Executive Summary
This briefing synthesizes comprehensive analysis for the horse racing fixtures at Catterick, Ffos Las, Leicester, and Wolverhampton on October 28, 2025. A recurring critical factor across the turf meetings is the soft ground, which introduces significant uncertainty, particularly for inexperienced horses or those unproven in the conditions.
Spotlight analysis has identified four standout selections, or “naps,” for the day: CROCODILE POWER in the 4.10 at Catterick, noted as being on the same winning mark as last year; SURREY LORD in the 2.28 at Ffos Las, who is expected to improve from a promising seasonal debut; VINCE L’AMOUR in the 4.20 at Leicester, who is favored by the softer ground; and SIMIYANN in the 7.00 at Wolverhampton, who returns to a previous winning mark at a favored track.
Market intelligence indicates strong confidence in several key contenders. At Ffos Las, the chasing debutant Rosscahill (2.58) has been heavily backed, as has the well-regarded Crown Office (2.50) at Leicester. At Wolverhampton, He’s A Gentleman (8.00) and Simiyann (7.00) have seen significant market support. Conversely, notable market drifters include Dixie Mafia (1.28 Ffos Las) and Arctic Fox (3.10 Catterick).
Several key non-runners will significantly impact their respective races. The withdrawal of Truly Special from the 1.40 at Catterick removes a key player, while the absence of Beccadelli from the 2.50 at Leicester clears the path for other fancied runners. All information should be assessed in the context of the challenging ground conditions and late market movements.
——————————————————————————–
Catterick Racecourse Analysis
Ground: Soft
1.10 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (5f)
The Spotlight verdict highlights significant uncertainty due to the ground, stating, “None of the seven runners have tackled soft ground yet so this doesn’t look a race to be getting carried away with.”
• Primary Selection: STAR NOIR
◦ Analysis: Has achieved the most of the runners and is poised to win at the fourth attempt. Showed his best form when “chasing home a 78-rated rival at Redcar six weeks ago (5f, good).” A repeat of that performance gives him “leading claims.”
◦ Ratings: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (13/8 odds) alongside Control Room.
• Other Contenders:
◦ North West Gal (Second Choice in some sources): Made a “pleasing start to her career” when third at Leicester. Expected to be “more clued up today” but there is a question mark over her appreciation of soft ground.
◦ Luck Money (Spotlight Second Choice): Showed promise on debut and is considered “open to the greater progress” of the Tim Easterby runners.
◦ Control Room: Improved at the third attempt to finish second at Bath on good to soft ground. Rated by TIMEWISE (4/1).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Star Noir | M & D Easterby | Billy Garritty | 5-4 | 71 | 70 | 83 |
| North West Gal | J & S Quinn | Jason Hart | 2-1 | – | 50 | 82 |
| Control Room | R Cowell | George Wood | 11-2 | 65 | 55 | 79 |
| Luck Money | T Easterby | David Allan | 10-1 | – | 37 | 68 |
1.40 Download The Raceday Ready App Nursery Handicap (6f)
Key Update: Truly Special, the Spotlight’s primary selection, is a NON-RUNNER. Long Shot is also a non-runner.
• Spotlight Verdict (Revised): The original verdict favoured Truly Special, noting her pedigree and creditable last race. With her withdrawal, attention turns to the other mentioned contenders.
• Key Contenders:
◦ Gunalt Wavelength: Has been “threatening to win a minor nursery” and can go well in first-time cheekpieces. She is a market mover (11/8 to 10/11) and top-rated by TIMEWISE (15/8).
◦ Powernap: May benefit from the 6f trip but was “well held in her one run on ground slower than good.”
• Market Intelligence: Grey Horizon has been backed in from 5/1 to 9/4.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Gunalt Wavelength | M & D Easterby | Billy Garritty | 6-4 | 60 | 58 | 64 |
| Powernap | Miss J Bedi | Dougie Costello | 4-1 | 55 | 43 | 62 |
| Grey Horizon | R Fahey | Oisin Orr | 8-1 | 53 | 46 | 63 |
2.10 Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (1m4f)
The verdict notes that “Most of these have something to prove in one way or another.”
