Aintree; Analysis of the TimeWise top two ranked+The Spotlights Verdicts+The Race Stats

·

This response details the Aintree races scheduled for 25 November 2025, in chronological order, using the structure you requested.


Aintree Race Meeting Analysis (25 November 2025)

Race 1: 12.20 Novices Hurdle (Class 3, 4-6yo)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Spreadsheet Guru (IRE)Pulled up in a point on debut in March but then finished second to a Willie Mullins newcomer in a bumper at Ayr (2m, good to soft) in April. Has since left Andrew Slattery and makes hurdle debut with the new trainer (H Derham) in fine form. The horse is bred to be suited by the step up in trip and is considered a possible player.
2Only Way Is Up (IRE)Achieved a promising third on debut in an Irish maiden point (3m, soft to heavy) in April 2024. Finished fourth of eight at Exeter in February in his sole bumper (2m, good to soft), beaten 15 lengths. He should be capable of considerably better for his top yard (D Skelton); not discounted.

Spotlight Verdict:
Having impressed in an Irish maiden point in February, MOSSY FEN COOLIO is taken to make a winning start to his rules career. On Deadly Ground has been absent since going close in a point in April 2024 but this half-brother to the stable’s Grade 1 novice hurdle winner Potters Charm is nevertheless feared most. Spreadsheet Guru may be best of the rest.

Race Statistics:
The source material does not provide consolidated Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records specifically for this race.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Spreadsheet Guru (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Showed promise in his bumper run, finishing second to a strong newcomer. Bred to handle the increased trip on hurdle debut. Represents a trainer currently in fine form (H Derham).
    • Weaknesses: Only finished second in one run under rules. Pulled up in his sole point start.
    • Suitability: A potential player who is well-regarded despite his lack of experience under rules.
  • Only Way Is Up (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Comes from the top yard of D Skelton. Had promising point-to-point form (third). Expected to be capable of “considerably better” than his bumper performance.
    • Weaknesses: Bumper run was disappointing (beaten 15 lengths).
    • Suitability: Not discounted, especially if he builds on his point form for his new connections.

Race 2: 12.55 Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Class 2, 4yo+)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Chasing FireGenerally disappointing during a light campaign last season. Made a winning reappearance at Perth (3m, good) this September. Has also won on soft ground. Had only three rivals to beat last time but did it nicely and is on the shortlist back up 5lb.
2Impose Toi (FR)Won on reappearance at Newbury (2m4f, good to soft) last November. Made the frame at three big festivals in the spring, including here and when second of 16 at Punchestown (2m4f, yielding) last time. Respected now up in trip as his half-brother Floeur has bundles of stamina.

Spotlight Verdict:
The selection is CHASING FIRE, who returned to winning ways in good style at Perth in September. Impose Toi ran well in defeat at the three major spring festivals and could play a leading role now up in trip. Talented chaser Katate Dori and the progressive mare The Lord Maid also have to be respected.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Overall record in this race): 5yo 2-4-9, 6yo 2-7-25, 7yo 1-1-14, 8yo 1-3-17, 9yo 2-2-13, 10yo 1-1-12, 12yo 1-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (Overall record in this race): 2611230232.
  • Trainer Records (in this race, w-pl-r): Nicky Henderson 1-0-2, Olly Murphy 1-0-2, Sam Thomas 0-1-2, Tom Lacey 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Chasing Fire (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Recent winning form (winning reappearance). Proven ability on soft ground. Respected trainer (Olly Murphy).
    • Weaknesses: Was generally disappointing last season. Up 5lb for latest win.
    • Suitability: On the shortlist and regarded as the selection due to his winning return.
  • Impose Toi (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Excellent festival form, including second place in a 16-runner event. Has won on reappearance previously. Breeding suggests stamina for the new trip.
    • Weaknesses: Up in trip is an unknown.
    • Suitability: Expected to play a leading role, particularly given his strong form against tough opposition.

