Newcastle; Analysis of the Timewise Top Two Rated+The Spotlight Verdict + Race Stats.

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This response works through the Newcastle races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their details, and providing the requested race statistics and analysis.


Newcastle Racecard Analysis (27 October 2025)

4.10 Join The Midnite Movement Handicap

(1m 2f 42y, AW, Class 5, £7,100 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1Jez BombS EnglandShane Gray
2MolinariM TodhunterJoe Fanning

Recent Form and Comments

  • Jez Bomb (4yo, 10-0): This horse is in fine form on turf since July (311322). He has no issue returning to Tapeta (3-7 record). Although he is on a career-high mark and all seven of his wins have come over shorter distances, he does stay this far.
  • Molinari (8yo, 10-0): A dual winner here (1m2f/1m4f) around this time last year. He finished third of nine behind Without Compromise here 13 days ago, beaten just over a length. It is suggested that a slow tempo may not have suited him last time.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “Granted a stronger tempo to aim at, MOLINARI can return to winning ways and in the process reverse recent C&D placings with Without Compromise on 4lb better terms. The main danger may come from Jez Bomb who has been running well on turf lately and is 3-7 on Tapeta. Falcon Nine also comes into this in good heart and looks best of the others”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 3yo 3-3-15, 4yo+ 2-6-31.
  • Fate of Favourites: 01211.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Craig Lidster 1-0-1, Jim Goldie 0-1-2.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
Jez BombExcellent recent turf form (311322). Strong career record on Tapeta (3-7).Running off a career-high handicap mark. All seven wins were over shorter distances.Highly suitable, expected to be the main danger, provided he handles the elevated mark.
MolinariDual course winner over this distance/further. Enjoys a 4lb swing with recent winner Without Compromise. Favoured if a stronger pace materialises.Needs a stronger pace than the recent C&D run.Highly respected and selected to win, especially if race conditions allow him to overturn the recent placings.

4.45 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

(5f, AW, Class 5, £7,300 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1Miss MendozaG OldroydP J McDonald
2MontezinAntony BrittainCameron Hardie

Recent Form and Comments

  • Miss Mendoza (3yo, 9-2): A 280,000gns yearling. She finished third in both starts at Southwell (5f, Tapeta) last month, showing improved form on the second occasion. The horse that finished fifth in her latest run has since won, suggesting the form is solid.
  • Montezin (3yo, 9-7): Cost 320,000euros as a yearling. He showed ability when second of five on his Wolverhampton debut (5f, Tapeta) three weeks ago. This stiffer track may be more suitable given his pedigree. His 20-1 starting price suggested not much was expected on debut.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “Donald has shown enough in three starts on turf to be a player, especially given his sire’s record here, while Miss Mendoza is respected on her two Southwell efforts last month. A market check is advised with Night Storm on his return from a long absence, but MONTEZIN showed plenty of promise when runner-up on his Wolverhampton debut three weeks ago, especially as his starting price of 20-1 suggested not a lot was expected”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Race statistics not provided in the source material.
  • Fate of Favourites: Race statistics not provided in the source material.
  • Trainer Records: Race statistics not provided in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
Miss MendozaConsistent placed form on Tapeta (Southwell). Form from her latest run has been franked.Yet to win in her career (0-3).Respected based on performance over a similar surface (Tapeta).
MontezinShowed considerable promise on his single debut run (runner-up). His pedigree suggests this track might be advantageous.Limited race experience (one start).The Spotlight selection, expected to progress from a promising debut showing.

5.15 Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

(1m, AW, Class 5, £7,300 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1OursinCharles HillsRob Hornby
2Flame Of ForestK R BurkeShane Gray

Recent Form and Comments

  • Oursin (3yo, 9-11): Has run twice in Kempton novices (1m Polytrack) 310 days apart. He finished second on debut last December (form worked out spectacularly well) and won last time out this month, beating ten rivals. He is likely to rate even higher and is much respected.
  • Flame Of Forest (3yo, 9-11): His two previous starts were over 7f on good to firm ground in the spring. He won at Carlisle in May despite still looking green; that form has worked out well. He is respected on his return from 161 days off.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “This looks to be between the two previous winners. Flame of Forest still looked green when winning at Carlisle in May and market support for him back from 161 days off would be encouraging, but OURSIN has shown useful form in both starts at Kempton and can take this en route to even better things”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 3yo 6-7-34, 4yo+ 0-0-4.
  • Fate of Favourites: 121121.
  • Trainer Records: Race statistics not provided in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
OursinProven winner and placed form in novice company. Debut form worked out exceptionally well. Expected to rate higher still.No obvious weaknesses identified; he is the Spotlight selection.Very strong contender, anticipated to win and progress to better class.
Flame Of ForestPrevious winner whose form has been franked. Trainer K. Burke has strong recent form (63% in 14 days).Returning from a 161-day absence. Still looked green on his last win.Contender, especially if market confidence supports him returning from a break.

