This analysis works through all races at Leicester in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their recent form, providing the Spotlight Verdict, detailing Race Statistics, and assessing the chances of the top selections.

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1.20 AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap (1m 3f 179y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Just Adair (3-1)
2. Tuba (9-1)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Just Adair: Won his first two handicaps over Windsor’s extended 1m3f. He was beaten by the favourite in his latest run at Brighton (1m4f).
• Tuba: A maiden under both codes in Ireland, he showed some ability there. He is now with Fergal O’Brien, who fits a tongue-tie. He runs off a career-low mark and is worth a market check.

Spotlight Verdict:

His last win was in this very race three years ago but FEN TIGER has performed okay on occasions this year and he’ll enjoy the ground. Henry Callan had a winner at Newbury on Saturday and he partners handicap newcomer Tightly Bound who needs checking in the betting. Just Adair would have obvious claims if handling conditions, while Eagle One and Fiddlers Green are next on the list.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-9, 4yo+ 3-6-29.
• Fate of Favourites: 011.
• Trainer Records: John O’Shea 0-1-1, Jonathan Portman 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Just Adair:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Proven winner over extended 1m3f in handicaps. Ran well recently over 1m4f.
  • Weaknesses: Has yet to race on ground softer than good.
• Tuba:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Starts off a career-low mark for a new stable (Fergal O’Brien). Fitted with a tongue-tie.
  • Weaknesses: Is still a maiden. Lowest Topspeed rating in the field (20).

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1.50 British EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Hen Party (6-1)
2. Polka Blue (2-1)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Hen Party: Drops back to 6f after failing to figure in 7f maidens at Newmarket. This race is considered easier.
• Polka Blue: Her debut was modest, but she showed similar form in 6f/7f novices on the AW. She brings leading form claims if she proves capable of handling today’s soft ground.

Spotlight Verdict:

Polka Blue (second choice) and Fermain just about bring the best form. In a modest race a chance is taken on the newcomer FRANTIC, who is out a Listed winner.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Race limited to 2yo fillies.
• Fate of Favourites: 2412.
• Trainer Records: Ed Walker 1-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Hen Party:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Facing easier opposition compared to her 7f maidens at Newmarket.
  • Weaknesses: It is questionable whether the sharp test of 6f is what she wants.
• Polka Blue:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Has the highest Topspeed rating (72) and RPR (81) of the running field. Has demonstrated consistent form on the AW.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to prove she handles soft ground.

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2.20 Happy Heavenly Birthday Sharon McManus Nursery Handicap (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Calypso Breeze (2-1)
2. Lady Lucky Vegas (11-2)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Calypso Breeze: Showed little in her early efforts but was treated for physical issues before winning her handicap debut at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) well supported by the market. She is up 7lb but looks promising.
• Lady Lucky Vegas: Ran nicely when finishing third of eight in a 5f maiden on heavy ground last month. However, she raced freely and could not sustain her effort on her handicap debut over 6f here (good to soft) this month. She has a shade to prove over 7f.

Spotlight Verdict:

Her ability to handle soft ground has to be taken on trust but CALYPSO BREEZE justified market support quite readily on her handicap debut on the AW and has at least proved she stays 7f. That has still to be proved by the four who took part in a 6f handicap here three weeks ago, when Diamond Ali (second choice) in fourth finished ahead of Lady Lucky Vegas, Giles Glory and Lope Y Linda. Spartacus Warrior can also figure.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Race limited to 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 25242333.
• Trainer Records: Tim Easterby 1-0-2, Richard Fahey 0-2-7.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Calypso Breeze:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Proven over 7f. Comes from a recent winning performance and looks promising.
  • Weaknesses: Up 7lb. Her recent winning form was on AW, and her ability to handle soft ground must be taken on trust.
• Lady Lucky Vegas:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Has shown ability on heavy ground (third in 5f maiden).
  • Weaknesses: Failed to sustain her effort on handicap debut over 6f and has a query regarding staying 7f.

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2.50 Happy Birthday Richard Clowes EBF Maiden Stakes (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Beccadelli (9-4) (NON-RUNNER)
2. Crown Office (5-4)

(Note: Beccadelli is listed as a non-runner. Assessment will focus on the remaining running horse, Crown Office, and the next most prominent contender, Marcellinus, as highlighted in the Spotlight Verdict.)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Beccadelli (Non-Runner): Improved on debut to finish close fourth at Newmarket. A concern was that he previously bypassed an intended debut due to soft ground.
• Crown Office: A 340,000gns yearling. He was slowly away on debut (6f) and again had issues in the stalls when disappointing in fifth at York (7f). He clearly possesses the ability to win a race of this type.
• Marcellinus: Showed good speed at Windsor (6f, good to firm) before finishing 3.5l behind a useful winner. Looks to have a future.

