This response works through all the Chelmsford races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master (TWM) Top Two rated horses, summarising their details, and providing the required race analysis based solely on the sources provided.
4.45 Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK Restricted Maiden Stakes (Class 5) 6f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Reader (80)
- Afton Down (75)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Reader (2yo filly): Finished second of seven in a stronger race at Goodwood (6f, good) on her debut 18 days ago. She was green under pressure but shaped nicely. That form is yet to be tested, but she is considered more appealing than many.
- Afton Down (2yo colt): Showed improvement on his second start at Brighton two weeks ago (6f, good to firm), where he was only picked off by the winner close home. He was inclined to over-race that day. His debut at Wolverhampton suggested he was green and looked stretched by 7f. He is capable of better and could prove difficult to catch.
Spotlight Verdict:
South Coast Star is well bred for a filly starting out in a Band D maiden and she needs a close look in the betting but as things stand Reader and AFTON DOWN appeal most. The selection (Afton Down) has shaped with plenty of promise in his two starts and could take plenty of pegging back around here.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 243.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Marcus Tregoning (Reader’s trainer) has a record of 0-1-1 in this race.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Reader (TWM 80): Her primary strength is the high quality of her debut run in a stronger contest, despite showing greenness. Her weakness is that she is making her AW debut and is drawn in the widest stall (10). She is expected to improve from her first run.
- Afton Down (TWM 75): His strength lies in having already shown potential over 6f and demonstrating improvement, having been only narrowly beaten last time. His weakness is a tendency to over-race. He is assessed as the potential winner by the Spotlight.
5.15 Betfair Exchange Nursery Handicap (Class 6) 6f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Woody Y Fernandez (56)
- Miss Ayala (55)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Woody Y Fernandez (2yo colt): An eight-race maiden who has demonstrated some ability at a modest level. He finished fifth 13 days ago. He is fitted with a hood for the first time, with his usual tongue-tie left off. He holds each-way claims.
- Miss Ayala (2yo filly): She is the only winner in the field, having scored over 7f at this course last month. The form of that course win has worked out quite well for a low-grade nursery. She ran respectably last time (fifth) despite having a lot of use made of her from the widest stall. She has solid claims.
Spotlight Verdict:
Nursery newcomers Kuiama (second choice) and Far Too Fizzy both have the potential for better, while Oh So Perfect may appreciate the return to 6f and Woody Y Fernandez has already threatened in this sort of event. That said, MISS AYALA, the only winner in the field, looks the one to be on.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 156.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Woody Y Fernandez (TWM 56): His strength is his consistent form at this modest level, resulting in the highest TWM rating. His weakness is his status as an eight-race maiden, requiring new headgear (hood) to potentially spark improvement.
- Miss Ayala (TWM 55): Her strength is her proven winning ability at the course and the strength of that form. Her weaknesses include facing a drop back in trip to 6f, though this may not be detrimental. She is the most solid candidate and the Spotlight selection.
5.45 betting.betfair.com EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 5) 7f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Applesandpears (84)
- Bright City Lights (82)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Applesandpears (2yo filly): Finished second on her Leicester debut 16 days ago (6f, good), staying on well behind a useful winner. The extra furlong to 7f is considered a positive. She should be more clued up today and is a leading contender on her AW debut.
- Bright City Lights (2yo filly): Was too green on her Chester debut but was much more clued up when fourth of 13 at Southwell (7f) 23 days ago. She led in the straight there and was only headed in the final 110 yards. The form has been franked by rivals behind her, making her a key player.
Spotlight Verdict:
Applesandpears (second choice) and Perdy In Paris may be open to greater progress than Baandee amongst the once-raced fillies… BRIGHT CITY LIGHTS took a big step forward from her debut run when finishing fourth at Southwell 23 days ago and she could prove the answer this time.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites: None listed.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Applesandpears (TWM 84): Her strong debut performance and pedigree suggesting suitability for 7f are major strengths. Her primary unknown is her AW debut. She is viewed as highly likely to improve.
- Bright City Lights (TWM 82): Her strengths include proven ability over 7f on AW and the fact that her form has been franked. Her weakness was her greenness on debut. She has taken a big step forward and is the preferred Spotlight selection.
6.15 Bet At Your Best With Betfair Fillies’ Handicap (Class 4) 7f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Gaiety Musical (95)
- Fouette (95)
(Note: These two runners share the highest TWM Master Rating)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Gaiety Musical (4yo mare): She won four times at about a mile between January and April. A prominent racer, she has run some solid races in defeat since then, including over 7f at Southwell. She is rated 79.
- Fouette (3yo filly): Returned from 425 days off this month (23 days ago) to produce a stylish display to win a 7f Class 5 fillies’ handicap at Southwell by just over 1l. She won a 7f maiden last summer. She is up 6lb and faces stronger Class 4 opposition but still has potential after only four career starts. She is rated 78.
Spotlight Verdict:
…Al Joory and FOUETTE (nap) may be the pair to focus on. The selection steps up in class but her reappearance win at Southwell 23 days ago, her first run for 14 months, created a favourable impression.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: Runners aged 3yo, 4yo, and 8yo.
- Fate of Favourites: None listed.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Gaiety Musical (TWM 95): Her strengths are her consistency and proven winning form over AW and distance. Her weakness is the suspicion that she may prove vulnerable for win purposes at this level.