5.45 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

(1m 5y, AW, Class 6, £6,000 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1Second FiddleI JardineAiden Brookes
2BowoodIvan FurtadoElle-May Croot (5)

Note: Second Fiddle is listed as a Non-Runner in the detailed racecard.

Recent Form and Comments

  • Second Fiddle (6yo, 9-8) (NR): She was 0-14 in Ireland but has a superb record of 5-5 since joining her current yard last month. Her last four wins were over C&D, with the latest success ten days ago being convincing. She was due to carry another 10lb higher, but further progress was still possible.
  • Bowood (5yo, 9-8): The horse has four career wins. He finished fourth of eight at Newmarket 14 days ago. His best rating is highest over 1m distances.

The following summary focuses on the remaining highest-rated runner (Bowood) and the horse selected by the Spotlight verdict (Pallas Lord).

  • Pallas Lord (7yo, 9-6): He is often a front-runner and has nine wins over 7f/1m here. He returns to the AW from a mark 2lb lower than when beaten a head here in March. His last four turf starts were modest.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “This can go to PALLAS LORD who has dropped to an attractive mark for this return to Tapeta and may enjoy the run of the race if allowed to set the pace. Volenti, another multiple C&D winner, may prove best of the rest”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The winner breakdown shows 3yo 0-4-19, 4yo+ 5-27-118 (Based on combining specific stats from the class 6 handicap at the same distance, as a comprehensive block is unavailable).
  • Fate of Favourites: 010 (Referring to previous winner results).
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ivan Furtado (Bowood) is 3-20 (38% recent form).

Assessment of the Top Two (Acknowledging NR and using the Spotlight Pick)

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
BowoodCapable horse with four wins. Trainer I. Furtado has three winners in the last 14 days.Recent form figure (4th) is not strong.A solid contender at this class based on previous form.
Pallas Lord (Spotlight Pick)Nine wins here. Running off an attractive mark for AW return. Could benefit if allowed to set the pace.Last four starts (on turf) were modest.The preferred option by the Spotlight team due to local record and mark.

6.15 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

(7f, AW, Class 4, £9,500 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1BellarchiG TuerOliver Stammers
2CandonomoreT D EasterbyDavid Allan

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bellarchi (4yo, 10-1): Comfortable winner at Redcar 14 days ago. She has a record of 2-5 on Tapeta. Although she carries an 8lb higher weight than her March win, she still makes the shortlist.
  • Candonomore (4yo, 9-9): Has three wins this year, including a comfortable C&D success last month. Ran well recently, finishing second of 21 at York 17 days ago. He makes the shortlist despite a further 2lb rise.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “Given her record of 2-5 on Tapeta Bellarchi is one for the shortlist, while the unxposed pair Jolly Roger and Estrella Divina are worth keeping an eye on. Arctic Dawn (second choice) and Candonomore are also respected, but BENACRE, who has winning form over C&D, may well enjoy the run of the race in front and could take some passing if he does”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 3yo 1-2-5, 4yo+ 1-2-13.
  • Fate of Favourites: 20.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ruth Carr 0-1-3.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
BellarchiExcellent recent form (winner 14 days ago). Proven suitability for Tapeta (2-5). Trainer G. Tuer has strong recent form (80% in 14 days).Running 8lb higher than a previous win in March.Strong chance and makes the shortlist.
CandonomoreC&D winner last month. Ran very well against strong opposition at York (second of 21).Must overcome another 2lb rise.Highly respected contender based on recent winning C&D form and consistency.

