This analysis focuses exclusively on the Newcastle races, proceeding in chronological order as requested.

2.18 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (1m 4f 98y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Bahadur (3yo)
2. Winter Flower (3yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Bahadur: Has been steadily progressive in five starts. He narrowly defeated a long-odds-on shot in a Kempton novice (1m4f, Polytrack) last month, and the horse that finished third in that race has since won twice. He is open to further progress now entering handicap company and is respected.
• Winter Flower: She got off the mark at her second attempt when winning a novice here over 1m 2f in September. On her latest outing at Ascot (1m4f, good to soft) five weeks ago, she finished third of seven, but was over 10 lengths behind the winner. She probably needs to improve now she is switched to a handicap.

Spotlight Verdict

“Bahadur is respected on handicap debut having narrowly got the better of a short-priced rival last time, while Moon Sniper (second choice) may have more to offer after having got off the mark over C&D last month. Molinari would also be shortlisted if turning out again after a good run here yesterday and Gibside comes into this in winning form, but the vote goes to MIDNIGHT LION who may enjoy the run of the race and who has a good record in Class 4 handicaps on the AW (13311).”

Race Statistics

The sources do not provide specific consolidated tables for age groups, fate of favourites, or trainer records specifically concerning past runnings of this Newcastle race.

• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): P Kirby (40%), J Goldie (46%), T Easterby (45%), D O’Meara (63%), S Woods (50%), S Barclay (0%), G Tuer (50%), W Haggas (74%), M Todhunter (33%), W Muir & C Grassick (63%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Bahadur:
  • Strengths: Demonstrating steady progression. Comes into the race off the back of a win (where the form was boosted by subsequent winners). Open to improvement on his handicap debut.
  • Weaknesses: Unproven at handicap level.
  • Suitability: Respected on debut in this handicap.
• Winter Flower:
  • Strengths: Already a winner on this course. Trainer W Haggas has a strong recent win rate (31% in the last 14 days).
  • Weaknesses: Latest run suggested she needs to improve significantly (beaten over 10l). Switches to handicap company, requiring that improvement.
  • Suitability: Needs to find more to be a serious contender in a competitive handicap.

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2.53 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Novice Stakes (7f 14y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. We’Re Goosers (2yo)
2. Tarmonbarry Kid (2yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• We’Re Goosers: Sets a useful standard. He was beaten a neck into second place in both of his starts over 7f last month, at Newmarket (where the form worked out well) and at Southwell (where he finished clear of the third).
• Tarmonbarry Kid: Was not beaten far when finishing fifth on his Chester debut over 7f in July, a race where the form subsequently worked out spectacularly well. However, he did not improve much when finishing third of five over this course and distance (C&D) last month, although the fourth-placed horse has since won. He is noted as still having potential.

Spotlight Verdict

“It would be no surprise to see Fyreline or Kaindy step up from their respective Kempton debuts, the former having not matched market expectations while the latter did offer some promise. There is still plenty of time for Tarmonbarry Kid to come good, but the vote goes to WE’RE GOOSERS sets a useful standard on the strength of his two narrow defeats last month.”

Race Statistics

The sources do not provide specific consolidated tables for age groups, fate of favourites, or trainer records specifically concerning past runnings of this Newcastle race.

• Age Group: For 2yo horses.
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): H Eustace (33%), John Davies (0%), E Bethell (62%), R Varian (62%), J O’Keeffe (100%), B Haslam (33%), B Smart (33%), R Fahey (42%), H Palmer (58%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• We’Re Goosers:
  • Strengths: Sets the standard based on two recent narrow defeats. Consistent form over 7f on both Polytrack and Tapeta. Trainer H Palmer has solid recent form (58% W-R in last 14 days).
  • Weaknesses: Still a maiden after three starts.
  • Suitability: Highly suited by conditions and expected to go very close.
• Tarmonbarry Kid:
  • Strengths: Debut form was exceptionally strong. Still holds potential.
  • Weaknesses: Did not show significant improvement on his second start over C&D.
  • Suitability: Needs to improve upon last month’s C&D run to beat We’Re Goosers.

