This response works through all the Warwick races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses (based on the highest total TimeWise rating, represented by the ‘master latest master’ Racing Post Rating (RPR) column), summarising their form and providing the required analysis and statistics.
1.02 pricedup.bet Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scarlet Moon (3) | 107 | Ben Poste | A Watson (0% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Spuddling (3) | 104 | Harry Kimber | Kathy Turner (100% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Scarlet Moon: This horse is a fairly useful Flat racer with four wins over 1m4f to 1m6f from just ten runs. He managed only third of four when the 4-7 favourite on his recent hurdling debut at Sedgefield (2m1f, good), but the Spotlight noted that significant positives can still be drawn from that performance. He wears refitted cheekpieces here.
- Spuddling: Her only Flat win was in a basement-grade classified race. She made a reasonably good start to her hurdling career when third at Fontwell (2m1f, good) in September but was soundly beaten there last month, suggesting that others look stronger.
Spotlight Verdict
The decision to allow free-goer Stardrop to bowl along in front at Stratford last month backfired and it will be interesting to see what tactics are used today. He could be hard to beat if he uses his energy more efficiently but a safer option might be SCARLET MOON, who was of similar ability on the Flat and who did not run badly when third of four on his hurdling debut. Premier is next on the list, while Westlain is arguably the most interesting among the hurdling debutants.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 8-13-69.
- Fate of Favourites: 11421265.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Dan Skelton 3-2-6, Warren Greatrex 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Scarlet Moon (107 RPR):
- Strengths: Highest rated; proven Flat performer at longer distances (1m4f-1m6f). The Spotlight considers him the safer option.
- Weaknesses: Was unable to convert as the favourite on hurdling debut.
- Suitability: Needs to show progression over hurdles, but the introduction of refitted cheekpieces might help.
- Spuddling (104 RPR):
- Strengths: Showed encouraging early hurdling form with a third place in September.
- Weaknesses: Soundly beaten recently; Flat form was low-grade; others look stronger.
1.32 PricedUp Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ice In The Veins (5) | 112 | Harry Skelton | D Skelton (65% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Kykorock (5) | 106 | Tristan Durrell (3) | D Skelton (65% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Ice In The Veins: Won a Worcester bumper (good) in May. He spoiled his chance by refusing to settle at Worcester in September and was a beaten odds-on favourite on his first two hurdling starts. He has a first-time hood fitted here.
- Kykorock: Won a maiden point in February 2024 and made a fairly encouraging Rules debut in January. However, he returned with a lesser effort last month and is seemingly the stable’s second string here.
Spotlight Verdict
There are risks attached to easy bumper winner ICE IN THE VEINS, who was a beaten odds-on favourite on his first two hurdling starts and needs to settle much better than he did at Worcester in September. However, he has a good engine and is given the vote in the hope the first-time hood helps him to relax today. Hurdling debutant Moon Over America was second in a bumper in the spring and looks the main danger, although Alan King’s newcomer Lightfingered Jack has a very good jumping pedigree and could be anything.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 4yo 3-3-21, 5yo 3-10-45, 6yo 1-0-7, 7yo 0-0-6, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 2135212.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Alan King 0-3-6, Dan Skelton 0-4-5.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Ice In The Veins (112 RPR):
- Strengths: Highest rated; proven winner with a “good engine”. Stable has a strong record of placing horses in this type of race.
- Weaknesses: Has previously been difficult to settle; disappointing as a favourite.
- Suitability: The first-time hood is crucial for him to relax and win.
- Kykorock (106 RPR):
- Strengths: Point-to-point winner.
- Weaknesses: Stable’s apparent second choice; returned from an absence with a lesser effort last month.
2.02 Stan Mellor Memorial ‘Chasing Excellence’ Beginners’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deep Purple (6) | 132 | Harry Skelton | D Skelton (65% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Go West (7) | N/A (OR 128) | Harry Cobden | P Nicholls (68% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Jipcot (6) | N/A (OR 128) | Kielan Woods | J & A J O’Neill (42% in last 14 days) |
| (Note: Go West and Jipcot share the highest OR (128) among those without a Master RPR, while Deep Purple has the highest recorded Master RPR (132). I will focus the assessment on Deep Purple and Go West, as Go West is the Spotlight pick.) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Deep Purple: Is a Point/bumper/hurdles winner who is 0-4 since switching to chasing. He ran well in a Chepstow handicap (3m2f, good to firm) most recently but appears to have a tougher task at the weights back down sharply in trip.
