This comprehensive analysis works through all Wincanton races in chronological order, drawing on the provided sources.

1. 12.35 Download The BetMGM App Novices’ Hurdle (Class 3)

Distance: 1m 7f 50y | Going: GOOD

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Fasol (6yo, 11-6tp) (SP: 9-4)
2. Miss Altea Blue (FR) (4yo, 10-13wt) (SP: 5-6)

(Both horses share the highest master Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 125 in the field.)

Recent Form and Comments

• Fasol: Ran acceptably in a valuable handicap at Ascot last week (1m7f, good). He carries a 6lb penalty. He is considered firmly frustrating but remains a major player in this company. He was not overly strong when put under pressure in his last outing.
• Miss Altea Blue (FR): She is a course and distance (C&D) winner. She was pulled up at Chepstow and finished sixth at Cheltenham during her final start last season. She resumes after a wind operation and, despite potentially being flattered by her BHA mark, she is expected to have more to offer.

Spotlight Verdict

Paul Nicholls holds the two standout contenders. While Miss Altea Blue might be flattered by her BHA mark, FASOL is preferred, as he should hold an edge in fitness over his stablemate following his recent run at Ascot.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: Specific age group statistics for this race are unavailable in the provided sources, but general data from a later hurdle race shows 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 2-4-19, 6yo 5-8-41, 7yo 2-4-21, 8yo 1-0-3, 9yo 0-0-6, 10yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: Statistics are unavailable in the provided sources.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Statistics are unavailable in the provided sources.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Fasol	Has an edge in fitness due to recent Ascot run. His rider’s 7lb claim negates his penalty.	Considered frustrating and lacked strength under pressure last time out.	Handled the Good ground.
Miss Altea Blue (FR)	Course and distance winner. Has scope for improvement, especially following a wind operation. Is only a 4yo.	May be flattered by her current BHA mark.	Handled the Good ground.

2. 1.10 Read Meg Nicholls’ Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Chase (Class 3)

Distance: 2m 4f 35y | Going: GD-FM

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Abingworth (7yo, 11-1h) (SP: 7-2)
2. Lord Baddesley (IRE) (10yo, 12-2t) (SP: 4-1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Abingworth: Maintains a strong overall record over fences, securing five wins and four second places from 17 starts. He won his last chase start in June (2m5f, good). However, he was held in his latest flat races during the summer. This contest is significantly tougher, and he competes off a 3lb higher mark.
• Lord Baddesley (IRE): Registered his third chase win from 12 starts with a straightforward victory in a three-runner handicap on Thursday. He would be a considerable threat if connections choose to turn him out quickly with a penalty.

Spotlight Verdict

BOURBALI is expected to run well, even with top weight, especially since the form of his comeback run has been subsequently boosted. Nickelforce is a concern, and Tapley could challenge off his handicap mark. Lord Baddesley, who recently won easily, would be feared if running quickly under a penalty.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 5yo 0-3-9, 6yo 5-1-14, 7yo 2-3-16, 8yo 2-1-11, 9yo 0-3-14, 10yo 0-2-5, 11yo 0-0-3.
• Fate of Favourites: 152221122.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Joe Tizzard 0-1-2.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Abingworth	Excellent overall record over fences. The only time he wore a hood (May 2024), he won.	Running off a 3lb higher mark in a tougher contest. Unsuited by summer Flat tasks.	Good to Firm ground (Race going: GD-FM).
Lord Baddesley (IRE)	Comes into the race following a straightforward win.	Faces a potential quick turnaround (2 days) with a resulting penalty.	Good to Firm ground (Race going: GD-FM).

3. 1.45 BetMGM Paul & Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle (Class 2)

Distance: 2m 5f 82y | Going: GOOD

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Bethpage (IRE) (7yo, 11-5) (SP: 11-2)
2. Jubilee Alpha (IRE) (6yo, 12-0) (SP: 13-8)

Recent Form and Comments

• Jubilee Alpha (IRE): A class act, she was a smart novice last season, achieving dual Listed wins, including one at Cheltenham (2m4f, good). She also won her bumper at this course. She is expected to show further improvement this season and commands respect.
• Bethpage (IRE): Achieved career-best form in the spring, culminating in a win at Stratford (3m2f, good). She resumes on a career-high mark. She is effective at this track and should handle the slightly shorter trip today, preferring good ground. She ran poorly in this specific race last year.

Spotlight Verdict

The classiest contender is JUBILEE ALPHA, who was a smart novice last season and retains scope for progression. Love Of Neymore is listed as the second choice.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-0-1, 5yo 2-4-19, 6yo 5-8-41, 7yo 2-4-21, 8yo 1-0-3, 9yo 0-0-6, 10yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: F101043261.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 2-3-12, Emma Lavelle 1-1-5.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Jubilee Alpha (IRE)	Dual Listed winner and course winner. Smart novice form with scope to improve.	Carries top weight (12-0).	Versatile on ground, handles Good ground, and won’t mind if it eases.
Bethpage (IRE)	In career-best form in the spring. Effective on this track, suited by good ground.	Resumes on a career-high mark. Performed poorly in this race previously.	Best suited by Good ground.

4. 2.23 Boodles Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (Grade 2)

Distance: 2m 4f 35y | Going: GD-FM

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Blueking Doroux (FR) (6yo, 11-4) (SP: 8-11)
2. Cobra Queen (IRE) (6yo, 10-11) (SP: 2-1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Blueking D’Oroux (FR): Was the best horse over hurdles among these runners. His chasing debut at Cheltenham, where he finished second, was disappointing. He is highly likely to step up significantly from that run.
• Cobra Queen (IRE): Despite being vastly inferior to Blueking D’Oroux over hurdles, she is already proving a better chaser (2-4 record). She is still improving, evidenced by her clearcut win at Roscommon last time out (2m5f, good to yielding).