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3.28 Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Nursery Handicap (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Thehunnebelllegacy (2yo)
2. Archangel Josepi (2yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Thehunnebelllegacy: She is fully effective on Tapeta. Her only disappointing nursery effort came when tackling 7f. She is helped by the fact that Ethan Tindall takes off a valuable 7lb.
• Archangel Josepi: Showed some ability across his three runs in September. He is described as not obviously thrown in for his nursery debut but requires a close market check.

Spotlight Verdict

“Thehunnebelllegacy may prove the pick of those to have run in nurseries but there are some potential improvers lurking. The Tunguska Event, Golden Havana and Archangel Josepi could all take a step forward but MY CHAMPION looks the most interesting of them. He made some stealthy late headway in a 5f maiden here last month and could prove a different proposition now back up in trip and contesting his first nursery.”

Race Statistics

• Age Group: For 2yo horses.
• Fate of Favourites: 55102.
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): M Dods (25%), B Ellison (50%), L Mullaney (0%), J Morland (33%), E Bethell (62%), N Tinkler (44%), R Fahey (42%), J & S Quinn (44%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Thehunnebelllegacy:
  • Strengths: Proven effective on Tapeta. The 6f trip is suitable. Benefited by a 7lb apprentice claim.
  • Weaknesses: Last run was a 3rd place finish; faces competition from several potential improvers.
  • Suitability: Should run well given her C&D suitability and weight relief.
• Archangel Josepi:
  • Strengths: Showed underlying ability in novice runs.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to be significantly better handicapped to win based on prior form; needs a substantial step up.
  • Suitability: Market confidence is key to assessing his chances on nursery debut.

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4.00 Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap (7f 14y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. After Love (3yo)
2. Sahana (3yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• After Love: This ex-Irish filly achieved a winning stable debut at Southwell (6f) in September. Although she was the beaten favourite in her two subsequent runs, she performed to a fair level. She is tackling a longer distance here and may progress further.
• Sahana: Secured a cosy success at Lingfield (7f) in September. Her last run saw her flatten out quickly in the final furlong when finishing sixth at Chelmsford. However, the stiff 7f trip here should be fine for her, and she could bounce back.

Spotlight Verdict

“A couple of defeats as favourite since her strong-finishing Southwell win in September shouldn’t be held against AFTER LOVE and she can be given another chance back up in trip. Electric Avenue and Melissa Honey can go well but the main danger may come from the handicap debutante Kartini.”

Race Statistics

The sources do not provide specific consolidated tables for age groups, fate of favourites, or trainer records specifically concerning past runnings of this Newcastle race.

• Age Groups: 3yo (1-0-2), 4yo+ (0-0-2).
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): Miss L Perratt (50%), D Simcock (56%), G Boughey (86%), J Butler (43%), O Cole (57%), I Furtado (64%), Dr R Newland & J Insole (53%), M Herrington (45%), Mrs I G’-Leveque (0%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• After Love:
  • Strengths: Strong recent stable form (winning debut); consistently running to a fair level. Predicted to progress at this distance.
  • Weaknesses: Beaten favourite twice consecutively.
  • Suitability: Well positioned for further improvement.
• Sahana:
  • Strengths: Proven 7f winner. Expected to handle the stiff 7f here.
  • Weaknesses: Recent tendency to flatten out in the final furlong.
  • Suitability: Capable of bouncing back to winning ways.

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4.30 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (5f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Invincible Crown (3yo)
2. Spirit Of Applause (5yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Invincible Crown: Has been invigorated by a return to the AW after slipping down the weights. Recently won at Wolverhampton in September and then was awarded a handicap back there two weeks ago. He is up 1lb but should remain competitive.
• Spirit Of Applause: Has a good record on the AW. He is only 3lb higher than when winning off 13 rivals at Southwell in September. His two defeats since then occurred in stronger company, making him a major player here.

Spotlight Verdict

“This looks competitive but it still represents a drop in class for SPIRIT OF APPLAUSE and he can register his third AW success. Herakles has several good C&D runs to his name this year and can feature, while Mersea can’t be ruled out after a break and Blue Lakota is more realistically treated now.”