- Go West: Was a progressive novice hurdler last season until seeming a non-stayer over 3m in a Listed event. He is a front-runner suited by sharp tracks and warrants respect in this ideal scenario on chase debut.
Spotlight Verdict
Back down in distance, GO WEST could well resume his progress and emulate Stage Star who won this race in 2022 for the same connections. Fellow chase debutants Josh The Boss (second choice) and Silver Thorn are respected.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 1-1-4, 6yo 1-0-3, 7yo 1-0-2, 8yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 111.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Paul Nicholls 1-1-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Deep Purple (132 RPR):
- Strengths: Holds the highest Master RPR (132). Has race experience over fences.
- Weaknesses: 0-4 over fences; faces a tough task dropping sharply in trip at the weights.
- Go West (128 OR):
- Strengths: Progressive profile last season; suited by sharp tracks. On chase debut for a trainer who won this race recently. Considered the most likely winner.
- Weaknesses: Did not stay 3m previously; chase debutante.
- Suitability: The distance (2m4f) and the sharp track should suit his front-running style.
2.32 PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goodbyemick (7) | 107 | David Bass | M Comley (100% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Jet Patrol (8) | 104 | Alex Chadwick (3) | J Owen (55% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Goodbyemick: This horse is a longstanding maiden (0-13 points, 0-8 under Rules). He seemingly benefitted from headgear (cheekpieces then blinkers) to run well on both starts last month. He is now tried in a first-time visor.
- Jet Patrol: A dual hurdle winner for his new stable since the summer. He flopped badly when odds-on over fences last month (bled from the nose), but the form of his September clearcut Plumpton hurdle win (keeping on too strongly for next-time-out winner Ez Tiger) was boosted. He has strong claims if he returns to hurdles in form.
Spotlight Verdict
He already has a mixed record for his new stable after only four runs but JET PATROL had a valid excuse when pulled up over fences last month and the form of his clearcut Plumpton hurdle win in September was boosted when the runner-up Ez Tiger went one better there a fortnight ago. James Owen may yet squeeze out more improvement from him and he gets the nod here. Class-dropper El Borracho lurks on a dangerous hurdle mark and is second choice, ahead of Kotgar, who made an encouraging reappearance last month.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 0-2-3, 4yo 0-5-19, 5yo 5-5-40, 6yo 3-4-23, 7yo 2-4-24, 8yo 0-1-6, 9yo 0-0-2, 10yo 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 332F224254.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Alex Hales 1-0-1, Evan Williams 1-1-3, Alan King 0-2-4.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Goodbyemick (107 RPR):
- Strengths: Highest rated. Showed recent improvement with headgear. Trainer M Comley has a 100% run-to-form record recently.
- Weaknesses: Longstanding maiden (0-21 overall); needs to find something extra in the first-time visor.
- Jet Patrol (104 RPR):
- Strengths: Excellent recent hurdle form, boosted by the runner-up winning since. Spotlight selection.
- Weaknesses: Failed badly over fences last month (bled from the nose). Must prove he is back “on song” on return to hurdles.
3.02 Jets Richard Davis Awards 30th Anniversary Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Cody (8) | 127 | Paul O’Brien | Mrs P Sly (100% in last 14 days) |
| 1 | Regal Renaissance (7) | 127 | Sam Twiston-Davies | H Daly (60% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- William Cody: A four-time chase winner (always on right-handed tracks). Ended last season with two respectable runs and remains on a workable mark.
- Regal Renaissance: Was runner-up on her final two appearances last season. She is only 3lb higher than when she won over C&D (good to soft) last November, and the Spotlight notes it would be no surprise if she features.
Spotlight Verdict
Tedwin Hills won easily at Stratford last month but has a 10lb higher mark to contend with here and the suggestion is CHUGGY (nap), who made a winning chase debut over 2m and could have a lot more to offer over today’s longer trip. Chasing debutant Jack To Bat has more to prove but he has possibilities if judged on the best of his three hurdle runs.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 5yo 1-0-2, 6yo 1-3-13, 8yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-0-1, 10yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 03.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Jane Williams 1-0-1, Jonjo & A J O’Neill 0-1-1, Tom George 0-1-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
- William Cody (127 RPR):
- Strengths: Proven four-time chase winner on a workable mark. Trainer Mrs P Sly has a 100% run-to-form record recently.
- Weaknesses: Preference is given to others in the line-up.
- Suitability: Ideally suited by right-handed tracks.
- Regal Renaissance (127 RPR):
- Strengths: C&D winner previously; only 3lb higher than for that win. Ended last season in great form with back-to-back seconds.
- Suitability: Expected to feature prominently.
3.32 PricedUp The Jumps Handicap Chase (Class 5)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iron D’Ex (7) | 109 | Sean Houlihan | Sheila Lewis (20% in last 14 days) |
| 2 | Getthepot (10) | 108 | Kielan Woods | Killahena & G McPherson (50% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Iron D’Ex: Ended last season in poor form but made a quite encouraging reappearance when fourth (about 9l behind Ballynaheer) three weeks ago. He is on a very good mark now and has cheekpieces refitted today, making him dangerous to ignore.
- Getthepot: Returned from his latest wind op with a pretty good second at Southwell (3m, good) in June. However, he has not been firing since that run and needs to up his game, having finished behind two of today’s rivals recently.
Spotlight Verdict
Ballynaheer (second choice) has been in good form lately but a chance is taken on the fitness of MYTHE BRIDGE, who made a solid start to his chasing career at the end of last season and still has potential. Iron d’Ex has about 9l to find with Ballynaheer on last month’s Hereford form but that was his first run since April and he has cheekpieces refitted here.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 5yo 0-1-3, 6yo 1-2-5, 7yo 0-0-4, 8yo 0-2-8, 9yo 1-0-4, 10yo 0-0-4.
- Fate of Favourites: P2.
- Trainer Records: No specific trainer records listed for this race.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Iron D’Ex (109 RPR):
- Strengths: Highest rated; well handicapped; recent run suggests he is coming back to form; cheekpieces fitted.
- Weaknesses: Needs to close the 9l gap to Ballynaheer from their previous meeting.
- Getthepot (108 RPR):
- Strengths: Showed capability after a wind op in June (finished second).
- Weaknesses: Form has tailed off since June; needs significant improvement.
- Suitability: Needs to prove he is back to his June form to be competitive.
4.02 Download The PricedUp App Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
| Rank | Horse (Age) | TimeWise Master RPR | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Getalead (9) | 118 | Lewis Saunders (5) | K Pickard (0% in last 14 days) |
| 1 | The Great Escape (5) | 118 | Jonjo O’Neill Jr | J & A J O’Neill (42% in last 14 days) |
Recent Form and Comments
- Getalead: Has a very good 8-32 hurdling strike-rate and won the 2024 edition of this race (on good ground). He returns on a workable mark and has won when fresh before. He had his fourth wind op last month.
- The Great Escape: Made the frame in all three qualifying runs. Finished second on his handicap debut at Worcester (2m4f, good) in July. He is a contender if in similar form again after a four-month break.
Spotlight Verdict
There could still be more to come from Got A Dream, who made a winning handicap debut at Chepstow last month, but preference is for ROARING HOME, who ran well in defeat over C&D in the spring and posted another good effort over 2m when back in action last month. Last year’s winner Getalead is next on the list.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (W-P-R): 5yo 0-0-2, 6yo 1-2-12, 7yo 0-1-3, 8yo 1-0-3, 9yo 0-1-1, 10yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 21.
- Trainer Records (W-P-R): Kevin Pickard 1-0-1, Alan King 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Getalead (118 RPR):
- Strengths: Proven course and distance winner. Excellent strike-rate; returns on a good mark.
- Weaknesses: Has not run since July and recently underwent wind surgery.
- Suitability: Proven capability on good ground and handling a return from a break.
- The Great Escape (118 RPR):
- Strengths: Tied for highest Master RPR. Showed strong form in July on handicap debut (second place).
- Weaknesses: Returning from a four-month break; needs to confirm fitness and consistency.
- Suitability: Contender if ready after the layoff.
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