Spotlight Verdict:

Preference is for CROWN OFFICE in the hope that he can behave better in the stalls this time. Marcellinus and the newcomer Langstone are also respected.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Race limited to 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly listed in source statistics.
• Trainer Records: Not explicitly listed in source statistics.

Assessment of the Top Running Contenders:

• Crown Office:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Has the highest RPR (85) of the running field and possesses the ability to win.
  • Weaknesses: Has been slow away and had issues in the stalls in previous runs.
• Marcellinus (Next most prominent contender):
  • Strengths/Suitability: Showed good speed on debut (6f). High RPR (78). Looks to have a future.
  • Weaknesses: Encounters different conditions here (soft ground).

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3.20 Happy Birthday Hamish Claiming Stakes (7f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Amused (4-1)
2. Good Banter (11-4)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Amused: Won his final French start in a 7f claimer on very soft ground. On his latest run, he came home strongly to be narrowly beaten in a C&D seller (good). He is expected to have a big run on soft ground.
• Good Banter: All three of his wins have been on Wolverhampton Tapeta, including a seller over about 1m last month. He was a beaten favourite in a subsequent C&D seller (good).

Spotlight Verdict:

However, slight preference is for AMUSED who was well suited by this C&D when coming home strongly to take a close second in a seller last time out and is likely to appreciate this more testing ground. Forever My Prince ran a cracker on his latest 7f attempt without headgear and may be back on song. Joycean Way looks a safer option among the remainder.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 5-10-42, 4yo+ 3-3-28.
• Fate of Favourites: 0211122.
• Trainer Records: Jennie Candlish 1-0-1, Tony Carroll 0-1-2.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Amused:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Proven winner on very soft ground. Showed great suitability to the C&D on his latest run. Expected to appreciate the testing ground.
  • Weaknesses: Well held in an Ascot handicap on his stable debut.
• Good Banter:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Has the highest OR (80). A three-time AW winner.
  • Weaknesses: Was beaten a long way in his only previous attempt on soft ground.

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3.50 Stevie Stretch Bookmaker 60 Today Handicap (1m 53y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Carnival Day (9-2)
2. Milteye (6-1)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Carnival Day: Typically gives his running. Finished best of the rest behind an in-form rival at Epsom a month ago (1m2f, good to soft).
• Milteye: Very consistent for his current yard. Was a close second at Pontefract (1m, good to soft) off 4lb lower recently. He finished sixth in his last outing at Nottingham, where a wide draw was unhelpful.

Spotlight Verdict:

There should be a big run in SIERRA BLANCA who ran a good race last time at Windsor behind one who went in again at the weekend. Darvel remains in form and on a realistic mark, so he’s second choice ahead of Milteye.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-6, 4yo+ 1-2-11.
• Fate of Favourites: 12.
• Trainer Records: Not provided in source statistics.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Carnival Day:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Reliable performer who recently ran well. RPR of 90.
  • Weaknesses: 1m2f is generally considered more his optimal trip than 1m.
• Milteye:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Very consistent. Has proven form on good to soft ground at 1m.
  • Weaknesses: Currently 4lb higher than his good run at Pontefract.

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4.20 Jumping’s Back @leicesterraces Monday 17th November Handicap (5f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

1. Marching Mac (7-2)
2. Vince L’Amour (4-1)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Marching Mac: Won this specific race easily last year, beating three rivals on heavy ground. Gained his first win of this season at Bath last week. Despite the penalty from that recent win, he is considered reasonably treated.
• Vince L’Amour: Has been knocking on the door this season and capitalised on his reduced mark by winning at Musselburgh two weeks ago (5f, good). He is very efficient on slow ground.

Spotlight Verdict:

Recent Musselburgh winner VINCE L’AMOUR (nap) should be even happier back on this softer ground and he remains well treated. Asinara always seems to be on the scene, while others to bear in mind are last year’s winner Marching Mac and Edgewater Drive.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 3-0-11, 4yo+ 0-3-9.
• Fate of Favourites: 111.
• Trainer Records: Phil McEntee 1-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Marching Mac:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Course and distance specialist, having won this race on heavy ground last year. Demonstrated fitness and form by winning last week.
  • Weaknesses: Carrying a penalty from his Bath win.
• Vince L’Amour:
  • Strengths/Suitability: Very efficient on slow ground. Should appreciate the softer ground here. Remains well treated after his recent Musselburgh win.
  • Weaknesses: Up 4lb for his recent success.