Newcastle; Analysis of the Timewise Top two rated+The Spotlight Verdict+Race Stats.

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This comprehensive response covers all Newcastle races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated runners, summarising their details, and providing the required analysis, drawing entirely upon the provided sources.


Newcastle Races: Chronological Analysis

1.08 Download The At The Races App Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 2m 190y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Kids Say Lastgojoe (FR) (5yo, 11-4)
  2. Marhaba The Champ (6yo, 11-4)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Kids Say Lastgojoe (FR)He was a bumper winner at Catterick last November. However, he has been beaten on all three hurdles starts, and was tailed off in a Hexham maiden (2m, good to soft) when last seen in May. He needs to show improvement.
Marhaba The ChampHe was a useful Flat performer for Kevin Ryan, winning three times at up to 1m4f. He was sold for 8,000gns in July. He was well held on two Flat runs and finished last of four on his hurdles debut at Hereford (2m, good) 17 days ago for his new yard. He is not one to give up on just yet.

Spotlight Verdict: The best hurdles form has been shown by Crazy About Her who was a promising second on her hurdles debut at Chepstow in May and she rates as the main danger to CUEROS who is a multiple winner on the Flat in Jersey and could be a nice prospect over hurdles on his debut. Marhaba The Champ was a useful Flat performer and although he was well beaten on his hurdles debut he should do better. The rest all have work to do from what we have seen.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)4yo 1-0-4, 5yo 0-2-3, 6yo 0-0-1.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Not specified in the provided data.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Kids Say Lastgojoe (FR)Has previous bumper winning form.Has been consistently beaten over hurdles, including being tailed off recently. Needs significant improvement.Runs on GD-FM ground.
Marhaba The ChampHas a useful Flat background with three wins. Possesses the ability to do better despite a poor hurdles debut.Was last of four on his hurdles debut 17 days ago.Runs on GD-FM ground. The Spotlight suggests he should improve.

1.38 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Novices’ Handicap Chase (Class 5) 2m 7f 91y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Couldbeaweapon (IRE) (8yo, 11-12)
  2. Radharc Na Slaine (IRE) (8yo, 11-2)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Couldbeaweapon (IRE)He has won his last two handicap chases (at Southwell and Sedgefield). He won a conditional riders’ event at Sedgefield by 17 lengths. He runs off his old mark here, despite receiving a 10lb rise for the Sedgefield win (where the clear leader fell). He is considered a contender.
Radharc Na Slaine (IRE)An experienced chaser who got off the mark on his 12th attempt over fences at Stratford in September (2m6f, good). He had a fair run at Worcester last time. He should go well.

Spotlight Verdict: Couldbeaweapon is 10lb well in having escaped a penalty for his 17l win last time, but he wasn’t certain to have won that day as the clear leader come down four out. With his proven stamina and form on fast ground, SIR CARNEGIE is just preferred.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)Not specified in the provided data.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Not specified in the provided data.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Couldbeaweapon (IRE)Highly in form with two recent chase wins. Is technically 10lb well in having escaped a penalty for this race.Recent 17l win might be misleading as the previous clear leader fell.A contender who should handle the GD-FM ground.
Radharc Na Slaine (IRE)Experienced chaser who recently secured his first win over fences. Ran fairly well on his last outing.Took 12 attempts to win over fences.Should go well on GD-FM ground.

2.08 Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 2m 190y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Gemini Man (IRE) (7yo, 12-0)
  2. Prospect House (IRE) (7yo, 10-12)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Gemini Man (IRE)He won off 6lb lower at Hexham in August (2m, good) and was a runner-up at Perth (2m, good). He was below par on soft ground last week. He could bounce back on the better ground.
Prospect House (IRE)Has been in good form over fences this year, with two wins and six placings. He finished third most recently off 5lb higher at Sedgefield. It is hard to know how he will fare on this return to hurdling, as he was well beaten off a 10lb lower mark on his last run over hurdles.

Spotlight Verdict: Gemini Man and Fairly Fulling are two likely to go well but, following a sound run after a break last time, BALRANALD (nap) is taken to win this race for the second year in a row.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)4yo 0-1-4, 5yo 0-1-5, 6yo 0-0-1, 7yo 0-0-1, 8yo 1-0-2, 10yo 0-0-1.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Alison Hamilton 1-0-1, Adam Nicol 0-1-2, Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 0-1-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Gemini Man (IRE)Proven winner recently on good ground and expected to bounce back on the better GD-FM surface. Trainer I Jardine has 50% runners to form recently.Has crept up the handicap and was below par on soft ground last week.Suitable for the ground and trip (previous win at 2m).
Prospect House (IRE)Excellent current form over fences.Returning to hurdles after being well beaten off a lower mark previously in that discipline. Hard to assess suitability.Runs on GD-FM ground.

2.38 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 “Chasing Excellence” Beginners’ Chase (Class 3) 2m 7f 91y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Chasingouttheblues (IRE) (6yo, 11-5)
  2. Secret Trix (8yo, 11-5)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Chasingouttheblues (IRE)Record of 3-8 over hurdles. Made a solid start over fences when finishing 2l third of five in a Hexham handicap (2m4f, good) last month. His last hurdle win was over 3m. He should benefit from that reappearance run and is respected back up in trip.
Secret TrixUseful six-time hurdle winner. Had mixed results in three chase runs this autumn. Went very close in a novice chase at Worcester (2m7f, good) on his penultimate run. However, he unseated rider in a match at Wetherby two weeks ago. Should be hard to beat if he can recapture that penultimate form.

