This comprehensive analysis works through all Kempton races in chronological order, identifying the TimeWise Master Top Two rated horses based on the Horse RaceBase Daily Ratings Report.
12.30 JCB ‘Chasing Excellence’ Beginners’ Chase (3m)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Big Bang (7yo, 11-5) | Listed as Top Two |
| 2 | Secret Trix (8yo, 11-5) | 139 (Master Latest Master) |
(Note: One Big Bang’s TimeWise Master Rating is not explicitly provided in the race card, but the Horse RaceBase report identifies it as one of the Top Two rated horses. Secret Trix has a Master Latest Master RPR of 139)
Recent Form and Comments
One Big Bang
- Form: Scored in a point, won three times over hurdles, and was third of 23 in a Listed handicap at Punchestown (2m7f, good) in May. He was running as good as ever in the spring.
- Comments: He is a point winner and is considered a promising recruit to chasing who could have a bright future at this new discipline.
Secret Trix
- Form: Has a record of 6-21 over hurdles. His recent form includes going very close in a three-runner novice chase at Worcester (2m7f, good) in September, unseating at Wetherby subsequently, and being held in a small-field event at Newcastle 11 days ago.
- Comments: He has a mixed record in his four chase starts. He was useful at his best over hurdles, and though he still has potential in this sphere, he might have to settle for a supporting role.
Spotlight Verdict
This can go to point winner ONE BIG BANG, who has won three times over hurdles and was a third in a big-field Listed handicap at Punchestown when last seen in May. He could have a bright future at this new discipline and can start his chase career with a win in this match. Secret Trix has a mixed record in four starts over fences and was held in a three-runner beginners’ event at Newcastle 11 days ago.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: Not available in the sources for this Kempton race.
- Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources for this Kempton race.
- Trainer Records: J Owen has a 62% win-rate in the last 14 days, with 6 wins and 10 placed runners from 48 entries in that period (12% W%, 21% P%). O Murphy has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days, with 6 wins and 6 placed runners from 34 entries in that period (18% W%, 18% P%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| One Big Bang | Strong hurdling form, including Listed handicap third. Expected to excel at chasing. Trainer J Owen has a strong recent W-R (62%). | Chase debut under Rules. | Highly suitable for this new discipline. |
| Secret Trix | Proven useful form over hurdles. High Master Rating (139). | Mixed results in recent chase starts (unseated, held). Likely requires a supporting role here. | Needs to demonstrate sharper jumping and consistency over fences. |
1.00 JCB Hydrogen Novices’ Hurdle (2m)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ice In The Veins (5yo, 11-7h) | 117 |
| 2 | Jimbo Sport (6yo, 11-0) | Listed as Top Two |
(Note: Jimbo Sport’s TimeWise Master Rating is not explicitly listed in the race card ‘master latest master’ column.)
Recent Form and Comments
Ice In The Veins
- Form: Won his bumper debut easily. Turned over in his first two hurdle starts. Recently won by a considerable margin over 2m3f at Warwick, appearing far too good for his two rivals.
- Comments: He is a free-goer, but the fitting of a hood seemed beneficial last week. He has an engine and is considered promising.
Jimbo Sport
- Form: Had quite useful Irish point form prior to making all for a workmanlike win in a Hereford bumper in March.
- Comments: The form of his bumper win was not strong, but he is surely capable of better now making his hurdling debut.
Spotlight Verdict
Bumper winner Jimbo Sport makes some appeal on his hurdle debut but this sharp 2m can play to the strengths of ICE IN THE VEINS, who was so impressive when winning his bumper and who should have no problem with this trip over hurdles following a cakewalk over 2m3f at Warwick recently.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 5-5-38, 5yo 3-9-25 (3 wins from 25 runners), 6yo 1-1-18, 7yo 1-0-5, 8yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1111112111 (indicating extremely high success).
- Trainer Records: Dan Skelton has a recent 60% W-R (last 14 days) and a race record of 1-1-4. B Pauling has a recent 67% W-R (last 14 days).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ice In The Veins | High Master Rating (117). Recently won easily under a hood. Sharp 2m trip should suit. | Turned over at short prices earlier in his hurdle career. Now faces a genuine test. | Highly suitable, with the sharp 2m likely playing to his strengths. |
| Jimbo Sport | Unexposed potential on hurdle debut. Useful point form. | Bumper form was described as workmanlike and not strong. | Appeals on potential, capable of better now hurdling. |
1.30 JCB Fastrac Novices’ Hurdle (2m5f)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kasino Des Mottes (5yo, 11-0) | 119 |
| 2 | Breezethroughlife (4yo, 11-6t) | 116 |
Recent Form and Comments
Kasino Des Mottes
- Form: Won his Irish point in March. On his hurdling debut at Cheltenham (3m, good) last month, he stayed on to finish fifth of 13 in a useful contest, despite never being involved early.
