This analysis works through the Dundalk races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses based on the total TimeWise rating (‘master’ rating column) found in the racecard data, summarising their recent form and comments, providing the Spotlight Verdict, Race Statistics, and an assessment of the Top Two’s chances.

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5.30 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (5f, AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Aegina (Master Rating: 101)
2. Institute (Master Rating: 83)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Aegina: This Havana Grey filly is rated 89. She has been placed in all three starts at 5f, including an excellent Listed third here three weeks ago. She sets a pretty high standard and is considered the one to beat. Xerling finished well behind Aegina in a C&D Listed heat recently.
• Institute: Green and weakened on debut over 7f here last month. Showed a much better effort when dropped back to 6f at Naas on his latest run. He drops back in trip again and now sports a tongue tie.

Spotlight Verdict:
The 89-rated AEGINA ran a cracker in the Listed Legacy Stakes over C&D last time out and a repeat of that run should suffice. Institute and Rumba Club can give the selection most to think about.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: Not available specifically for this 2yo race in the accompanying section, but the general Flat Age Group stats provided afterwards relate to older horses.
• Fate of Favourites: 1511011323.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Daniel James Murphy 2-1-4, Donnacha Aidan O’Brien 1-0-2, A P O’Brien 0-3-5.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Aegina (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Her high rating (101 master, 89 RPR) and proven course form, including a recent Listed placing over 5f, make her the clear standard setter. She is expected to repeat that strong performance.
• Institute (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): His form improved significantly when dropped in trip last time. The further drop to 5f and the application of a first-time tongue tie suggest connections are seeking maximal performance. He could give Aegina the most challenge, but his debut was weak.

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6.00 View Restaurant At Dundalk Handicap (5f, AW, 0-60)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Ballysax Lil’ Mick (Master Rating: 62) (Joint Top)
2. Prairie Girl (Master Rating: 62) (Joint Top)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Ballysax Lil’ Mick: Followed up his Tipperary win with solid efforts off his revised mark. He was denied by a head by Jordan Breeze over C&D 17 days ago, although he reportedly hung left.
• Prairie Girl: Shaped nicely over C&D on her stable debut when finishing close up in fourth behind Jordan Breeze and Ballysax Lil’ Mick. She runs in the mix again off the same mark.

Spotlight Verdict:
There wasn’t much between Jordan Breeze and BALLYSAX LIL’ MICK over C&D 17 days ago and Katy Brown’s charge may be able to avenge that defeat on these terms. Prairie Girl and Whatswrongnow, not far behind in fourth and sixth in that C&D contest, are potential dangers.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-6-41, 4yo+ 10-14-92.
• Fate of Favourites: 2204236136.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Andrew Slattery 1-0-3, T G McCourt 1-0-3, Adrian McGuinness 0-3-8, Denis Gerard Hogan 0-2-8, Patrick J Flynn 0-1-2.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Ballysax Lil’ Mick (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Has demonstrated solid form recently and is weighted to potentially reverse the result of his narrow C&D defeat to Jordan Breeze. His tendency to hang left is a minor concern.
• Prairie Girl (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Showed promise over C&D recently and is competing off an unchanged mark. A potential weakness is her wide draw.

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6.30 Bar One Double Odds First Goalscorer Handicap (6f, AW, 0-100)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Michaela’s Boy (Master Rating: 102) (Joint Top)
2. Collective Power (Master Rating: 102) (Joint Top)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Michaela’s Boy: Has a record of 4-13 on AW when trained in Britain. However, all four AW wins came at 5f, and his form figures over this 6f trip are 944.
• Collective Power: Three-time C&D winner. Shaped promisingly when a 1.5l third here on his latest run in August, despite dwelling at the start and racing keenly. He is now 6lb below his last success here in April and has gone well fresh previously.

Spotlight Verdict:
A couple of Dundalk specialists are in here, including the well-handicapped COLLECTIVE POWER. He shaped promisingly despite racing keenly when third over C&D in August and if settling better can go close. The course winners Little Queenie and Tropical Retreat are respected, as is Sir Les Patterson on his return to the AW. Beauty Queen is another potential danger stepped back up to 6f.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-4-27, 4yo+ 9-14-82.
• Fate of Favourites: 2142312131.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Edward Lynam 1-0-1, Paul W Flynn 1-0-1, Adrian McGuinness 0-4-12, Stephen Thorne 0-1-2.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Michaela’s Boy (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Has a good AW record from previous trainers. However, all wins were at 5f, and his form at 6f is unconvincing (944). He is best watched on his stable debut.
• Collective Power (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Highly suited to this track and trip (three-time C&D winner) and is considered well-handicapped, running 6lb below his last winning mark. If he can settle better than he did last time, he has a big chance. His key weakness is his tendency to race keenly and dwell at the start.

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7.00 Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden (1m, AW, 3yo+)

Note: TimeWise Master Ratings were largely absent/inconsistent for this race in the source material. Based on the Ratings Report which reflects market/expert opinion for the highest-rated horses, Diego El Queso and Head To Head are identified as the Top Two.

TimeWise Master Top Two (Based on Ratings Report/Expert View):

1. Diego El Queso (RPR 85, expected strong contender)
2. Head To Head (Master Topspeed 88)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Diego El Queso: Now 0-5 and has been a beaten favourite in his last three races. Despite this, he brings very appealing form claims into a maiden of this nature and is a strong contender.
• Head To Head: A four-race maiden whose best effort was on debut over 7f here. She was runner-up here last week over 1m2f, although she was no match for the winner, and the third place runner holds down that form. She still holds some chance in what is considered a weakish maiden.

Spotlight Verdict:
Even from an awkward draw, DIEGO EL QUESO won’t get many better chances to shed his maiden status. Ballydoyle’s Head To Head and Dramatic look disappointing and some big holes can be picked in the form of their latest races, so perhaps Mystic Bella will give the selection most to think about.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 8-15-87, 4yo+ 0-1-20.
• Fate of Favourites: 11236513.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): G M Lyons 1-0-2, Henry De Bromhead 0-2-2.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Diego El Queso (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Has arguably the most appealing form claims among the field. His main drawback is being 0-5 and a beaten favourite multiple times. He also has an awkward draw.
• Head To Head (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): She showed potential earlier over 7f and recently placed second over 1m2f. She has a chance in this weak race. However, the spotlight views her form as disappointing and suggests weaknesses in her latest performance.

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7.30 Happy Halloween Handicap (1m, AW, 0-80)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Altimara (Master Rating: 80)
2. Little Empire (Master Rating: 79)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Altimara: Gained back-to-back wins in 7f handicaps and then finished a close third over 1m at Punchestown. She is edging up the weights but is currently thriving and has form at Dundalk.
• Little Empire: A winner at Ayr in May. Returned from a break to finish third of seven here two weeks ago. While her last two runs were at 7f, she has previously won over 1m.

Spotlight Verdict:
Altimara is a solid option in her current vein of form and Guy’s Girl would be interesting should there be money around ahead of her handicap debut. The suggestion is FAR FROM DANDY who has been knocking on the door for his new yard and being gelded could bring him on some more.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-3-19, 4yo+ 5-7-49.
• Fate of Favourites: 41543.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Denis Gerard Hogan 1-0-1, G M Lyons 0-2-2, Ross O’Sullivan 0-1-3.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Altimara (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Highly suitable due to her current thriving form and proven capability over 1m. She has course form. Her only slight weakness is that she is rising in the weights.
• Little Empire (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Showed encouraging form recently coming back from a break. He has won at this distance previously. However, his recent efforts were at 7f.

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8.00 Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (1m, AW, 0-60)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Zabeir (Master Rating: 74) (Note: Listed as Non-Runner in spotlight)
2. Aurora’s Beauty (Master Rating: 65)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Zabeir: A course winner who returned to form recently with a close third at the Curragh (1m, heavy). He is operating off a reduced mark and is entitled to go well. (Note: Zabeir is listed as a NON-RUNNER in the race preview).
• Aurora’s Beauty: Has not built on early promise previously. She has been tailed off in her two runs for the current yard and is now trying cheekpieces.

Spotlight Verdict:
It was no great surprise to see JOHNNY’S OASIS (nap) finally come good here last time and he still looks on a very manageable mark. Endless Dawn did well to make the frame on her last visit having been slowly away and that form also brings Colugo into the equation.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 6-4-39, 4yo+ 4-16-97.
• Fate of Favourites: 6022514222.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Adrian McGuinness 1-4-5, John C McConnell 1-1-7, Paul W Flynn 1-0-1, Denis Gerard Hogan 0-1-4.

Assessment of the Top Two (Acknowledging Zabeir’s NR Status):

• Zabeir (Strengths/Suitability): Strong form indicator recently (3rd on heavy) and course experience. On a reduced mark.
• Zabeir (Weaknesses): Cannot be assessed as running, as listed as NON-RUNNER.
• Aurora’s Beauty (Strengths/Suitability): None evident from recent performance; trying new headgear (cheekpieces).
• Aurora’s Beauty (Weaknesses): Tailed off in her last two outings and failed to build on earlier promise.

Self-Correction: Given Zabeir is NR, the highest rated runner is Aurora’s Beauty (65), followed by Johnny’s Oasis (63). Assessing Johnny’s Oasis as the viable runner:

• Johnny’s Oasis (Master Rating 63): His breakthrough win was expected and came over C&D recently, coming from off the pace. He is up 6lb but is still seen as being on a very manageable mark. He should benefit from a solid pace.

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8.30 Story Of Dundalk Stadium Book Buy Online Handicap (1m 4f, AW, 0-90)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

1. Boxing Great (Master Rating: 103)
2. Star Harbour (Master Rating: 96)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Boxing Great: His latest third in a 1m6f maiden at Navan was remote, and he has failed to repeat his previous close second in a 1m5f maiden at Down Royal in June. He is fitted with cheekpieces.
• Star Harbour: A multiple turf winner. He is 0-16 on the AW but ran well again here when finishing close up behind Quatre Bras two weeks ago.

Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for SMALL FRY who wasn’t disgraced in the Irish Cesarewitch and this British AW winner should still have better days ahead of him. Sea Coral is by no means exposed and she’s feared, as are Billie Frechette, Quatre Bras and Star Harbour.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-6-25, 4yo+ 8-14-98.
• Fate of Favourites: 1021234651.
• Trainer Records (W-Pl-R): Adrian McGuinness 1-0-2, Mrs John Harrington 1-0-7, Noel Meade 1-1-5, Charles O’Brien 0-1-1, Emmet Mullins 0-1-2, Joseph Patrick O’Brien 0-1-3.

Assessment of the Top Two:

• Boxing Great (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Showed previous potential with a close second in June. However, his latest efforts were remote and he has been struggling to replicate that earlier form.
• Star Harbour (Strengths, Suitability, Weaknesses): Has consistent form, including a recent good run here. He has each-way claims and is respected. His major weakness is being winless in 16 starts on the AW.