This analysis works through the Redcar races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses, summarising their details, providing the Spotlight Verdict, listing Race Statistics, and assessing the chances of the top contenders.
12:25 Racing TV Free Trial Now EBF Novice Stakes (6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Cape Ashizuri (TS 65, Master RPR 87)
- Houndhill (TS 65, Master RPR 76)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Cape Ashizuri: Form reads 7041 15. He is a 75,000 euros half-brother to six winners including The Wow Signal. He won his Ayr debut by 2 lengths (6f, good to soft). He was subsequently highly tried in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, where he finished last. He carries a penalty here.
- Houndhill: Form reads 3293 3. He made an encouraging debut at 50-1, keeping on for third over 5f at Redcar in May (good to firm). He needs more to feature here, and his second run has been a while coming (162 days off).
Spotlight Verdict:
Saber Strike and Spaceman are noted as well-bred newcomers, but the verdict suggests it is significant that the Quinns considered Cape Ashizuri good enough to contest the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster. He is a half-brother to The Wow Signal.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 2yo only.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Native Instinct) was the 6/4 favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Cape Ashizuri:
- Strengths: Possesses a useful level of proven form (winning debut), capable of dealing with the conditions (good to soft win). The yard showed enough confidence in him to run him in a Group 2.
- Weaknesses: Carries a penalty. His last run was disappointing (finished last).
- Suitability: Expected to deal with the penalty in this novice stakes class.
- Houndhill:
- Strengths: Showed encouragement on debut. Shares the highest Topspeed rating (65) with Cape Ashizuri.
- Weaknesses: Needs to build significantly on his debut form; has been absent since May (162 days).
12:55 Wear Your Poppy With Pride Nursery Handicap (1m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Kiss For An Angel (TS 62, Master RPR 74)
- Baggot Street (TS 56, Master RPR 73)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Kiss For An Angel: Form reads 7135 255. He finished no closer than 6 lengths in his three 7f races but showed enough to believe he will find his level in nurseries; the market may provide a guide.
- Baggot Street: Form reads 7375 324435. He is a maiden after nine starts. He has threatened in nurseries previously, but over 6f, and his stamina was questionable in two attempts at 7f; he now goes over 1m.
Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for nursery debutante Charlotte Corday, who ran a closing third over this far at Leicester before getting stuck in the mud last time. Aleen should be better back on the grass, and Kiss For An Angel may also go well.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 2yo only.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Al Waseela) was the 9/2 4th favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Kiss For An Angel:
- Strengths: Should appreciate finding his level in a nursery environment. Has the highest Master RPR in the field (74).
- Weaknesses: Previous form in 7f races has been moderate.
- Suitability: Needs market support to confirm expectations.
- Baggot Street:
- Strengths: Has experience in nurseries.
- Weaknesses: Very exposed (nine starts), still a maiden. There are concerns regarding his stamina as he steps up to 1m, having previously looked unconvincing at 7f.
- Suitability: Stamina is the main question mark.
1:25 Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap (7f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Based on Ratings Report selection):
- Highfield Viking (TS 76, Master RPR 84)
- Packetofbiscuits (TS 75, Master RPR 76)
(Note: Look Back Smiling has a higher TS rating (84) than Highfield Viking (76), but the Ratings Report specifically lists Highfield Viking and Packetofbiscuits as the top two contenders.)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Highfield Viking: Form reads 8239 112573. He won twice in August (on good ground). He ran on for third at Catterick last time. This is his preferred trip and he is fine on all ground.
- Packetofbiscuits: Form reads 8109 213691. He is a 7f AW winner who signed off for Adrian Nicholls by winning a seller at Leicester three weeks ago. His new trainer has booked Luke Morris, who knows him well.