• Primary Selection: ARRANGE
◦ Analysis: Has become well handicapped, has won at the course, and has winning form on soft ground. Preference is given as she has “dropped 5lb below her last winning mark.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Gibside: Also well handicapped with course and soft ground form, but there is a question of whether the trip will be “too sharp.” He is shortlisted and rated by TIMEWISE (4/1).
◦ Nightsinwhitesatin: Unexposed but has a “question mark against him up in trip… especially if the ground remains soft.” Rated by TIMEWISE (9/4).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Arrange | M Todhunter | Mark Winn | 5-1 | 78 | 75 | 92 |
| Gibside | T Easterby | David Allan | 9-4 | 77 | 72 | 92 |
| Nightsinwhitesatin | E Bethell | Archie Young (5) | 7-4 | 77 | 80 | 87 |
2.40 Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (7f)
• Primary Selection: AHAMOMENT
◦ Analysis: His hat-trick bid was halted on good ground last time, but he had “previously twice won easily on testing ground.” He is respected back down in grade.
◦ Ratings & Market: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (9/2) and is a market mover (3/1 to 9/4).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Vince Le Prince (Second Choice): Has gained three of his five wins over C&D, including two on soft ground. He is the “pick of the stable’s three runners” and has been backed in from 7/2 to 5/2.
◦ Kirkdale: An unexposed C&D winner on soft ground who looks best of the rest, now fitted with blinkers.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Ahamoment | D & N Barron | William Pyle (3) | 100-30 | 70 | 63 | 75 |
| Vince Le Prince | T Easterby | David Allan | 7-2 | 67 | 80 | 80 |
| Kirkdale | E Bethell | Archie Young (5) | 3-1 | 70 | 62 | 77 |
3.10 racingtv.com Handicap (2m)
• Primary Selection: BOLLIN NEIL
◦ Analysis: Taken to complete a hat-trick, as the 9yo “arrives in super form in staying races on this track.” He is up a total of 7lb, making it a tougher assignment but he “still has pretty strong claims.”
◦ Ratings: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (2/1).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Tarbat Ness (Second Choice): Last year’s winner (off a 5lb lower mark) who could repeat if “tuned up” after a break. Rated by TIMEWISE (4/1).
◦ Ebony Maw & Cold Henry: Both are previous winners of this race. Cold Henry has seen some market support (17/2 to 9/2).
◦ Arctic Fox: A notable market drifter, with odds lengthening from 11/4 to 7/1.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Bollin Neil | T Easterby | David Allan | 9-4 | 59 | 51 | 65 |
| Tarbat Ness | J Berry | Gina Mangan | 5-1 | 56 | 55 | 64 |
| Ebony Maw | Ewan Whillans | Jason Hart | 6-1 | 58 | 62 | 68 |
| Cold Henry | Sara Ender | Joanna Mason | 10-1 | 50 | 45 | 49 |
3.40 Champions Full Gallop On ITV Handicap (6f)
• Primary Selection: MONSIEUR KODI
◦ Analysis: Had a “wide trip when a close fourth here ten days ago” and the jockey’s 7lb claim is seen as “fine value.” He is considered “more appealing than many.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Station X: A strong candidate who “won’t be easy to peg back if in the same form as at Doncaster on Friday.”
◦ The Good Biscuit: “Impressed at Pontefract last week and is respected under a penalty.” Rated by TIMEWISE (11/4).
◦ Fiscal Policy: Rated by TIMEWISE (5/1) but is a market drifter (6/1 to 11/1).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Monsieur Kodi | R Fahey | Ethan Tindall (7) | 7-1 | 73 | 83 | 86 |
| Station X | B Smart | Harrison Shaw | 5-2 | 80 | 86 | 89 |
| The Good Biscuit | Mrs R Carr | Joanna Mason | 3-1 | 75 | 79 | 89 |
4.10 Jump Season Starts 21st November Handicap (6f)
• Primary Selection (Nap): CROCODILE POWER
◦ Analysis: He is “back off the same mark as when winning this race last year and is taken to repeat that success.” He has shown enough this year to suggest the ability remains and is of “obvious interest.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Rain Cap (Second Choice): Has won four times at the track and “has to be respected.”