Spotlight Verdict: Six-time hurdle winner SECRET TRIX has a mixed record over fences this autumn and failed to complete in a match at Wetherby last time, but he went very close behind a useful rival in a novice at Worcester last month. He’s the clear pick on official marks in this line-up and should be hard to beat if he can recapture that penultimate form. The main danger is Chasingouttheblues, who made a promising chase debut at Hexham 19 days ago and should appreciate this step back up in trip.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)Not specified in the provided data.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Not specified in the provided data.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Chasingouttheblues (IRE)Promising chase debut. Proven stamina up to 3m over hurdles. Should improve from his reappearance run.Facing a tougher beginners event here.Respected back up in trip on GD-FM ground.
Secret TrixClear pick on official marks. Went close in a novice chase at this trip recently. Six-time hurdle winner.Unseated rider last time. Has shown mixed results over fences this autumn. Last two wins were on soft ground.Should be hard to beat if he recaptures his second-to-last run’s form. Runs on GD-FM ground.

3.08 Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 2m 7f 149y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Do No Wrong (IRE) (9yo, 11-11)
  2. Hostile Hotelier (IRE) (7yo, 12-0)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Do No Wrong (IRE)Five-time chase winner and finished runner-up in that discipline last time. He won his last race over hurdles at Cartmel in August (2m6f, good). He is well treated in relation to his chase mark.
Hostile Hotelier (IRE)Was beaten for a fifth time over fences when runner-up 11 days ago. Previously made it 4-19 over hurdles with a workmanlike display at Newton Abbot (3m2f). He has a solid chance here off 4lb higher.

Spotlight Verdict: Although a bit disappointing last time, FAIRLAWN SKIPPER should appreciate this return to further for his handicap debut, and at Uttoxeter the time before he wasn’t far behind last weekend’s Cheltenham winner De Temps En Temps. Do No Wrong is second choice off his lower hurdle mark and Hostile Hotelier is not easily knocked.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)5yo 0-0-1, 6yo 1-0-1, 7yo 0-1-1, 8yo 0-0-3, 9yo 0-0-1.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Jennie Candlish 1-0-1.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Do No Wrong (IRE)Latest win was over hurdles in August. Runs off a lower hurdle mark relative to his chase form. Jockey claims 5lb.Recent starts have included running over fences.Strong contender on GD-FM ground.
Hostile Hotelier (IRE)Solid recent hurdle form (4 wins from 19). Expected to run well despite carrying 4lb extra.Recent runner-up effort was over fences.Should have a solid chance on GD-FM ground.

3.38 attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Chase (Class 4) 2m 4f 19y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Arthur’s Quay (IRE) (11yo, 12-0)
  2. Half Shot (IRE) (11yo, 11-8)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Arthur’s Quay (IRE)A veteran who won over C&D in February off this mark (good to soft). His form has not been as good since that win. He was withdrawn recently due to fast ground.
Half Shot (IRE)Has won four chases, the latest at Kelso in April (2m7f, good). He has shown mixed form since, including a fair third back at Kelso last time (3m2f, good). He is a possible contender, although he is perhaps better at further these days.

Spotlight Verdict: This isn’t a race that makes a great deal of appeal, and the tentative choice is CRACKING DESTINY, although he hasn’t been at his best recently. Whizz Kid, who is unexposed as a chaser, and Half Shot, who is better over further these days, can also go well.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)5yo 0-0-1, 6yo 0-0-1, 7yo 0-1-2, 10yo 1-0-1.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Not specified in the provided data.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Arthur’s Quay (IRE)Proven C&D winner at this mark. Further rain will suit him.Form has dipped since his C&D win. He is an 11yo veteran.Suitable for the trip and ground preference (GD-FM, ideally softer).
Half Shot (IRE)Showed fair form when third recently. Trainer I Jardine has 50% runners to form recently.Thought to be better suited to longer trips than this 2m4f distance. He is an 11yo veteran.Possible contender. Runs on GD-FM ground.

4.08 Download The Raceday Ready App Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Class 5) 2m 190y

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (based on total TimeWise rating):

  1. Monte A Bord (IRE) (4yo, 11-3)
  2. Port Station (IRE) (5yo, 11-4)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Monte A Bord (IRE)Shaped with plenty of promise when a running-on second on debut at Kelso last month (2m, good). The third placed horse from that race has since won. Improvement is likely and he is regarded as a contender.
Port Station (IRE)Finished a promising second of five on debut at Kelso in April (2m, good). He has already had a wind operation and is expected to come on for the run.

Spotlight Verdict: Quite an interesting bumper can go to MONTE A BORD, who was a very promising second in a Kelso bumper that has worked out well on his debut in May. The newcomers Grazeon Sunshine and Prince Of Clova and ex-Irish pointer Party In The Park are three others who should go well.

Race Statistics

CategoryDetails
Age Groups (Winners-Placed-Runners)4yo 1-2-8.
Fate of FavouritesNot specified in the provided data.
Trainer Records (w-pl-r)Not specified in the provided data.

Assessment of the Top Two

HorseStrengthsWeaknessesSuitability
Monte A Bord (IRE)Showed high promise on debut. The form has been franked. Expected to improve. Highest rated runner in the card data (Master RPR 108).None apparent from the sources.Strong contender on GD-FM ground.
Port Station (IRE)Finished second on debut. Should be fitter having had a wind op and likely to progress.Last run was in April (206 days ago).Runs on GD-FM ground.

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