Lingfield; Analysis of the Timewise Top two rated+The Spotlight Verdict+Race Stats.

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This response draws on the provided source material to work through the Lingfield races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their recent form and comments, providing the Spotlight Verdict, and assessing their chances.

Please note that Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, Trainer Records) for the specific Lingfield races listed below are not available in the supplied source material.


1. 12.10 Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (1m 4f)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Marnier96
2Coisty57

Recent Form and Comments

  • Marnier (96): Performed to a useful level in the first half of the year, including a runner-up finish when upped to around 1m4f at Yarmouth and Salisbury. The horse was gelded in July and was disappointing in an Ascot novice last month, but connections have found an uncompetitive event today.
  • Coisty (57): Has shown poor form across five starts ranging from 1m to 1m3f. The horse is considered to have no appeal.

Spotlight Verdict

Shayhana is bred to be useful and could give MARNIER a race on her debut but this does look a golden opportunity for the Gosden-trained 3yo to get off the mark.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Marnier:
    • Strengths: Possesses the clear highest TMR (96). Demonstrated useful form earlier in the year, placing at around this distance. Has been found an uncompetitive event.
    • Weaknesses: Disappointing performance in an Ascot novice recently. Lacks a recent competitive edge shown by Coisty.
    • Suitability: Suitable distance proven (around 1m4f). Expected to succeed here.
  • Coisty:
    • Strengths: None specified; has a recorded TMR of 57.
    • Weaknesses: Shows poor form and has no appeal. The TMR (57) is significantly lower than the field leader.
    • Suitability: Unsuitable based on previous performance.

2. 12.40 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap (6f 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Noble Vow91
2 (Joint)Ten Carat Harry90
2 (Joint)Green Dame90

Recent Form and Comments

  • Noble Vow (91): Steadily progressive, came desperately close to winning his maiden at Wolverhampton last month (6f). The horse is capable of better and is one to take seriously on his nursery debut.
  • Ten Carat Harry (90): Holds an unbeaten 2-2 record on AW, with wins in a Wolverhampton novice and a Newcastle nursery (both 6f). A 6lb rise is applied, demanding further progress, but this seems quite possible.
  • Green Dame (90): Ran recently in a nursery debut at Wolverhampton, where she was heavily backed, finished second after leading and rallying when headed. She runs off the same mark and holds solid claims.

Spotlight Verdict

Ten Carat Harry should make a bold bid to keep his unbeaten AW record intact but Green Dame and NOBLE VOW are preferred. Preference is for Richard Hannon’s nursery newcomer who has shown clear winning potential, including when narrowly denied at Wolverhampton two weeks ago.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Noble Vow:
    • Strengths: Highest rated (91 TMR). Steadily progressive and showed clear winning potential when narrowly denied recently.
    • Weaknesses: None explicitly noted for this specific race.
    • Suitability: Preferred selection in the Spotlight Verdict for his potential and recent close performance.
  • Ten Carat Harry / Green Dame:
    • Strengths (Ten Carat Harry): Unbeaten on AW (2-2).
    • Weaknesses (Ten Carat Harry): Faces a 6lb rise, necessitating career progression.
    • Strengths (Green Dame): Runs off the same mark after a recent solid second place performance. Holds solid claims.
    • Weaknesses (Green Dame): None specified.
    • Suitability: Both are highly regarded, but the Spotlight analysis narrowly prefers Noble Vow.

3. 1.10 Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (6f 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Beccadelli87
2Epsom Ali40

Recent Form and Comments

  • Beccadelli (87): Showed promise on his C&D debut in September, improving further to finish fourth of eight in a Newmarket maiden (7f, good to firm) two weeks later. Has been gelded since. Sets a fair standard for the newcomers.
  • Epsom Ali (40): Has recorded poor form in two 6f Polytrack runs this autumn.

Spotlight Verdict

Space Invasion (second choice) and Ray Mon Dough are notable newcomers but BECCADELLI has the benefit of experience, has shown useful form and could progress further having been gelded since his latest outing.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 2yo.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Beccadelli:
    • Strengths: Possesses experience and has shown useful form, setting the standard for the race. May progress further having been gelded. Highest TMR (87).
    • Weaknesses: None specified.
    • Suitability: Strong favourite status (5-6 SP). Expected to win based on experience and form.
  • Epsom Ali:
    • Strengths: None specified in the commentary.
    • Weaknesses: TMR of only 40. Has shown poor form in recent Polytrack runs.
    • Suitability: No appeal for victory.