Spotlight Verdict:
This is very open. Law Degree lurks at the bottom of the weights and ran an encouraging last race, welcoming rain. Highfield Viking has a solid chance, together with Look Back Smiling and Tactical Plan.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-2-2, 4yo+ 1-0-7.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Ey Up Its Jazz) was the 11/4 favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Highfield Viking:
- Strengths: Solid recent form (two wins, one third), handles all ground, and 7f is his optimum trip. Holds a solid chance.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly stated.
- Suitability: Reliable performer at this level.
- Packetofbiscuits:
- Strengths: Recent winner (seller). The retention of jockey Luke Morris, who knows the horse well, is a positive factor following the yard switch.
- Weaknesses: Competing in a higher grade now after winning a seller.
- Suitability: Faces tougher competition but has recent winning form.
1:55 racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap (1m 2f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Have Secret (TS 88, Master RPR 100)
- Obito (TS 77, Master RPR 98)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Have Secret: Form reads 8445 200062. He has an infrequent winning strike-rate (3-32) but ran well at York before finishing close to a prolific winner at Doncaster (1m2f, heavy). He has a solid chance here.
- Obito: Form reads 7634 641222. He is a dual winner who is holding his form well on all sorts of ground. He is running off the same mark as when finishing second at Ayr five weeks ago (1m2f). He is rated as solid.
Spotlight Verdict:
Obito is hard to knock and his stablemate Mafting is respected, and Alcarath is progressive on his handicap debut, but Have Secret is preferred. He pushed a prolific horse close at Doncaster and has been unfortunate not to have won more during his career.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-3, 4yo+ 0-1-5.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Liberty Coach) was the 11/4 2nd favourite.
- Trainer Records: Richard Fahey 0-1-1 (winner-placed-runs).
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Have Secret:
- Strengths: Demonstrated excellent form recently, especially pushing a prolific winner close on heavy ground. Gets a 5lb claimer, Warren Fentiman.
- Weaknesses: Low strike-rate (3-32).
- Suitability: Considered unfortunate not to have won more and holds a solid chance.
- Obito:
- Strengths: Dual winner holding form well, proven on various ground, runs off a workable mark.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly listed.
- Suitability: Rated as a solid contender.
2:25 Constant Security Services Handicap (1m 6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated (Based on Ratings Report selection):
- Codiak (TS 71, Master RPR 78)
- Mission Possible (TS 64, Master RPR 79)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Codiak: Form reads 6668 425. He showed similar form in two middle-distance novice events (1m4f/1m3f, wearing blinkers which now return). He had a lesser effort on the AW last time. He could make an impact in his first handicap.
- Mission Possible: Form reads 8550 453822. She was unraced until June. She is becoming exposed as fairly ordinary but is clearly capable of winning off this mark, having finished runner-up on her last two outings (1m6f/2m).
Spotlight Verdict:
The filly Mission Possible is one of her yard’s lesser lights but a handicap of this nature is within her capabilities. Codiak brings a less exposed profile into handicaps and is the second choice, ahead of the ex-Irish Keyboard.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-1-1, 4yo+ 1-0-6.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Haarar) was the 12/1 4th favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Codiak:
- Strengths: Unexposed profile for a handicap. Returns to blinkers.
- Weaknesses: Had a lesser run on the AW.
- Suitability: Brings a less exposed profile compared to the field.
- Mission Possible:
- Strengths: Clearly capable off this mark, backed up by two recent runner-up finishes over staying trips. Within her capabilities.
- Weaknesses: Becoming exposed as fairly ordinary.
- Suitability: The favourite for this race (15/8).
2:57 Carol Simpson Legacy Handicap (Div I) (6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Crocodile Power (TS 53, Master RPR 70)
- Diligent Henry (TS 52, Master RPR 71)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Crocodile Power: Form reads 8538 323051. He gained all four turf wins at Catterick, the most recent last Tuesday (6f, soft). He is carrying a 4lb penalty and returning to a different venue, meaning he is no certainty to follow up.
- Diligent Henry: Form reads 8310 975413. He has seemed ideally suited by 7f on Wolverhampton AW, as his recent form reflects. He holds a fighting chance if he proves as effective back on turf and returned to the shorter 6f trip.
