This analysis covers all scheduled Redcar races in chronological order, drawing upon the TimeWise Master Ratings, recent form details, Spotlight Verdicts, Race Statistics, and an assessment of the top two contenders from the provided sources.

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Race 1: 12.30 Get A Free Trial At racingtv.com/freetrial Fillies’ Novice Stakes (7f)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Invisible (IRE)	Top	13/8	T Clover
2	Crystal Dagger	Second	9/4	E Walker

Recent Form and Comments

• Invisible (IRE): She is top on ratings, showing a master Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 92. She has been largely consistent this season, placed five times. However, she folded tamely and was below par last time when wearing cheekpieces (now removed). She needs to rebound but is considered the most solid option on figures.
• Crystal Dagger: She achieved a master RPR of 87. Her career started with two second-place finishes on turf, including over course-and-distance (C&D) this summer. Her two subsequent efforts on AW were lesser. A return to turf may prompt a resurgence.

Spotlight Verdict

A maiden event in all but name and the four declared runners have a combined record of 0-19. INVISIBLE, who has proved largely consistent this season and is top on the figures, looks the most solid option. Crystal Dagger, who has C&D form and may prove resurgent back on turf, is second pick.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: The race is for 3yo+ fillies and mares. Age group records noted in the general Redcar card excerpts show: 3yo 0-0-2, 4yo+ 0-0-0.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race type in the provided excerpts.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): E Walker (6-23 runners), T Clover (0-8 runners), Declan Carroll (13-120 runners).

Assessment of Top Two

• Invisible (IRE):
  • Strengths: Highest rated (RPR 92), consistent placed efforts this term.
  • Weaknesses: Disappointing latest run, though cheekpieces have been removed.
  • Suitability: Figures suggest she is well suited to win this contest.
• Crystal Dagger:
  • Strengths: Proven C&D form on turf (two second-place finishes), potential for improvement back on preferred surface.
  • Weaknesses: Recent AW form was disappointing.
  • Suitability: Good C&D form makes her a solid secondary choice.

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Race 2: 1.00 racingtv.com/freetrial EBF Novice Stakes (7f)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Night Wolf	Top	9/4	S Spencer
2	Decem Starr (IRE)	Second	9/2	J Jones

Recent Form and Comments

• Night Wolf: Achieved a master RPR of 87. As a 160,000gns yearling, he was a massive eyecatcher in the prestigious Convivial Maiden at York, where he finished fifth despite suffering early interference. That form has worked out well.
• Decem Starr (IRE): Achieved a master RPR of 78. He ran an encouraging race last time out and left his debut effort behind when finishing second at Leicester. He is clearly capable of winning races.

Spotlight Verdict

An interesting novice. NIGHT WOLF did well to finish so close in the Convivial at York after suffering early interference and that form has worked out well. Decem Starr (second choice), North Force and Skiathos all ran encouraging races last time out, while the newcomer Prima Bailarina is bred to be decidedly useful.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo horses.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race type in the provided excerpts.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): T Easterby (58-670 runners), R Fahey (18-238 runners), E Walker (6-23 runners), S Spencer (4-30 runners).

Assessment of Top Two

• Night Wolf:
  • Strengths: Excellent underlying form (Convivial Maiden) despite poor luck, highly respected pedigree.
  • Weaknesses: None critical, but racing badly interfered with once previously.
  • Suitability: Expected to be sharp and highly competitive based on performance in stronger races.
• Decem Starr (IRE):
  • Strengths: Improving form shown by recent second-place finish, holds strong claims to win a race of this nature.
  • Weaknesses: Previous runs were less compelling.
  • Suitability: Ran an encouraging race and merits respect.

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Race 3: 1.30 EBF ‘”Double Trigger” Novice Stakes (1m 1f)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Bay Of Brilliance	Top	15/8	R Beckett
2	New Bay Star (IRE)	Second	7/2	Charlie Johnston

Recent Form and Comments

• Bay Of Brilliance: Master RPR of 82. He was previously tapped for toe over 7f but proved suited by the step up in trip at Goodwood (1m2f, soft) where he won. The form of that success has been franked. He competes here under a 7lb penalty.
• New Bay Star (IRE): Master RPR of 80. He needed his debut outing but then fared better at Bath (1m, good to soft) where he finished a solid third, splitting subsequent scorers. He could take another step forward.