4. 1.40 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap (1m 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Bella Perla94
2Donna Nook91

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bella Perla (94): Scored over C&D last time (her first attempt beyond 7f), overcoming trouble to win with more in hand than the neck margin suggests. This low-mileage 3yo is respected up just 3lb, with further progress plausible.
  • Donna Nook (91): Her two attempts on AW include an Irish success and her best effort for her current stable, a good second over 1m at Southwell. She is interesting returned to this sphere. Her latest effort took her turf record to 0-8.

Spotlight Verdict

With further progress on the cards, low-mileage 3yo BELLA PERLA is taken to follow up her C&D success. Donna Nook, who looks interesting returned to AW, is second pick.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+ fillies & mares.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Bella Perla:
    • Strengths: Highest TMR (94). Recent C&D winner, showed potential for further progress and overcame trouble to win previously. Only up 3lb.
    • Weaknesses: None specified.
    • Suitability: Expected to follow up her success.
  • Donna Nook:
    • Strengths: Strong previous AW form, including a good second place recently. High TMR (91).
    • Weaknesses: Poor recent turf record (0-8).
    • Suitability: Looks interesting returned to the AW surface.

5. 2.10 Join The Midnite Movement Handicap (5f 6y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Clearpoint97
2 (Joint)All Ways Glamorous96
2 (Joint)Forager96
2 (Joint)The Thames Boatman96
2 (Joint)Mc Loven96

Recent Form and Comments

  • Clearpoint (97): A front-runner who was a comfortable C&D winner in September, recording a useful Topspeed figure.
  • All Ways Glamorous (96): Has two 5f wins on fast ground this summer and has run well in defeat in his last three starts, but is climbing the weights.
  • Forager (96): Demonstrated a dominant display winning from the front here three weeks ago. Although previously hampered by a poor draw behind Clearpoint, she is on an upward curve. A 6lb rise requires a career best.
  • The Thames Boatman (96): Has not won this year but finished second to Clearpoint over C&D in September. This 5f trip should suit his come-from-behind style better than his last start over 6f.
  • Mc Loven (96): A C&D winner who quickly bounced back from a low-key Chester run to finish second at Kempton (6f). He will be happier back at 5f, but is drawn widest and prefers to force the pace.

Spotlight Verdict

The first furlong could decide the outcome, with Clearpoint, All Ways Glamorous, Mc Loven and Forager all happiest when making the running. Forager appeals most of that group but THE THAMES BOATMAN retains ability and can belatedly get off the mark for the year.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Clearpoint:
    • Strengths: Highest TMR (97). Proven C&D winner with a useful Topspeed figure.
    • Weaknesses: Expected to face competition for the lead.
    • Suitability: A front-runner who must secure the lead early.
  • Joint Second (All 96 TMR): This is a highly competitive group based on ratings and running style preferences.
    • Forager: On an upward curve and appeals most among the other front-running contenders.
    • The Thames Boatman: Preferred overall in the Spotlight Verdict, as his hold-up style should benefit from the anticipated strong early pace caused by the front-runners.
    • Mc Loven: Happier at this trip, but drawn widest which complicates his preferred running style.

6. 2.40 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap (2m)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Inlet69
2 (Joint)Daaris67
2 (Joint)Smith67
2 (Joint)Sapphire Sirocco67
2 (Joint)Advertorial67

Recent Form and Comments

  • Inlet (69): Still a maiden but has two second-place finishes over 2m recently, including here in August/September. The return to 2m off a reduced mark offers cause for optimism.
  • Daaris (67): Has won both AW races at Wolverhampton, but ran well in its sole C&D attempt. Holds a fighting chance back up in trip after leaving its run too late recently (1m6f).
  • Smith (67): A seven-time C&D winner, most recently last December. Has lacked consistency this year, and a recent 100-1 second place finish on turf needs backing up.
  • Sapphire Sirocco (67): A ten-race maiden showing positive signs with two recent second-place finishes at 2m (Lingfield and Chelmsford); her turn may be near.
  • Advertorial (67): An in-form 3yo who ran well at Southwell (2m) attempting to follow up a 1m6f win at Wolverhampton. Unexposed beyond 1m4f and receives weight from the field.

