This response details the Gowran races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated runners, summarising their details, providing the Spotlight Verdict, Race Statistics, and an assessment of the Top Two, all based exclusively on the provided sources.
Gowran Park Races (Chronological Order)
1. 11.53 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Break My Soul (IRE) (5/2) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Qualimita (FR) (15/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Break My Soul: Was top-rated over timber with a mark of 140. She won her sole point start and is a dual hurdles winner. She was beaten by less than 3l by Kitzbuhel in a Grade 3 (2m, soft) here in February. She ran well in Grade 1 events at Aintree and Punchestown at the end of last season. She makes her chasing bow.
- Qualimita: Her hurdle rating is 126. She made an encouraging return to action last month when finishing second, despite the vet finding blood in her nostril. She may very well rate higher in the chasing sphere, though the 2m trip could be on the short side.
Spotlight Verdict
The one to beat on hurdles form is BREAK MY SOUL who wasn’t beaten far in a Grade 3 around here behind Kitzbuhel and wasn’t disgraced in two Grade 1 runs at the end of last season. Lantry Lady was a Grade 3 hurdles winner here last year and softer conditions are in her favour. The Great Nudie and Qualimita may rate higher in this sphere.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 0-0-5, 6yo 1-1-7.
- Fate of Favourites: Statistics unavailable in sources.
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Henry De Bromhead 1-0-2, Gordon Elliott 2-1-3, Ian Donoghue 0-1-5.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Break My Soul:
- Strengths: Superior hurdles rating (140). Proven high-class performance in Grade 3 and Grade 1 company. Trainer Ian Donoghue has a 33% win rate in the last 14 days.
- Weaknesses: Making chase debut.
- Suitability: Highly suitable based on hurdle form, appearing to be the class act on paper.
- Qualimita:
- Strengths: Representing Gordon Elliott (2-1-3 record in this race type). Could rate higher as a chaser.
- Weaknesses: Hurdle rating (126) is considerably lower than Break My Soul. Suffered a physical issue (blood in nostril) last time. The 2m trip might be too short.
- Suitability: Potential chance if the switch to chasing elevates her form, but highly speculative given the trip and recent issue.
2. 12.28 Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Chase
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | John The Diva (FR) (14/1) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Sophia Rose (IRE) (9/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- John The Diva: The sources mention he is a course winner over hurdles and has decent chase form. No further detailed recent form or running comments are provided.
- Sophia Rose: Her form is 525152. She won a Sligo maiden hurdle in August. On her chasing debut at Downpatrick, she finished 6.5l ahead of her stablemate Tell Us This. She looks like the stable’s first-string.
- Suitability Concern: The testing ground is a question mark, but she has a chance if she handles it.
Spotlight Verdict
Runner-up in this race last year on good ground, BRUCEJACK handles this ground and has run well fresh in the past so can score for his local yard. John The Diva is a course winner over hurdles and has decent chase form so is a danger. Sophia Rose was runner-up on chasing debut and can be a player if handling this ground.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 1-2-26, 6yo 1-5-23, 7yo 3-3-17, 8yo 0-0-3, 10yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 13216 (1 winner from 5 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Liz Doyle 1-0-2, Gavin Cromwell 0-1-6, P A Fahy 0-1-2, Robert Tyner 0-1-1.
Assessment of the Top Two
- John The Diva:
- Strengths: Rated highest by TimeWise. Described as a danger in the Spotlight Verdict due to being a course winner over hurdles and having decent chase form.
- Weaknesses: Lack of detailed recent form provided in the sources makes assessment difficult.
- Suitability: Highly regarded by the rating system and analysis despite being a 14/1 shot.
- Sophia Rose:
- Strengths: Stable first-string for Gavin Cromwell. Good performance on chasing debut, finishing second. In good form, having won a maiden hurdle recently.
- Weaknesses: Testing ground conditions are untested/a question mark.
- Suitability: Potential player if she proves effective on heavy ground.
3. 1.03 Noreside Catering Handicap Chase
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Downmexicoway (IRE) (5/2) | Top Rated |
| 2 | The King Of Prs (IRE) (4/1) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Downmexicoway: He was a maiden hurdle winner last season but lost form afterwards. He bounced back by winning a Killarney beginners chase and subsequently ran second in a Tipperary Grade 3. He is considered the progressive horse in form and a solid chance.
- Weaknesses/Suitability Concern: His best form is on better ground. This ground is a slight concern.
- The King Of Prs: His form is 2039. He has three chase wins, including a Grade 3 handicap chase at Fairyhouse in January. He has been below form since and needs more on his return, being 6lb higher than his last Grade 3 win.