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo (1-0-2), 4yo+ (0-1-5).
• Fate of Favourites: Not provided.
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): G Tuer (50%), J Goldie (46%), T Easterby (45%), H Palmer (58%), K A Ryan (0%), P Midgley (67%), Mrs R Carr (53%), A Brittain (60%), Miss T Jackson (0%), Katie Scott (57%), S Barclay (0%), B Haslam (33%), B Rothwell (0%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Invincible Crown:
  • Strengths: Current winning form is strong; remains competitive despite a 1lb rise.
  • Weaknesses: Facing a step up in class compared to recent wins.
  • Suitability: In great form and must be considered a key contender.
• Spirit Of Applause:
  • Strengths: Excellent AW record. Drops in class for this race. Recent win came off a realistic mark.
  • Weaknesses: None apparent based on current competitive form and class relief.
  • Suitability: Major player and predicted winner by the Spotlight.

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5.00 Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap (6f)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Bill Plumb (6yo)
2. Lovat Scout (3yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Bill Plumb: A prominent racer successful in two of his last three runs over 6f at Yarmouth. He is fully effective on Tapeta and is only 2lb higher than his last winning mark. Cheekpieces are added for this run.
• Lovat Scout: Achieved his first win since his debut when gamely securing a 5f handicap at Southwell on Monday. He is unpenalised for that success and is expected to handle the return to 6f.

Spotlight Verdict

“Fortamour, Brazilian Rose and the unpenalised Lovat Scout all come into the reckoning but the two to appeal most are Bill Plumb and DANDY MAGIC. The former comes here in good form and still has handicapping scope but Dandy Magic’s Ayr win in September was a rock-solid effort and she didn’t run as badly as her finishing position might suggest at Southwell on Monday. She can be played late in what ought to be a well-run event.”

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo (2-3-22), 4yo+ (4-9-49).
• Fate of Favourites: 320154.
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): B Haslam (33%), D Simcock (56%), A Haynes (46%), R Menzies (50%), J Goldie (46%), P McEntee (50%), M Dods (25%), K Burke (63%), A Brown (33%), T Easterby (45%), A Brittain (60%), Ewan Whillans (50%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Bill Plumb:
  • Strengths: Excellent current form with two recent wins; only minimally penalised and effective on Tapeta.
  • Weaknesses: First time incorporating cheekpieces might impact performance.
  • Suitability: A strong contender based on current form.
• Lovat Scout:
  • Strengths: Racing unpenalised after winning just four days prior. Strong recent win form and should cope with 6f. Trainer K Burke has a strong recent W-R (28%).
  • Weaknesses: None apparent, highly regarded due to favorable mark.
  • Suitability: A major threat due to the weight advantage.

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5.30 Win £250,000 With BetMGM’s Golden Goals Handicap (1m 5y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Fire Eyes (7yo)
2. Al Muqdad (5yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Fire Eyes: Since the application of a tongue-tie in May, she has been a model of consistency (with form figures of 222141221). She ran well over this C&D in June and, crucially, escapes a penalty for her narrow success in a Redcar apprentice handicap on Tuesday. She is noted as a major player.
• Al Muqdad: His losing run currently stands at 14. However, he has gone close in two of his last three starts, including finishing second of 14 at Southwell (7f) two weeks ago, and races off the same mark here.

Spotlight Verdict

“The ultra-consistent Fire Eyes (second choice) escapes a penalty for her win in a Redcar apprentice handicap on Tuesday and must have a good chance of following up, having run well over this C&D in the past. Betty Bassett is 3lb well in after her narrow defeat over C&D 11 days ago, but the vote goes to BOWOOD (nap) who is 2lb well in under a penalty for his emphatic success over C&D on the same day. He remains well treated on previous form.”

Race Statistics

The sources do not provide specific consolidated tables for age groups, fate of favourites, or trainer records specifically concerning past runnings of this Newcastle race.

• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): D O’Meara (63%), N Tinkler (44%), J Jones (80%), S England (75%), I Furtado (64%), M Dods (25%), J Butler (43%), J Wainwright (0%), R G Fell (56%), I Williams (67%), G Harker (50%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Fire Eyes:
  • Strengths: Highly consistent form since May. Escapes a penalty for her very recent win, making her effectively well-in. Proven C&D form.
  • Weaknesses: Running on a quick turnaround (3 days since last race).
  • Suitability: Major player with strong credentials on form and weight.
• Al Muqdad:
  • Strengths: Races off a mark consistent with his recent good performance (second place). Trainer D O’Meara has good recent W-R (63%).
  • Weaknesses: Long losing run (14). The stiffer mile may pose a question.
  • Suitability: Good chance if handling the 1m trip.

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6.00 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) (7f 14y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Ignac Lamar (5yo)
2. Yafaarr (3yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Ignac Lamar: Showed strong finishing ability when second over C&D three weeks ago, although he had to wait for a run. The 1lb rise is considered manageable, making him a strong contender. He is noted as not the easiest horse to catch right.
• Yafaarr: He recently achieved his breakthrough win over 1m here, a victory described as being secured with “far more authority” than the neck margin suggested. He is 2lb wrong under a penalty, but the use of a 5lb claimer helps offset this.

Spotlight Verdict

“Both the penalised winners are poorly in under their respective penalties but Yafaarr had a bit to spare here 11 days ago and Vizzavona Lady is unexposed after just five starts so neither can be safely discounted. Front Gunner and Northern Cracksman, who is bidding to maintain an unbeaten record when ridden by Billy Loughnane, are high on the list but IGNAC LAMAR is preferred. He isn’t the easiest to catch right but his latest second over C&D, when he had his momentum checked at a crucial stage, served notice that he was ready to strike.”

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 3yo (1-2-12), 4yo+ (1-2-10).
• Fate of Favourites: 22.
• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): S England (75%), J Jones (80%), Mrs A Duffield (33%), G Tuer (50%), L Mullaney (0%), J Goldie (46%), P Morris (17%), L Bailey (40%), A Brittain (60%), M Sowersby (0%), T Tate (0%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Ignac Lamar:
  • Strengths: Recent C&D run was very promising (finished strongly despite trouble). The 1lb rise is small.
  • Weaknesses: Inconsistent past performance (“not the easiest to catch right”).
  • Suitability: Preferred choice by the Spotlight, suggesting he is poised to strike.
• Yafaarr:
  • Strengths: Recent winning form was achieved authoritatively. Jockey claim helps offset the penalty.
  • Weaknesses: Running 2lb wrong under the penalty.
  • Suitability: Expected to run well, though slightly disadvantaged by the weights.

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6.30 Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) (7f 14y)

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

1. Evocative Spark (6yo)
2. Eden Storm (5yo)

Recent Form and Comments

• Evocative Spark: Is “bang in form” and won comfortably from off the pace at Catterick last time (7f, soft). He carries a penalty here and tends to show a preference for turf over AW.
• Eden Storm: Has a long losing run but is described as consistent and fine at 7f. He recently just missed out on the places behind a strong performer.

Spotlight Verdict

“As a former Godolphin horse who remains lightly raced, MILITARY LEADER could yet improve some more after running well last time. Eden Storm’s losing run is mounting up but he’s consistent and perhaps a more likely threat than the penalised Evocative Spark who has done nearly all his winning on turf.”

Race Statistics

The sources do not provide specific consolidated tables for age groups, fate of favourites, or trainer records specifically concerning past runnings of this Newcastle race.

• Trainers represented in this race (with W-R figures for last 14 days): J Riches (67%), J Wainwright (0%), P Morris (17%), J Ramsden (50%), D Simcock (56%), P Makin (0%), L Bailey (40%), I Williams (67%), J Goldie (46%), Ewan Whillans (50%).

Assessment of the Top Two

• Evocative Spark:
  • Strengths: Current form is excellent (recent winner). Trainer J Riches has high recent win rate (67% in last 14 days).
  • Weaknesses: Carries a penalty; is generally preferred on turf rather than AW.
  • Suitability: The surface preference reduces his chance, despite strong recent form.
• Eden Storm:
  • Strengths: Consistent performer. Suitable for the 7f trip.
  • Weaknesses: Long losing run.
  • Suitability: Considered a likely threat by the Spotlight.