◦ Emerald Army: Is 2lb lower than when winning over C&D on soft ground in July and “could bounce back.”
◦ Canaria Queen & Beerwah: Both rated by TIMEWISE but are significant market drifters.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Crocodile Power | S Spencer | Dale Swift | 11-4 | 60 | 57 | 73 |
| Rain Cap | J Riches | Sean Kirrane | 8-1 | 52 | 69 | 72 |
| Emerald Army | Declan Carroll | Zak Wheatley (3) | 7-1 | 56 | 66 | 69 |
——————————————————————————–
Ffos Las Racecourse Analysis
Ground: Soft
1.28 DragonBet Supporting British Racing Maiden Hurdle (Div I) (2m4f)
• Primary Selection: JACK BLACK
◦ Analysis: It might “pay to give another chance” to this horse, who “clearly wasn’t himself on his only appearance last season but was a creditable third on his hurdling debut at Newbury in February 2024.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Rated by TIMEWISE (8/1). Has drifted slightly in the market (9/2 to 13/2).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Kalkbrenner (Feared Most): An Irish point winner who made a “promising bumper debut” and is a leading contender on hurdling debut. He is a market mover (9/4 to 11/8).
◦ Swindon Village & Lon Chaney: Both “need a close look.”
◦ Dixie Mafia: A major market drifter, with odds moving from 7/1 to 25/1.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Jack Black | D Skelton | Harry Skelton | 4-1 | – | – | 115 |
| Kalkbrenner | B Pauling | Ben Jones | 5-2 | – | – | – |
| Swindon Village | C Longsdon | David Bass | 7-1 | – | – | – |
1.58 DragonBet Supporting British Racing Maiden Hurdle (Div II) (2m4f)
Key Update: Tiddesley Wood, rated by TIMEWISE, is a NON-RUNNER.
• Primary Selection: STARZAND
◦ Analysis: A point winner who “won a bumper in smooth style here in March and could have a bright future at this new discipline.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Big Cadillac: Unbeaten in a point and bumper, this Dan Skelton-trained horse is an “interesting recruit to hurdling.” Rated by TIMEWISE (5/2).
◦ Gee Force Flyer, Romany King, Jury’s In: All won their sole point in Ireland.
◦ Dig Deep: Changed hands for £120,000 after his second in an Irish point.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Starzand | P Hobbs & J White | Sean Houlihan | 2-1 | – | – | – |
| Big Cadillac | D Skelton | Harry Skelton | 4-1 | – | – | – |
| Gee Force Flyer | O Murphy | Sean Bowen | 7-2 | – | – | – |
2.28 Country Land And Business Association Handicap Hurdle (2m)
• Primary Selection (Nap): SURREY LORD
◦ Analysis: “Shaped pretty well on his recent seasonal/handicap debut and probably still has a bit more to offer.” The slower ground could be suitable. He is a market mover (8/1 to 6/1).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Clondaw Fame (Second Choice): “Ran well in defeat over C&D on his recent stable debut.” Rated by TIMEWISE (9/2).
◦ Baikal: A recent C&D winner, but “confidence in him would be much higher on better ground.” Rated by TIMEWISE (3/1).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Surrey Lord | T Lawes | Kevin Brogan | 7-1 | 99 | 91 | 104 |
| Clondaw Fame | Mrs A Thorpe | James Bowen | 7-2 | 100 | 97 | 99 |
| Baikal | G Harris | Joe Anderson (3) | 4-1 | 93 | 100 | 98 |
2.58 Rees Richards & Partners, Land Agents Handicap Chase (3m1½f)
Key Update: Dazzlelikethis is a NON-RUNNER.
• Primary Selection: ROSSCAHILL
◦ Analysis: The one who “could have considerable potential is chasing debutant ROSSCAHILL, who impressed on his Irish point debut in 2023 and was 2-3 over hurdles here last season.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Rated by TIMEWISE (5/1) and is a significant market mover (5/2 to 6/5).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Support Act: Showed promise on his chasing debut at Newbury and “may yet build upon” that run.
◦ Pimlico Point: Returned to form in June and is on a workable mark.