Spotlight Verdict:
One Of Our Own holds particularly strong claims as a nicely treated contender who ran creditably over C&D last week. Run This Way is second choice ahead of in-form Diligent Henry. Crocodile Power appears one to take on back away from Catterick.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-0-1, 4yo+ 0-2-9.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Taygar) was the 28/1 10th favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Crocodile Power:
- Strengths: Recent winner.
- Weaknesses: Carries a 4lb penalty and leaving his preferred Catterick track. The Spotlight Verdict advises taking him on.
- Suitability: Uncertain to follow up.
- Diligent Henry:
- Strengths: In good recent form on AW. Rated highly by the Spotlight as an in-form contender.
- Weaknesses: Preferred trip has been 7f on AW; his suitability for 6f on turf is a question.
- Suitability: Holds a fighting chance.
3:27 Carol Simpson Legacy Handicap (Div II) (6f)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Missmimi (TS 56, Master RPR 70)
- Mrs Trump (TS 63, Master RPR 70)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Missmimi: Form reads 8215 441623. She is a consistent mare who finished well to be right on the scene over C&D 18 days ago (good). Her three wins have come on stiffer tracks, but the anticipated slower surface today should place a greater emphasis on stamina, which will suit her.
- Mrs Trump: Form reads 8510 511745. She has won on two of her four visits to this track. She was not at her best last week behind Giselles Izzy.
Spotlight Verdict:
The 5yo mare Missmimi (nap) is prefered. The ground is expected to be slower than when she was a close third here last month, which suits her stamina. Carlton And Co is not handicapped out of contention and Giselles Izzy must be feared.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 1-0-1, 4yo+ 0-2-9.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Taygar) was the 28/1 10th favourite.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records are provided for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Missmimi:
- Strengths: Consistent, demonstrated capability over C&D, anticipated slower ground is expected to suit her stamina. She is the nap selection.
- Weaknesses: Her previous wins have been on stiffer tracks.
- Suitability: Highly suitable given the expected conditions.
- Mrs Trump:
- Strengths: Good track record (two wins here). Has the highest Topspeed rating in the race (63).
- Weaknesses: Below her best form in her latest outing.
- Suitability: Needs to bounce back to her course-winning form.
3:57 Thanks And See You Next Season Apprentice Handicap (1m)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Oilisa (TS 56, Master RPR 74)
- Fire Eyes (TS 55, Master RPR 72)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Oilisa: Form reads 8394 743511. She won recently at Nottingham (8.5f, heavy) 12 days ago, giving generously. She is up 2lb, but the rider claims 3lb. She is the one to beat, provided the previous race hasn’t left its mark.
- Fire Eyes: Form reads 8184 214122. Her form figures for her current trainer are 122, including a win over 7f here in September. Her recent AW efforts over 1m read well in the context of this race. She wears cheekpieces for the first time.
Spotlight Verdict:
The three to concentrate on are Oilisa, Fire Eyes (second choice) and Poet’s Dawn. Oilisa is a confident pick to complete a quickfire hat-trick given her performance in the Nottingham mud and having a familiar rider back.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 0-0-2, 4yo+ 1-2-6.
- Fate of Favourites: The winner listed in the form breakdown (Rwenearlytheredad) was the 2/1 favourite.
- Trainer Records: Simon Whitaker 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two:
- Oilisa:
- Strengths: Recent winning form, proven effectiveness on heavy ground, rider claims weight to counteract the penalty. Confident pick to complete a hat-trick.
- Weaknesses: Quick turnaround (12 days) after winning on heavy ground.
- Suitability: Highly suitable, particularly if ground remains soft.
- Fire Eyes:
- Strengths: Highly consistent (form 122), good recent AW efforts, wears new cheekpieces to potentially find improvement.
- Weaknesses: Needs the new headgear to elicit further progress.
- Suitability: Second choice and enters calculations.
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