Based on your request, here is a chronological breakdown of the Wolverhampton races, detailing the TimeWise Master Top Two rated selections, their recent form, the Spotlight Verdict, Race Statistics, and an assessment of their chances. The identification of the Top Two rated horses is drawn from the “Ratings Report” which uses the TimeWise Master rating set.
1. 2.52 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap (Class 6)
- Distance: 1m 4f 51y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Knight Of Magic (2/1)
- Naughty Niall (7/2)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Knight Of Magic: He is 0-21 under rules but hasn’t been with the current yard for long. He offered signs of a revival when beaten just a length, finishing third of nine here (9.5f) a week ago. His stamina for 1m 4f seemed fine when he finished fifth of 12 at Lingfield (Polytrack) in August. He is considered high on the list.
- Naughty Niall: He has recorded wins at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) and Yarmouth (1m2f, good to soft). He was third of nine over this course and distance (C&D) last month, although that race was not considered a true test at the trip, meaning his stamina remains unproven.
Spotlight Verdict:
STARFIGHTER (nap) makes plenty of appeal now that he is back down to a 0-55 for the first time since gaining his fourth C&D success back in January. Despite a record of 0-21, the main danger looks to be Knight Of Magic, who hasn’t been with James Owen for long and finished a close third here a week ago.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): Data specific to historical performance in this exact race/class is not available in the sources. The field includes ages 3yo to 9yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Still to Run.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): I Williams 7-22 (75% run to form), J Owen 3-29 (56% run to form), D M Loughnane 0-17 (15% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Knight Of Magic (Strengths/Suitability): Shows recent promise and fitness, finishing third just a week ago. Trainer James Owen has a 56% run-to-form rate recently. His prior run at 1m 4f suggests the trip is manageable.
- Knight Of Magic (Weaknesses): He is a maiden (0-21).
- Naughty Niall (Strengths/Suitability): Has recent wins up to 1m 2f. Trainer Ian Williams has an exceptional recent form percentage (75%).
- Naughty Niall (Weaknesses): Stamina for the full 1m 4f trip is unproven, despite a recent C&D third, due to the slow pace of that specific race.
2. 3.22 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (Class 5)
- Distance: 6f 20y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Maris Angel (7/2)
- Simply Blue (7/2)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Maris Angel: She is in top form, having won her second race in a row, achieving her fourth course win over C&D last Tuesday. She carries a 5lb penalty, but a hat-trick is a real possibility as there may be more improvement left in her.
- Simply Blue: She finally broke her maiden status at the 16th attempt in a 7f contest here 17 days ago. She was subsequently sold to James Owen. Although dropping back in trip (from 7f), she must be taken into consideration.
Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for MACARONE whose two recent wins have been over C&D. Maris Angel is a big danger, but although she won over this C&D seven days ago, that was a steadily run affair and she may prefer going back to 5f. Last-time winner Simply Blue cannot be overlooked on his debut for James Owen, while Pickering Castle looks sure to be thereabouts once more.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 3-3-20, 4yo+ 4-11-56.
- Fate of Favourites: 2002612.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): I Furtado 2-14 (62% run to form), J Owen 3-29 (56% run to form), D SimcOck 0-11 (70% run to form), F McSharry 1-2 (50% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Maris Angel (Strengths/Suitability): Proven C&D winner and is in top form, chasing a hat-trick. Holds a master RPR of 82.
- Maris Angel (Weaknesses): Carries a 5lb penalty. The recent C&D win was steadily run, suggesting a faster pace or shorter trip might be needed for her optimum performance.
- Simply Blue (Strengths/Suitability): Recently gained confidence by winning a 7f contest. Now making her debut for James Owen, an in-form trainer.
- Simply Blue (Weaknesses): Must prove she is equally effective dropping back from 7f to 6f. Lowest master RPR (79) among the immediate contenders.
3. 3.52 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Nursery Handicap (Class 6)
- Distance: 5f 21y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Havin A Flyer (9/2)
- No Claims Bonus (11/4)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Havin A Flyer: Has shown plenty of early speed, achieving runner-up finishes in two Musselburgh nurseries (over 5f on turf). However, her best turf form is “miles ahead” of her three previous AW efforts, which is a significant concern for this race.
- No Claims Bonus: Made her nursery/AW debut over C&D in September, finishing third of eight. She is running off the same mark and remains open to improvement.
Spotlight Verdict:
KUIAMA ran really well when runner-up on her nursery debut at Chelmsford last week and may be even sharper for that first start in 139 days. Filly Foden (second choice) is more exposed than most but she has still shown more than enough to be a player in this. No Claims Bonus remains open to further improvement.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: For 2yo only.
- Fate of Favourites: Still to Run.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): D Cunha 4-26 (61% run to form), A Haynes 1-19 (44% run to form), R Menzies 0-8 (43% run to form), I Furtado 2-14 (62% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Havin A Flyer (Strengths/Suitability): Holds the highest master RPR (67) among the field. Has proven ability to compete at this distance on turf, suggesting fitness for the trip.
- Havin A Flyer (Weaknesses): Has been significantly disappointing on AW in the past.
- No Claims Bonus (Strengths/Suitability): Showed promise on her nursery/AW debut over C&D (third place). Still unexposed and runs off a known viable mark. Trainer H Eustace has a 43% run-to-form rate.
- No Claims Bonus (Weaknesses): Her master RPR (59) is lower than the other key contenders.
4. 4.25 Midnite Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5)
- Distance: 7f 36y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Albaydaa (6/5)
- Pierchic (7/4)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Albaydaa: Showed promise on her debut (Yarmouth, 6f, soft) where she looked green, but performed better when finishing second of nine at Kempton (6f, Polytrack) last month. The form of that race has been franked (the third-place horse has won since). She sets a fair standard for the newcomers.
- Pierchic: A newcomer with a notable pedigree, being a half-sister to five winners, including Group 3 winner and Oaks runner-up Dance Sequence. She wears a hood on debut. Her pedigree and the stable’s excellent record with 2yo newcomers warrant respect.
Spotlight Verdict:
The three newcomers all have something to recommend them but, with Too Too Divine’s stable not known for winning 2yo newcomers, Pierchic and Ritaal look the ones to concentrate on as far as the market is concerned. However, ALBAYDAA sets a fair standard on what she has already shown and her experience can prove the key.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: For 2yo fillies only.
- Fate of Favourites: Still to Run.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): C Appleby 7-14 (100% run to form), W Haggas 12-47 (79% run to form), O Burrows 2-9 (86% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Albaydaa (Strengths/Suitability): Sets the standard with a strong master RPR of 88. Has beneficial race experience, having improved sharply on her second outing.
- Albaydaa (Weaknesses): None listed; she is the favourite and sets the bar.
- Pierchic (Strengths/Suitability): Outstanding breeding suggests high potential, related to several smart winners. Represents Charlie Appleby’s stable, which has a perfect 100% run-to-form rate recently.
- Pierchic (Weaknesses): Must overcome the lack of experience on debut.
5. 5.00 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5)
- Distance: 1m 1f 104y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Heed (4/1)
- Native Spirit (5/2)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Heed: Won on her debut at Ffos Las (1m). Subsequently ran in a French Listed event (1m2f) where she never figured and was perhaps flattered by the RPR achieved. She drops back in class here with a hood fitted.
- Native Spirit: Ran a solid third at Newmarket (1m2f) in his latest turf start, a performance noted for having substance. He has been gelded since and is considered the leading player on the figures. Toby Moore, who rides, secured two winners for the stable last week.
Spotlight Verdict:
Attractively bred ALSHERA is taken to emulate her best two siblings by making a successful debut. Second choice is the selection’s stablemate Good Old Days, who remains open to progress. Thrice-raced contenders Native Spirit and My Fermoy are respected on form.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 2-1-7, 4yo+ 0-0-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 11.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): C Appleby 7-14 (100% run to form), J & T Gosden 6-26 (68% run to form), G Boughey 3-20 (79% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Heed (Strengths/Suitability): A winning debutante. Drops significantly in class after attempting Listed company. Trainer George Boughey has a very strong recent run-to-form rate (79%).
- Heed (Weaknesses): Recent run suggests her rating might be slightly inflated.
- Native Spirit (Strengths/Suitability): Leading contender based on performance figures. His third at Newmarket holds substantial form. Potential for improvement following being gelded. Trainer Appleby is 100% run to form.
- Native Spirit (Weaknesses): None listed; strongly fancied.
6. 5.30 Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Class 4)
- Distance: 1m 4f 51y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Likealot (7/2)
- Manara (5/1)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Likealot: Has been runner-up twice in her last three turf runs at about 1m3f. She returns to AW (where her record is 132) off the same mark as when she placed second at Southwell (1m3f, Tapeta) in July. She is now fitted with cheekpieces and is highly respected.
- Manara: Holds an excellent record in her first four AW handicaps (1 win, 1 second). She followed this with a turf success in August. After an unsatisfactory run in a higher-grade turf race, she is worth a second look back in grade and on Tapeta.
