V. The Target Engagement: 2:30 Chepstow Analysis
A. The Race
Title: Angela Nettlefold Memorial ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II) 
Conditions: Class 4 (4yo+)
Distance: 2m 16y 
Obstacles: 8 hurdles
Going: Good To Soft
Field Size: 13 Runners
Weight: Sober Glory carries 11st 4lb , the standard weight for his age.
Rating: He has no Official Rating (-) as this is his hurdles debut.
B. Suitability Assessment (The “Hurdles Debut”)
Today’s race marks Sober Glory’s critical transition to obstacles. A horse’s debut over hurdles can be fraught with variables, but his connections have systematically mitigated almost every conceivable factor, leaving only the question of his jumping aptitude—which his high-class profile suggests will be a formality.
1. Course Suitability: Perfect
He is a Course (C) winner. His successful rules debut occurred at this Chepstow track on 29th October 2024. He has already proven he can effectively handle the track’s long straights and challenging undulations. This familiarity is a significant advantage.
2. Distance Suitability: Perfect
He is a Distance (D) winner. His bumper victories ranged from 2m 11y to 2m 161y. This 2m 16y trip  is an ideal starting point for his hurdling career, falling directly within his proven comfort zone.
3. Ground Suitability: Perfect
His four career wins have come on ‘Good to Yielding’, ‘Soft’, and ‘Soft (Good to Soft in places)’. Today’s official ‘Good to Soft’ going  is precisely what he has shown he excels on.
The combination of these three “perfect” suitability factors is exceptionally rare and positive for a hurdles debutant. The Hobbs/White team is not asking if he handles the track, trip, or ground; they know he does. By returning him to the scene of his first rules victory  under ideal conditions, they have eliminated the common variables that can foil a promising prospect’s debut.
VI. Competitive Landscape & Market Analysis
A. Market Standing
Reflecting his outstanding profile, Sober Glory is the clear and justifiable favourite, with forecast odds of 7/4. He is the “Top Tip” for multiple expert outlets , and the analyst consensus is that he “should take all the beating”. He has also attracted significant ante-post support, registering 7 tips from racing analysts.
B. Primary Opposition
Despite his imposing profile, this is not a one-horse race. The division (Div II)  contains several other credible, unexposed prospects, ensuring this will be an informative contest.
1. Kadastral
Trained by Dan Skelton, Kadastral is the consensus “obvious danger”. He also makes his hurdles debut, bringing strong bumper form of “21-“. He “impressed when landing a nice purse at Newbury in March”  and is the clear second-favourite at 11/4.
2. Grand Garcon
Trained by Paul Nicholls, this 5-year-old has form of “2-”  from his sole bumper start. Representing a powerhouse yard, he is respected in the market at 4/1.
3. Matty’s Getaway
From the Kim Bailey yard, this horse has the benefit of a recent run, with form of “PF1-3”. He is “entitled to build on last month’s return here”  and is priced at 8/1.
4. Forward Thinking
Trained by Olly Murphy, this horse also showed promise in two bumper starts (form “43-“)  and is an 8/1 chance.
VII. Concluding Verdict & Expert Recommendation
Sober Glory’s profile is one of flawless execution and immense, as-yet-untapped potential. He is a rare commodity: a £110,000 top-lot Point-to-Point winner  who progressed to become a Listed-level bumper winner. This proven, high-level class is the single most significant long-term predictor of success and sets him far apart from the standard maiden hurdle field.
His transition to hurdles is the key variable, but his elite connections have deliberately and patiently mitigated every other factor. His proven superiority in bumpers is the core of his credentials. The stable has meticulously chosen this race, returning him to a course , distance , and ground  on which he is already a proven winner.
While formidable rivals like Kadastral  and Grand Garcon  will ensure this is a competitive race, Sober Glory’s proven class is superior. The hot form of both his stable (17% strike rate)  and his jockey (21% strike rate)  only solidifies his position as a standout.
He “commands respect”  and is the most likely winner of this race. This is not his championship final; it is the first step on a path that is expected to lead to Graded company. He is expected to win, and to do so in a manner that confirms he is one of the most exciting novice hurdlers of the season.