This analysis details the Bath races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses in each race (as specified in the Ratings Report), summarising their form and comments, providing the Spotlight Verdict, outlining race statistics, and assessing the top contenders’ chances.
12:55 Bath Rugby Nursery Handicap (Class 6) 1m
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Betty Lemon (2yo)
- Takeitorleaveit (IRE) (2yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Betty Lemon (7884 574): This filly ran better than the bare result suggests last time at Brighton (1m, good to soft) when beaten about 8l, as she didn’t enjoy the clearest of runs. She could easily be a factor on her nursery debut.
- Takeitorleaveit (IRE) (7075 7871): He justified strong support on his nursery debut over the course and distance (C&D) last month. This win was his first run after being gelded and fitted with new cheekpieces, and also his first run on soft ground. Although he won narrowly, a 3lb rise is considered manageable.
Spotlight Verdict:
Takeitorleaveit and Thisonesforyou are respected after showing improved form to win on their nursery debuts, and preference is for the former, who is proven on the track and on this ground. However, BETTY LEMON ran better last time than the bare result may imply and she rates a likely improver now sent into nurseries.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo horses.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 12-1 5th fav. (No broader statistics available).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Jonathan Portman 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Betty Lemon: Strengths: Expected to improve significantly now moving into nurseries. Her last run indicated hidden ability despite the distance beaten. Weaknesses: Remains a maiden. Must adapt to the nursery grade effectively. Suitability: Likely improver on nursery debut.
- Takeitorleaveit (IRE): Strengths: Proven winner over C&D on soft ground. Showed improvement following gear/procedure changes (gelding/cheekpieces). The penalty (3lb) is assessed as manageable. Weaknesses: Won narrowly last time.
1:25 David Cole Memorial EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 4) 1m
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Mohaab (2yo)
- Pantiles Gift (2yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Mohaab (8077 674349): He is a six-race maiden who has failed in two nurseries already. He will experience slow ground for the first time. Generally, others are preferred.
- Pantile’s Gift (7950 732): This horse is heading firmly in the right direction. He nearly managed to make all over C&D (good to soft) three weeks ago, finishing second ahead of Heroics and Solar Phoenix. He holds every chance in this event.
Spotlight Verdict:
A few to consider. Second choice Pantile’s Gift nearly made all here three weeks ago but HEROICS and Solar Phoenix both shaped with considerable promise in behind on their debuts. Yorkies Dream has seen the form of her debut effort franked, and there’s also Arc Ole Ole and Alkumatic Jo Jo to consider.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo horses. (No specific breakdown provided).
- Fate of Favourites: None provided.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): J Portman 19-131 (W-R), 2-11 (Going W-R).
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Mohaab: Strengths: His inclusion in the top two ratings suggests potential quality based on underlying figures. Weaknesses: Poor recent form (9th latest). Six-race maiden status and previous nursery failures are significant hurdles. Untried on expected slow ground. Suitability: Highly questionable given recent performance and lack of suitability to conditions.
- Pantile’s Gift: Strengths: Progressing well (“heading firmly in the right direction”). Excellent C&D form, nearly winning recently. Expected to be highly competitive (“every chance”). Weaknesses: Was caught close to the line on his last C&D run.
1:55 BetWright Bet The Wright Way Handicap (Class 5) 1m 2f 37y
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Albus Anne (6yo)
- Dancing Tiger (IRE) (3yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Albus Anne (7080 3-7321): She has excellent course form (“Loves it here”). She easily beat nine rivals on her latest course visit in September (1m, heavy). She stays this distance, and the 5lb rise received is considered mild. Always a threat at this course.
- Dancing Tiger (IRE) (7184 575213): He looked comfortable on heavy ground when decisively defeating Platinum Prince to win at Goodwood (1m2f). Although well held when finishing third at Sandown (1m2f, soft) last time, that was a Class 4 event. He remains of definite interest.
Spotlight Verdict:
Competitive despite the smallish field. DANCING TIGER (nap) looked on the up when beating Platinum Prince at Goodwood and his subsequent third at Sandown was in a better race. Albus Anne (second choice) is always to be feared at this venue and others with chances are last year’s winner Mighty Quiet, Brighton specialist Shalfa and King’s Castle.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-6, 4yo+ 0-0-6.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 25-1 11th fav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Harry Charlton 1-0-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Albus Anne: Strengths: Exceptional course affinity. Proven handling of heavy ground and ability to stay the distance. Carries a manageable weight increase. Weaknesses: Needs to replicate 1m form over this slightly longer trip.
- Dancing Tiger (IRE): Strengths: Highly effective on heavy ground, demonstrated by a decisive win over a key rival. Showed good form in a higher Class 4 race subsequently. Rated nap selection by Spotlight. Weaknesses: Was well held when third at Sandown.
2:25 BetWright Bangers N’Cash Handicap (Class 6) 1m
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Equion (7yo)
- Foreseen (4yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Equion (7724 -66084): This veteran won over 1m on soft and heavy ground last year. His best performance this campaign was four weeks ago, placing fourth at Nottingham (good to soft). Conditions are ideal, making him interesting off a good handicap mark. Spotlight selection (“will love the ground and he’s well handicapped”).
- Foreseen (8075 343453): Ran well when coming from off the pace at Kempton recently (1m) when fitted with a first-time hood. His French victory was achieved on heavy ground. Although considered a contender, it is surprising that the headgear has been left off for this race.
Spotlight Verdict:
Cases can be made for a few. EQUION ran better last time at Nottingham, will love the ground and he’s well handicapped. Gone Rogue (second choice) has to be feared, as do recent course winners Lovely Jubly and Bobby Dassler.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: The race is restricted to 4yo+ horses. (No specific breakdown provided).
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 7/2fav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None provided.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Equion: Strengths: Proven on expected slow/heavy ground conditions. Runs off a favourable handicap mark. Showed recent promising form (4th at Nottingham). Weaknesses: Has not secured a win this season.
- Foreseen: Strengths: Proven winner on heavy ground (in France). Ran well recently (3rd at Kempton). Weaknesses: The absence of the hood, which was successful last time, is surprising and potentially detrimental.
2:55 BeatWright: Beat The Wright Way Handicap (Class 5) 5f 160y
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Kiss And Run (4yo)
- Marching Mac (IRE) (4yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Kiss And Run (8300 944022): She has not won for a while but has been runner-up in her last two starts. She narrowly failed to catch Marching Mac over C&D most recently. She benefits from a 10lb pull in weights with Marching Mac today and is a major player.
- Marching Mac (IRE) (8545 928011): Gained his first win of the season when just beating Kiss And Run over C&D recently. Followed up at Leicester on Tuesday (5f, soft), where the front two dominated. He now carries a double penalty which may hinder his chances.
Spotlight Verdict:
In another stride or two KISS AND RUN would have mastered Marching Mac here ten days ago and the selection is weighted to reverse those placings. I Need Your Love ran well off this mark at Redcar on Monday, while Hierarchy, Bonnita and Radio Star have to enter the equation.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-3, 4yo+ 1-0-5.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 6-1 4th fav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None provided.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Kiss And Run: Strengths: In great form (two recent seconds). Heavily favoured on weights to reverse placings with Marching Mac (10lb pull). Major player and Spotlight’s selection. Weaknesses: Long losing run (hasn’t won for a while).
- Marching Mac (IRE): Strengths: Current winning form (two consecutive wins). Recent C&D winner. Weaknesses: Burdened by a double penalty, which “could find him out”. Expected to be beaten by Kiss And Run based on weight dynamics.
3:25 Lambert Smith Hampton Bath Handicap (Div I) (Class 6) 5f 160y
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Cameley Days (3yo)
- Mister Sandman (3yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Cameley Days (8343 08V421): She secured her first win on her seventh attempt, battling effectively to beat an odds-on rival in a Yarmouth handicap (6f, good to soft) last week. She is a key player and is open to further progress under a penalty for her new yard.
- Mister Sandman (6737 964354): While 0-7 for his previous trainer, he has hit the frame in three handicaps, including a close fourth on the AW at Lingfield (6f) last month. He is making his stable debut, requiring market attention, though his capability on slow ground remains unproven.
Spotlight Verdict:
My Genghis was only just caught on his Chepstow reappearance in June and has claims if he can repeat that form after another break. The Moores have two interesting contenders in Bated Breeze and Mister Sandman, while Malham Tarn Cove also enters the reckoning along with All Too Beautiful. However, preference is for CAMELEY DAYS, who made the breakthrough when beating a clear second at Yarmouth last week and is a big player again under a penalty.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-0-2, 4yo+ 1-2-8.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 11-4 2ndfav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tony Carroll 1-0-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Cameley Days: Strengths: Recent winner, demonstrating battling qualities. Open to further improvement for her current trainer. Rated Spotlight’s preference. Weaknesses: Carries a penalty.
- Mister Sandman: Strengths: Placed recently, suggesting ability to compete in this grade. Making debut for a respected yard (Gary and Josh Moore). Weaknesses: Yet to win (0-7). Unproven on slow ground.
3:55 Lambert Smith Hampton Bath Handicap (Div II) (Class 6) 5f 160y
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Roman Spring (IRE) (5yo)
- Up The Anti (IRE) (3yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Roman Spring (IRE) (8164 503142): Finished second to a thriving winner at Brighton two weeks ago (6f, good to firm). Both of his career wins (from 37 starts) have come at Brighton. He likely prefers quicker ground than the soft conditions expected here.
- Up The Anti (IRE) (7921 66P228): Was a winning miler for her former stable. Her recent form includes second-place finishes around 1m in September, but she faded over 6f at Nottingham last time, finishing behind Tommytwohoots.
Spotlight Verdict:
With no concerns about the ground and having returned to form with a close fourth last time at Nottingham, TOMMYTWOHOOTS appeals most. Roman Spring would perhaps prefer faster ground but he can handle softish conditions are he’s in better form than many. A back-to-form Mary Of Modena would be involved.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-0-2, 4yo+ 1-2-8.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 11-4 2ndfav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tony Carroll 1-0-1, Joe Ponting 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Roman Spring (IRE): Strengths: Currently in good form (recent second). Can handle softish conditions. Weaknesses: Best form likely requires quicker ground.
- Up The Anti (IRE): Strengths: Previous miling winner. High TimeWise rating suggests underlying ability. Weaknesses: Recent efforts over shorter trips have seen her fade, and she was well beaten by Tommytwohoots last time.
4:25 BetWright Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 6) 5f 10y
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Havechatma (5yo)
- Sub Thirteen (4yo)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Havechatma (7542 365481): She recorded her sixth AW victory at Southwell (5f) last month. She is 0-10 on turf, but returns 4lb lower than her AW mark in this sphere and showed fair turf form at Windsor in August. Not ruled out.
- Sub Thirteen (7953 6-6461): This four-time turf winner prefers good or slower ground, including heavy. He secured his second win in five starts at Bath recently (5.6f) off a reduced mark. Despite a 4lb rise, he remains well treated based on old form, and this drop back in trip is suitable; he is considered a key player.
Spotlight Verdict:
Plenty have possibilities but the vote goes to SUB THIRTEEN, who is ideally suited by slow ground and made it 2-5 at Bath when scoring off a reduced mark three weeks ago. Lahina Bay, who was a close third in the mud over C&D ten days ago, is feared most ahead of Call Time and last month’s AW winner Havechatma. Sisters In The Sky has claims if this sets up for his closing style, while others who could be dangerous are Diamondsinthesand and Guiteau.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 4yo+ 1-2-9.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner in the sample form provided was 7/2fav.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Tony Carroll 1-0-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Havechatma: Strengths: High recent form (AW winner). Gets a 4lb weight advantage back on turf. Weaknesses: Historical turf record is 0-10.
- Sub Thirteen: Strengths: Perfectly suited by soft/slow ground. Proven course form (2-5 at Bath). Still well handicapped on old figures. Rated Spotlight’s selection. Weaknesses: Just incurred a 4lb penalty.
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