◦ Holokea: Rated by TIMEWISE (9/2) but has drifted in the market (3/1 to 11/2).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Rosscahill | N & W Twiston-Davies | Sam Twiston-Davies | 7-2 | 120 | – | – |
| Support Act | T Lawes | Kevin Brogan | 10-1 | 109 | 119 | 126 |
| Pimlico Point | K Lee | Conor O’Farrell | 13-2 | 121 | 107 | 125 |
3.28 Best Odds Guaranteed On DragonBet Handicap Chase (2m3½f)
• Primary Selection: TOMMYS CHARM
◦ Analysis: “Went close at Wincanton in January and is probably still on a good mark after a 3lb rise.” The drop back in trip is seen as manageable.
• Other Contenders:
◦ Dangerous Touch (Second Choice): A C&D hurdle winner who has “plenty of scope for progress over fences this season.” He is a market mover (4/1 to 11/4).
◦ Donnacha: Was in excellent form when last seen, winning twice. Rated by TIMEWISE (7/2) but is a market drifter.
◦ Filanderer: Won three consecutive chases last season, including over C&D.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Tommys Charm | K Lee | Conor O’Farrell | 6-1 | 120 | 83 | 132 |
| Dangerous Touch | O Murphy | Sean Bowen | 5-1 | 112 | – | – |
| Donnacha | N Hawke | James Davies | 4-1 | 128 | 115 | 133 |
3.58 DragonBet The Independent Online Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle (2m4f)
Key Update: Moorland Rambler and Lady Harriett are NON-RUNNERS.
• Primary Selection: THE GREY MAN
◦ Analysis: “Looks worth persevering with over this trip and, freshened up, he looks capable of producing better.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Kalista Love (Second Choice): A C&D winner in April who “enters calculations.” Rated by TIMEWISE (8/1).
◦ Hellfire Princess & Boston Joe: Others who could be involved.
◦ Bank On Frank: A significant market mover, with odds shortening from 10/1 to 4/1.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| The Grey Man | Harriet Dickin | James Best | 10-1 | 103 | 91 | 106 |
| Kalista Love | T Symonds | Ben Poste | 3-1 | 104 | 89 | 105 |
| Bank On Frank | B Pauling | Ben Jones | 12-1 | 102 | 84 | 99 |
4.30 DragonBet BOG And Extra Places National Hunt Flat Race (2m)
• Primary Selection: A KING OF MAGIC
◦ Analysis: “Was very green at Kempton and therefore did well to finish close up behind respected opposition.” That race’s form looks useful. He is a market mover (9/4 to 13/8).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Hopeless Dancer (Solid Alternative): Has shown consistent form and “won’t be far away.” Rated by TIMEWISE (11/4).
◦ Old Habits, Turbo Boy, Big John Ollie: Also of interest.
◦ Valenciaga: Rated by TIMEWISE (5/1) but has drifted from 13/2 to 11/1.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | RPR |
| A King Of Magic | P Nicholls | Freddie Keighley (7) | 5-2 | 115 |
| Hopeless Dancer | N & W Twiston-Davies | James Turner (5) | 7-2 | 113 |
| Big John Ollie | D Skelton | Tristan Durrell (3) | 4-1 | – |
——————————————————————————–
Leicester Racecourse Analysis
Ground: Soft
1.20 AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap (1m4f)
• Primary Selection: FEN TIGER
◦ Analysis: Won this race in 2022 and “he’ll enjoy the ground.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Tightly Bound: A handicap newcomer with a tongue-tie fitted. Needs checking in the betting.
◦ Just Adair: “Would have obvious claims if handling conditions.” Rated by TIMEWISE (11/4).
◦ Eagle One & Fiddlers Green: Next on the list.
◦ Tuba: Worth a market check for new trainer Fergal O’Brien and has been backed from 9/1 into 5/1.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Fen Tiger | J & S Birkett | Mr Jack Lander | 7-1 | 48 | 44 | 57 |
| Just Adair | J & A J O’Neill | Mr Jude Fernandes | 3-1 | 52 | 47 | 56 |
| Tightly Bound | G Boughey | Mr Henry Callan | 4-1 | 62 | 3 | 50 |
1.50 British EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (6f)
• Primary Selection: FRANTIC
◦ Analysis: In a modest race, a chance is taken on this newcomer who is “out of a Listed winner.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Polka Blue (Second Choice): Brings “leading form claims if handling today’s ground.” Rated by TIMEWISE (11/4) but has drifted from 7/4 to 9/4.