Spotlight Verdict

This seems a tight race as BAY OF BRILLIANCE (narrowly preferred) and New Bay Star (second choice) both have solid form, while Poker may step up markedly on his Haydock effort and Veritable is also open to major improvement. La Peregrina looks best of the newcomers.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (2yo): Exclusively 2yo runners.
• Fate of Favourites: 6 events resulting in 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third, and 2 unplaced outcomes (253213).
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Charlie Johnston 0-1-2, John & Thady Gosden 0-1-1, K R Burke 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two

• Bay Of Brilliance:
  • Strengths: Proven winner over a staying distance (1m2f), form is solid and has been franked.
  • Weaknesses: Carries a 7lb penalty.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for this distance (1m1f) and preferred for the win.
• New Bay Star (IRE):
  • Strengths: Progressive, strong recent effort splitting subsequent winners, expected to step forward again.
  • Weaknesses: Hit a flat spot during his last run.
  • Suitability: Solid form makes him a strong contender for place or win.

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Race 4: 2.00 Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (Div I) (1m 2f 1y)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Hashtagnotions (IRE)	Top	11/4	R A Fahey
2	Dinah Myte	Second	100/30	J Gallagher

Recent Form and Comments

• Hashtagnotions (IRE): Master RPR of 70. He is in decent form, showing wins at Ayr (1m) and Beverley (1m2f, soft) in his last five starts with cheekpieces. He weakened close home last time at Lingfield (AW) after leading. He holds a chance.
• Dinah Myte: Master RPR of 63. She has run well on her last two starts over 1m (winning at Ffos Las and finishing third at Brighton). She was well beaten in her only previous attempt at 1m2f after a slow start, but is worth another try at the trip.

Spotlight Verdict

The two in-form 3yos, HASHTAGNOTIONS and Falaise Blanc, make most appeal here with the former, who ran better than the bare form at Lingfield last time, just preferred.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (3yo+): Age group records show: 3yo 0-1-7, 4yo+ 1-1-7.
• Fate of Favourites: Only one favourite result is listed in the excerpt, 3-1fav.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): David Thompson 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two

• Hashtagnotions (IRE):
  • Strengths: Proven winning form recently over this trip (1m2f, soft). Trainer (R. Fahey) has excellent general records.
  • Weaknesses: Weakened towards the end of his last race.
  • Suitability: Appeals strongly based on form and C&D experience.
• Dinah Myte:
  • Strengths: Good recent winning form at 1m. Is back on turf and merits another chance at 1m2f.
  • Weaknesses: Previous poor run over this distance due to slow start.
  • Suitability: Contender if she handles the trip and gets a clean start.

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Race 5: 2.35 Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (Div II) (1m 2f 1y)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Ribston Pippin (IRE)	Top	100/30	L De Souza
2	Aljezur (IRE)	Second	14/1	J Candlish

Recent Form and Comments

• Ribston Pippin (IRE): Master RPR of 69. He had been progressing well in handicaps and got off the mark in August. However, he showed no improvement for first-time cheekpieces when seventh at Lingfield (AW) recently. He remains on a workable mark and holds claims back on turf.
• Aljezur (IRE): Master RPR of 66. He is a longstanding maiden who is on a career-low mark. He failed to get home when fourth over 1m2f at Ffos Las in August. He has become disappointing.

Spotlight Verdict

A couple of 3yos may have the upper hand here with preference for RIBSTON PIPPIN to get back on track now he is back on turf. His main adversary could be Grizzieblanca who can also be forgiven her last run on softer ground than she prefers. The best of the older brigade may be Recobella who got off the mark for her new yard in July and is another who may be happier back on turf.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (3yo+): Age group records show: 3yo 0-1-7, 4yo+ 1-1-7.
• Fate of Favourites: Only one favourite result is listed in the excerpt, 3-1fav.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Not listed for this specific race category/track in the provided excerpts.

Assessment of Top Two

• Ribston Pippin (IRE):
  • Strengths: Back on turf where he is preferred, retaining a workable handicap mark.
  • Weaknesses: Recent performance with headgear was poor.
  • Suitability: Expected to bounce back and should be highly competitive on turf.
• Aljezur (IRE):
  • Strengths: On a career-low mark.
  • Weaknesses: Longstanding maiden, has become disappointing, doubts over his stamina at 1m2f.
  • Suitability: Low mark offers a glimmer of hope, but numerous questions regarding form and distance suitability.

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Race 6: 3.10 Champions Full Gallop On ITV Novice Stakes (1m 2f)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Military Cross (IRE)	Top	6/5	J & T Gosden
2	Helmsley (IRE)	Second	5/2	R M Beckett

Recent Form and Comments

• Military Cross (IRE): Master RPR of 93. He is the form pick, having been runner-up three times (twice at Kempton and once at Ascot), all over 1m4f. He is an obvious contender despite dropping in trip, although he was beaten at odds of 30-100 last time.
• Helmsley (IRE): Master RPR of 89. He has shown promise in four runs, all on the AW, including a run at Southwell (1m4f) where he was beaten by just over 3l. This will be his first run at 1m2f and first run on turf.