Spotlight Verdict
The horse in form is the progressive DOWNMEXICOWAY, runner-up in a Tipperary Grade 3 novice last time and he is selected even though this ground is a slight concern. His returning stablemate Champagne Mahler beat Rebel Gold 8l in testing ground over C&D in March and could prove to be the biggest threat. The latter can run well too.
Race Statistics
The sources do not provide the aggregated Race Statistics (Age Groups, Fate of Favourites, or Trainer Records) specifically for the 1.03 Noreside Catering Handicap Chase.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Downmexicoway:
- Strengths: Highly progressive form, recently placing in a Grade 3. Henry De Bromhead’s yard is running well (29% win rate last 14 days).
- Weaknesses: Ground suitability is a major concern as his best form is on better ground.
- Suitability: Rated the top chance despite ground concerns due to current form trajectory.
- The King Of Prs:
- Strengths: Proven Graded race winner (Grade 3 handicap chase in January).
- Weaknesses: Seems out of form following subsequent runs and is carrying a demanding weight (6lb higher than his last win).
- Suitability: Needs to bounce back to peak form to be competitive off this mark.
4. 1.38 PRL Group Maiden Hurdle (Div I)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Latopix (FR) (11/2) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Monkeyforajuice (IRE) (100/1) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Latopix: His form is 170-. He was a debut French bumper winner over 1m4f. He weakened into seventh on his stable debut for Jamie Codd in an Irish point. He now runs for Henry De Bromhead.
- Monkeyforajuice: He was tailed off in a Galway maiden hurdle at 100-1, and the sources suggest a similar story is likely today. His Topspeed rating is only 63, with an RPR of 69.
Spotlight Verdict
The Barry Connell-trained debutant MART LANE is given the tentative nod to get off the mark immediately provided market vibes are positive. Latopix and Solar Generation has an interesting pedigree and is worth checking in the market.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 3-6-49.
- Fate of Favourites: 221 (1 winner from 3 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 2-1-3, Henry De Bromhead 1-0-2, P J Rothwell 0-1-3, Paul Nolan 0-1-3.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Latopix:
- Strengths: French bumper winner pedigree. Now with an in-form top yard (Henry De Bromhead). Rated highest by TimeWise.
- Weaknesses: Weakened significantly in his only subsequent point start.
- Suitability: Potential for improvement under new trainer, but market needs to speak positively.
- Monkeyforajuice:
- Strengths: None noted in the sources.
- Weaknesses: Extremely poor previous form (tailed off at 100-1). Low ratings.
- Suitability: Highly unlikely to contend based on comments.
5. 2.13 PRL Group Maiden Hurdle (Div II)
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Toe (IRE) (11/8) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Jacko Star (IRE) (9/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Tim Toe: His form is 4817 1-. He made a stylish winning debut in a Thurles bumper (good ground) in March, and the third horse home has since won two bumpers. He has moved to the top yard of Henry De Bromhead, who is currently flying. He commands major respect on his hurdling transition.
- Weaknesses/Suitability Concern: The heavy ground is a question mark for him.
- Jacko Star: His form is 2018 1-. He was a bumper winner at Fairyhouse in April. However, he was beaten a long way in a Galway maiden hurdle on debut and is advised to be watched.
Spotlight Verdict
With his yard in cracking form, Thurles debut bumper winner last spring TIM TOE can make a winning transition to hurdles. Jacko Star and Sticktothescript could be the ones to give him most to do.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 3-6-49.
- Fate of Favourites: 221 (1 winner from 3 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Henry De Bromhead 1-0-2, P J Rothwell 0-1-3, Paul Nolan 0-1-3.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Tim Toe:
- Strengths: Strong bumper form, boosted by subsequent winner. Trained by Henry De Bromhead. TimeWise Top Rated.
- Weaknesses: Unproven/questioned on heavy ground.
- Suitability: Expected to win if handling the conditions well.
- Jacko Star:
- Strengths: Bumper winner. Mentioned in the Spotlight Verdict as a potential main challenger.
- Weaknesses: Extremely disappointing maiden hurdle debut (“beaten a long way”).
- Suitability: Needs vast improvement on his first hurdle run to challenge Tim Toe.
6. 2.45 Proficient Engineering Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Passing Wife (11/4) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Skylight Hustle (IRE) (7/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- The Passing Wife: His form is 1132 23/11-. He is a point-to-point winner and three-time bumper winner. His form makes him the one to beat in the race.
- Weaknesses/Suitability Concern: He has a significant 461-day absence to overcome.
- Skylight Hustle: His form is 3633 14-. He is a point-to-point winner. He finished fourth for his current yard in a strong Fairyhouse bumper in January, where he finished ahead of Thedeviluno. He should go close.
