Wolverhampton; Analysis of the Timewise Top two rated+The Spotlight Verdict+Race Stats.

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This analysis details the Wolverhampton races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses in each race.


1. 4.25 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes

(2yo, 5f, Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Akirra (Odds: 1-5)
  2. Sunlit Sea (Odds: 20-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
AkirraHas gone close in two of his four starts, with the latest resulting in him being beaten less than a length into second in a nursery at Southwell (5f, Tapeta) ten days ago. This looks like a golden opportunity for him to get off the mark. He is bred to handle the All-Weather (AW).
Sunlit SeaHas been well held in 6f novices at Chelmsford (Polytrack) and Southwell (Tapeta) last month. She is nicely bred and should come good at some point, but this is likely to be in handicaps after this race.

Spotlight Verdict:
Burdett Estate is worth a second look on debut given he is bred to handle the AW and the stable is 1-2 with 2yo newcomers this year, but this does look a golden oppprtunity for AKIRRA to get off the mark having gone close in two of his four starts, including on Tapeta.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo horses are eligible for this race. Specific age group records for Wolverhampton are not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): Clive Cox (75%), O Sangster (33%), Sir M Prescott (50%), Mrs H Main (50%), B Toomey (20%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Akirra: Strength: Possesses the best exposed form, having gone close recently in a nursery. Is regarded as having been found a “golden opportunity”. Weakness: Must concede weight to the fillies and is running at short odds. Suitability: Highly suitable for this task on Tapeta, having performed well on the surface recently.
  • Sunlit Sea: Strength: Nicely bred. Weakness: Has been well held in previous novice runs. Her best prospect for a win likely lies in future handicap company. Suitability: Poorly suited by the requirements of this maiden based on existing form.

2. 5.00 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Nursery Handicap

(2yo, 5f, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Ophelia Grace (Odds: 9-4)
  2. Moira Express (Odds: 4-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Ophelia GraceWon easily at Southwell (5f, Tapeta) in August on her second start, followed by a 5l second place to a newcomer at Beverley (5f, soft). She is firmly in calculations on her nursery debut.
Moira ExpressHas been progressive despite tending to start slowly and was beaten by just a neck and a nose when finishing third over C&D on her nursery debut last month. She can be bang there once more.

Spotlight Verdict:
Having impressed in a maiden at Southwell in August, OPHELIA GRACE is taken to make a winning nursery debut now back on Tapeta. Fellow filly Moira Express was a very close third over C&D four weeks ago in her first nursery and is feared most ahead of Bassenthwaite.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo horses are eligible for this nursery handicap.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): H Al Jehani (83%), Clive Cox (75%), R Varian (75%), K P De Foy (50%), Dr R Newland & J Insole (36%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Ophelia Grace: Strength: Proven winner on Tapeta. Highly regarded and expected to make a winning nursery debut. Weakness: Recent run was on soft ground, which may not have suited, but returning to AW is a plus. Suitability: Highly suited to these conditions.
  • Moira Express: Strength: Consistent progression in her hood. Demonstrated suitability for C&D and class when finishing a very close third recently. Weakness: Tends to start slowly. Suitability: Well suited to the C&D and race class.

3. 5.30 Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Restricted Maiden Stakes

(2yo, 7f, Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Deported (Odds: 11-10)
  2. Katalyst (Odds: 4-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
DeportedNot beaten far in a useful Sandown maiden in June. Returned from a break with a close call at Kempton (7f, AW) 12 days ago behind a promising newcomer. He has leading claims on this switch to Tapeta.
KatalystHas improved with experience, despite flashing her tail in all three runs. She wasn’t beaten far when fifth of 13 at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last month, a form line that puts her firmly in the picture.

Spotlight Verdict:
This can go to the twice-raced DEPORTED who reappeared with a close call at Kempton 12 days ago and that was behind a promising newcomer who was well backed. Katalyst is the main form danger, but there are some well-bred newcomers who need a close look in the market including Darn Hot Gallop, Okiru and Five Cay.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo horses are eligible.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): C Banham (100%), J Tate (83%), A Watson (67%), J Jones (58%), J Owen (54%), W Muir & C Grassick (40%), O Sangster (33%), H J Evans (33%), J Ferguson (25%), T Clover (20%), D Loughnane (21%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Deported: Strength: Excellent recent AW form (close second at Kempton). The horse he followed home was highly regarded. Weakness: None explicitly mentioned regarding ability or suitability. Suitability: Expected to handle the switch to Tapeta well, giving him leading claims.
  • Katalyst: Strength: Recent form at Southwell on Tapeta (7f) is competitive for this grade. Weakness: Has displayed awkward tendencies (“flashed her tail”) in previous runs. Suitability: Solid form danger to the favourite.