Race 3: 1.30 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3, 4yo+)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Andy Amo (IRE)Won in good style on handicap hurdle debut at Bangor (2m7f, good) in March. Followed up with a close second of 18 at Fairyhouse (2m7f, yielding to soft) in April. His trainer (Miss R Curtis) won this race last year with Haiti Couleurs and is looking forward to sending him over fences; player.
2Hidden HistoryWon a big-field handicap hurdle on stable debut at Uttoxeter (2m4f, good to soft) in March. Went close at Perth (2m4f, good to soft) in April in a race that has worked out well. This lightly raced 3m point winner is open to further improvement now switched to fences by his top trainer (D Skelton).

Spotlight Verdict:
Hidden History (second choice) and Andy Amo are promising chasing prospects but this could go to EL GRANJERO, who was second to a well-handicapped mare at Stratford in March on his sole previous outing over fences. King Of Answers is a possible improver now back up in trip on his second chase start.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Overall record in this race): 6yo 1-0-3, 7yo 1-0-2, 8yo 0-0-3.
  • Fate of Favourites (Overall record in this race): 11.
  • Trainer Records (in this race, w-pl-r): Rebecca Curtis 1-0-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Andy Amo (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Highly promising individual with strong recent hurdle form. Connections have a great record in this specific race.
    • Weaknesses: Makes chase debut. Not the selection in the Spotlight verdict.
    • Suitability: Rated a “player” based on promise and connections’ confidence in his chasing career.
  • Hidden History (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Represents top trainer D Skelton. Proven stamina (3m point winner) and lightly raced. Recent hurdle form is strong, with one win and a close second in a strong race. Expected to improve over fences.
    • Weaknesses: Makes chase debut. Second choice in the Spotlight verdict.
    • Suitability: Open to further improvement in this new sphere.

Race 4: 2.05 Introducing William Hill Half A Mill Handicap Chase (Class 3, 4yo+)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Highlands LegacyHeavy-ground maiden hurdle winner. Improved for the switch to fences to win at Worcester (2m, good) last month. He is 1-1 over fences. Open to further improvement and could take a 6lb rise in his stride.
2Mambonumberfive (FR)Ex-French 4yo who won the Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Kempton (2m, good to soft) in February. Well beaten in Grade 1 here in April. A big horse who could have a very bright future over fences and receives a handy 4yo allowance on his chase/handicap debut.

Spotlight Verdict:
The 4yo Mambonumberfive is a highly likeable prospect for fences and is a fascinating contender on his chase debut but the selection is JAVERT ALLEN, a front-runner who has won two of his four chase starts and should be well suited by this course. Dunstall Rambler bolted up at Worcester last time and is third choice ahead of Highlands Legacy, who is 1-1 over fences.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Overall record in this race): 5yo 1-0-2, 6yo 2-5-15, 7yo 4-3-24, 8yo 2-2-14, 9yo 0-5-13, 10yo 1-1-8, 11yo 0-0-2, 12yo 0-1-1.
  • Fate of Favourites (Overall record in this race): 4550113121.
  • Trainer Records (in this race, w-pl-r): Tom George 2-1-5, Ben Pauling 1-0-1, Venetia Williams 1-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Highlands Legacy (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Unbeaten over fences (1-1). Expected to improve and cope with the weight rise.
    • Weaknesses: Only third choice in a competitive race.
    • Suitability: Open to further improvement, making him a solid contender.
  • Mambonumberfive (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: High class hurdle form (Grade 2 winner). Receives a significant 4yo allowance. Highly regarded chasing prospect.
    • Weaknesses: Chase debut/handicap debut. Well beaten in a Grade 1 here previously.
    • Suitability: A fascinating contender with considerable potential for a bright future over fences.

Race 5: 2.40 William Hill Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (Class 2, 6yo+)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Johnnywho (IRE)Cruised through the race when clear second in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham (3m2f, good to soft) in March, beaten a neck. Failed to stay in the Irish National (3m5f) next time. The drop back in trip could be a good move. Has made a winning reappearance in each of the last two seasons.
2Our Power (IRE)Our Power (10yo, 11-10p) had form figures of /2233- P. He ran well in defeat at the major spring festivals. He finished third in this race last year (good to soft). Needs to raise his game after being below par on his last three runs.