◦ Fermain: Brings some of the best form and returning to 6f is “probably a good thing.” Has drifted from 7/2 to 7/1.
◦ Blindfold Games: Has seen significant market support, shortening from 13/2 to 11/4.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Frantic | E Walker | Kieran Shoemark | 100-30 | – | – | – |
| Polka Blue | C Hills | Ben Sanderson | 2-1 | 72 | 43 | 81 |
| Fermain | G Boughey | Grace McEntee | 3-1 | – | 59 | 81 |
2.20 Happy Heavenly Birthday Sharon McManus Nursery Handicap (7f)
• Primary Selection: CALYPSO BREEZE
◦ Analysis: Won with “something to spare” on handicap debut at Wolverhampton. Although up 7lb and on different ground, she “looks promising.” Has drifted from 7/4 to 100/30.
◦ Ratings: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (5/2).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Diamond Ali (Second Choice): “Shaped quite nicely in fourth” on his handicap debut here over 6f and should be capable of better now up in trip.
◦ Spartacus Warrior: Can be on the premises again.
◦ Giles Glory: Has been backed from 15/2 into 7/2.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Calypso Breeze | D Quinn | Kieran O’Neill | 2-1 | 52 | 27 | 57 |
| Diamond Ali | J & S Birkett | Dylan Hogan | 9-2 | 49 | 44 | 55 |
| Spartacus Warrior | T Coyle & K Wood | Tom Eaves | 13-2 | 49 | 60 | 59 |
2.50 Happy Birthday Richard Clowes EBF Maiden Stakes (6f)
Key Update: Beccadelli and Lady V are NON-RUNNERS.
• Primary Selection: CROWN OFFICE
◦ Analysis: Preference is for this horse “in the hope that he can behave better in the stalls this time.” He “clearly has the ability to win a race of this nature.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (2/1) and is a major market mover (11/8 to 8/11).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Marcellinus: Showed good speed at Windsor and “looks to have a future.”
◦ Langstone: A newcomer worth a market check.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | RPR |
| Crown Office | W Haggas | Cieren Fallon | 5-4 | 85 |
| Marcellinus | T Dascombe | Pierre-Louis Jamin | 3-1 | 78 |
| Langstone | Clive Cox | Rob Hornby | 4-1 | – |
3.20 Happy Birthday Hamish Claiming Stakes (7f)
• Primary Selection: AMUSED
◦ Analysis: “Well suited by this C&D when coming home strongly to take a close second in a seller last time out and is likely to appreciate this more testing ground.”
◦ Ratings: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (3/1).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Forever My Prince: Ran a cracker on his latest 7f attempt without headgear and “may well be back on song.”
◦ Dapper Gee Gee: Has had recent stalls issues but should be competitive if taking part. Has drifted significantly from 9/2 to 10/1.
◦ Joycean Way: A reliable option.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Amused | J Boyle | Kieran Shoemark | 4-1 | 75 | 73 | 78 |
| Forever My Prince | E Houghton | Charles Bishop | 3-1 | 70 | 76 | 82 |
| Good Banter | J Candlish | Lewis Edmunds | 11-4 | 80 | 70 | 79 |
3.50 Stevie Stretch Bookmaker 60 Today Handicap (1m)
Key Update: Atlantis Blue is a NON-RUNNER.
• Primary Selection: SIERRA BLANCA
◦ Analysis: “There should be a big run in SIERRA BLANCA who ran a good race last time at Windsor behind one who went in again at the weekend.” Handles the ground and should go well. He is a market mover (15/2 to 9/2).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Darvel (Second Choice): Remains in form and on a competitive mark.
◦ Milteye: Very consistent for his yard. Rated by TIMEWISE (9/2).
