Kempton; Analysis of the TimeWise top two ranked+The SpotlightsVerdicts+The Race Stats

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This response works through all the Kempton races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses in each race based on their total TimeWise rating, and providing the requested analysis derived exclusively from the sources provided.


2.20 Bet @racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) 1m(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Prefer The Sister (IRE)
  2. Revich (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Prefer The Sister (IRE): Her only success from 19 attempts was a 7f win here last December. She is on a handy mark and has been placed in two of her last three starts.
  • Revich (IRE): Has tumbled down the weights for his new stable. He showed more encouraging signs over C&D two weeks ago when staying on from the back to take third. He drops into a Class 6.

Spotlight Verdict:
English Lady comes here in better form than most but stall 14 is just enough of an incentive to look elsewhere. Similar comments apply to Classic Speed, who reserved his best form for this C&D last year but will have to do some running to get to the front from stall 13. Revich and Prefer The Sister can feature but in a trappy event it might be worth taking a chance on MR FUSTIC. His return from a summer break last month was a bit more encouraging than the bare result, travelling powerfully and making up some ground in the straight, only for those exertions to take their toll late on. The third and fourth in that race, who also tried to come from off the pace, have won since and this C&D winner could take a step forward today. He is drawn wide too but he’s odds-on to miss the break and will likely be dropped in so it may not be quite so detrimental to his chance.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 0-1-5, 4yo+ 1-1-9.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Dean Ivory 1-0-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Prefer The Sister (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Is on a handy mark. Has recent placed form (two of last three starts). Apprentice takes off a handy 5lb.
    • Weaknesses: Limited career strike rate (one win from 19 runs).
  • Revich (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Has dropped significantly in the weights for his new stable. Recent C&D third was encouraging. Drops into Class 6.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to build on the recent promise shown.

2.50 Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5) 1m(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Tres Chaud (IRE)
  2. Venetia

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Tres Chaud (IRE): Finished sixth of ten on her Doncaster debut (7f, good) eight weeks ago, but this was a hot race at the St Leger meeting. She shaped quite nicely amidst evident inexperience.
  • Venetia: Was unable to justify market confidence when sixth on her debut at Salisbury (1m, good) five weeks ago.

Spotlight Verdict:
Several interesting newcomers, none more so than ABASHIRI who is by Frankel out of a Group 1 winner. She can enhance Charlie Appleby’s fine strike-rate at this track. Ralph Beckett runs three and the betting may help establish a pecking order but the main danger to the selection can come from Tres Chaud. Ed Walker’s 2yo shaped well amidst evident inexperience in a good maiden at Doncaster’s St Leger meeting and can leave that well behind now upped in trip.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: 22.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Andrew Balding 0-1-2, Charlie Appleby 0-1-2, Peter Chapple-Hyam 0-1-1, Ralph Beckett 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Tres Chaud (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Is open to considerable improvement. The 1m trip will suit. Showed ability despite inexperience in a strong race.
    • Weaknesses: Has only run once previously.
  • Venetia:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Open to improvement following her debut. Already proven over the 1m distance.
    • Weaknesses: Failed to justify market confidence on debut. Faces competition from stablemates Adba and Crownright.

3.20 Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Fillies’ Novice Stakes (Class 5) 7f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Eliza Bennet (IRE)
  2. Threshold

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Eliza Bennet (IRE): Has been runner-up in four of her nine starts, including over C&D. Stepping back up to 7f could be beneficial.
  • Threshold: Her inexperience was evident off the bridle on her Southwell debut 13 days ago (1m) but it was still an encouraging start. She is open to improvement.

Spotlight Verdict:
Eliza Bennet has spurned a few opportunities already and could find that the once-raced THRESHOLD improves past her.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Eliza Bennet (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Has obvious claims. Her previous runner-up efforts include one over C&D. Has experience at this level.
    • Weaknesses: Has ‘spurned a few opportunities already’.
  • Threshold:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Made an encouraging debut. Is open to improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Inexperience was notable on debut. The trainer Botti has a 75% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.

3.55 Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (Div I) (Class 4) 7f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Fort Rock
  2. Poetry Of Time

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Fort Rock: Won his C&D debut last month by a nose under a prominent ride, with the first three horses pulling clear. He is strongly respected under a penalty.
  • Poetry Of Time: Went close at Thirsk (7f, soft) and Salisbury (7f, good) in his first two starts. His respectable third at Newmarket over 1m two weeks ago suggested the distance may have stretched him. He sets a good standard dropping back to 7f.

Spotlight Verdict:
Poetry Of Time looked stretched over 1m at Newmarket but that was another creditable effort and he sets the standard on this drop back in trip. Fort Rock is strongly respected under a penalty for his debut win over C&D last month, while the Crisfords’ well-bred newcomer Central Command needs watching in the market. However, preference is for the twice-raced GO RIMBAUD, who finished a clear second under front-running tactics here three weeks ago and that was behind a smart prospect.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Fort Rock:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Already a C&D winner. The form looks strong as the top three pulled clear. Represents a stable (C Appleby) with a 100% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Must carry a penalty.
  • Poetry Of Time:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Sets the standard on form. Dropping back to 7f should suit him. Out of an AW winner. Trainer (W Haggas) has a 75% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: The 1m trip stretched him last time.

4.30 Unibet More Extra Place Races Novice Stakes (Div II) (Class 4) 7f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Amber Hamur (IRE)
  2. Media Legend (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Amber Hamur (IRE): A well-related filly who finished a well-held fourth of five at Southwell (7f, AW) on her recent debut at 40-1.
  • Media Legend (IRE): Showed ability when fifth of 12 behind Fort Rock over C&D last month. He should know more this time and is considered the pick of the three runners with experience.

Spotlight Verdict:
Media Legend looks the pick of the three runners with expereince but he doesn’t set a very high standard and there are some interesting newcomers in opposition. Breathe Easy looks the part on paper, while Dumuji and Euston Hall also need a close look in the market but the vote goes to RAJBELLO, who cost 125,000gns as a yearling and represents a yard with a 27% record with 2yos on AW this season.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Amber Hamur (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Is well-related. Trainer (G Boughey) has a 78% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Was well-held on debut at big odds.
  • Media Legend (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Showed ability on C&D debut. Expected to improve from the experience.
    • Weaknesses: Does not set a high standard (per the Spotlight).

5.00 Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Class 4) 7f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Arctic Dawn
  2. Huscal (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Arctic Dawn: Has secured three wins since June, the latest being an impressive Newcastle win last week (7f). He looks well in under a 5lb penalty.
  • Huscal (IRE): Has two turf wins as a 2yo. He is 0-8 this year but has delivered good runs along the way, including over C&D in September.

Spotlight Verdict:
Arctic Dawn is the starting point after last week’s impressive Newcastle success but there are plenty of plausible alternatives. Shiplake is an interesting recruit for his new trainer but the widest stall could find him out, while his former stable companion Huscal has also ended up with a wide berth. Jewelry shaped a bit better last time and should benefit from the return to 7f but LONGLAI wasn’t seen to best effect here four weeks ago and may be able to exploit his reduced mark.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 1-1-6, 4yo+ 0-1-8.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Kevin Philippart De Foy 1-0-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Arctic Dawn:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Highly in form, winning impressively last week. Looks well in under a 5lb penalty. C&D winner.
    • Weaknesses: Has a wide draw (stall 12).
  • Huscal (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Has shown good form over C&D previously. A strong pace would suit him.
    • Weaknesses: Is 0-8 this year. Has a wide draw (stall 13).

5.30 Try Unibet’s New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Class 2) 6f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Coul Angel (IRE)
  2. Invictus Gold (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Coul Angel (IRE): A progressive sprinter who quickened smartly to win a C&D handicap last week.
  • Invictus Gold (IRE): Impressed when winning a 6f handicap at the Guineas meeting. He was successful in his only previous AW run (Tapeta).

Spotlight Verdict:
Completely Random is well handicapped on this year’s best and this is less competitive than he is used to so he has to enter the reckoning, even allowing for concerns about a tactical affair. Carbine Harvester could bounce back to form returned to AW but COUL ANGEL is on the up and the manner of last week’s C&D success offers hope he can hold his own in this higher grade.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Coul Angel (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Progressive form. Recent C&D winner. Trainer (M Appleby) has a 47% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Carries a 6lb penalty against stronger opposition.
  • Invictus Gold (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Won successfully on his only AW run. Showed quality earlier this year (Guineas meeting). Cheekpieces now added.
    • Weaknesses: An 11lb rise after his Guineas win found him out previously. Trainer (T Clover) has a 25% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.

6.00 Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 6) 6f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Cameley Days
  2. Southbank (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Cameley Days: A progressive 3yo who made the breakthrough at Yarmouth (6f, good to soft) last month before following up with a clearcut win at Bath (5.6f, heavy) last week. She is only 4lb higher under another penalty.
  • Southbank (IRE): Improved his AW strike-rate to 5-24 when justifying support over C&D last Wednesday. He remains feasibly treated on his best form.

Spotlight Verdict:
Top of the list is the progressive 3yo CAMELEY DAYS (nap) who made it 2-3 for Chris Dwyer when completing a double in good style at Bath last Thursday. She’s only 4lb higher under a penalty and is a big player if she can transfer her form back to AW. The main threat could come from Southbank who recorded his fifth AW win when justifying support over C&D last week. The in-form 5yo Smasher should be in the thick of things again, while another to keep an eye on is last year’s runner-up Classy Clarets.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): 3yo 0-1-4, 4yo+ 1-1-7.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Mark Loughnane 1-0-1, Rachel Cook & John Bridger 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Cameley Days:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Highly progressive, arriving on a double, and only 4lb higher under the penalty. Trainer (C Dwyer) has a 67% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Recent wins were on turf (good to soft/heavy) and needs to transfer this form back to AW.
  • Southbank (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Recent C&D winner. Remains feasibly treated. Trainer (C Gordon) has a 60% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Must overcome a penalty following last week’s win.

6.30 Try Unibet’s Superboosts Fillies’ Handicap (Class 5) 1m3f(AW)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:

  1. Jet Black
  2. Veraison (IRE)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Jet Black: Finished 0.75l behind Veraison over C&D last month. She reopposes on 9lb better terms.
  • Veraison (IRE): Has improved since stepping up in trip, winning over C&D last month and following up at Wolverhampton (1m4f) nine days ago. She must contend with a 6lb penalty.

Spotlight Verdict:
Veraison is bidding for a hat-trick but she is no banker to confirm last month’s C&D form with either Jet Black (second choice) or Safe And Sound at the revised weights. Either way, it could be that dropping back in trip sees NIGHT TARA return to her best and she can gain her third win of the year.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources.
  • Trainer Records (W-P-R): Not available in the sources.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Jet Black:
    • Strengths/Suitability: Reopposes Veraison on 9lb better terms after a narrow defeat last time. Could yet fare better on AW.
    • Weaknesses: Has yet to win.
  • Veraison (IRE):
    • Strengths/Suitability: Seeking a hat-trick. Recent C&D winner. Improved form since upped in distance. Trainer (Dr R Newland) has a 41% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
    • Weaknesses: Must handle a 6lb penalty and concedes 9lb to Jet Black compared to their last meeting.

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