- Comments: Bought for £130,000. He is a half-brother to a 2m4f hurdle winner. Drops in trip here and should benefit from his previous run.
Breezethroughlife
- Form: Had a promising third on his hurdling debut at Killarney in May. Comfortably won at Fakenham (2m4f, good) last month, travelling strongly before keeping on well to beat three rivals.
- Comments: This race is tougher due to the penalty he carries for his recent win.
Spotlight Verdict
Breezethroughlife is respected under a penalty for his Fakenham win last month, while Kasino Des Mottes ran a promising race at Cheltenham 16 days ago and is a big player if he can build on that. The vote, however, goes to FRESH KICKS, another Irish point winner, whose yard (Nicky Henderson) has won this race in three of the last four years.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 2-0-18, 5yo 6-12-42 (6 wins from 42 runners), 6yo 1-1-17, 7yo 1-0-4, 8yo 0-1-2.
- Fate of Favourites: 4221331111.
- Trainer Records: Nicky Henderson holds a strong race record (3-3-9). Paul Nicholls has a record of 2-2-5. J Tizzard has a 73% W-R (last 14 days).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasino Des Mottes | Highest Master Rating (119). Stayed on well in a useful contest at Cheltenham. Expected to improve from his debut. | Was never involved early in his debut run. | Drops in trip, which may suit him well. Big player if building on his last run. |
| Breezethroughlife | Recent comfortable winner. Showed promise on initial hurdle debut. | Faces tougher competition carrying a penalty. | Respected for his recent success, but this is a step up. |
2.00 JCB Handicap Hurdle (2m5f)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun Joy (6yo, 11-6t) | 117 |
| 2 | Turndlightsdownlow (5yo, 11-6) | 113 |
Recent Form and Comments
Sun Joy
- Form: Ended a losing run when winning at Ludlow (2m5f, good) 18 days ago. This was his second win from 15 hurdle starts.
- Comments: He is weighted to run well despite a 6lb rise, as he won his first handicap off a mark 2lb higher than today’s. He can be a threat.
Turndlightsdownlow
- Form: Showed marked improvement when finishing well clear on his handicap debut over C&D (good) 22 days ago.
- Comments: He is a lightly raced 5yo, and despite being hit with a 10lb rise, it may not be sufficient to prevent further success. He is out of a smart and versatile mare.
Spotlight Verdict
Sun Joy is weighted to go well again… but TURNDLIGHTSDOWNLOW (nap) came well clear on his handicap debut over C&D and a 10lb rise may not be too crushing a burden.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: Not available in the sources for this Kempton race.
- Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources for this Kempton race.
- Trainer Records: M Keighley has a 100% W-R in the last 14 days (2-14), although his long-term recent form shows 0 wins from 4 starts (0% W%). B Pauling has a 67% W-R in the last 14 days (14-70).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Joy | Highest Master Rating (117). Recent winner and appears well-handicapped relative to previous form. | Inconsistent record (2 wins from 15 hurdle starts). | Can be a serious threat. |
| Turndlightsdownlow | Huge improvement shown on C&D handicap debut. Pedigree suggests quality (out of a smart mare). | Carries a hefty 10lb penalty for the last win. | Highly suitable for this C&D, with the rise potentially not enough to stop him. |
2.30 Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) (2m5f)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Idy Wood (7yo, 11-12) | 130 |
| 2 | Sixty Plus (5yo, 11-9v) | 128 |
Recent Form and Comments
Idy Wood
- Form: 2-5 over fences last season (winning once at this track). Returned to hurdles to make all gamely at Uttoxeter in September. Followed up with a credible fourth of 14 in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow.
- Comments: Should be thereabouts again.
Sixty Plus
- Form: Has won four consecutive races since adopting front-running tactics in a visor. All wins were on good ground at Worcester or Market Rasen.
- Comments: Has improved markedly for his current trainer. He is raised another 10lb since his last start, where he had to work harder, but ruling out further improvement would be rash.
Spotlight Verdict
Nearly all can be seriously fancied. Sixty Plus has won four in a row for James Owen, but the vote goes to BUSY BEING BUSY who lost on the nod on his latest outing. Below The Radar (second choice) starts this season on a highly tempting mark.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 4yo 1-1-3, 5yo 1-1-15 (1 win from 15 runners), 6yo 4-3-16 (4 wins from 16 runners), 7yo 2-2-21 (2 wins from 21 runners), 8yo 1-1-14, 9yo 1-3-7, 10yo 0-1-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1416263213.
