The following is a chronological analysis of the Newmarket races, drawing on the TimeWise Master Top Two ratings, recent form, Spotlight Verdicts, Race Statistics, and assessments of the chances of the top two contenders from the sources provided.
12.32 Cologne’s 64 Preis Von Europa British EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (7f)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Areti | Top Rated |
| Hatour (IRE) | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Areti: Finished a close third over Course and Distance (C&D) (good ground) three weeks ago. This was achieved at 11-1 odds. She has a high RPR of 87 and a Topspeed rating of 59.
- Hatour (IRE): Finished fourth over C&D 22 days ago. She got outpaced in that race and finished 4 lengths behind Areti. She was sent off at 7-1 odds and is expected to be “all the wiser” this time. Her RP Rating is 74, and Topspeed is 49.
Spotlight Verdict
The newcomers are interesting, notably Serenetta. William Haggas’s Zooming looks the pick of his three, while Dancing Flower has obvious claims. However, ARETI ran well on her debut here and that course experience could be a telling factor. Hatour has 4l to find with the selection but she will surely improve as well.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo fillies. Historically, 2yo runners have a 0-0-1 record in this specific category (distance/track specific metrics for 2yos).
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 4233062312.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): William Haggas (3-1-17), Ralph Beckett (1-5-6), Ed Walker (1-1-4), Charlie Appleby (0-2-3), and John & Thady Gosden (0-3-9).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Areti: Strengths: Ran very creditably on debut over C&D (3rd). The course experience is considered a major advantage. Her RP rating (87) suggests she sets a good standard among those with prior form. Weaknesses: Facing competition from several well-bred newcomers. Suitability: High chance, deemed the selection in the Spotlight Verdict due to her C&D debut run.
- Hatour (IRE): Strengths: Should benefit significantly from having gained race experience (will be “all the wiser”). Weaknesses: Finished 4l behind Areti in her debut run. She was outpaced previously. Suitability: Needs improvement but has potential to run better on her second start.
1.07 European Bloodstock News EBF Montrose Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (1m)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Pintara (IRE) | Top Rated |
| Wetsand (IRE) | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Pintara (IRE): Nicely bred daughter of Pinatubo. Made a winning start in a six-runner novice at Salisbury (1m, good to firm) in August, quickening once switched. Her Topspeed is 78. Her yard won this race 12 months ago with a filly with a very similar profile.
- Wetsand (IRE): Dual winner. Ran well when finishing second in a valuable series final at Goodwood (7f, good to soft) in September. However, she had no obvious excuses when finishing twelfth in a sales race at Newmarket four weeks ago. She has had more racing than her rivals. Her RP Rating is 98, and Topspeed is 74.
Spotlight Verdict
Ayr winner Aspiral is going the right way, while Classic Cuvee needs only to put a below-par run in a Group 3 behind her to be firmly in the reckoning. This may go to one of the three unbeaten fillies from powerful stables. There’s plenty to like about Charlie Appleby’s Morning Rose and Ralph Beckett’s Pintara (second choice), but the vote goes to the beautifully bred SACRED GROUND who managed to win at Yarmouth despite showing clear signs of greenness.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 1114223341.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): Charlie Appleby (1-3-7), John & Thady Gosden (1-0-2), Ralph Beckett (1-0-6), Roger Varian (1-1-3), and K R Burke (0-2-3).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Pintara (IRE): Strengths: Unbeaten novice winner with a profile similar to a previous stable winner of this race. Nicely bred. Considered the second choice in the Spotlight Verdict, suggesting strong claims. Weaknesses: None explicitly listed. Suitability: Highly respected and commands major consideration.
- Wetsand (IRE): Strengths: Dual winner who performed well previously in competitive races (2nd in a final series). Weaknesses: Disappointing twelfth in her most recent outing. Has had more runs than her rivals and needs to achieve a career-high performance. Suitability: Needs a strong rebound to be competitive at this Listed level.
1.42 Hamburg’s IDEE 157. German Derby Nursery Handicap (1m1f)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Gaspacho | Top Rated |
| Dunkeld Dreamer (IRE) | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Gaspacho: Won a restricted maiden at Pontefract (1m, good to soft) three weeks ago, sticking on well for pressure. Before that, she was only fifth of ten when 11-10 at Haydock (7f, good). She is fitted with a first-time tongue tie today. Her Topspeed is 51, and RP Rating is 77.
- Dunkeld Dreamer (IRE): Has won 3 out of 6 starts in nurseries. Her last outing resulted in a good second of seven at Nottingham, having been upped to 1m2f and holding a clear lead 1f out. Her Topspeed is 74, and RP Rating is 80.
Spotlight Verdict
Topweight BEYOND THE BAR looks a rising force and can improve again to double up on today’s handicap debut. While Gaspacho looks sure to stay after her workmanlike win at Pontefract, the greatest threat may well come from Trio who shaped a bit better than the bare result suggests when she scored at Leicester.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is exclusively for 2yo horses.
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 1111122543.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): K R Burke (0-1-2).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Gaspacho: Strengths: Has shown good form recently, winning a maiden over 1m. Looks sure to stay the 1m1f distance. Wears a new tongue tie. Weaknesses: Needs another step forward to win this race. The Spotlight suggested a rival posed the greater threat. Suitability: Sure to stay and likely competitive, relying on further improvement.
- Dunkeld Dreamer (IRE): Strengths: Highly experienced in nurseries with a good strike rate (3/6 wins). Ran very well when tackling longer distance last time (2nd over 1m2f). Weaknesses: Has been raised another 3lb, which makes her look vulnerable for win purposes. Suitability: Good form profile, but the weight rise is a major concern for victory.
2.17 Dusseldorf’s Henkel 168 German Oaks Handicap (1m)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Bopedro (FR) | Top Rated |
| Revelance | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Bopedro (FR): A 9yo who hasn’t won since summer 2023. He consistently runs well in defeat, notably finishing third in the Royal Hunt Cup in June. His latest run was a respectable sixth of 20 in the Balmoral at Ascot (1m, good) two weeks ago. His Topspeed is 89, and RP Rating is 105.
- Revelance: A low-mileage 3yo. He won a Salisbury novice (7f, good to firm) and an Epsom handicap (8.5f, good to soft) this summer. He has subsequently put in creditable efforts in defeat at York and Wolverhampton. His Topspeed is 91, and RP Rating is 104.
Spotlight Verdict
Several possibilities in this useful handicap. LINWOOD underwhelmed with his finished effort at Newbury last time but his placed efforts at Goodwood prior to that read well and he’s given one more chance. Fellow 3yos Grizedale (second choice) and Principality may give him most to do.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo (5-14-48) and 4yo+ (5-5-51).
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 5263333112.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): Stuart Williams (1-0-3), Karen Jewell (0-1-1), and Ralph Beckett (0-1-4).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Bopedro (FR): Strengths: High-class previous form, demonstrated by his Royal Hunt Cup performance. Has a solid Topspeed rating (89). Recent run was respectable. Weaknesses: Has not secured a win in over a year. Suitability: Highly capable if things fall his way, even in this slightly easier grade.
- Revelance: Strengths: Progressive 3yo form with two wins this summer. Low mileage suggests potential for further improvement. High Topspeed rating (91). Weaknesses: None explicitly detailed regarding conditions or recent running. Suitability: Enters the reckoning and expected to be highly competitive.
2.50 Prestige Vehicles Handicap (6f)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Dashing Dick (IRE) | Top Rated |
| May Blossom | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Dashing Dick (IRE): A prominent racer who has an affinity for Newmarket (both courses). He recently faded late over 7f at Yarmouth 11 days ago, making a return to 6f look like a positive move. He is 2lb lower than when narrowly beaten earlier this year and performs well for Kieran Shoemark. His Topspeed is 82, and RP Rating is 92.
- May Blossom: Capitalised on a reduced mark to win at Redcar (6f, good) in September, coming from well back. She ran below par on her subsequent run at Nottingham. Her Topspeed is 72, and RP Rating is 89.