◦ Carnival Day: Usually gives his running but 1m2f is more his trip. Rated by TIMEWISE (11/2).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Sierra Blanca | M Meade | Harry Davies | 7-1 | 79 | 77 | 95 |
| Darvel | P Chamings | Charles Bishop | 8-1 | 75 | 75 | 86 |
| Milteye | H Bethell | Sean D Bowen | 6-1 | 77 | 81 | 87 |
4.20 Jumping’s Back @leicesterraces Monday 17th November Handicap (5f)
• Primary Selection (Nap): VINCE L’AMOUR
◦ Analysis: The recent Musselburgh winner “should be even happier back on this softer ground and he remains well treated.” Looks a key player up 4lb.
◦ Ratings: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (7/2).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Asinara: Consistent filly who “always seems to be on the scene.” Has drifted slightly in the betting.
◦ Marching Mac: Last year’s easy winner who is still reasonably treated despite a penalty for a recent win.
◦ Edgewater Drive: One to consider after a wind operation.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Vince L’Amour | T Easterby | Lewis Edmunds | 4-1 | 75 | 78 | 87 |
| Marching Mac | Phil McEntee | Grace McEntee | 7-2 | 79 | 78 | 85 |
| Asinara | C Hills | Rob Hornby | 5-2 | 72 | 81 | 85 |
——————————————————————————–
Wolverhampton Racecourse Analysis
Surface: All-Weather (Standard)
5.00 Join The Midnite Movement Apprentice Handicap (6f)
Key Update: Victors Dream is a NON-RUNNER.
• Primary Selection: VON KROLOCK
◦ Analysis: An “intriguing runner” on his first start for a stable known for reviving horses. He ran well in competitive sprints in Ireland off higher marks. A “fascinating contender.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Under Curfew: A key player in a race lacking depth. Rated by TIMEWISE (4/1).
◦ Red Walls & My Boy Jack: Both capable of a prominent showing.
◦ Black Cab: Well drawn and worth a market check after a wind op.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | RPR |
| Von Krolock | J Owen | Ashley Lewis (5) | 2-1 | 51 | 67 |
| Under Curfew | A Carroll | Elizabeth Gale (5) | 4-1 | 48 | 66 |
| Autumn Angel | A Carroll | Matthew Lloyd Slater (7) | 8-1 | 55 | 66 |
5.30 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Maiden Stakes (6f)
• Primary Selection: HOSTILITY
◦ Analysis: After some near misses, “perhaps this is where the consistent HOSTILITY can finally come good.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Top-rated by TIMEWISE (11/8) but has drifted from 11/10 to 7/4.
• Other Contenders:
◦ Coronado King: A market mover (2/1 to 8/11) on his stable debut for Archie Watson, it would be “no surprise to see [him] produce a better effort.”
◦ Peregrine Falcon: Would be a player if returning to her best form from April.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | RPR |
| Hostility | D O’Meara | Jason Watson | 10-11 | 76 | 87 |
| Peregrine Falcon | P Morris | Billy Loughnane | 3-1 | 70 | 87 |
| Coronado King | A Watson | Hollie Doyle | 2-1 | – | – |
6.00 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap (6f)
• Primary Selection: MARIS ANGEL
◦ Analysis: “Showed a willing attitude when sneaking up the far rail to win here ten days ago” and is a “major player.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Rated by TIMEWISE (11/4) and is a market mover (100/30 to 5/2).
• Other Contenders:
◦ After Love: Has “the potential for better.” Top-rated by TIMEWISE (9/4).
◦ Merapi: Is “better than she showed at Newcastle last time.”
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Maris Angel | F McSharry | Conor Orr (3) | 11-4 | 66 | 70 | 78 |
| After Love | G Boughey | Billy Loughnane | 7-4 | 69 | – | 76 |
| Rye | A Carroll | Hollie Doyle | 9-2 | 61 | 68 | 75 |
6.30 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Nursery Handicap (6f)
Key Update: Three non-runners including American Flight.
• Primary Selection: MOIRA EXPRESS
◦ Analysis: “Put in good late work in a 5f nursery here three weeks ago and she could find the improvement required now that she is back up to 6f.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Quantum Power (Second Choice): Represents a drop in class and “still has some potential in handicaps.”