Spotlight Verdict

Being an unexposed sort who may show progress upped further in distance, TIGHTLY BOUND is the suggestion. Several others hold solid-looking claims, notably Cardinal Point, Sapphire Sirocco and Advertorial in that order of preference.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Inlet:
    • Strengths: Highest TMR (69). Proven at 2m with recent placings and benefits from a reduced mark.
    • Weaknesses: Remains a maiden.
    • Suitability: Expected to run well at this distance.
  • Joint Second (All 67 TMR):
    • Sapphire Sirocco & Advertorial: Both are considered solid claims by the Spotlight. Sapphire Sirocco is knocking on the door at 2m. Advertorial is unexposed and receives weight.
    • Smith: C&D expertise (seven wins) is a massive advantage.
    • Daaris: Holds a fighting chance returning to 2m.

7. 3.10 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) (1m 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1 (Joint)Boujee Gold69
1 (Joint)Unknown Journey69
2Zaltalla68

Recent Form and Comments

  • Boujee Gold (69): A solid contender who won in April and showed her best form since returning from a break when third at Wolverhampton last week.
  • Unknown Journey (69): An exposed 13-race maiden who attracted support but ran poorly (raced wide) at Southwell last time. A tongue tie is added.
  • Zaltalla (68): Won and placed second in August, but form has declined in the last three starts.

Spotlight Verdict

My Boy Harry, Arthur Rose and Boujee Gold all have the ability to feature, while Laurentia (second choice) will be a danger to all granted some luck in running. RAINBOW SIGN was at the top of his game in September though and he can record a third course win.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Boujee Gold:
    • Strengths: Joint highest TMR (69). Showed recent promising form (third last week). Listed as one that has the ability to feature.
    • Weaknesses: None specified.
    • Suitability: One to consider seriously.
  • Unknown Journey:
    • Strengths: Joint highest TMR (69).
    • Weaknesses: Exposed 13-race maiden, recent effort was poor.
    • Suitability: Needs a massive turnaround in form, though the introduction of a tongue tie might help.
  • Zaltalla:
    • Strengths: Showed good form earlier in the season.
    • Weaknesses: Form has dipped recently and is considered “opposable”.
    • Suitability: Not favoured by recent form analysis.

8. 3.40 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) (1m 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Night Arc74
2Raqraaq72

Recent Form and Comments

  • Night Arc (74): Easily recorded his first AW success at Wolverhampton last week (8.6f). He is unpenalised for that win and has obvious claims despite the widest stall.
  • Raqraaq (72): Won over C&D in January off a 3lb higher mark. Has been quiet recently but dropping back into 0-55 company should be advantageous.

Spotlight Verdict

I Was Thinking can build on his encouraging handicap debut and stepping up to a mile should be in his favour, while cases can be made for Three On Thursday and Raqraaq too. Chico Dulce has run well over 1m2f on his last two starts and is greatly respected but NIGHT ARC (nap) won easily at Wolverhampton on last week’s stable debut, escapes a penalty and can overcome the widest stall to follow up.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Night Arc:
    • Strengths: Highest TMR (74). Recent easy winner who escapes a penalty. Spotlight NAP.
    • Weaknesses: Drawn widest.
    • Suitability: Expected to overcome the stall and follow up.
  • Raqraaq:
    • Strengths: C&D winner previously off a slightly higher mark. Advantageously placed in Class 6 (0-55 company). TMR of 72.
    • Weaknesses: Has been quiet lately.
    • Suitability: Has a case made for him.

9. 4.10 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Handicap (7f 1y)

RankHorseTimeWise Master Rating (TMR)
1Spirit Of Breeze78
2Ten Club77

Recent Form and Comments

  • Spirit Of Breeze (78): Has won two of his last three starts, including landing an apprentice handicap over C&D last week. He is unpenalised for that success and has plenty in his favour.
  • Ten Club (77): Suffered a near miss at Wolverhampton last week (7f), keeping on well despite running into traffic problems. He is handicapped to win.

Spotlight Verdict

A competitive race featuring some in-form handicappers and a couple of class-droppers who could raise their game. City Of York and Holy Fire fall into the latter category and are feared but SPIRIT OF BREEZE won quite tidily over C&D last week and can follow up off the same mark. Ten Club is feared most.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
  • Trainer Records: Statistics unavailable in sources.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Spirit Of Breeze:
    • Strengths: Highest TMR (78). Recent C&D winner, unpenalised, and highly favoured by the Spotlight to follow up.
    • Weaknesses: None specified.
    • Suitability: Expected to follow up his victory.
  • Ten Club:
    • Strengths: High TMR (77). Handicapped to win and ran a near miss last time despite traffic issues. Feared most by the Spotlight (second selection).
    • Weaknesses: Prone to traffic problems.
    • Suitability: Strong contender, likely to go close if getting a clear run.

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