Spotlight Verdict
A runner-up behind some good quality rivals in his last three bumper starts THEDEVILUNO may improve enough on hurdling debut to take this. Skylight Hustle is a point winner and was over a length in front of the selection in a strong Fairyhouse bumper in January. The best form of the race is held by point and three-time bumper winner The Passing Wife, but he has a 461-day absence to overcome. Whatsanotheryear is another who deserves consideration.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 5yo 8-16-109, 6yo 2-3-32, 7yo 0-1-9, 8yo 0-0-1, 9yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1115111212 (8 winners from 10 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Gordon Elliott 2-3-8, Gavin Cromwell 0-1-5, Henry De Bromhead 0-3-11.
Assessment of the Top Two
- The Passing Wife:
- Strengths: Holds the “best form of the race”. Highly successful point and bumper winner.
- Weaknesses: Major concern surrounding his 461-day layoff and subsequent fitness.
- Suitability: If fit after the lengthy break, his previous form makes him a serious contender.
- Skylight Hustle:
- Strengths: Proven against good rivals (strong bumper form, finishing ahead of Thedeviluno). Should go close.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly mentioned regarding ability or conditions.
- Suitability: Strong chance based on his rules form and ability in competitive company.
7. 3.20 GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Blanco (FR) (2/1) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Dschingis Dragon (FR) (5/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- Los Blanco: He posted his best effort yet when running a 0.5l second in a maiden hurdle over C&D (soft) under a positive ride. His opening handicap mark looks fair based on that performance, and he has claims.
- Suitability Note: Darragh O’Keeffe, the retained jockey for the owner, rides Los Blanco.
- Dschingis Dragon: She justified short odds to win a C&D maiden last month (soft). Her opening mark is considered reasonable.
- Weaknesses/Suitability Concern: Her maiden win was described as coming in a “weak race”.
Spotlight Verdict
Henry De Bromhead holds a strong hand here with Los Blanco and the C&D maiden winner Dschingis Dragon making their handicap debuts. The market may prove the best guide as to their respective chances. Kentucky Beach could go well if ready after a break but the well-related WELLUKNOW shaped with plenty of promise on his handicap debut at Limerick and he is taken to get off the mark dropped in trip.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 1-1-6, 5yo 3-7-28, 6yo 0-2-13, 7yo 1-0-3, 8yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 20P31 (1 winner from 5 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): A J Martin 1-0-1, Henry De Bromhead 0-2-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
- Los Blanco:
- Strengths: Excellent recent form (runner-up C&D on soft). Fairly handicapped. Chosen by the retained rider.
- Weaknesses: None specified regarding current form or ground suitability.
- Suitability: Strong contender making his handicap debut, backed by C&D form.
- Dschingis Dragon:
- Strengths: C&D maiden winner. Reasonable opening mark.
- Weaknesses: Maiden win was in a weak race.
- Suitability: Highly regarded alongside Los Blanco, with the market expected to indicate which stable runner is preferred.
8. 3.55 Pat Carroll’s Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle
| Rank | Horse (Odds) | Total TimeWise Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | May Call You Back (9/4) | Top Rated |
| 2 | Morell River (IRE) (15/2) | Second Rated |
Recent Form and Comments
- May Call You Back: Her form is -11421. She is in fine form, having won two handicap chases since her last hurdle run, including her latest outing at Tramore.
- Weaknesses/Suitability Concern: Testing ground is a major concern, and her stamina needs proving back over hurdles. She may not like this ground.
- Morell River: Her form is 1560 4-20. She is a Flat winner. She has yet to fire since joining her current stable and was pulled up over C&D (yielding) on her latest run.
Spotlight Verdict
Willie Mullins’ May Call You Back is in fine form but may not like this ground. The last time out winner ANOTHER GIRL showed more over C&D last time out and should be in the mix again.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups (Previous Winners): 4yo 0-0-9, 5yo 0-2-19, 6yo 1-5-15, 7yo 2-3-15, 8yo 0-1-10, 9yo 1-0-2, 10yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 6011 (1 winner from 4 races).
- Trainer Records (w-pl-r): James M Barcoe 1-0-1, Eoin Doyle 0-1-1, Garrett James Power 0-1-1, John Patrick Ryan 0-2-2.
Assessment of the Top Two
- May Call You Back:
- Strengths: Exceptional recent form (two chase wins).
- Weaknesses: Conditions are a serious issue (heavy ground, stamina over hurdles unproven at the trip).
- Suitability: High risk/high reward candidate; her current form is strong but the suitability to heavy ground is highly questionable.
- Morell River:
- Strengths: Trainer Colin Bowe won this race in 2021.
- Weaknesses: Recent form is poor, including being pulled up over C&D. Has not performed well since joining the yard.
- Suitability: Unlikely to appeal based on recent disappointing showings.
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