4. 6.00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

(3yo+, 7f, Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Blue Jay Way (Odds: 9-4)
  2. Bandello (Odds: 5-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Blue Jay WayOn a roll, having made his breakthrough at Catterick last month and then followed up with a strong-finishing success over C&D two weeks ago. He is up another 3lb.
BandelloIs 0-19 but has reached the frame in his last four starts. He was an eyecatching fourth behind Blue Jay Way over C&D last time. He has a 3lb swing in the weights with Blue Jay Way and is an interesting contender.

Spotlight Verdict:
Top of the list is BLUE JAY WAY (nap), who is on a roll after his two wins last month including a strong-finishing success over C&D last time. He remains feasibly treated on his best form and is a big player again in hat-trick bid. Bandello, who was an eyecatching fourth behind the selection here two weeks ago, is feared most ahead of Von Krolock and Scenario.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): J Riches (75%), J Candlish (50%), A Haynes (40%), J Owen (54%), J Jones (58%), A Carroll (61%), M Attwater (33%), Mrs L Williamson (25%), D Loughnane (21%), A Wintle (46%), R Harris (0%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Blue Jay Way: Strength: Proven winner recently over C&D and clearly progressing well. Weakness: Has a 3lb penalty to deal with. Suitability: Highly suited to the C&D and is the nap selection.
  • Bandello: Strength: Demonstrated recent strong finishing power at C&D against Blue Jay Way. Receives a 3lb advantage against the winner. Weakness: Remains a maiden (0-19). Suitability: Expected to run well and challenge the favourite.

5. 6.30 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

(3yo+, 7f, Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Mintana (Odds: 5-1)
  2. Reputation (Odds: 13-2)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
MintanaEnded 2024 in good form (including a win and a runner-up spot at Bath). Was not at her best on reappearance in September but shaped as though she needed that run. She had a solid record over C&D last season.
ReputationA 12yo who recorded his eighth win off an 8lb higher mark at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last November. Has run plenty of decent races since, including a respectable fifth at Southwell (1m) ten days ago. Has possibilities if the race pace sets up for his closing style.

Spotlight Verdict:
This looks tricky but the vote goes to the generally reliable MINTANA, who ran well for a long way on her comeback at Bath in September. She should benefit from that run and had a solid record over C&D last season. The main threat could come from triple course winner My Boy Jack, who made some striking late headway when runner-up over 6f here last week. Reputation has possibilities if this sets up for his closing style, while it wouldn’t a be a surprise if Happy Chandler made a bold bid off a dangerous mark.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): C Banham (100%), I McInnes (50%), J Candlish (50%), Mrs R Carr (50%), H J Evans (33%), A Carroll (61%), A Wintle (46%), P Kirby (13%), M Blake (0%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Mintana: Strength: Solid C&D record and expected to improve significantly following her reappearance run. Weakness: Needs to recapture end-of-2024 form. Suitability: Highly reliable and favoured for the win.
  • Reputation: Strength: Well handicapped compared to his last winning AW mark. Showed decent form recently at Southwell. Weakness: A 12yo who needs luck for his hold-up style. Suitability: Good chance if the pace is strong.

6. 7.00 Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap

(3yo+, 6f, Class 4)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Rosenpur (Odds: 5-1)
  2. Zoulu Chief (Odds: 6-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
RosenpurHas five wins this year, with three at this track. He has never won beyond 5.5f but has gone close over C&D. He was as good as ever when runner-up at Catterick (5f, good) last month.
Zoulu ChiefAll 20 of his runs have been on turf. Following a gelding operation, he has finished placed (6f/7f) in his last three starts. He is running well recently, including a close second.

Spotlight Verdict:
There are plenty of in-form contenders in the line-up including Jax Edge, who has won on turf in two of her last three starts, and Rosenpur, who was as good as ever when runner-up at Catterick last time. Zoulu Chief has claims if he can continue his good work on this switch to AW, while Hoodie Hoo also enters the reckoning along with Mythical Composer. However, preference is for TOP JUGGLER who is unexposed in this sphere and is on the same mark as for his close call at Southwell 11 days ago.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): Clive Cox (75%), C Mason (75%), H Al Jehani (83%), C Hills (78%), J Candlish (50%), Mrs H Main (50%), M Herrington (44%), S Spencer (29%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Zoulu Chief: Strength: Remains well treated on old form and appears revitalised following his gelding operation and turf placings. Weakness: AW debut, but expected to handle the surface. Suitability: A big player if turf form transfers to AW.
  • Rosenpur: Strength: Highly consistent and in great recent form, running “as good as ever”. Proven on this track (three wins here). Weakness: Has to prove he stays this trip well, though has gone close over C&D before. Suitability: Respected contender, especially with recent strong form.