Spotlight Verdict

Although beaten at long odds-on last time, MILITARY CROSS, who is dropped in trip, looks to have been found a good opportunity to get off the mark. Yaa Min and Helmsley could prove his main threats, although Superfortress should improve on his debut run.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (3yo+): Age group records show: 3yo 1-2-8, 4yo+ 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed for this race type in the provided excerpts.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Ralph Beckett 1-0-1, Roger Varian 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two

• Military Cross (IRE):
  • Strengths: The definitive form pick with excellent RPR, consistently placed in strong company.
  • Weaknesses: Previously disappointed when odds-on favourite.
  • Suitability: Dropping in trip but found a good opportunity to secure a win.
• Helmsley (IRE):
  • Strengths: Holds an impressive master RPR of 89, sound recent form over 1m4f on AW.
  • Weaknesses: Untried on turf and at this exact distance.
  • Suitability: A possible contender who needs to prove his versatility regarding the track surface.

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Race 7: 3.45 Jumps Season Free Trial On RacingTV Handicap (1m)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Noche Clasica (IRE)	Top	5/2	Ed Bethell
2	Sex On Fire (IRE)	Second	11/2	Richard Spencer

Recent Form and Comments

• Noche Clasica (IRE): Master RPR of 97. She has won a Chester maiden and a Goodwood fillies’ handicap off a 7lb lower mark recently. She is interesting on her first start for Ed Bethell following a 150,000gns sale.
• Sex On Fire (IRE): Master RPR of 97. He won off 3lb lower in April (1m). He has come back to form on his last two starts at Ayr, finishing fourth and fifth. He is considered a strong danger.

Spotlight Verdict

Having come back to form on his last two starts GOOD HEAVENS (nap) is taken to win his second race of the season, with Sex On Fire his most likely danger.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (3yo+): Age group records show: 3yo 2-2-10, 4yo+ 2-6-26.
• Fate of Favourites: 4 events resulting in 2 wins, 1 second, and 1 unplaced outcome (4211).
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): David O’Meara 1-0-3, Roger Fell 0-2-2, Tim Easterby 0-3-6.

Assessment of Top Two

• Noche Clasica (IRE):
  • Strengths: Excellent RPR (97), dual winner this season, debuts for a respected new trainer.
  • Weaknesses: Might be vulnerable on handicap mark following the stable switch and price increase.
  • Suitability: Highly talented, but needs to prove she is still well-handicapped.
• Sex On Fire (IRE):
  • Strengths: Back to form recently, proven winner over 1m, rated strongly (RPR 97).
  • Weaknesses: None explicitly noted, consistent good form recently.
  • Suitability: Looks a major threat and handles the trip well.

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Race 8: 4.20 Start Your RacingTV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap (6f)

Rank	Horse	TimeWise Rating	SP	Trainer
1	Count D’Orsay (IRE)	Top	4/1	T D Easterby
2	Hurstwood	Second	7/2	P D Niven

Recent Form and Comments

• Count D’Orsay (IRE): Master RPR of 70. He has a 0-12 record this term but holds frame possibilities on recent form. He is significantly below his last winning mark (13lb lower). He has win possibilities if he raises his game.
• Hurstwood: Master RPR of 74. He is a three-time C&D scorer. He was all out for a narrow win at Nottingham most recently, but may remain competitive, having only gone up 2lb. He has solid-looking claims.

Spotlight Verdict

Off an attractive mark returned to the scene of his sole success, I NEED YOUR LOVE may be the answer. Act Of Violence, who showed signs of a revival last time, is second choice. Hurstwood and Mrs Trump have solid-looking claims, while Moostar needs a close look on her second start for a new stable.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups (3yo+): Age group records show: 3yo 0-3-29, 4yo+ 8-15-67.
• Fate of Favourites: 8 events resulting in 1 win, 3 seconds, 1 third, and 3 unplaced outcomes (34350132).
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Rebecca Menzies 1-0-2, Declan Carroll 0-1-2, Iain Jardine 0-1-1, Tim Easterby 0-1-8.

Assessment of Top Two

• Count D’Orsay (IRE):
  • Strengths: Handicapped favourably (13lb lower than last win), capable of hitting the frame.
  • Weaknesses: Poor recent strike rate (0-12).
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the grade and capable of a win if finding improvement.
• Hurstwood:
  • Strengths: Excellent C&D record (three wins), proven competitor off this revised mark (up 2lb).
  • Weaknesses: Had to be pushed hard to win narrowly last time out.
  • Suitability: Solid claims due to C&D expertise and competitive mark.