- Trainer Records: Paul Nicholls (1-1-7) and Stuart Edmunds (0-1-1) have race-specific records. J Snowden has a strong recent W-R (70% in last 14 days). J Owen has a 62% W-R in the last 14 days.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idy Wood | Highest Master Rating (130). Consistent form over hurdles and fences, including credible Class 2 performance last time. | None specified, generally reliable. | Should be highly competitive in this class. |
| Sixty Plus | Markedly improved winner of four consecutive races. Uses effective front-running tactics. | Hit with a 10lb rise. Had to work harder for latest win. | High potential for continued improvement despite the rising mark. |
3.05 Budds & Weatherbys Horseracing Memorabilia Mares’ Handicap Chase (2m4f 110y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shantwopointfive (7yo, 11-12) | Listed as Top Two |
| 2 | She Is For Me Boys (6yo, 10-5) | Listed as Top Two |
(Note: The Master Latest Master ratings for these two horses are not provided in the race card, but they are identified as the Top Two rated horses by the TimeWise Master Total rating in the HRB report.)
Recent Form and Comments
Shantwopointfive
- Form: Won a maiden hurdle in May 2024 and showed steady progress through the spring, culminating in a dominant handicap performance back at Cartmel (2m6f, good to soft). Won her only Irish point.
- Comments: A progressive hurdler who is a promising recruit to chasing.
She Is For Me Boys
- Form: Irish point winner on debut. Won two recent novice hurdles at Fontwell (2m1f, 2m3f), building on a fortunate win to score clearly in the second.
- Comments: Switches to fences and handicaps. She is lightly raced and brings plenty of promise to her chase debut under Rules.
Spotlight Verdict
Last year’s winner Ilovethenightlife returns on the same mark and has had wind surgery. However, the progressive hurdler SHANTWOPOINTFIVE could find the necessary improvement to take care of them and the very lightly raced She Is For Me Boys is another Irish point winner who brings plenty of promise to this debut over fences under rules.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 2-1-4, 6yo 1-1-9 (1 win from 9 runners), 7yo 2-3-18 (2 wins from 18 runners), 8yo 2-3-9, 9yo 0-1-3, 10yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: 1P1P103.
- Trainer Records: Joe Tizzard has a race record of 1-0-1. W Greatrex has a 75% W-R (last 14 days). J Snowden has a 70% W-R (last 14 days).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shantwopointfive | Highly progressive hurdler form. Point winner suggests aptitude for fences. Expected to find necessary improvement for chase debut. | Debut over fences under Rules. | High potential for a successful chase debut. |
| She Is For Me Boys | Very lightly raced with clear potential. Recent hurdle wins (making the running). | Switches disciplines and jumps up in class to a competitive handicap chase. | Brings promise, but unexposed to the demands of this handicap. |
3.40 JCB Hydradig Conditional Jockeys’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (3m 121y)
| Rank | Horse | TimeWise Master Total Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Final Straw (5yo, 12-0 p1) | 98 |
| 2 | Bebside Banter (8yo, 10-10p) | 93 |
Recent Form and Comments
Final Straw
- Form: Beaten at least 16l in his three qualifying races (2m-2m4f).
- Comments: Represents a top stable (Nicky Henderson). This is his handicap debut and the yard is ringing the changes with a massive step up in trip (3m) and the addition of first-time headgear. He is considered one of the least exposed contenders.
Bebside Banter
- Form: Has three chase wins at Sedgefield. Recently won a chase at Worcester (2m7f) by 7l last month.
- Comments: A front-runner. He is 0-12 over hurdles but runs here off a lower hurdles mark, and showed competitiveness in a hurdles start in August. He is considered the most solid option to be competitive based on current form.
Spotlight Verdict
Recent chase winner Bedside Banter is probably the most solid option to be competitive… but in such a weak race, it is tempting to side with one of the least exposed contenders. FINAL STRAW, for the powerful Henderson yard, is the most eyecatching in that group.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 5yo 0-1-4, 6yo 1-0-1 (1 win from 1 runner), 7yo 0-1-2, 8yo 0-0-1.
- Fate of Favourites: Not available in the sources for this Kempton race.
- Trainer Records: N Henderson has a 40% W-R (last 14 days). M Comley has a 100% W-R (last 14 days), with a season record of 1 win from 3 starts (33% W%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Final Straw | Highest Master Rating (98). Represents top stable (Henderson) and is least exposed. Changes in trip and headgear could unlock potential. | Form in qualifying races was poor (beaten 16l+). Must prove suitability for this extreme trip. | Eyecatching potential, but relies on the step up in trip/headgear working. |
| Bebside Banter | Great current form (recent chase winner). Runs off a lower hurdles mark. Solid option for competitiveness. | 0-12 over hurdles. Must prove he stays this distance, as his stamina at 2m4f is debatable. | Likely competitive due to consistency in recent chase form, despite poor hurdles record. |
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