Spotlight Verdict:
The selection is KING TURGEON, who won this 12 months ago, has had a wind operation since, and could make another bold bid on his return to action. Johnnywho is feared most after his excellent run in the Kim Muir and with the drop in trip a likely plus. Vintage Fizz is better drawn this time and may be the best of the remainder.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Overall record in this race): 6yo 2-1-10, 7yo 1-2-23, 8yo 2-10-41, 9yo 4-6-31, 10yo 0-2-20, 11yo 1-1-9.
  • Fate of Favourites (Overall record in this race): 5113405410.
  • Trainer Records: The source material does not provide specific trainer records for this race.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Johnnywho (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: High-class form (second in Kim Muir). Suited by dropping in trip. Excellent reappearance record. Feared most by the Spotlight analysis.
    • Weaknesses: Failed to stay on his last outing (Irish National).
    • Suitability: Highly respected with a good chance given the favorable trip change and historical reappearance form.
  • Our Power (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Proven ability in high-grade handicaps and was placed in this race previously.
    • Weaknesses: Has been below par recently and is acknowledged as needing to raise his game.
    • Suitability: Needs to recapture his best form to be competitive but has the class profile for the race.

Race 6: 3.15 William Hill Extra Places Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 4, 3yo+)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1HaararConsistent over hurdles with three wins from 11 attempts. Ran well when third in a series final at Musselburgh (2m1f, good to soft) in March. Reappears with his stable in form and should be in the thick of things again.
2We’Re Red And BlueGoes well with positive tactics, making all in novices at Carlisle and Kelso last season. Far from disgraced in competitive 2m handicaps at Sandown. Still relatively lightly raced and not discounted on return.

Spotlight Verdict:
Donald McCain fields plausible contenders in Whiskeywealth and Paddys Policy, while Le Yacht is 1-1 over hurdles and Haarar returns from a break with his stable in form. The runner with the most potential, however, could be Alan King’s DON’T MIND IF I DO who does not look overburdened on his handicap debut after three hurdles runs last winter. Feared most is Dominic’s Fault, representing last season’s successful trainer and jockey combination.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Previous winners): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 0-1-3, 6yo 1-0-2, 10yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: Incomplete data provided.
  • Trainer Records: The source material does not provide specific trainer records for this race.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Haarar (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Consistent performer who usually runs into the frame. Stable is in form.
    • Weaknesses: Only mentioned as a respected contender in the Spotlight verdict, not chosen as the primary selection.
    • Suitability: Expected to be highly competitive upon his return.
  • We’Re Red And Blue (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Best when making the running. Lightly raced with definite potential on return. Handles competitive handicap environments.
    • Weaknesses: Not highlighted as a primary contender in the Spotlight.
    • Suitability: Not discounted on his return to action.

Race 7: 3.50 William Hill “Junior” National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Class 4, 3yo)

RankHorse (TMR)Form Summary and Comments
1Pureis King (FR)Heavily backed when making a winning start at Market Rasen (good) last month, having raced in clear lead. Sean Bowen keeps the ride. Will need improvement to follow up under a penalty and in a warmer race.
2FridaysmanOut of a dual bumper winner. Showed something to build on when sixth of ten at Huntingdon (good) last month, fading late. Should improve and may play a part.

Spotlight Verdict:
The ones with experience, including last month’s all-the-way Market Rasen winner Pureis King, hardly set an exacting standard so this may go to one of the newcomers. Among those of interest on paper are Merlin Allen.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups (Overall record in this race): 3yo 6-11-52.
  • Fate of Favourites (Overall record in this race): 243033.
  • Trainer Records (in this race, w-pl-r): Rebecca Curtis 1-0-1, Jonjo & A J O’Neill 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Pureis King (TMR Top Rated):
    • Strengths: Only runner among the top two to have won previously. Retains the ride of Sean Bowen.
    • Weaknesses: Carries a penalty. Needs to improve in a stronger contest. Those with experience “hardly set an exacting standard”.
    • Suitability: Possible, but facing a tougher task under the penalty.
  • Fridaysman (TMR Second Rated):
    • Strengths: Bred well (out of a dual bumper winner). Expected to improve significantly upon his debut effort.
    • Weaknesses: Finished sixth and faded on debut. Those with experience “hardly set an exacting standard”.
    • Suitability: Likely to play a role if showing the expected improvement.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe