Catterick; Analysis of the Timewise Top Two + Spotlight’s Verdict + Race Stats.

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This analysis works through the Catterick races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their details, providing the Spotlight Verdict and Race Statistics, and assessing the chances of the top selections.


1.10 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (5f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Control Room (2yo filly, R Cowell)
  2. Star Noir (2yo colt, M & D Easterby)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Control Room (9-0): Improved at the third attempt when finishing second of seven at Bath 19 days ago (5f, good to soft). She requires another step forward to win but has something solid to build on. She runs as a pressed leader (P). OR 65, TS 55, RPR 79.
  • Star Noir (9-5): Has three promising runs in sprint maiden/novice events. He showed his best form when chasing home a 78-rated rival at Redcar six weeks ago (5f, good). A repeat of that form would give him leading claims. He has promise on good to soft but is unraced on slower. OR 71, TS 70, RPR 83.

Spotlight Verdict

None of the seven runners have tackled soft ground yet so this doesn’t look a race to be getting carried away with. STAR NOIR has achieved the most and can get off the mark at the fourth attempt, with North West Gal and Luck Money (second choice) both open to improvement after making promising debuts at Leicester two weeks ago. Tim Easterby’s runner (Luck Money) may be open to the greater progress.

Race Statistics

  • Age Group: All runners are 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites (General for 1.10): 1111210212.
  • Trainer Records (General for 1.10): Richard Fahey 2 wins, 0 places from 7 runners; Tim Easterby 1 win, 0 places from 5 runners.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
Star NoirHighest OR (71) and RPR (83). Comes off best form effort (chasing 78-rated rival). Suited to sprint trips.Unraced on soft ground, which is a key unknown.
Control RoomShowed improvement to finish second last time. Has experience on good to soft ground.Needs another step forward to challenge for the win. Has not faced soft ground.

1.40 Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Handicap (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Gunalt Wavelength (2yo filly, M & D Easterby)
  2. Truly Special (2yo filly, D O’Meara)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Gunalt Wavelength (9-9p1): A prominent racer who has shown enough in her nursery runs to suggest she can win a similar race. Neither the trip (6f) nor the soft ground should be an issue, and the application of new cheekpieces could be the catalyst for improvement. OR 60, TS 58, RPR 64.
  • Truly Special (9-6): Ran her best race so far when finishing third of ten in a 1m nursery at Leicester two weeks ago (good). The drop to 6f is much more in line with her pedigree, and she is a key player. She is unraced on ground slower than good to soft. OR 57, TS 39, RPR 63.

Spotlight Verdict

Gunalt Wavelength has been threatening to win a minor nursery and she can go well in first-time headgear. Powernap may benefit from 6f but so too might TRULY SPECIAL. A daughter of two-time Great St Wilfrid winner Pepper Lane, she ran a creditable race in a 1m nursery two weeks ago and could deliver a more potent finishing effort back at this trip.

Race Statistics

  • Age Group: All runners are 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided for this specific race.
  • Trainer Records: Not provided for this specific race.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
Gunalt WavelengthTrip and soft ground suitable. New headgear (cheekpieces) fitted. Proven prominent runner.Needs to convert promise into a win.
Truly SpecialRunning distance (6f) aligns with pedigree. Ran best race last time (3rd at 1m). Pedigree suggests quality (daughter of Pepper Lane).Unraced on soft ground (only good to soft or quicker). Latest TS rating is low (39).

2.10 Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (1m 4f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Gibside (6yo gelding, T Easterby)
  2. Nightsinwhitesatin (3yo gelding, E Bethell)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Gibside (9-9): Course winner (1m6f, good to firm) last year. He has shown little in his last five starts and usually runs over further. However, he has dropped 2lb lower than when he won the Chester Plate (18.5f, good) in May, and soft ground is no issue. OR 77, TS 72, RPR 92.
  • Nightsinwhitesatin (9-3p): He has been twice held off his current mark since winning two handicaps over 1m2f on good ground in August. While unexposed, there is a question mark regarding his ability to handle the step up in trip, especially on soft ground, as his pedigree is not encouraging. OR 77, TS 80, RPR 87.

Spotlight Verdict

Most of these have something to prove in one way or another. With Arrange and Gibside, the question is whether they will find this 1m4f trip too sharp for them now. Both are well handicapped, have won here, and have winning form on soft ground. Preference is just for ARRANGE who has dropped 5lb below her last winning mark.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 3 wins, 3 places, 17 runners; 4yo+ 7 wins, 12 places, 72 runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 3012122651.
  • Trainer Records: Tim Easterby 0 wins, 1 place from 5 runners.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
GibsideCourse winner, handles soft ground. Now 2lb lower than a major win in May (Chester Plate). High master RPR (92).1m4f trip may be too sharp as he usually prefers further. Recent form offers little encouragement.
NightsinwhitesatinUnexposed. High latest TS (80). Effective on good ground.Held off this mark twice recently. Pedigree suggests suitability for this longer trip on soft ground is doubtful.

2.40 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Ahamoment (IRE) (6yo gelding, D & N Barron)
  2. Vince Le Prince (5yo gelding, T Easterby)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Ahamoment (10-0): A handy sort who recently bounced back to form with easy wins over 7f on soft and heavy ground this month. Although fourth over C&D (good) ten days ago, ground conditions today (soft) should be more to his liking. He is respected back down in grade. OR 70, TS 63, RPR 75.
  • Vince Le Prince (9-11tp): His losing run is 15, but he has run well at Catterick the last twice. Three of his five career wins have come over C&D, including two on soft ground. He continues to ease in the weights and is considered the best runner for the stable. OR 67, TS 80, RPR 80.