7. 7.30 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap

(3yo+, 1m 1f 104y, Class 5)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Al Rufaa (Odds: 5-2)
  2. Youarenotforgiven (Odds: 9-2)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Al RufaaOn a long losing run but turned things around with a near miss off this mark over C&D last Monday. Was well backed in that recent race.
YouarenotforgivenA resurgent 7yo who has scored over C&D in two of his last three runs, including beating Al Rufaa and Orbaan last Monday. Remains well handicapped on old form.

Spotlight Verdict:
Youarenotforgiven, Al Rufaa and Orbaan fought out a tight finish over C&D last Monday and it’s a tough call in this rematch, but Youarenotforgiven has been resurgent with two wins here this autumn and may be the pick of that trio again, even with a 4lb penalty. The unexposed True Colors needs a close look, but the vote goes to STIPULATION who completed a double over C&D in September and ran another good race behind two progressive 3yos here last time.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): M Botti (80%), R Varian (75%), D & C Kubler (63%), D O’Meara (63%), A Carroll (61%), S Woods (58%), D M Loughnane (17%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Al Rufaa: Strength: Demonstrated winning form is imminent following his close second over C&D last time. Highly respected on that form repetition. Weakness: On a long losing streak. Suitability: Highly suited to C&D, especially if well supported again.
  • Youarenotforgiven: Strength: Proven course and distance winner (two recent wins). Remains well treated on old form. Weakness: Has a 4lb penalty to contend with following his Monday win. Suitability: Expected to be highly competitive in the rematch, despite the penalty.

8. 8.00 Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap

(3yo+, 5f, Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Sams Xpress (Odds: 6-4)
  2. Gustav Graves (Odds: 11-2)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Sam’s XpressIn fine form for his new yard and is bidding for a hat-trick after making all in wins at Chelmsford and over C&D a week ago.
Gustav GravesA hold-up performer and six-time winner here (five over this trip). He ran well to finish second of nine behind Sam’s Express a week ago. Has a 5lb pull with Sam’s Express.

Spotlight Verdict:
Sam’s Express had three of these behind when scoring over C&D a week ago and is much respected in his hat-trick bid. However, the runner-up GUSTAV GRAVES may be able to reverse the placings with a 5lb pull and with Joanna Mason, who gets on so well with him, back in the saddle. Fellow C&D winner Kento should appreciate the return to this trip and looks best of the rest.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): M Mullineaux (100%), Mrs A Duffield (67%), J & S Birkett (50%), I Williams (72%), D Shaw (25%), P Morris (14%), A Carroll (61%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Sam’s Xpress: Strength: Highly confident C&D winner last week, commanding favourite, and aiming for a hat-trick. Weakness: Has a penalty to carry. Suitability: Ideal for C&D, especially if allowed to dictate pace.
  • Gustav Graves: Strength: Proven C&D winner, benefiting from a 5lb weight swing compared to the favourite. Re-engaging with successful jockey Joanna Mason. Weakness: Needs to reverse clear form from last week. Suitability: Strong chance of reversing placings due to favorable conditions.

9. 8.30 Join The Midnite Movement Handicap

(3yo+, 1m 4f 51y, Class 6)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Sir Laurence Graff (Odds: 9-2)
  2. This Time Maybe (Odds: 9-1)
HorseRecent Form & Comments
Sir Laurence GraffIn in-form 5yo who was runner-up twice before winning over 1m2f last Monday. He is entitled to plenty of respect under a 5lb penalty.
This Time MaybeIs just 1lb above his last winning mark. He won over C&D in April and at Lingfield in August. Below par on his last three starts.

Spotlight Verdict:
Having returned to form with a strong finish for fourth over 9.5f here in September, STAFFORDSHIRE is taken to get off the mark now back up to 1m4f. Fellow 3yo Lady Aiyana (second choice) could also have untapped potential at this trip and a similar comment applies to Broadstone. Sir Laurence Graff’s recent win came over 1m2f at Lingfield but he’s still respected.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: Not provided in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-R in last 14 days): C Banham (100%), J Norton (100%), D & C Kubler (63%), J Moore (60%), M Usher (40%), J Candlish (50%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances:

  • Sir Laurence Graff: Strength: Excellent recent winning form. Weakness: Carries a 5lb penalty. Is 0-9 at Wolverhampton, though has run well there previously. May prefer 1m2f. Suitability: Respected contender due to high confidence and consistency.
  • This Time Maybe: Strength: Proven C&D winner and runs off a workable mark. Weakness: Recent form has been below par. Suitability: Not discounted given historical suitability to the trip.

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