6.45 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap

(5f, AW, Class 4, £9,500 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1MatticeI W McInnesRob Hornby
2Monks DreamT D EasterbyDavid Allan

Recent Form and Comments

  • Mattice (6yo, 9-6): In great form since winning at Carlisle in July. He achieved his third win of the year (first on AW) over C&D last time. He is bidding for a hat-trick but is up 6lb.
  • Monks Dream (4yo, 9-8): All three of his career wins have come at this track, including a C&D success in March off today’s mark. He was running well on turf recently, beaten only half a length at Redcar 10 days ago, which suggests he is ready for his return to AW.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “This looks to be an ideal opportunity for C&D winner MONKS DREAM to return to winning ways after a couple of decent spins on turf recently. His main danger is the hat-trick seeking Mattice who scored over C&D last time and runs off 6lb higher mark. Dark Kestrel was due his win over C&D 18 days ago and must also come into consideration off 4lb higher”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Race statistics not provided in the source material.
  • Fate of Favourites: Race statistics not provided in the source material.
  • Trainer Records: Race statistics not provided in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
MatticeHat-trick seeker. Recent C&D winner. Trainer I. McInnes running well (50% in 14 days).Carries a 6lb penalty for his latest win.A major danger to the favourite based on current winning momentum.
Monks DreamC&D winner off this precise mark. Excellent recent turf form indicates fitness. Strong local AW record.None obvious; the selection for the race.Highly suitable, identified as having an ideal opportunity to win.

7.15 Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap

(5f, AW, Class 6, £6,000 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1Ramon Di LoriaEwan WhillansRowan Scott
2Thunderstorm KatieJ S GoldiePaul Mulrennan

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ramon Di Loria (7yo, 9-7): Has nine wins, including two over C&D. His latest win was over C&D last month. Although up 3lb, his previous win came off this exact mark, meaning another big performance is likely.
  • Thunderstorm Katie (4yo, 9-9): She has recorded four wins on turf since undergoing wind surgery in June. She is up 4lb but remains a contender if she is as effective returning to the AW surface.

Spotlight Verdict

The verdict states: “Thunderstorm Katie has enjoyed a fine second-half of the year on turf and should go well if as effective back on the AW, while four-time C&D winner Henery Hawk (second choice) is very much respected. Ramon Di Loria shouldn’t be far away having gone up 3lb for last month’s C&D win and South Shore is also considered having dropped 1lb below his last winning mark. However, BIBENDUM (nap) would have gone very close to winning had he enjoyed more luck here last time and is taken to gain compensation”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners): 3yo 2-4-27, 4yo+ 5-10-58.
  • Fate of Favourites: 41104.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Trainer records for this specific race not provided in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
Ramon Di LoriaDual C&D winner with recent course success. Has won off the current handicap mark before.Has a 3lb penalty for his latest win.Expected to be close up; highly suitable for the track and trip.
Thunderstorm KatieExceptional run of form on turf recently (four wins since June).Must prove that she is equally effective back on AW. Carries a 4lb rise.Potential contender if her sharp turf form translates successfully to Tapeta.

7.45 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Handicap

(1m, AW, Class 6, £6,000 Total Race Value)

RankHorseTrainerJockeyTimeWise Rating Source
1Goldie TrickettW J HaggasCallum Rodriguez
2YafaarrSam EnglandJoe Fanning

Recent Form and Comments

  • Goldie Trickett (3yo, 9-8): Highly bred (sister to Group 1 winner Saffron Beach) and expensive (1,650,000euros). She has had three moderate runs in novice/maiden events (7f-1m), but her RPR has improved incrementally. She is an intriguing runner now making her handicap debut at a low level.
  • Yafaarr (3yo, 9-4): An eight-race maiden, but has been highly consistent since joining the current yard, making the frame on all four starts. He was recently beaten only half a length when third at Redcar (7f, good) ten days ago.

Spotlight Verdict

Note: A formal Spotlight Verdict paragraph for this race is not provided in the source material. The following information is drawn from the analysis and comments provided for the leading contenders.
Yafaarr is considered a very solid and consistent runner. Goldie Trickett is regarded as an intriguing runner on her handicap debut given her pedigree and improving figures.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: The race is confined to 3yo horses.
  • Fate of Favourites: Race statistics not provided in the source material.
  • Trainer Records: Race statistics not provided in the source material.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses/ConcernsSuitability
Goldie TrickettElite pedigree (sister to Group 1 winner). Unexposed and making her handicap debut at a potentially lenient class/level.Has only shown moderate form so far. Needs to adapt well to the handicap environment.Intriguing, high-potential candidate if she lives up to her breeding and rating.
YafaarrExcellent consistency since yard change, placing in four consecutive starts. Narrowly beaten recently (third by half a length).Still officially a maiden (0-8).Expected to be in the shake-up and represents a reliable option for the frame.

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