◦ Green Dame: Bred to be better than her mark and has seen significant market support (9/2 to 13/8).
◦ Nifty: Rated by TIMEWISE and is a market mover (12/1 to 5/1).
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | RPR |
| Moira Express | R Varian | Ray Dawson | 7-2 | 72 | 79 |
| Quantum Power | T Clover | Jack Callan (5) | 12-1 | 75 | 79 |
| Green Dame | G Boughey | Tommie Jakes (5) | 5-1 | 71 | 81 |
7.00 Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (2m½f)
• Primary Selection (Nap): SIMIYANN
◦ Analysis: “Twice won easily here (1m6f/16.5f) around this time last year and is back off the same mark as when successful at Ffos Las… makes plenty of appeal.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Rated by TIMEWISE (7/1) and is a huge market mover from 11/2 into 7/4.
• Other Contenders:
◦ Mission Possible (Main Threat): Unexposed filly who ran her best race last time out. Rated by TIMEWISE (6/5).
◦ Saratoga Gold: Extended his losing run to 22 last time but “shouldn’t be far away.”
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | RPR |
| Simiyann | I Williams | Billy Loughnane | 11-2 | 68 | 73 |
| Mission Possible | W Haggas | P J McDonald | 11-8 | 68 | 74 |
| Saratoga Gold | K Frost | Hollie Doyle | 5-2 | 68 | 73 |
7.30 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Fillies’ Novice Stakes (1m1½f)
• Primary Selection: ARRIETTY
◦ Analysis: From the powerful Joseph O’Brien yard in Ireland, she “showed more than enough promise on her Thurles debut to suggest a race like this was within reach.”
• Other Contenders:
◦ Tryst & Melody De Vega: Both finished runner-up on their second starts. Tryst is a market mover.
◦ Summer In Paris: Debut race form is working out well. Top-rated by TIMEWISE (7/2).
◦ Carnival Queen: A well-bred Godolphin newcomer worth a market check.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | RPR |
| Arrietty | J P O’Brien | Ray Dawson | 4-1 | 73 |
| Tryst | G Boughey | Billy Loughnane | 2-1 | 91 |
| Summer In Paris | J Owen | Pat Cosgrave | 4-1 | 89 |
8.00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (7f)
• Primary Selection: HE’S A GENTLEMAN
◦ Analysis: “Finished a good second here last time (form franked) and remains 2lb lower than when winning over C&D in January.” A “major player.”
◦ Ratings & Market: Rated by TIMEWISE (7/2) and is a significant market mover (9/4 to 11/10).
• Other Contenders:
◦ Captain Parma (Main Danger): Unexposed and progressive 3yo who won last time out.
◦ Novak: A course specialist, but a bigger concern is that he “enjoys coming off a strong pace and that doesn’t seem likely here.”
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| He’s A Gentleman | H Palmer | Billy Loughnane | 11-4 | 72 | 66 | 86 |
| Captain Parma | J Owen | Pat Cosgrave | 11-8 | 73 | – | 84 |
| Novak | I Jardine | Cara Tuke (7) | 7-2 | 75 | 71 | 81 |
8.30 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (1m1½f)
• Primary Selection: AGE OF TIME
◦ Analysis: “Bounced right back to form when runner-up at Kempton last month.” Still high on the list with first-time cheekpieces.
◦ Market: A significant market mover from 11/4 to 11/8.
• Other Contenders:
◦ Break Point (Interesting Contender): Returns to the Flat off a basement mark having run well over hurdles for Olly Murphy.
◦ Have You A Minute (Second Choice): C&D winner who is shortlisted.
◦ Fighting Queen: Form of her latest third here has worked out well.
| Horse | Trainer | Jockey | SP | OR | TS | RPR |
| Age Of Time | I Williams | Billy Loughnane | 4-1 | 59 | 64 | 71 |
| Break Point | O Murphy | Hollie Doyle | 9-4 | 45 | – | 64 |
| Have You A Minute | T Tate | P J McDonald | 9-2 | 54 | – | 76 |
| Fighting Queen | J Ponting | Robert Havlin | 12-1 | 53 | 75 | 73 |
TimeWise Chronicles 
Leave a comment