Spotlight Verdict
At the top of the weights Lord Roxby, who should be suited by this return to sprinting, and King Of Bears, who may be revived by a change of stable, look interesting contenders, but preference is for the course regular DASHING DICK who gets on well with Kieran Shoemark. Spring Bloom may prove the main danger, having shaped well on his debut for the Darryll Holland yard two weeks ago.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo (0-0-9) and 4yo+ (2-5-18).
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 53.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): Tim Easterby (1-0-3).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Dashing Dick (IRE): Strengths: Highly suited to Newmarket and the 6f trip. Well-handicapped on recent strong form. Positive jockey relationship. Selected by the Spotlight Verdict. Weaknesses: None majorly listed. Suitability: High chance, based on track record and drop back in trip.
- May Blossom: Strengths: Recent winner at 6f on a reduced mark. Weaknesses: Ran poorly in her subsequent race. Considered less appealing than other runners. Suitability: Others make more appeal.
3.25 German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed Race) (1m2f)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Gethin (IRE) | Top Rated |
| Royal Playwright | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Gethin (IRE): A progressive 3yo. He was a ready winner in his first two novice starts. His RPR advanced again seven weeks ago when he was narrowly denied (2nd) in a 1m4f Listed race at Saint-Cloud. He is described as a strong traveller. His Topspeed is 88, and RP Rating is 118.
- Royal Playwright: Secured his second career win in a 1m2f Goodwood conditions race (soft) in October. Although 0-8 in previous Listed/Group races, he has been placed on a few occasions. His Topspeed is 105, and RP Rating is 115.
Spotlight Verdict
Karl Burke’s pair Liberty Lane (second choice) and last year’s winner Bolster should go well. This essentially looks a good chance for progressive 3yo GETHIN (nap) to take the next step up the ladder. This lightly raced sort made a fine first attempt at this level when narrowly denied in a 3yo only race in France in September and can go one better faced with largely older opponents this time.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo (5-3-17) and 4yo+ (5-8-44).
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 4061151121.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): K R Burke (1-0-1) and John & Thady Gosden (0-1-1).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Gethin (IRE): Strengths: Highly progressive and talented 3yo. Excellent recent Listed form (narrowly denied). The return to 1m2f suits this strong traveller. Expected to improve further and is the clear selection. Weaknesses: None explicitly noted. Suitability: Leading claims; expected to win.
- Royal Playwright: Strengths: Recent winner and has placed in Listed/Group races before. High Topspeed (105) and RPR (115). Weaknesses: Still seeking a win at this specific level (0-8 in Listed/Group races prior to last start). Suitability: Expected to be “in the mix”.
4.00 Munich’s Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap (7f)
| Horse | Total TimeWise Rating Rank |
|---|---|
| Vixey | Top Rated |
| Lady Mariko | Second Top Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Vixey: Has four wins in 2025, with her latest win over 7f (good) coming in September. She posted a good third of 21 runners at York (7f, good) three weeks ago. Her Topspeed is 70, and RP Rating is 86.
- Lady Mariko: Dual winner over 7f on turf. She has achieved three creditable thirds on turf this autumn. Her latest run on AW resulted in a fifth place when she “didn’t enjoy the run of the race”. Her Topspeed is 78, and RP Rating is 87.
Spotlight Verdict
The consistent VIXEY has been a real flagbearer for Simon West this year and might be good for another win on the back of her fine third in a big field at York. Signcastle City (second choice) is dangerously well treated back on turf, while Silver Trumpet is also respected for in-form Eve Johnson Houghton.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo (7-8-47) and 4yo+ (3-15-89).
- Fate of Favourites (Historical): 2010601135.
- Trainer Records (Historical, w-pl-r): Dylan Cunha (1-0-1) and Roger Fell (1-0-2).
Assessment of Top Two Chances
- Vixey: Strengths: Highly consistent flagbearer with four wins this year. Excellent recent big-field form (3rd at York). Strongly tipped to run well again. Weaknesses: None noted. Suitability: Expected to win.
- Lady Mariko: Strengths: Dual 7f turf winner who has been placing consistently this autumn (three thirds). Likely still in good form despite a troubled recent run. Weaknesses: Recent AW run was disrupted. Suitability: Likely to go well again.
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