up in trip.
- Al Shabab (FR): Finally broke his maiden tag on his 26th attempt by running on well to beat Chico Dulce over C&D five weeks ago. He is unexposed at this trip.
Spotlight Verdict
DUBAI HARBOUR is selected (Semser is second choice). The verdict notes that leading form contenders, including the recent C&D 1-2 Al Shabab and Chico Dulce, have been assigned wide stalls, which is enough to overlook them in favour of the selection.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Latin (IRE) (Strength: Good recent turf win and strong second place on AW recently, indicating current form. Should appreciate the distance. Weakness: Faces a wide stall. Suitability: Holds place claims).
- Al Shabab (FR) (Strength: C&D winner last time out, unexposed at the distance, needing serious consideration. Weakness: Carries a 4lb rise and is drawn wider than ideal, leading to him being overlooked in the selection).
2.30 Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap (6f)
| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Phoenix Moon (IRE) (D Coakley, T Heard) | **** |
| Havana Sky (E Dunlop, R Ryan) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Phoenix Moon (IRE): Maintains a consistent record in 6f AW contests, including figures of 131321 over C&D. He won most recently in September and followed up with a close second at Southwell.
- Havana Sky: Ended 2024 with a five-timer. Although he won in August, he has been far less productive and inconsistent this year.
Spotlight Verdict
Off a reduced mark, dropped in class, and back down in trip, the lightly raced EZRA CEE is particularly interesting and is taken to record a first handicap win (Phoenix Moon is feared most).
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Phoenix Moon (IRE) (Strength: Excellent C&D record and very solid claims. Weakness: Faces strong competition from Ezra Cee. Suitability: A major contender, feared most by the Spotlight predictor).
- Havana Sky (Strength: Capable of winning at this level, shown by past form. Weakness: Inconsistent profile this year and is not seen as the percentage call).
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| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Lone Warrior (IRE) (G Scott, D Keenan) | **** |
| Magic Star (W Haggas, C Fallon) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Lone Warrior (IRE): Showed encouraging form in two turf efforts back in June for Andrew Balding before being sold for 85,000gns and gelded. Starts out for new connections at a realistic level.
- Magic Star: Has improved significantly since being gelded, finishing fourth at Southwell (August) and a front-running third at Bath on his handicap debut over 1m2f. He should handle the 1m distance.
Spotlight Verdict
Narrow preference is for LONE WARRIOR (Magic Star is the second choice). Lone Warrior shaped well in his previous turf starts for Andrew Balding and has the scope to do better, despite lacking a recent run.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Lone Warrior (IRE) (Strength: Impressive previous form before absence/gelding operation, starts at a realistic level, high potential. Weakness: Lacks a recent run. Suitability: Strong candidate based on potential).
- Magic Star (Strength: Progressive since gelding, consistent recent placed form. Weakness: None major, but facing a highly touted rival. Suitability: Very appealing chance with scope for improvement).
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| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Borderline Madness (W Stone, P Cosgrave) | **** |
| Arf’s Duchess (IRE) (C Hills, J Watson) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Borderline Madness: Has been progressive at a modest level this summer, recording 1m handicap wins at Yarmouth (July) and over C&D five weeks ago. His C&D win was narrow.
- Arf’s Duchess (IRE): Showed modest form in her three previous maiden/novice runs. This represents a more realistic assignment as she enters handicap company.
Spotlight Verdict
STROBELIGHT is selected (Princess Mia is second choice). Strobelight’s recent third at Wolverhampton, where he was caught wide, was improved form that should see him gain compensation here.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Borderline Madness (Strength: Progressive form, proven C&D winner recently. Weakness: Only just scraped home in his latest win; 2lb rise requires further progress).
- Arf’s Duchess (IRE) (Strength: Steps into handicap company. Weakness: Modest previous form in novice/maiden races; does not appear generously weighted. Suitability: Needs a sudden step up in form).
4.15 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (6f)
| Rank | Horse (Trainer, Jockey) | TimeWise Master Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Top Two | Nordic Glory (IRE) (M Attwater, R Kavanagh) | **** |
| South Shore Island (IRE) (Mrs A Perrett, J Watson) | **** |
Recent Form and Comments
- Nordic Glory (IRE): A multiple course winner. His three wins this year have all been over 6f at Wolverhampton, including a comfortable success in a 0-55 race five weeks ago.
- South Shore Island (IRE): Is a maiden after 18 runs. He is dropping in weight and ran creditably over C&D recently in a stronger race.
Spotlight Verdict
HARRY BROWN is the selection (Woodhay Whisper is second choice). Harry Brown is on a good mark and should be spot on following his two runs back from a summer break. Nordic Glory and Professor Tickle give the Attwater stable a strong chance.
Race Statistics
Specific Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the Lingfield meeting are not provided in the sources.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Nordic Glory (IRE) (Strength: Multiple course winner, comfortable recent success. Weakness: Up 4lb, burdened by the widest draw. Suitability: Strong contender who must overcome the penalty and difficult draw).
- South Shore Island (IRE) (Strength: Ran creditably over C&D recently. Weakness: 0-18 career record. Suitability: Others appeal more for win purposes).
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