Spotlight Verdict

BLUEKING D’OROUX appeals most, given his hurdling class and the expectation that he will significantly improve on his first run over fences. Cobra Queen (second choice) and Breaking Cover are noted for their momentum and chasing experience.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 2-0-2, 5yo 1-1-5, 6yo 2-1-14, 7yo 4-4-17, 8yo 1-0-5, 10yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 2F11132P1F.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 3-3-10, Dan Skelton 1-0-4.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Blueking D’Oroux (FR)	Highest class hurdler, trained by Nicholls (who excels in this race), expected improvement over fences.	Disappointed on his sole chase outing thus far.	Good to Firm ground (Race going: GD-FM).
Cobra Queen (IRE)	Already proven as a better chaser (2 wins from 4 starts). Improving form, earns a Grade 2 crack. Receives weight allowance.	Inferior hurdling form.	Good to Firm ground (Race going: GD-FM).

5. 2.55 BetMGM Elite Hurdle (Grade 2)

Distance: 1m 7f 50y | Going: GOOD

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Rubaud (FR) (7yo, 11-8) (SP: 2-9)
2. Hamlets Night (IRE) (4yo, 11-2) (SP: 6-1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Rubaud (FR): Won a Listed race at Kempton. This Grade 2 race is considered his to lose due to highly favourable terms. He has won the two previous renewals of this race.
• Hamlets Night (IRE): Previously finished second in a Grade 2 Novice Hurdle at Cheltenham. He performed well when keeping the talented Give It To Me Oj honest recently.

Spotlight Verdict

Due to the highly favourable terms, this race is RUBAUD’s to lose. He is aiming to complete the same early-season Listed/Grade 2 double as previously.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 2-1-13, 5yo 1-2-7, 6yo 4-2-15, 7yo 1-2-8, 8yo 1-0-6, 9yo 1-1-3, 10yo 0-0-2, 11yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: 3123111111 (indicating a strong trend for favourites/short prices).
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 4-1-12, Dan Skelton 0-1-3.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Rubaud (FR)	Exceptional record in this race and at this level. Highly favoured on terms. In form.	None, appears dominant.	Good ground (Race going: GOOD).
Hamlets Night (IRE)	Showed ability by challenging a talented winner recently. Receives weight allowance as a 4yo.	Form ratings significantly lower than Rubaud.	Good ground (Race going: GOOD).

6. 3.30 64th Badger Beers Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Class 1)

Distance: 3m 1f 30y | Going: GD-FM

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Scarface (IRE) (8yo, 10-12wp) (SP: 7-1)
2. Threeunderthrufive (IRE) (10yo, 12-0wtp) (SP: 3-1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Scarface (IRE): Closed last season strongly with a win at Newton Abbot (2m5f, heavy) off a 6lb lower mark. Returns following a wind operation. He could potentially stay this far, having won on good ground previously.
• Threeunderthrufive (IRE): Ran a clear second in this race two years ago off 5lb lower. Narrowly missed out off 1lb higher at Ascot in February. He tends to produce his best form at this time of year. His trainer (Paul Nicholls) typically targets this event. He was pulled up in his last two major chases (Grand National and Sandown).

Spotlight Verdict

GUSTAVIAN (nap) is selected, likely benefiting from a more positive ride than last year and competing off a low weight. Threeunderthrufive (second choice) is considered too classy if he delivers his best form. Scarface, who is unexposed as a stayer, could also be dangerous.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 0-1-1, 5yo 0-0-1, 6yo 0-1-8, 7yo 3-7-35, 8yo 4-5-32, 9yo 1-5-31, 10yo 1-1-7, 11yo 1-1-6, 12yo 0-0-1.
• Fate of Favourites: PFP1103122.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 4-3-20, Anthony Honeyball 1-1-7.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Scarface (IRE)	Finished last season with a good win. Has had a wind operation.	New handicap mark asks a question. Unproven stamina for this distance (3m1f).	Can win on Good ground. Race going is GD-FM.
Threeunderthrufive (IRE)	Excellent record at this time of year. Proven in this race off a high mark. Trainer targets this race.	Pulled up in major races last season. Carries top weight (12-0).	Good to Firm ground (Race going: GD-FM).

7. 4.05 EBF Junior Open NH Flat Race (Class 2)

Distance: 2m 4f 35y | Going: GOOD

TimeWise Master Top Two Rated

The TimeWise Master list names the following two horses:

1. Miracles Do Happen (4yo, 10-9) (SP: 5-2)
2. Mushtahrir (5yo, 11-2t) (SP: 33-1)

Recent Form and Comments

• Miracles Do Happen: Holds the best documented form in the race thus far. Placed in a Down Royal bumper and was runner-up on his stable debut at Ludlow (good to firm).
• Mushtahrir: Did not suggest an imminent win in his two previous runs, finishing approximately 15l behind at Worcester and just under 10l behind at Plumpton.

Spotlight Verdict

The tentative preference is for the debutant BAILE AN OR (nap), an expensive purchase recently recruited by a leading yard, provided market signals are positive. Miracles Do Happen possesses the best form achieved to date.

Race Statistics

• Age Groups: 4yo 5-13-71, 5yo 4-4-33, 6yo 1-0-5.
• Fate of Favourites: 1211124611.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Paul Nicholls 3-3-12.

Assessment of the Top Two

Horse	Strengths	Weaknesses	Suitability
Miracles Do Happen	Holds the best form shown so far. Placed in both previous bumpers.	Only contested small fields so far.	Good ground (Race going: GOOD).
Mushtahrir	Has experience, having run twice.	Form does not indicate an imminent win. Well beaten in recent starts.	Good ground (Race going: GOOD).