- Fouette (TWM 95): Her strength is her huge potential coming off a stylish win following a long layoff, creating a favourable impression. Her weaknesses include the 6lb rise and the step up in class to Class 4. She is the Spotlight nap selection.
6.45 ‘Timeform Sprint Series Qualifier’ Handicap (Class 6) 6f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Flowstate (74)
- Due Date (72)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Flowstate (4yo colt): Comes into the race on the back of two good runs in defeat. He was most recently second at Wolverhampton on Saturday, running into an improver. He is rated a solid contender.
- Due Date (5yo colt): Comes here in top form, having won three of his last five starts (including C&D). A 3lb rise should not prevent another big run, and he is well drawn.
Spotlight Verdict:
Due Date comes here chasing a hat-trick but he may have to give best to FLOWSTATE, another runner coming into the race at the top of his game.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: Runners aged 3yo, 4yo, 5yo, and 8yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 16.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Flowstate (TWM 74): His primary strength is his top current form including a recent second place. He is assessed as the more likely winner by the Spotlight. His quick turnaround from Saturday should be noted.
- Due Date (TWM 72): His strengths are his proven ability over C&D and his strong current winning record, seeking a hat-trick. His weakness is the 3lb rise in weights. He is expected to put in a big run.
7.15 Betfair Plays Different Handicap (Class 6) 5f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Juno Star (73)
- Dark Side Prince (72)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Juno Star (3yo filly): Got off the mark at the 14th attempt by winning a 5f apprentice handicap at Southwell last week. She is unpenalised for that success and must be in calculations. She is currently rated 49.
- Dark Side Prince (8yo gelding): Has a fine record over C&D but is without a win since May 2024. He has slipped a long way in the weights despite retaining ability and is well drawn to attack. He should be involved at the finish. He is currently rated 57.
Spotlight Verdict:
Juno Star is unpenalised for last week’s Southwell success and she has to enter calculations… DARK SIDE PRINCE has a long losing run to contend with but these conditions suit him well and he could be the answer off his reduced mark.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: Runners aged 3yo, 5yo, 6yo, 7yo, and 8yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 55.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Charlie Wallis 0-1-1.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Juno Star (TWM 73): Her main strength is being unpenalised for a win just last week, giving her a strong weight advantage. Her weakness is her relative inexperience (14 runs to break the maiden) and quick turnaround.
- Dark Side Prince (TWM 72): His strengths are his proven C&D suitability and his significantly reduced mark. His obvious weakness is his long losing streak. He is the preferred selection due to the favourable conditions and handicapped weight.
7.45 Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap (Class 5) 1m 5f 66y(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Cardinal Point (77)
- Forca Timao (77)
(Note: These two runners share the highest TWM Master Rating)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Cardinal Point (3yo filly): Has yet to run a poor race in AW handicaps. She won at Lingfield (1m4f) last month and has been in the frame on her subsequent three starts. Conditions are no problem, and she holds strong claims. She is rated 61.
- Forca Timao (5yo gelding): Was the easy winner of a 1m3f handicap at Southwell in April. He has struggled since then but is now back down the weights in an uncompetitive event. He is rated 70.
Spotlight Verdict:
This could rest between 3yos Must Believe and CARDINAL POINT. The former has to prove his stamina for tonight’s trip and Michael Bell’s filly (Cardinal Point) can take another step forward and record her second success.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: Runners aged 3yo, 5yo, and 7yo.
- Fate of Favourites: None listed.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Trainer I Mohammed (Must Believe) is 100% (9-62) in the last 14 days. Trainer Michael Bell (Cardinal Point) is 64% (36-195) career W-R.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Cardinal Point (TWM 77): Her core strength is her high consistency and recent placed form in AW handicaps. She is favoured by the Spotlight to continue her progression.
- Forca Timao (TWM 77): His strength is his competitive mark due to recent drops in weight. His weakness is his current form, having struggled since April, and he is noted as not being a solid option.
- Suitability: Cardinal Point appears the much stronger contender based on current form and confidence from the Spotlight.
8.15 Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap (Class 5) 1m 2f(AW)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (TWM Total Rating):
- Wyld Bill (84)
- Gifted Angel (82)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Wyld Bill (4yo gelding): He has won all three of his other attempts at 1m2f on AW. He drew well clear over C&D recently and, although up 8lb, he is still improving. He is rated 72.
- Gifted Angel (5yo gelding): His two AW wins last autumn came over 1m4f and 1m6f (one win on this track). He was last seen 12 months ago. He is considered up against it after absence. He is rated 73.
Spotlight Verdict:
Time Tested, in particular, looks likely to put up a good show but WYLD BILL is taken to continue on the upgrade in the hope that this will be run at a good pace.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: Runners aged 3yo, 4yo, and 5yo.
- Fate of Favourites: 112.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): None listed.
Assessment of Top Two:
- Wyld Bill (TWM 84): His strengths include a perfect record (3/3) at the trip on AW, recent C&D winning form, and his status as a genuinely improving horse. He is the Spotlight selection.
- Gifted Angel (TWM 82): His strengths are his course winning record (though over longer distances) and his previous high rating. His major weakness is his 12-month absence.
- Suitability: Wyld Bill is the highly preferred candidate, while Gifted Angel has significant ground to make up after the layoff.
Leave a comment