Spotlight Verdict

Vince Le Prince (second choice) has gained three of his five wins over C&D and soft ground isn’t an issue. He looks the best of Tim Easterby’s three runners but preference is for AHAMOMENT, who could manage only fourth in his hat-trick bid over C&D on good ground last time but had previously twice won easily on testing ground.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 0 wins, 1 place, 6 runners; 4yo+ 2 wins, 3 places, 16 runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 25.
  • Trainer Records: David & Nicola Barron 0 wins, 1 place from 1 runner.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
AhamomentStrong recent form (two easy wins on testing ground). Today’s soft ground suits. Dropping back in grade.Was only fourth in his last C&D run (on good ground).
Vince Le PrinceExcellent course and distance record (3 C&D wins, 2 on soft). Continues to drop in weights. High latest TS and RPR (80).Long losing run (15 races).

3.10 racingtv.com Handicap (2m)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Bollin Neil (9yo gelding, T Easterby)
  2. Tarbat Ness (6yo gelding, J Berry)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bollin Neil (9-13tp): A prolific winner who is seeking a hat-trick after winning over C&D (soft) and 1m6f (good) here this month. He is up a total of 7lb, making this a tougher assignment, but he still has strong claims. OR 59, TS 51, RPR 65.
  • Tarbat Ness (9-10b): He won this race last year (on soft ground, off a 5lb lower mark). He was in good form across both codes in the spring. He typically needs his first run after a break. If he is tuned up, a repeat win is possible. OR 56, TS 55, RPR 64.

Spotlight Verdict

Three previous winners of this race return in Ebony Maw, Tarbat Ness (second choice), and Cold Henry. While this is unlikely to be easy for BOLLIN NEIL, he is taken to complete the hat-trick. Tim Easterby’s 9yo arrives in super form in staying races on this track.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 1 win, 3 places, 19 runners; 4yo+ 9 wins, 17 places, 89 runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 0110115144.
  • Trainer Records: Ewan Whillans 1-0-2, John Berry 1-1-5, Micky Hammond 1-0-7, Sara Ender 1-0-3, Jessica Bedi 0-1-1, Rebecca Menzies 0-1-3, Tim Easterby 0-2-3.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
Bollin NeilOutstanding current form (seeking hat-trick). Recent C&D winner on soft ground. Track specialist in staying races.Up 7lb in total, facing a tougher task. Lower RPR (65) than some rivals’ master RPRs.
Tarbat NessPrevious winner of this exact race (soft ground). Excellent distance suitability (2m).Returns from a 197-day break. Typically needs his first run back. Is 5lb higher than last year’s winning mark.

3.40 Champions Full Gallop On ITV Handicap (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Fiscal Policy (IRE) (6yo gelding, Mrs R Carr)
  2. The Good Biscuit (4yo gelding, Mrs R Carr)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Fiscal Policy (9-12): He is a C&D winner. His last three runs were on AW. He prefers good or quicker ground but appeared to handle heavy once last year. He was in good form when last seen in midsummer (108 days ago). OR 80, TS 84, RPR 88.
  • The Good Biscuit (9-7): Won twice at Pontefract this year, most recently keeping on strongly over 5f last week (soft). He must be taken seriously despite carrying a 5lb penalty. OR 75 (+5lb), TS 79, RPR 89.

Spotlight Verdict

Station X won’t be easy to peg back if in the same form as at Doncaster on Friday but there are plausible alternatives. The Good Biscuit impressed at Pontefract last week and is respected under a penalty but MONSIEUR KODI had a wide trip when a close fourth here ten days ago and Ethan Tindall looks fine value for his 7lb claim.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 1 win, 6 places, 22 runners; 4yo+ 8 wins, 11 places, 64 runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 411000410.
  • Trainer Records: Richard Fahey 3 wins, 2 places, 8 runners; Tim Easterby 2 wins, 3 places, 9 runners.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
Fiscal PolicyC&D winner. Highest OR (80) and TS (84). In good form before a break.Usually prefers quicker ground (today is soft). Returning from a 108-day absence.
The Good BiscuitHighly progressive and recent winner (last week) on soft ground. High RPR (89).Carries a 5lb penalty. Needs to replicate 5f form over 6f.

4.10 Jump Season Starts 21st November Handicap (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

  1. Beerwah (IRE) (3yo filly, J & S Quinn)
  2. Canaria Queen (5yo mare, T Easterby)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Beerwah (9-3b): Made it 14th-time lucky when winning at Beverley (5f, soft) last month. She was only beaten just over a length when fourth of 14 at Musselburgh (5f, good) 15 days ago, running off the same mark. She still has something to prove over this 6f distance. OR 55, TS 66, RPR 71.
  • Canaria Queen (9-5p): Has three wins over 5f this year (good/good to soft). She finished second of 14 at Nottingham (5f, good) 13 days ago. She stays 6f and acts on soft ground, but whether the combination of both is ideal is questionable. OR 56, TS 63, RPR 69.

Spotlight Verdict

Rain Cap (second choice) has to be respected back here having won four times at the track, while Emerald Army is 2lb lower than when winning over C&D on soft ground in July. However, CROCODILE POWER (nap) is back off the same mark as when winning this race last year and is taken to repeat that success.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2 wins, 5 places, 27 runners; 4yo+ 7 wins, 13 places, 68 runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 255020121.
  • Trainer Records: Seb Spencer 1 win, 0 places, 2 runners; Iain Jardine 0 wins, 1 place, 1 runner; John David Riches 0 wins, 1 place, 4 runners.

Assessment of Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknesses / Suitability Concerns
BeerwahRecent 5f winner on soft ground. Good run last time at 5f (4th).Has something to prove over 6f.
Canaria QueenConsistent form (second last time), handles soft ground. Top OR (56).Best efforts are at 5f; the combination of 6f and soft ground is a question mark.

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