Spotlight Verdict:
The vote goes to LIKEALOT who returns to the AW from the same mark as when runner-up at Southwell in July. Solarize (unexposed) and Civil Law (eyecatching return) are respected. Manara, who has a fine record in AW handicaps, completes the shortlist.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 2-0-4, 4yo+ 1-6-26.
- Fate of Favourites: 101.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): R Beckett 9-39 (77% run to form), K P De Foy 4-13 (55% run to form), J Owen 3-29 (56% run to form), C Johnston 1-32 (45% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Likealot (Strengths/Suitability): Possesses the highest master RPR (94), matched only by Solarize. Proven AW form (132). Runs off a competitive mark. Trainer R Beckett is in great recent form (77% run to form).
- Likealot (Weaknesses): Recent form was on turf, and this is her first time in cheekpieces.
- Manara (Strengths/Suitability): Has a fine record in AW handicaps. Returns to Tapeta and a more suitable grade. Trainer K P De Foy shows good recent form (55% run to form).
- Manara (Weaknesses): Had a below-par run last time out in a higher class.
7. 6.00 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Class 5)
- Distance: 1m 142y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- The Hare Rail (13/2)
- Wilhelmina (4/1)
Recent Form and Comments:
- The Hare Rail: He is 0-12, but has been placed seven times. He recently finished third in a Lingfield maiden (1m, AW) in first-time cheekpieces (retained). He has dropped to a career-low mark but is “not progressing”.
- Wilhelmina: Gained her first win in a Beverley novice (1m, good) in April. She showed improvement to finish second over C&D last month. She drops in class and needs to be taken seriously.
Spotlight Verdict:
Preference is for POLITICAL POWER to land his second win after a head defeat to an unexposed sort at Newcastle last month. The main danger is Wilhelmina who takes a drop in grade following her second over C&D last time. Sant Alessio and Ernie’s Valentine are also running well and should be considered.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 2-6-29, 4yo+ 7-12-71.
- Fate of Favourites: 121411106.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): K P De Foy 4-13 (55% run to form), C Clover 0-3 (67% run to form), K Frost 1-20 (42% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- The Hare Rail (Strengths/Suitability): Has placed well (seven times) in his career. Runs off a career-low handicap mark.
- The Hare Rail (Weaknesses): Is a maiden (0-12) and is noted as “not progressing”. Holds one of the lowest master RPRs (78) among leading contenders.
- Wilhelmina (Strengths/Suitability): Showed improved form over C&D last month (second place). Benefits from dropping in class. Trainer K P De Foy has a solid 55% run-to-form rate.
- Wilhelmina (Weaknesses): Only one career win.
8. 6.30 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap (Class 6)
- Distance: 1m 1f 104y (AW)
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Hackney Diamonds (8/1)
- Moon Over The Sea (7/1)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Hackney Diamonds: Her only success in 17 starts was on her nursery debut. However, she recently finished a close fourth over 7f here, suggesting she would benefit from a return to a longer trip. She is shortlisted.
- Moon Over The Sea: Holds a strong track record with five wins here. He is running off the same mark as when he won over 1m6f in March. He finished fourth over C&D last month on his return from a 168-day break and is considered high on the list.
Spotlight Verdict:
The vote goes to MOON OVER THE SEA who is back off the same mark as when recording his fifth course success back in March. The consistent Mr Nugget should again run his race. The 3yos Strobelight (second choice), Hackney Diamonds and Kingsclere complete the shortlist.
Race Statistics:
- Age Groups (W-PL-R): 3yo 3-1-27, 4yo+ 4-13-48.
- Fate of Favourites: 6311150.
- Trainer Records (Last 14 Days, W-R): A Carroll 5-37 (63% run to form), I Williams 7-22 (75% run to form), G Boughey 3-20 (79% run to form), D SimcOck 0-11 (70% run to form).
Assessment of Top Two:
- Hackney Diamonds (Strengths/Suitability): Recent form indicates that stepping up in distance will suit her. Trainer Ian Williams has a high recent run-to-form rate (75%). Holds the highest master RPR (72) among the listed Top Two.
- Hackney Diamonds (Weaknesses): Only one career win from 17 starts.
- Moon Over The Sea (Strengths/Suitability): Exceptional course record (five wins). Has won off this exact mark previously. Showed good fitness when fourth on his recent return from a long break.
- Moon Over The Sea (Weaknesses): His last win was at 1m6f, suggesting 1m1f might be slightly on the short side for him.
Leave a comment